Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

19899101103104236

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Astronomy note: Full moon occurs today at 7:17 p.m. or just before moonrise ... the Moon's perigee was yesterday so this is still almost a "supermoon."

    Monday, 22 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Very warm and humid with showers or thunderstorms developing more widely in south and west, isolated for north and east ... afternoon highs 23-26 C east and north, 21-24 C west and south, with a slight risk of severe storms developing later in the day inland south and west, moving north towards Connacht by evening. Isolated rainfalls of 5-15 mm.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy, warm and humid, further showers possible. Lows 15-19 C.

    TUESDAY ... Showers and thunderstorms becoming widespread and moving across east and north where they could become severe in places. Continuing rather warm and humid, with afternoon highs 22-25 C. Turning noticeably fresher in west Munster during the afternoon and evening.

    WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, much cooler in west and somewhat cooler in east where more sunshine could develop in south to southwest winds of 20-40 km/hr. Lows 12-15 C and highs about 18-23 C. Some heavy or severe storms could develop in a few central locations.

    THURSDAY to MONDAY (29th) ... Partly cloudy to overcast and continuing closer to seasonal normal temperatures with frequent showers at times. Partial or in some places complete drought relief can be expected. Highs generally 17-24 C (with the warmest readings southeast) with lows about 8-11 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The month will likely end with rather unsettled weather then a gradual warming trend is likely to follow around the first few days of August but no indications yet of a return to hot weather, probably if that comes it will be closer to two weeks away.

    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be very warm and humid with isolated thunderstorms, which could become heavy or severe. Highs 25-28 C over most of the south, 23-26 C further north, although several degrees cooler near most coasts where it could be rather foggy at times.

    The outlook is similar to Ireland, widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by somewhat cooler weather although southeast England will stay rather warm in the 24-29 C range most days, but highs will trend to about 20 C in northwest England and Wales, 18 C in Scotland later this week. Frontal boundaries may be rather weakly defined which suggests daily cycles of afternoon and evening isolated thunderstorms in central regions mostly.

    Forecasts for North America

    Very warm and humid in the east with further outbreaks of thunderstorms. A more active front has developed in the western Great Lakes region and this will advance towards the Midwest and central Great Lakes today with some severe storms possible. Highs generally in the 30s ahead of this front, and more typically 23-26 C after it passes. Warm and dry across most of western Canada and the northern plains states today, and also in the far west.

    My local weather on Sunday was sunny, hazy and warm with highs near 25 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Tuesday, 23 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Showers and thunderstorms becoming widespread, covering most of the west from the Atlantic, with isolated showers reaching parts of east Ulster and north Leinster from the Irish Sea. By mid-day all but a few places in the southeast are likely to see 10-20 mm rain with some storms becoming severe in places (most likely Clare, Galway and Mayo as well as nearby parts of other counties). Continuing rather warm and humid, with afternoon highs 22-25 C. Turning noticeably fresher in west Munster during the afternoon and evening. Moderate southerly winds 15-30 km/hr but risk of higher gusts near storms, as well as hail and torrential downpours locally bringing flash flooding to a few locations.

    TONIGHT ... Showers dying out gradually with fog or mist developing, still rather warm except in parts of the southwest, lows generally 14-17 C although closer to 12 C in southwest.

    WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, much cooler in west and somewhat cooler in east where more sunshine could develop in south to southwest winds of 20-40 km/hr. Lows 12-15 C and highs about 18-23 C. Some heavy or severe storms could develop in a few central locations, most likely in the western half of the country. Heavy rain may also develop in Leinster during the evening and overnight into Thursday morning. Some rainfalls of 20-25 mm possible, widespread 10-15 mm should begin to ease the current drought.

    THURSDAY to MONDAY (29th) ... Partly cloudy to overcast and continuing closer to seasonal normal temperatures with frequent showers at times. Further rainfalls of about 20 mm during this period will bring further relief to lingering drought. Highs generally 17-24 C (with the warmest readings southeast) with lows about 8-11 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The month will likely end with rather unsettled weather then a gradual warming trend is likely to follow around the first few days of August but no indications yet of a return to hot weather, probably if that comes it will be closer to two weeks away.

    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be warm and humid with widespread showers and thunderstorms, which could become heavy or severe. Highs 23-27 C over most of the south, 21-24 C further north, although 18-20 C near most coasts where it could be rather foggy at times.

    The outlook is similar to Ireland, widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday, followed by somewhat cooler weather although southeast England will stay rather warm in the 24-29 C range most days, but highs will trend to about 20 C in northwest England and Wales, 18 C in Scotland later this week. Frontal boundaries may be rather weakly defined which suggests daily cycles of afternoon and evening isolated thunderstorms in central regions mostly. Heat may try to return to the southeast around Friday which could set off some very heavy thunderstorms around London.


    Forecasts for North America

    An active cold front is developing and could bring severe storms to the Midwest and Great Lakes later today, while it remains warm and humid further east and south with only isolated storms. Considerably cooler air is moving south from central Canada into the upper Midwest and parts of the northern plains and eastern prairies, with the front also pushing west into the central Rockies. Warm and dry further west.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny with cloudy intervals and warm with highs near 25 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Wednesday, 24 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Periods of heavy rain in west Munster will spread gradually north to cover Connacht, while other regions remain cloudy with more isolated showers. Around mid-day, some heavy thunderstorms may develop in the inland southwest, and then spread into the midlands and Leinster as well as further east in Munster. Ulster will have less frequent showers. It will continue warm and humid and highs will range from 23 C in east Ulster to 17 C in the southwest and parts of western Connacht. A few severe storms are possible later today, watch for updates. Including tonight's activity, some rainfalls of 20-35 mm possible, while more widespread 10-15 mm (5-10 mm east Ulster) should begin to ease the current drought. Although generally not very windy, a few strong gusts could develop near intense thunderstorm cells.

    TONIGHT ... Further heavy rainfall in eastern counties should ease after midnight, then misty or foggy with drizzle, rather warm with lows near 14 C.

    THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, but less humid and with longer sunny intervals, highs 19-23 C with the warmest readings likely to be in eastern counties.

    FRIDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers, morning lows around 13 C and afternoon highs 19-23 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Bucking the trend of this summer, the weekend may bring occasional heavy showers and a few thunderstorms with 15-30 mm rainfalls possible, temperatures generally in the 15-20 C range.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Gradual improvement can be expected although rather slow to develop at first, with some signs of a warmer spell returning after the first weekend in August.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be warm and humid with widespread showers and thunderstorms, which could become heavy at times, 20-30 mm rainfalls for many, with highs 22-25 C over most of the south and central regions, 18-21 C further north, possibly closer to 27 C in a few parts of the southeast.

    Thursday will likely be a bit cooler again with more isolated showers and thunderstorms. Friday could see some sunshine in places but heavy showers and severe storms could develop across the south and east as hot, humid air tries to push back from France into London and Kent, Surrey and Sussex. The weekend will then turn cooler in stages with occasional showers but heavier rain into western Scotland.


    Forecasts for North America

    An area of severe storms and flooding rains has developed overnight in eastern Oklahoma and will spread through much of the southeast and parts of eastern Texas later today. Further north the weather is seasonably warm and dry, trending to warm and humid in the eastern states but with only isolated storms left from yesterday's more active front. The far west remains very warm and dry.

