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Atlantic Storm Watch & Coastal Flooding Events: January 2014

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12467…44

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    #92
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    6am Friday..

    gfs-0-66_wvr6.png

    Very windy and becoming increasingly stormy later in the day, west to south west winds


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    #93
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Thankfully the GFS has the next low peaking way out in the Atlantic before it reaches here. Looks quite nasty.

    gfs-0-105-3h.png?12

    Matured and weakened by this stage.

    gfs-0-147-3h.png?12


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    #94
    smurfjed
    Registered Users Posts: 10,030 ✭✭✭✭smurfjed


    Thanks..... this should be fun :)


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    #95
    YouTookMyName
    Registered Users Posts: 3,361 ✭✭✭YouTookMyName


    Hows thursday looking?


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    #96
    Spring Onion
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,087 ✭✭✭Spring Onion


    I am flying Shannon to Heathrow on Saturday 4th around 5pm.
    I have a tight connection, could I be in trouble?


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    #97
    kavanagh_h
    Registered Users Posts: 222 ✭✭kavanagh_h


    BorneTobyWilde wrote: »
    Now the weather outside ain't lovely
    But the champagne is extra bubbly
    So if you've no place to go
    Let it blow Let it blow Let it blow

    Oh, it doesn't show signs of stopping
    But I've got some Pringles for popping
    And since the lights are turned down low
    Let it blow Let it blow Let it blow

    This needs some additional verses...

    Oh the weather is truly mild
    but i cant wait for the snow
    And it mtc would just oblige
    Surely we can stop the blow

    Oh it doesnt show signs of stopping
    But there is still chocolate binging
    So until the final count down
    let it blow let it blow let it blow


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    #98
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Spring Onion wrote: »
    I am flying Shannon to Heathrow on Saturday 4th around 5pm.
    I have a tight connection, could I be in trouble?

    At the moment Saturday looks ok.


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    #99
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,884 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Friday morning looks nasty on all 3 models.
    Kind of crept up on us this one...


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    #100
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    More rain, and not the end of it either.
    Rainfall Warning for countrywide

    Another 20-35 mm of rain is expected in the next 24 hours, with the bulk of the rain later tonight and on New Year's Day morning.
    The combination of the high rainfall amounts and expected gale force south to southeast winds and high tides may lead to coastal flooding on some coasts.

    Issued:
    Tuesday 31 December 2013 15:00
    Valid:
    Tuesday 31 December 2013 15:00 to Wednesday 01 January 2014 15:00


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    #101
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,872 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Met Eireann warned of a new storm for Thursday, showed the low with very tight lines bringing another stormy period on Thur Night


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    #102
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Met Eireann warned of a new storm for Thursday, showed the low with very tight lines bringing another stormy period on Thur Night

    Doesn't look too bad on the latest ECM. Gales along exposed Atlantic coasts, blustery inland. A fairly standard winter low if this came off.

    cD0KlTl.png


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    #103
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,325 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Friday morning looks nasty on all 3 models.
    Kind of crept up on us this one...

    Umm yeah post #1 ??

    (strong signal for level 2 event)


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    #104
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Looks a little stronger on the hi res HIRLAM than on the ECM. Storm force winds brushing the southwest/west coasts. Sub-950mb low.

    kp351WB.png


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    #105
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Thursday/Friday is looking more stormy now on this mornings models.

    x2SLehF.gif
    oCKBTIi.gif
    hFrIUKA.gif


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    #106
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    GFS 6z would give widespread 60kt gusts...

    925hPa winds noon Friday

    Rtavn5413.png


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    #107
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,872 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Met Eireann just said on the shipping forecast, winds tomorrow evening , South strong gale 9, backing South West and increasing storm force 10 to violent storm force 11, time to change the warning color I think.


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    #108
    kerrywez
    Registered Users Posts: 96 ✭✭kerrywez


    Hi and a very Happy New Year to all on Boards. Been looking round a little and have found some more convincing charts for the next storm.

    GFS Sea level pressure chart for 6AM Friday 3rd Jan 2014.PNG

    ECMWF Sea level pressure chart for midnight Thursday 2 nd Jan 2014.PNG

    Hope this works out it is the first time I have tried to attach an image if it does not work out then I shall have to supply the UL for the charrs.

    Regards Wez

    PS got to be doing something wrong here as only the links came up on the post.


