Much colder, wintry showers, some of snow Easter Sunday 2021 onward

pauldry wrote: »

When its 2010 or 2018 like

2010 was warmer at the 850mb level

pauldry wrote: »

Ill post my snow pics here so since its guarenteed.

Don’t believe I said snow was guaranteed. It is highly like that most will see at least a snow shower at some point by Tuesday.

External Association wrote: »

No doubt a lot of posters will give out about not getting snow, getting cold muck etc.

But that's what these locations generally get in December, January or February. If you're coastal/very lowland, and especially furthur south coastal/very lowland, there's no use saying April didn't delivery as the core winter will only deliver for you with perfect synoptics either.

This cold spell isn’t marginal though. Let’s look at Monday for example:

-10c 850hPa widely over Ulster, -9c elsewhere:


Freezing level 400 metres or less for most of the island during daylight hours, <300 metres in Ulster:



Theta e, widely below 8:


Wet Bulb 0c height is down to the surface across the whole region:

Thickness values of 515 decametre/dam, earlier 514:

Could you explain how this is in anyway muck or marginal? This is the best Synoptics you could hope for, for April snow, in fact mid winter this would be good too!

Could you please outline what parameters you think are required to remove marginality entirely? Because even in North America this would be seen as cold, so I am struggling to see why some are saying “possible hill snow” or “wintry mix”. To be honest, I those people would probably say wintry mix with -30c 850’s!!!