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and very warm with highs near 26 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Thursday, 25 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Some heavy showers and developing thunderstorms in a north-south line in central counties will drift slowly northeast, bringing 10-20 mm rainfalls to parts of inland Leinster, east Connacht and later central and east Ulster. By afternoon these showers are likely to be more confined to east Ulster. Partly cloudy to sunny conditions should prevail in some southeastern counties and much of the west, with just a few isolated showers separate from the feature already described. This more settled weather will push east to replace the line of showers. Highs for most will be 19-23 C but within the slow-moving line of heavy showers temperatures will be around 16 C, and some outer coastal districts in the southwest could be held to about 18 C by sea breezes.

    TONIGHT ... Further showers, some becoming heavy, in Ulster. Partly cloudy elsewhere with one or two isolated showers and a slight risk of a brief thunderstorm. Misty towards dawn with lows 13-16 C.

    FRIDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers, and afternoon highs 19-23 C.

    SATURDAY ... Showers with isolated thunder, heavy at times in parts of south and west. Partly cloudy for most of the day in east and north, showers arriving later. Highs near 20 C. Rainfalls of 10-20 mm south and west.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, frequent showers and risk of a thunderstorm, rather warm and humid with highs near 21 C. Rainfalls near 10 mm.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Monday is likely to remain unsettled, but there are signs of a gradual warming trend around the end of the month and perhaps a return to very warm weather at times in August.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will continue mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks, widespread showers and a few thunderstorms, 10-15 mm rainfalls for many, with highs 23-26 C over most of the south and central regions, 18-21 C further north.

    Friday could see some sunshine in places but heavy showers and severe storms could develop across the south and east as hot, humid air tries to push back from France into London and Kent, Surrey and Sussex. The weekend will then turn cooler in stages with severe storms possible in the southeast on Saturday, and occasional showers elsewhere but heavier rain into western Scotland. Hot weather could return to at least southern Britain around the end of July and first few days of August. Basically, the pool of somewhat cooler air already present to the west of Ireland never makes much eastward progress and is squeezed out of the picture by returning high pressure from the south, and in fact the interruption to the heat wave is almost negligible in southeast England. Further east into central Europe the pattern remains hot and largely dry with scattered outbreaks of thunderstorms.


    Forecasts for North America

    The pattern is basically warm and humid almost everywhere now with rather weak frontal systems that can bring isolated heavy storms. The most significant front is now moving east from the high plains and central prairies towards the upper Midwest. Hot and dry conditions prevail closer to the west coast. Meanwhile, T.S. Dorian will make steady progress west for several days and could become a player for the east coast of the U.S. later next week as it tracks north of the Caribbean region towards the Bahamas.

    My local weather on Wednesday was once again sunny and warm with highs near 26 C. The official weather station for Vancouver at the airport has seen no rain since 28th of June although I've seen a bit here (less than 1 mm).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Friday, 26 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers and a few thunderstorms, coverage about 20-30 per cent later today and rather scattered but southeast and north central are favoured, with a humid afternoon high of 19-23 C.

    TONIGHT ... Misty or foggy in most places with a few remnant showers dying out, lows about 11-14 C.

    SATURDAY ... Showers with isolated thunder, heavy at times in parts of south and west. Partly cloudy for most of the day in east and north, showers arriving later there, if at all. Highs near 20 C. Rainfalls of 10-20 mm south and west.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, frequent showers and risk of a thunderstorm, rather warm and humid with highs near 21 C. Rainfalls near 10 mm.

    MONDAY ... Heavy showers at times, with a gradual clearance from west to east late in the day. Highs 18-21 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny intervals, followed by increasing cloud, showers or thunderstorms, rather warm and humid. Highs 21-24 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Model guidance is quite spread out from near normal and unsettled to warm and dry, in general I expect a slow improvement and possible return to very warm weather before too long, and in most cases the wetter spell of weather will be welcome except where it interferes with weekend activities, as the recent drought is not entirely broken in all areas yet (some certainly have seen total drought relief).


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with some heavy showers developing especially across Scotland and northern England, and a few thunderstorms further south, 15-25 mm rainfalls for some, with highs 22-24 C over most of the south and central regions, 18-21 C further north.

    TONIGHT will be cloudy with mist and fog, rather warm and humid, lows 12-15 C although 15-18 C in southeast.

    SATURDAY will bring widespread heavy thunderstorms as hot, humid air over the southeast and most of France interacts with a frontal wave that should miss Ireland to the east tonight then move up into Britain on Saturday. Some very heavy rains are indicated in south central and east Midlands regions, 25-50 mm. Highs will range from the low 20s in the rain and further north, to 24-27 C southeast and 27-30 C possible as 32 C temperatures will be established across the Channel.

    SUNDAY will become cooler with showers and sunny intervals, highs 18-23 C.

    Beyond that, the trends should be similar to Ireland and a return to hot, dry weather will likely develop fairly early in August.


    Forecasts for North America

    The main weather feature is a slow-moving but rather strong cold front heading into the Midwest and upper Great Lakes. It's rather cool in north central states and most of the Canadian prairies with highs only 19-23 C. East of the advancing front, it's closer to normal at 25-27 C trending to hot and humid in the southeast and south central states. The far west is hot and dry.

    My local weather on Thursday was sunny and hot with a high just around 30 C.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Saturday, 27 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Showers with isolated thunder, heavy at times in parts of south and west. Partly cloudy for most of the day in east and north, showers arriving later there, if at all. Highs near 20 C. Rainfalls of 10-20 mm south and west.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast, a few showers continuing in west, warm and muggy with lows about 14-17 C.

    SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, frequent showers and risk of a thunderstorm, rather warm and humid with highs near 21 C. Rainfalls near 15 mm on average and a few spots closer to 30 mm with risk of spot flooding. The heaviest rainfalls are likely to occur late in the day in central counties but all regions will be prone to some heavier falls locally.

    MONDAY ... Heavy showers or thunderstorms at times, with a gradual clearance from west to east late in the day. Rainfalls 10-30 mm. Morning lows about 14 C and highs 18-21 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny intervals, followed by increasing cloud, showers or thunderstorms, some heavy or severe, rather warm and humid. Highs 21-24 C.

    OUTLOOK ... The rather warm and unsettled regime of southerly winds could persist for about a week but there remains a chance of even warmer weather developing which would generally push the storm risk mainly to the west and north again.

    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will bring widespread heavy thunderstorms as hot, humid air over the southeast and most of France interacts with a frontal wave that will develop this morning over northern France and then move up into Britain this afternoon. Some very heavy rains are indicated in south central and east Midlands regions, 25-50 mm potential. Highs will range from the low 20s in the rain and further north, to 24-27 C southeast and 27-30 C possible as 32 C temperatures will be established across the Channel.

    SUNDAY will become cooler with showers and sunny intervals, highs 18-23 C.

    Beyond that, the trends should be similar to Ireland although with higher temperatures in general and a return to hot, dry weather will likely develop fairly early in August for southeast England.