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    #109
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users Posts: 3,033 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Met Eireann just said on the shipping forecast, winds tomorrow evening , South strong gale 9, backing South West and increasing storm force 10 to violent storm force 11, time to change the warning color I think.


    ...at sea?


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    #110
    _Whimsical_
    Registered Users Posts: 7,955 ✭✭✭_Whimsical_


    RTE lunchtime tv forecast made little of our chances of a storm friday.She said it could be windy but 50km/h was the highest wind speed they showed on the chart.


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    #111
    Frank Garrett
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 226 ✭✭Frank Garrett


    redsteveireland wrote: »
    ...at sea?

    Irish people are amphibian.


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    #112
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,872 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Guys I posted what Evelyn said on RTE radio 1 at five to one after that I know no more, Im sure you can reply that forecast


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    #113
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z NAE looks a little more stormy for southwest and western coastal areas, with the low tracking a little closer to the coast the gradient gets squeezed a bit tigher. Though we are still looking at something less severe, less widespread and of shorter duration than the 26th storm.

    Midnight :

    14010300_0112.gif

    3am Friday :

    14010303_0112.gif


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    #114
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,872 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Met Eireann

    Thursday night will be wet and stormy once again. A spell of heavy rain will affect all areas along with gale force southwest winds gusting to storm force.
    Friday morning will continue stormy with a risk of damaging gusts. The winds will just slowly abate during the day.


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    #115
    kerrywez
    Registered Users Posts: 96 ✭✭kerrywez


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Met Eireann

    Thursday night will be wet and stormy once again. A spell of heavy rain will affect all areas along with gale force southwest winds gusting to storm force.
    Friday morning will continue stormy with a risk of damaging gusts. The winds will just slowly abate during the day.

    Just had a look and they have two yellow warnings there, 1 gale warning "Gale Warning
    Gales or strong gales for a time this afternoon on Irish coastal waters from Malin Head to Howth Head to Mizen Head and on the Irish Sea; southeast to southwest.

    Issued:Wednesday 01 January 2014 12:00 and a small craft warning

    Small Craft Warning
    Winds will reach force 6 or higher today and tonight on coasts from Mizen Head to Slyne Head to Malin Head; cyclonic variable becoming west to southwest. See also gale warning.

    Issued:Wednesday 01 January 2014 12:00

    At least we should not be as stormy over here on the west coast, just fooling us into a false sense of security, before tomorrow night/Friday morning

    They would not have the warnings up for midnight Thursday or through thee night yet. I got to go for a MRI scan in my knee on Friday, but it is the afternoon so all should be well by then.

    Regards Wez


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    #116
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Stormy/windy for Atlantic facing coastal areas tomorrow night and early Friday morning. There will probably be an orange warning for those counties from Met Eireann later tonight or in the morning. More wet & windy rather than stormy elsewhere. Risk of coastal flooding was also highlighted.

    TZwMq9T.png


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    #117
    howlinwolf
    Registered Users Posts: 332 ✭✭howlinwolf


    oh how we have been spoiled lately.... a decent enough depression heading straight our way and its as quite as a mouse in here. im expecting met eireann to issue an orange warning for at least munster and the west coast. this system might not pack the punch the 26th storm had but one thing to remember is that a lot of people are back to work tomorrow so there should be a lot more traffic on the roads so just a heads up to any one driving tomorrow night or early Friday to take it handy.


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    #118
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    howlinwolf wrote: »
    oh how we have been spoiled lately.... a decent enough depression heading straight our way and its as quite as a mouse in here. im expecting met eireann to issue an orange warning for at least munster and the west coast. this system might not pack the punch the 26th storm had but one thing to remember is that a lot of people are back to work tomorrow so there should be a lot more traffic on the roads so just a heads up to any one driving tomorrow night or early Friday to take it handy.

    Storm depression depression? People feeling low after another low? Ok I'll stop.

    Here it is at 6pm today out in the Atlantic, 982.

    peqZTIM.gif


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    #119
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    after the St Stephen's day storm, i think i can handle any storm that comes our way. bring it on i say


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    #120
    yellowlabrador
    Registered Users Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭yellowlabrador


    Simon Keeling just posted a flood warning. I hope the people in Cork are prepared.



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    #121
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    18z could be interesting, already deeper and further east.

    gfs-0-18.png?18?18


This discussion has been closed.
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