    Forecasts for North America

    The most prominent feature will be a strong cold front advancing east through the Great Lakes, Ohio valley and central plains states leading rather cool (for late July) air from central Canada into the Midwest. Highs of only 15-18 C will be recorded in parts of the upper Midwest and northern plains, eastern prairies and much of the upper Great Lakes. Ahead of the front, widespread storms will develop across the mid-Atlantic states in a southeasterly flow and it will be humid with highs near 25 C. The west, meanwhile, continues to see hot, dry weather with just a shallow incursion of cooler air from the Yukon into northern B.C. and Alberta setting off a few storms near the Peace River region.

    My local weather on Friday was sunny and hot with highs near 30 C inland and mid-20s closer to the ocean.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Sunday, 28 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Variable cloud, with some sunshine at first in east-central counties, followed in most places by frequent showers and risk of a thunderstorm, rather warm and humid with highs near 21 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm on average and a few spots closer to 25 mm with risk of spot flooding. The heaviest rainfalls are likely to occur late in the day in central counties but all regions will be prone to some heavier falls locally. There does seem to be a slight downgrade in the intensity of this rainfall on the morning guidance, so that some places may see a reasonably dry outcome too.

    TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, rather warm, a few residual showers dying out, lows 12-15 C.

    MONDAY ... Heavy showers or thunderstorms at times, with a gradual clearance from west to east mid-day west, afternoon east. Rainfalls 10-20 mm with highs 18-21 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny intervals, followed by increasing cloud, showers or thunderstorms, some heavy or severe, rather warm and humid. Highs 21-24 C.

    OUTLOOK ... The rather warm and unsettled regime of southerly winds could persist for about a week but there remains a chance of even warmer weather developing which would generally push the storm risk mainly to the west and north again. Changes will be subtle in this slight ebb and flow situation on the western margins of a large-scale warm pattern over Europe, and it would not take much to return to the mid-July hot/dry set-up, but as we've seen, the potential is now in place for locally heavy rainfalls. However, looking at the statistics, most places are only back to perhaps 50-60 per cent of July's normal rainfall amount (from the earlier 20 per cent).

    Forecasts for Britain

    The heavy rain that we expected seemed to leap-frog some parts of the south but has been giving north-central England a real soaking rain overnight and this will continue slowly north into Scotland before dissipating somewhat and focusing more on the eastern regions by afternoon. Otherwise, very warm and humid air will return with isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms again, highs 24-27 C in most cases, 18-21 C in Scotland though.

    The outlook in Britain is warmer than for Ireland as the European heat wave ripples back to the west and places at least southern and most of eastern England in the 28-31 C range by mid-week. Western and northern parts of Britain will have similar weather to the pattern forecast for Ireland.

    Forecasts for North America

    The push of unseasonably cool air has stalled at about the Ontario-Quebec border southwest to central PA and WV, while east of that it's rather warm and very humid with potential for some locally heavy thundery rainfalls. The cooler air mass is clearing slowly and will continue to produce highs only 17-20 C which is about ten below the regional normals. This trends back to normal further west into the plains region and then hot and dry in the far west.

    My local weather on Saturday was somewhat cloudy in the morning as marine air moved in, but as often happens here, it cleared rapidly at lunch time and felt hot in the afternoon sun although it was only about 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Monday, 29 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Heavy showers or thunderstorms at times in north, more widely dispersed showers for south, with a gradual clearance from west to east mid-day west, afternoon east. Some spot flooding possible in north Connacht and west Ulster around Donegal Bay this morning to mid-day. In general, rainfalls 10-20 mm north and 3-7 mm parts of south, east, with highs 18-22 C.

    TONIGHT ... A few clear intervals, isolated showers in a few locations, lows about 14 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny intervals, followed by increasing cloud, showers or thunderstorms, some heavy in parts of west Munster, although it may remain largely dry further east ... rather warm and humid. Highs 21-24 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, warm and humid, occasional showers or thunderstorms, highs near 23 C.

    THURSDAY ... Frequent showers and possibly some heavy rainfall in places, turning a bit cooler and fresher especially in Connacht, highs 18-21 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Model guidance is inconclusive but I suspect that warmer weather is about to return in stages, and perhaps rather quickly once this mid-week disturbance pushes through, so look for highs into the mid 20s by about the weekend or early next week.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY ... Warm and humid with a few isolated showers and thunderstorms, highs about 24 C for most, 18-21 C Scotland.

    OUTLOOK ... Similar trends to Ireland with heavy rains at times central and northern regions towards Thursday. Heat likely to return gradually by about next weekend and possibly near 30 C in a week to ten days.

    Forecasts for North America

    The recent very cool spell is moderating in the Midwest and Great Lakes regions as temperatures recover to about 24 C today, otherwise, the patterns remain about the same in other regions with hot and dry conditions over most of the west now extending into central portions of the U.S. ... Forecasters were ready to write off Dorian but now it appears that "he" may recover somewhat and return to tropical storm status in the Bahamas by tonight or Tuesday.

    My local weather on Sunday was sunny and quite warm with afternoon towering cumulus to the north, dry here (30 days without rain now) ... high was 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Tuesday, 30 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    ALERT for heavy rainfalls over next several days in parts of Connacht, Ulster and nearby parts of Munster, Leinster, while the southeast remains relatively dry. Some spot flooding at times and some severe thunderstorm activity each day from now to about Thursday. Dublin remains somewhat on the margins of this heavier rainfall and severe storm zone, risks increase to north and west.

    TODAY ... Morning showers in the northwest will move east and develop into heavy thunderstorms for some parts of east Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster, followed by gradual clearing by late afternoon. Rainfalls in the north could be as high as 20-40 mm in some areas leading to spot flooding. Highs in the north will be 17-19 C. ... Further south, some sunny intervals this morning, followed by increasing cloud, showers or thunderstorms, some heavy in parts of Munster, although it may remain largely dry in south Leinster with isolated storms developing there ... rather warm and humid. Highs 21-24 C.

    TONIGHT ... Dry at first, clouding over with rain spreading into the southwest after midnight, foggy by morning. Lows 13-16 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, warm and humid, occasional showers or thunderstorms, with some heavy falls of 20-40 mm possible in the west, closer to 10 mm east, highs near 20 C except 22-23 C in the inland southeast where some hazy sunshine could break through the overcast.

    THURSDAY ... Frequent showers and possibly some heavy rainfall in places, potential for 15-30 mm rain, turning a bit cooler and fresher especially in Connacht, highs 18-21 C.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, isolated showers, highs near 18 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The east could dry out as a weak ridge develops over Britain pushing the frontal zone back to the west again, but further rain seems likely in the west. Highs will range from 21 C west to 24 C east.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will have some sunny intervals and only isolated showers, highs will reach 23 C.

    TOMORROW to FRIDAY, eastern and southern regions could remain largely dry as the heavier showers in Ireland extend only into western Wales, southwest England and most of Scotland. Those regions will also see some heavy rainfalls during the period. Highs will range from the low 20s in the wet zone to the high 20s in southeast England.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK for Britain is a return to hot, dry conditions especially in southern England, and the Midlands.


    Forecasts for North America

    The cool spell in the Midwest has now transitioned to more normal July warmth although it remains relatively cool at night, with highs near 25 C daytime trending to 30 C in the southeast. Some heavy showers in parts of the central plains states, otherwise hot and dry in the south and west.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny and very warm, highs near 27 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Wednesday, 31 July, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    ALERT for heavy rainfalls today and tomorrow, heaviest in parts of Connacht, Ulster and nearby parts of Munster, Leinster, while the southeast (after this morning) may remain relatively dry. Some spot flooding at times and some severe thunderstorm activity each day from now to about Thursday. Dublin remains somewhat on the margins of this heavier rainfall and severe storm zone, risks increase to north and west.

    TODAY ... Cloudy, warm and humid, occasional showers or thunderstorms, with some heavy falls of 20-40 mm possible by end of the day in the north and parts of the west, closer to 10 mm southeast, 20 mm Dublin. Highs near 20 C except 22-23 C in the inland southeast where some hazy sunshine could break through the overcast this afternoon. The area of rain currently drifting north will likely weaken somewhat then redevelop early afternoon from west to east across Connacht and Ulster, north Leinster, while a second area of possibly heavy thunderstorms could develop around Laois and affect parts of the Dublin-Wicklow region this afternoon. Despite all this mention of rain, there could be some decent dry intervals in some locations particularly the southwest and west by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Rain tapering to drizzle, isolated thundershowers possible, very muggy with lows 14-17 C.

    THURSDAY ... Frequent showers and possibly some heavy rainfall in places, risk of severe storms greatest in Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster, nearby parts of west-central Munster. Potential for 15-30 mm rain, wind gusts to 70 km/hr with some storms, and 2 cm hail, highs 18-21 C. Moderate south to southwest winds except for the gustier intervals around storms 30-45 km/hr.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, relatively isolated showers with hit or miss 2-5 mm rainfalls, highs near 18 C.

    SATURDAY ... Occasional sunny intervals with just a few isolated showers, warm with highs near 22 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud east, warm with highs 22-24 C. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the west, reaching central counties mid-afternoon but eastern counties towards evening.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The following week looks somewhat improved with higher pressures building in and temperatures staying near 21-23 C if not slightly warmer at times.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will become cloudy with showers developing, warm and humid, highs near 23 C.

    THURSDAY-FRIDAY will bring widespread heavy thunderstorms and periods of rain to west and north, but will be hot and humid in the east and south until late Friday when the storms may finally arrive. Highs west and north 20-23 C but 29-32 C east and south.

    OUTLOOK is for warm and dry weather once this frontal system moves through early Saturday, with a brief interruption in some western and northern districts around Monday. Highs will average about 25 C.

    Forecasts for North America

    A rather bland pattern now prevails across the continent with some showers or thunderstorms approaching the mid-Atlantic states from the west, near normal temperatures in most eastern and central regions. Hot and dry conditions prevail further west, with gradual development of isolated storms over mountain ranges today leading to more widespread storms on Thursday. As I'm travelling on Thursday in B.C., I hope to get some good views of storms and possibly some pictures to follow on Friday.

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and very warm, highs near 26 C. The month of July remains bone dry locally and should end that way although it could rain just around midnight. This is rather unusual but not unprecedented, in 1951 there was a 58-day dry spell, this one is now 33 days long.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Thursday, 1 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    Two areas of potentially heavy rainfall that could produce severe thunderstorms will develop this morning -- one will run up the west coast and impact parts of western Galway and Mayo around mid-day, and that area could see a second round of storms in the late afternoon. Another complex will track inland around Cork and move into the midlands, north Leinster and east Ulster. That could also be followed by a second burst later in the day. Other regions are not entirely immune from some heavy showers or a thunderstorm risk but a few places not in these two main storm zones could have a largely dry outcome. Watch for updates as we track these storms in the prime development period of 1100h to 1600h.

    TODAY ... Frequent showers and possibly some heavy rainfall in places, risk of severe storms greatest in Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster, nearby parts of west-central Munster. Potential for 20-40 mm rain, wind gusts to 80 km/hr with some storms, and 2 cm hail, highs 18-22 C. Moderate south to southwest winds except for the gustier intervals around storms 30-45 km/hr.

    TONIGHT ... Heavy showers ending gradually across the north, followed by less intense showers or drizzle in southwest winds 20-40 km/hr, mild with lows about 11-14 C.

    FRIDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, relatively isolated showers and one or two local thunderstorms with hit or miss 3-7 mm rainfalls, highs near 18 C for most and 21 C east. Rather windy at times in Connacht with gusts to 60 km/hr from the southwest veering to west by afternoon.

    SATURDAY ... Occasional sunny intervals with just a few isolated showers, warm with highs near 22 C.

    SUNDAY ... Increasing cloud east, warm with highs 22-24 C. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the west, reaching central counties mid-afternoon but eastern counties towards evening. About 10-20 mm rain in west.

    MONDAY ... Showers and thunderstorms, highs 18-21 C. Some of the rainfall could he heavy with 20 mm possible in places.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The following week looks somewhat improved with higher pressures building in and temperatures staying near 21-23 C if not slightly warmer at times.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will become very warm to hot, and sunny in southern England, trending to mostly cloudy central and northern England, Wales, with outbreaks of thundery rain likely towards the Irish Sea coasts, and across Scotland by mid-day, in strong and blustery south to southwest winds there. Highs will range from 30-33 C southeast England, to 25 C central England and Wales, to about 20 C in Scotland.

    TONIGHT and TOMORROW will bring heavy showers and thunderstorms to most regions, although it could stay hot for the first part of the day in southeast England.

    OUTLOOK is for hot and dry weather to return to many parts of Britain over the weekend.

    Forecasts for North America

    Showers and thunderstorms are becoming more widespread in two regions, the inland northeast and part of the eastern Great Lakes, and in the interior of the Pacific northwest and southern British Columbia. In between these areas of showers, most of the mid-section of the continent is fairly dry and warm although not unseasonably hot.

    My local weather on Wednesday was hazy with increasing high cloud, and we have scattered showers on the radar although the airport weather station managed to record a totally dry July (as of 06z which was 11 p.m. here), the first such calendar month on record despite longer dry spells.

    I am now heading out on a semi-vacation which means you may only get a semi-forecast, more likely a full forecast but not much chance to monitor or update, so I would appreciate any input especially during active weather.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Friday, 2 August, 2013 _ 0830h
    _____________________________________

    Forecast remains essentially the same as given yesterday ... I will post a more complete version as usual on Saturday morning, but for today, just adding this more detailed look at today's forecast ...

    TODAY will start out mostly cloudy in most regions and partly cloudy in east and south coastal districts. Strong southwest winds with gusts to 70 km/hr are likely to persist most of the day in Connacht and west Ulster with some squally showers at times. Highs will be about 17 C there. In most other regions, more moderate southwest winds gusting to 50 km/hr with occasional showers developing, one or two becoming thundery with the risk of hail and gusty winds, most likely places to see more severe storms would be in a zone extending from Cork in the southwest to Meath in the northeast. Highs will range from 19 to 21 C in the larger part of the country.

    TONIGHT should see most of the showers and stronger wind gusts moving away to the north or dissipating, leading to some clear intervals and lows about 8-11 C. I was asked about the Oxygen event and basically would say expect a bit of everything later today and overnight, a fairly decent day tomorrow with slight risk of a shower. Not sure how long into the weekend the question is valid but wet weather appears likely by Sunday mid-day to evening lasting into part of Monday (in eastern Ireland in general, for the west the timing would be earlier).

    Have a great weekend in any case. Watch the thunderstorm thread here for updates on storm potential later today. I don't expect to be awake much past 0930h having just emerged from a deep sleep following a long drive, and feeling like a second deep sleep is now required. On our way here, we saw a number of developing thunderstorm cells but more active weather seemed to be further south than our route took us, maybe Friday will bring some more inspiring skies for pictures, today had a veil of higher cloud so that you couldn't see much of the storm structure anyway, but there was some lightning over one of the three ranges that we crossed to get here (here being south central B.C.).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Saturday 3 August 2013 _ 10:00h
    _______________________________________

    Here's an update on developments this weekend and beyond ...

    TODAY will see a gradual advance of scattered showers from west Munster towards the midlands and eventually some parts of the north and east, but it may remain dry in some of those regions with just increasing cloud. Highs will reach about 20 C east, 18 C west.

    TONIGHT will become overcast with outbreaks of light rain mostly in south and west, about 5 mm in places, lows 11-13 C.

    SUNDAY will start out cloudy in all but the far north where some sun is likely to mid-afternoon. Highs will reach 19 C in parts of the north but only 16-17 C in the south and central counties, and east coast. Rain will become heavier during the day in Munster and will spread to about as far north as Galway to Dublin by afternoon and a bit further north by evening. Amounts of 10-15 mm appear likely by late in the day with the rain continuing overnight in the east and south, ending during the night in west Munster and south Connacht. Lows of 10-12 C overnight into Monday.

    MONDAY will see rain ending across the east by late morning and some brighter intervals developing with more frequent sunny intervals in parts of west Munster, Connacht and west Ulster. Highs will reach 18 C in those brighter regions but may be held to 16 C in parts of the south and east.

    TUESDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers, winds backing from light northerly to easterly, and highs 18-20 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY look somewhat improved with generally dry and at times sunny weather, highs 19-22 C. There could be intervals of low cloud and drizzle near the northwest coast. Beyond that the models are hinting at a return to warm weather around mid-August.

    Where I am, occasional showers and 23 C for a high, with the shower cells moving east to west but calm conditions in the mountain valley with fairly good visibility.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Sunday 4 August _ 0845h
    __________________________________

    Just a brief update on the approaching rainfall for the south ... the southeast, notably Wexford, will see periods of moderate rain by this afternoon with heaviest amounts near 20 mm, but further north it may be light and patchy reaching about as far north as Limerick to Dublin at some point this evening to midnight, however amounts away from the southeast will be light (2-5 mm) and large portions of Connacht and Ulster could remain dry or see separate light showers giving a trace to 2 mm. The last of this rain should be ending around 0900h Monday in Dublin and Wicklow, then the rest of Monday should be fairly dry in most areas with just isolated showers.

    At my current location, Saturday was a mainly sunny and very warm day (about 28 C and humid) with showers gradually building up in all four quadrants over mountains, then these appeared to merge into a brief downpour oddly without thunder, with very interesting skies including a bright rainbow. Hope to post a picture or two during the next day or two.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    MTC currently taking a brief but complete break from the weather, and will return to forecasting on Friday morning (9th August). If anyone from the weather forum wishes to post a forecast or two in this brief interval, thanks in advance. Seems like a rather quiet weather pattern ahead, hope you get some pleasant weather. -- MTC


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,601 ✭✭✭200motels


    Tonight will see long clear spells with temp 9 to 12 Celsius, tomorrow will be a generally nice day with well scattered showers with temp range 17 to 20 Celsius and maybe a bit higher in places, later in the day it will cloud up over the northwest and west with rain in places, Wednesday will be showery in the west and northwest but the east and southeast will remain dry, Thursday will start off dry but wind and rain will sweep in from the Atlantic during the day and spread to all areas by evening, the outlook is for a showery pateren to continue.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,601 ✭✭✭200motels


    Today will be bright with sunny spells developing, but a few showers will develop, Temp 17 to 21 Celsius.

    Outlook

    Thursday: A cool start but it will become milder later with temps rising to between 17 and 21 degrees. Later cloud will develop and push in from the Atlantic with outbreaks of rain developing. It will turn wet and windy everywhere during the evening with winds getting stronger. The rain should with a bit of luck clear away eastwards overnight.

    Friday: A bright fresh windy day with good sunny spells and scattered, heavy showers. Highest temps from 16 or 20 degrees or higher in a few sheltered spots, the southeast may remain dry throughout the day.

    The weekend will be blustery and showery and may even have an autumnal feel to it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,601 ✭✭✭200motels


    Rain and wind spreading Eastwards this evening and tonight. Tomorrow will be a windy and showery day with top temps about 20C. The weekend will be showery and windy and on Saturday there maybe a longer spell of rain for the south. Top temps 17 to 19 degrees celcius. The outlook looks like more of the same and MT is back tomorrow with more detailed forecasts and probably a little more accurate.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    RETURN OF THE CRANIUM -- TONIGHT's EPISODE
    "The horror of the zombie keyboard."

    So the summary is, returned from boot camp and/or "holiday" (part one) at a rather late hour (0900h IST) and with the intention of posting at least a minimal forecast, but found that the keyboard at home was dormant. We hope to resolve that during the day, meanwhile I have taken advantage of my one free hour a day at the local library to get back into the weather picture and here's how I see the next seven days (will reboot the Britain and N.America segments next time).

    TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals with any further drizzle or light showers ending, lows about 7-10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, risk of some occasional drizzle or light rain in some parts of west and north but generally a dry day, highs 17-19 C.

    SUNDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sunshine in most areas, mostly cloudy north, where some drizzle or light rain possible at times. Lows 7-10 C and highs 17-20 C best in the inland southeast.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, slight chance of showers mainly west and north, lows about 6-9 C and highs 16-18 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny breaks east during morning but generally clouding up with rain later, looks like about 5-10 mm ... lows 7-10 C and highs 17-19 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Potential for heavy showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms, lows 11-13 C and highs 17-20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The mid-week unsettled spell should gradually improve to more settled conditions and near-average temperatures. There are some signs of warmer weather returning later in August.

    Thanks to 200motels for providing some continuity in this thread for the past week.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, risk of some occasional drizzle or light rain in some parts of west and north but generally a dry day, highs 17-19 C.

    SUNDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sunshine in most areas, mostly cloudy north, where some drizzle or light rain possible at times. Lows 7-10 C and highs 17-20 C best in the inland southeast.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, slight chance of showers mainly west and north, lows about 6-9 C and highs 16-18 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny breaks east during morning but generally clouding up with rain later, looks like about 5-10 mm ... lows 7-10 C and highs 17-19 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Potential for heavy showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms, lows 11-13 C and highs 17-20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The mid-week unsettled spell should gradually improve to more settled conditions and near-average temperatures. There are some signs of warmer weather returning later in August.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, risk of some occasional drizzle or light rain in some parts of west and north but generally a dry day, highs 17-19 C.

    SUNDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sunshine in most areas, mostly cloudy north, where some drizzle or light rain possible at times. Lows 7-10 C and highs 17-20 C best in the inland southeast.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, slight chance of showers mainly west and north, lows about 6-9 C and highs 16-18 C.

    TUESDAY ... Some sunny breaks east during morning but generally clouding up with rain later, looks like about 5-10 mm ... lows 7-10 C and highs 17-19 C.

    WEDNESDAY ... Potential for heavy showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms, lows 11-13 C and highs 17-20 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The mid-week unsettled spell should gradually improve to more settled conditions and near-average temperatures. There are some signs of warmer weather returning later in August.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Sunday, 11 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Rather cloudy in general with a few sunny intervals developing mostly in central counties, light showers at times in north and isolated showers possible elsewhere. Highs 17-20 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, some partial clearing but views of the Perseids may be interrupted at times by passing cloud, lows 8-11 C.

    MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, relatively warm with highs 18-21 C. Evening and overnight clear intervals more frequent in east.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, lows 8-11 C and highs 19-22 C with rain arriving in the southwest around evening.

    WEDNESDAY ... Rather cloudy, warm and humid, showers and risk of a thunderstorm across parts of west, central and inland north ... morning lows 11-14 C and highs 21-23 C for most, 19-21 C north.

    THURSDAY ... Showers and a few thunderstorms, lows 12-14 C and highs about 21 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Temperatures are likely to improve further once the fronts clear on Thursday, and we could be seeing a subdued warm pattern not quite as hot as the June or July episodes, but in the 23-25 C range, before too long.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will become partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs 21-23 C.

    The pattern will continue to be quite similar to Ireland in this mobile west to southwest upper flow, with the main difference being timing of frontal passages about 6-9 hours later in general.


    Forecasts for North America

    Since our last forecast for North America, trends have been generally rather bland and near normal in most regions, although very wet at times in the south central U.S. That trend is somewhat in decline now but there are widespread thunderstorms across the north central and northwest U.S. extending into parts of southern B.C., becoming heavy at times. Temperatures are generally rather close to seasonal normals but it's anomalously warm in the subarctic regions of Canada where 25-30 C temperatures extend right to the shores of the Arctic Ocean and 21-24 C in some portions of the arctic islands.

    My local weather on Saturday was cloudy to start, with isolated showers, then sunny by afternoon and about 25 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Monday, 12 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Partly cloudy with more frequent sunny intervals developing in west-central counties mid-day, also a few passing showers heaviest for north central inland counties this morning, north Leinster mid-day ... relatively warm where the sun comes out later, with highs 18-21 C.

    TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast but some evening and overnight clear intervals more frequent in east, some viewing of Perseids will be possible at least early on. Lows 9-12 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, rather warm, highs 19-22 C with a few outbreaks of mid-day rainfall across the north, then a more organized band of showers arriving in the southwest around evening.

    WEDNESDAY ... Rather cloudy, warm and humid, showers and risk of a thunderstorm across parts of west, central and inland north ... morning lows 11-14 C and highs 21-23 C for most, 19-21 C north.

    THURSDAY ... Showers and a few thunderstorms, lows 12-14 C and highs about 21 C. Breezy to windy by afternoon (veering SSW to WSW 30-50 km/hr) and clearing gradually.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, highs about 21 to 23 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Showers arriving Friday night should clear east Saturday morning, then a breezy and partly cloudy weekend with near normal temperatures (highs 18-21 C) warming to the low to mid 20s by the following week, with mainly dry conditions the prevailing theme.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will bring a few morning showers in the southeast before partly cloudy weather develops there, otherwise, generally a dry day with isolated showers in the west and north, highs 18-21 C.

    The trend from tomorrow on will be similar to Ireland with some of the rainfall events about six hours later on average, as fronts continue to sweep east from the Atlantic. This means that Thursday could see some afternoon thunderstorms in parts of Wales and central England.


    Forecasts for North America

    Turning unsettled across the Midwest and Great Lakes after a fine weekend, with a few severe thunderstorms possible, highs near 24 C. Widespread heavy showers and rain in the southeast and south central states, warm and humid with highs 27-30 C. The west remains rather hot and most of the organized storm activity is near the U.S.-Canada border or northward into western Canada in places, highs generally a bit above normal for most regions.

    My local weather on Sunday was showery at first with some locally heavy thunder this morning, then clearing up for the afternoon and warm (25 C) followed by more scattered showers this evening.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Tuesday, 13 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Cloudy with a few mid-day and afternoon brighter intervals, mostly in south central counties, rather warm and muggy, highs 19-22 C with a few outbreaks of mid-day rainfall across the north and east, then a few more showers arriving in the southwest around evening. Rainfalls by midnight in the range of 3-5 mm in most places.

    TONIGHT ... Cloudy, misty, warm or mild, lows 11-14 C. Some patchy drizzle mostly across the south.

    WEDNESDAY ... Rather cloudy, warm and humid, showers and slight risk of a thunderstorm across parts of west, central and inland north with highs about 21-23 C for most, 19-21 C north. Some places dry but a few rainfalls of 5-10 mm possible.

    THURSDAY ... Showers and a few thunderstorms (slight risk some will become severe), lows 12-14 C and highs about 21 C. Breezy to windy by afternoon (veering SSW to WSW 30-50 km/hr) and clearing gradually. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, highs about 21 to 23 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Showers arriving Friday night should clear east Saturday morning, then a breezy and partly cloudy weekend with near normal temperatures (highs 18-21 C) warming to the low to mid 20s by the following week, with mainly dry conditions the prevailing theme.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers mainly in western and northern counties. Highs 20-23 C highest in the inland south.

    The trend from tomorrow on will be similar to Ireland with some of the rainfall events about six hours later on average, as fronts continue to sweep east from the Atlantic. This means that Thursday could see some heavy or severe afternoon thunderstorms in parts of Wales and central England.


    Forecasts for North America

    Unseasonably cool air is moving south through the Great Lakes and Midwest regions behind an area of heavy showers and thunderstorms that will reach most of the larger cities on the east coast during the day. Highs only 15-19 C behind this front, 20-24 C during its passage. Hot and humid further south with widespread heavy thunderstorms likely. Meanwhile the northern plains states and parts of the central plains are also rather cool under the core of high pressure associated with the northerly winds further east, highs will reach about 26 C after quite a cool start. A frontal wave moving across Alberta and Saskatchewan is bringing severe storms overnight and will redevelop this afternoon in Manitoba and North Dakota. The southwest remains seasonably hot with isolated thunderstorms mainly over higher terrain. The west coast is generally clear except north of Vancouver where rain is developing for the overnight hours and later today, some heavy falls may occur but it should remain largely dry in the Pacific northwest states with isolated storms.

    My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy at first, sunny by afternoon, and around 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Wednesday, 14 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Rather cloudy, warm and humid, morning drizzle or showers clearing eastward, some brighter intervals but also a few scattered showers, followed by the slight risk of a thunderstorm across parts of west, central and inland north by this evening, with highs about 21-23 C for most, 19-21 C north. Some places dry but a few rainfalls of 5-10 mm possible. Winds increasing to SW 30-50 km/hr by afternoon.

    TONIGHT ... Heavy showers and risk of a thunderstorm in parts of the west and north, very mild or warm, lows 12-16 C.

    THURSDAY ... Showers and a few thunderstorms (slight risk some will become severe), lows 12-14 C and highs about 21 C. Breezy to windy by afternoon (veering SSW to WSW 30-50 km/hr) and clearing gradually in parts of the north and west, as heavier showers or storms develop across the south. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, breezy (WSW 30-50 km/hr) with highs about 21 to 23 C. Some isolated showers later in the day, heavier rain by evening.

    SATURDAY ... Showers arriving Friday night should clear east during the morning, winds westerly 40-70 km/hr, lows 12-15 C and highs 17-20 C. Rainfalls (mostly early in the day) about 10 mm.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy and somewhat cooler with further showers, mostly west and north, highs 16-19 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Gradually warmer and mostly dry with some chance of overnight showers Monday-Tuesday, possibly becoming quite warm later in the week with highs into the mid 20s.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy, muggy and rather warm, with a few passing showers, highs 21-24 C.

    TONIGHT and THURSDAY will feature several rounds of heavy showers and the risk of some heavy to borderline severe thunderstorms (most likely to develop inland west) with lows near 15 C and highs near 22 C.

    The trend from Friday on will be similar to Ireland with a dry interval later Friday, showers becoming heavy on Saturday in blustery winds, then a gradual improvement with the possibility of highs reaching 24-27 C later in the week.


    Forecasts for North America

    Short term trends remain similar to previous days, cool and somewhat unsettled in the northeast, Great Lakes and Midwest, trending to near average temperatures and sunny in the central plains, storms moving east from the high plains and central prairies. Very warm and mostly dry in the far west, as rain spreads into coastal B.C. except near the Vancouver area which remains partly cloudy for today. The bigger weather news, perhaps, is that the models are indicating the season's first hurricane potentially forming in the Gulf of Mexico and drifting north towards Texas this weekend and early next week. Chances are rated medium or about 40-60 per cent that this tropical storm will form at all, and 20-40 per cent that it could become a hurricane. There is also some chance of tropical development south of Cape Verde.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Thursday, 15 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... The morning could remain dry and relatively bright in eastern counties, as heavy showers and a few thunderstorms (slight risk some will become severe) advance into the west then spread across the east by afternoon, with highs about 19 C west to 21 C east. Breezy to windy by afternoon (veering SSW to WSW 30-50 km/hr) and clearing gradually in parts of the north and west, as more showers develop across the south. Rainfalls 10-20 mm for most, heavier amounts likely to run from south Clare and north Limerick northeast towards Meath, Louth, Cavan and Down. Thunder may be rather isolated at first, but we will be watching for development around Offaly-Laois-Westmeath-Meath-north Kildare-west Dublin by mid-afternoon. Heavy downpours are more certain.

    TONIGHT ... Showers ending around midnight in east, followed by clearing, gusty WSW winds 30-50 km/hr, lows of 11-13 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, breezy (WSW 30-50 km/hr) with highs about 19 to 21 C. Some isolated showers later in the day mostly in Connacht and west Ulster, then a more general and heavier rain by evening, lasting overnight into Saturday morning with lows of 12-15 C.

    SATURDAY ... Showers arriving Friday night should clear east during the morning, winds increasing to westerly 40-70 km/hr, lows 12-15 C and highs 17-20 C. Rainfalls (mostly early in the day) about 10 mm.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy and somewhat cooler with further showers, mostly west and north, highs 16-19 C. Quite breezy at times (WNW 40-60 km/hr), with a rather autumnal feel but this won't last very long. ...

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Gradually warmer and mostly dry with some chance of overnight showers late Monday night into the daytime hours of Tuesday mainly north of a Galway to Dundalk line, possibly becoming quite warm in the south during Tuesday and then in all regions later in the week with highs into the mid 20s. This warm spell may feature east winds and somewhat cooler readings near the east coast (18-21 C) and warmest weather in west Munster and Connacht (24-26 C). Some models are indicating a rather prolonged warm spell developing and it should be dry and sunny most of that time but details will emerge later.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will feature several rounds of heavy showers and the risk of some heavy to borderline severe thunderstorms (most likely to develop inland west) with highs near 22 C south, 17-19 C north.

    The trend from Friday on will be similar to Ireland with a dry interval later Friday, showers becoming heavy on Saturday in blustery winds, then a gradual improvement with the possibility of highs reaching 24-27 C later in the week.


    Forecasts for North America

    It will remain dry and cool in parts of the northeast, Great Lakes with showers advancing into the Midwest from the north-central plains. Very warm and humid with scattered storms in the southeast states, mainly hot and dry in the west, trending to warm and showery in western Canada. The Cape Verde tropical system is now Tropical Depression No. 5 (the next name is Erin), and the Caribbean system may interact with land (the Yucatan peninsula) before reaching tropical storm status (if not Erin, then Fernand) later this weekend in the Gulf of Mexico.

    My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy and warm with a rare (for this summer) rainfall of 2-3 mm during the late afternoon, highs near 23 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Friday, 16 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, breezy (WSW 30-50 km/hr) with highs about 19 to 21 C. Some isolated showers later in the day mostly in Connacht and west Ulster, then further showers somewhat more widespread by evening, lasting overnight into Saturday morning with lows of 12-15 C.

    SATURDAY ... Showers arriving Friday night should clear east during the morning, winds increasing to westerly 40-70 km/hr, with highs 17-21 C. Rainfalls (mostly early in the day) about 5-10 mm. Later showers more isolated and hit or miss in nature.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy and somewhat cooler with further showers, mostly west and north, morning lows 7-9 C and highs 16-19 C. Quite breezy at times (WNW 40-60 km/hr), with a rather autumnal feel but this won't last very long. ...

    MONDAY ... Frequent sunny intervals, lows 7-9 C and highs 18-20 C.

    TUESDAY ... Showers and chance of a thunderstorm mainly north and west, some warm sunny intervals developing further south, highs may range from 18 or 19 C north to 23-25 C south.

    OUTLOOK ... Sunny and quite warm mid-week into the weekend, highs generally into the 24-27 C range, some cooling sea breezes mainly east coast but affecting all coasts at times in a rather light and variable wind pattern that will feature east to northeast breezes more frequently than other directions.

    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will continue unsettled in the east with some heavy showers and risk of a thunderstorm, but clearing will follow from western regions during the mid-day period, accompanied by westerly breezes of 40-60 km/hr. Highs will range from 24 C southeast England to 15 C in parts of Scotland, generally near 20 C in most other regions.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK is showery and breezy with somewhat of a drying trend after Saturday mid-day when the heaviest showers are likely. Highs will be about 22 C in the south on Saturday and 19 C on Sunday. These values will be 2-4 deg higher than most other regions each day.

    The trend from Monday on will be similar to Ireland with plenty of sunshine next week and the possibility of highs reaching 24-27 C later in the week.


    Forecasts for North America

    It will be warming up gradually in the northeast, Great Lakes with showers developing in some areas near the mountains, while the Midwest sees a clearing trend and somewhat warmer temperatures also. Continuing very warm and humid with scattered storms in the southeast states, and also mainly hot and dry in the west, trending to warm and showery in western Canada, as some of the hotter temperatures push north towards the western prairies today. Tropical Storm Erin appears likely to hold together for a few days of westward motion in the tropical Atlantic but may never threaten land, and the Caribbean system is now interacting with land (the Yucatan peninsula) and may become a tropical storm, Fernand, later this weekend in the Gulf of Mexico with landfall most likely to be near the mouth of the Rio Grande in south Texas or northeast Mexico around mid-week (if it develops that much).

    My local weather on Thursday was cloudy, warm and humid, with spotty showers in a few places and highs near 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Saturday, 17 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Showers will be generally rather light and most will clear east during the morning, with winds increasing to westerly 40-70 km/hr, and highs 17-21 C. Rainfalls (mostly before noon except mid-afternoon southeast) about 5-10 mm. Guidance has been cutting back the amounts but it could be a rather persistent light rain in any case for a few hours. Later showers more isolated and hit or miss in nature.

    TONIGHT ... Isolated showers mostly confined to northwest coastal regions, breezy to windy and feeling quite cool as lows drop to 7-9 C. Winds continuing blustery from W at 30-60 km/hr.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy and somewhat cooler with further showers, mostly west and north, morning lows 7-9 C and highs 16-19 C. Quite breezy at times (WNW 40-60 km/hr), with a rather autumnal feel but this won't last very long. ...

    MONDAY ... Frequent sunny intervals, lows 7-9 C and highs 18-20 C.

    TUESDAY ... Showers and chance of a thunderstorm mainly north and west, although some recent guidance is showing most of this rainfall staying offshore except for the immediate shorelines of Donegal Bay then by Tuesday night north Ulster. Some warm sunny intervals developing further south, highs may range from 18 or 19 C north to 23-25 C south. Winds increasing to S-SW 40-60 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY ... Breezy and warm for most, slight chance of morning showers lingering in north before clearing, highs 21-25 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Sunny and quite warm mid-week into the weekend, highs generally into the 24-27 C range, some cooling sea breezes mainly east coast but affecting all coasts at times in a rather light and variable wind pattern that will feature east to northeast breezes more frequently than other directions.

    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY will become very breezy and further showers or isolated storms will develop mainly in the south and some lighter bands in Wales and central England. Highs 19-22 C south, 16-18 C central and 14-17 C north. Winds about 40-70 km/hr from the west by afternoon.

    TONIGHT through SUNDAY and MONDAY should be a largely dry interlude with just a few lingering morning showers in east on Sunday ... breezy and cooler with highs near 18 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK is for increasingly warm weather with plenty of sunshine next week and the possibility of highs reaching 24-27 C later in the week.


    Forecasts for North America

    The east will see a warming trend this weekend under sunny skies and highs will reach the 24-27 C range but humidity levels will remain quite low. Further outbreaks of very heavy rain likely in the southeast, and some unusually cool daytime temperatures as a result of cloud and east winds, only 22-25 C in some places. Atlanta had a record low maximum of only 19 C on Friday. Meanwhile the west is heating up and this heat is also covering a good portion of central-western Canada, with cloudy and warm conditions further west near the B.C. coast, and some outbreaks of light rain there. Erin continues to cling to minimal tropical storm status in the central tropical Atlantic, and the potential for Fernand still seems about 50-60 per cent likely for some portion of the Texas coast by about Monday-Tuesday.

    My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy, very warm and humid with a few sprinkles of rain and highs near 25 C (the humidity levels are quite unusual conditions for the west coast).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Sunday, 18 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TODAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy at first with further showers, more frequent in the west and north, more chance of sunny intervals this afternoon with highs 16-19 C. Quite breezy at times (WNW 40-60 km/hr), with a rather autumnal feel.

    TONIGHT ... Showers confined mainly to northwest coastal regions, otherwise partly cloudy with some clear breaks, breezy and cool with lows 7-9 C.

    MONDAY ... Frequent sunny intervals, highs 18-20 C.

    TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud with showers and chance of a thunderstorm by afternoon or evening in the north and west, sunny intervals developing further south, highs may range from 18 or 19 C north to 22-24 C south. Winds increasing to S-SW 40-60 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY ... Some light rain in parts of central to eastern Ireland early morning, heavier showers passing through Connacht and Ulster, then by late morning becoming partly cloudy, breezy and warm for most, morning lows about 14 C and highs 21-25 C.

    OUTLOOK ... Partly cloudy and relatively warm Thursday to Saturday with some isolated showers possible at times in the southwest, highs now look likely to remain in the 19-23 C range but could increase through the weekend and early next week as even warmer air settles in with a stronger Azores high being indicated for this later period. In general, the weather is on an improving trend from the present time well into the late stages of August, but the details do continue to change slightly. At any rate, expect temperatures to average about 1-2 deg above average from Tuesday on through early September.


    As I have been a bit late getting started today, I will resume the other forecasts on Monday, would not expect anything very different from what was presented yesterday. My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with some sunny breaks by late afternoon and clearing overnight, not as warm as recently with a high near 20 C.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.

    Monday, 19 August, 2013

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TODAY ... Morning cloud and isolated light rain showers will tend to clear to at least partly sunny skies mid-day with increasing higher cloud by afternoon, and highs 18-20 C. A few parts of the west could see 1-2 mm rain but otherwise it should be generally dry.

    TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals but mostly cloudy and rather mild with lows about 11-13 C.

    TUESDAY ... Mostly cloudy, warm especially in parts of the south where some sunshine could develop at times by afternoon. Mainly dry until late afternoon or evening when some showers are likely in the northwest, spreading across the north overnight. Amounts could be rather slight, 3-7 mm on average, with parts of the south and east remaining dry. Highs may range from 18 or 19 C north to 22-24 C south. Winds increasing to S-SW 40-60 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY ... Some light rain during the morning in parts of north-central to northeastern Ireland early morning, then by late morning becoming partly cloudy, breezy and warm for most, morning lows about 14 C and highs 21-25 C.

    THURSDAY ... Some hazy sunshine and rather warm, highs about 22-25 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, some showers developing in southwest, highs 21-24 C.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The models are rather indecisive about the prospects for the weekend at this early stage, the theme appears to be a slight cooling trend with at least isolated showers and possibly heavier showers in some places, with gusty winds indicated on at least one model, but temperature changes may be rather subtle as one warm ridge is replaced by another one after a brief interruption from a weak or possibly moderate trough. Highs are likely to remain close to 20 C then could return to the low or mid-20s at some point next week.


    Forecasts for Britain

    TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, some sunshine at times mid-day and afternoon in the south and parts of Scotland. Highs 18-21 C.

    A similar trend to Ireland will follow with any rain from the Tuesday night or Wednesday weakening frontal disturbance affecting mainly western parts of northern England and southern Scotland.


    Forecasts for North America

    The general pattern is warm and dry across the northern half of the U.S. and adjacent southern Canada, and quite hot in the central plains states. The southeast remains unsettled and is having a relatively cool and wet summer this year. Meanwhile, Erin has died out and Fernand never managed to develop as a tropical system at all, although there is a circulation and areas of rainfall in the western Gulf.

    My local weather on Sunday started out cloudy and drizzly, then became sunny by late afternoon with a high near 21 C.


Advertisement