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Longshot Value Aintree & Punchestown

2

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Grand National

    The Bet365 offer is just too good to ignore, Here are my 2 picks in addition to Valseur Lido already advised. 8 Points Total Spend with 4 Points Returned

    Monbeg Notorius, has a nice profile for this. He’s a young horse that’s a sure stayer and has had a light season.
    • 2 Points EW 66/1 365 5 places
    Minella Rocco, is on a decent mark has surly been readied for this for a long time, and we’ll all be kicking ourselves if he runs a big race
    2 Points EW 40/1 365 5 places


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,022 ✭✭✭madmoose


    V Lido is 80/1 7 places one firm


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    madmoose wrote: »
    V Lido is 80/1 7 places one firm

    I’ve ya haven’t used yer bet365 offer you could get €65 ew at 90/1 with 10 places. Don’t think I can setup a new account for my wife and get that offer thought ;-).


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Aintree 6:20
    All Set to go
    ran well in this last year of a higher mark. He has actually won 3 races since (2 of those chases), and is still2 lbs lower. He will be better suited by the reasonably ground today and 66/1 seems very big.
    1 Point EW 66/1 5 places lads/vc/sky


  • Registered Users Posts: 858 ✭✭✭Plasandrunt


    backed him myself this morning price seems absolutely massive


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    1:45 Aintree

    Burbank
    looks a typical Aintree horse. He has had a very light season, and in both runs showed some encouraging signs. He has looked like a step up in trip will suit and a return to form puts him a fair few pounds well in here.

    1 Point EW 28/1 5 places Lads 25/1 elsewhere

    Jockey should get a medal there. Bullied him into 4th


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,131 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Well Aidan , confidence must be high still after getting decent ground , I’m actually nervous even tho I’ve only peanuts on.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    akelly02 wrote: »
    Well Aidan , confidence must be high still after getting decent ground , I’m actually nervous even tho I’ve only peanuts on.

    Almost no one outside here seems to be backing him . Not that that matters . Delighted with ground . Big thing is to avoid falling the first half dozen fences when it’s mental.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,131 ✭✭✭akelly02


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Almost no one outside here seems to be backing him . Not that that matters . Delighted with ground . Big thing is to avoid falling the first half dozen fences when it’s mental.



    Well best of luck , de Bromhead with a winner is no bad sign either .


  • Registered Users Posts: 298 ✭✭handsfree2


    akelly02 wrote: »
    Well best of luck , de Bromhead with a winner is no bad sign either .

    And a good second place yesterday with sub lieutenant yesterday.

    I went all in on Valseur too.


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  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,687 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    handsfree2 wrote: »
    And a good second place yesterday with sub lieutenant yesterday.

    I went all in on Valseur too.

    Valseur, monbeg and minella jury duty and blow by blow here


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Andrew00


    Valseur Lido and Noble endeavor for me


  • Registered Users Posts: 411 ✭✭Blud


    What's an acceptable waiting period before we can all give Aidan abuse?


  • Registered Users Posts: 304 ✭✭hudhastings


    shut up Blud if your not in you cannot win.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,908 ✭✭✭Cherry_Cola


    Blud wrote: »
    What's an acceptable waiting period before we can all give Aidan abuse?


    At least allow his 6.20 selection to come in before saying anything :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 411 ✭✭Blud


    shut up Blud if your not in you cannot win.

    Humour bypass!


  • Registered Users Posts: 230 ✭✭WicklowBrave


    R u mad blud


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,131 ✭✭✭akelly02


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Aintree 6:20
    All Set to go
    ran well in this last year of a higher mark. He has actually won 3 races since (2 of those chases), and is still2 lbs lower. He will be better suited by the reasonably ground today and 66/1 seems very big.
    1 Point EW 66/1 5 places lads/vc/sky



    Are lads definitely 5 places?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,225 ✭✭✭charolais0153


    aidankkk wrote: »
    I’ve ya haven’t used yer bet365 offer you could get €65 ew at 90/1 with 10 places. Don’t think I can setup a new account for my wife and get that offer thought ;-).

    I only had 45/1 Thanks aidan:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 737 ✭✭✭Whiplash85


    Did people get refunded from B365 yet?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    He gave us a decent run for our money for a 100/1 shot . Got round but just didn’t stay the last 2 fences again .

    Hunter next year over those fences anyone ..


  • Registered Users Posts: 127 ✭✭phantasmagoria


    Whiplash85 wrote: »
    Did people get refunded from B365 yet?

    They aimed to refund within 2 hours of bet placement. It was a lot quicker for some bets.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Shemale


    Whiplash85 wrote: »
    Did people get refunded from B365 yet?

    If you placed the bet(s) at noon or later on Saturday you missed the offer.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Scottish National

    Sizing Codelco ran well in this last year up to a few poor jumps and i’m pretty sure hell run well again here at a huge price. He’s lightly races and is likely been prepped for this race.

    1 Point EW 6 places 66/1 VC/Hills


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    2:10 Newbury

    So Perfect was in my eyes one of the best 2 yo fillies last year. AOB's are forward this year. 9/2 looks decent. She could be in a different league. My gut is the money could well come here.

    2 Points win 9/2


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Newbury 3:15

    South Seas, needs us to forgive him, his run in the Lincoln but he is a top class handicapper on his day and 40/1 is worth the risk to see if he runs better today.

    1 Point EW 40/1 6 places paddy/Sky/fred/tote


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Fair 2:50
    Buildmeupbuttercup is certainly overpriced here. She traveled as well as anything at cheltenham but probably didn't like the hill and soft ground. I wouldn't be surprised if she was right in the firing line here at a huge price
    2 Points EW 66/1 4 places lads/betf/pad

    @Ladbrokes actually boosted my Buildmeupbuttercup bet to 80/1. So even better value if anyone has a boost available.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    3:50 Fairyhouse
    Petit Mouchoir was progressing nicely until not staying over 3miles at cheltenham. He was my horse to follow this year and i'd expect him to win here, over this trip and ground. 7/1 is at least twice his real price.
    3 Points win 7/1 Generally


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Grand National

    Apologies in advance for one more over the cliff. Valseur Lido has a lower mark and a 7lbs claimer on, he should have a decent chance if he got over Aintree well enough. He ran well but just didnt stay the extreme trip again.

    1 Point EW 50/1 6 places paddy/365


    Total Recall sticks out for me here. He looks of a workable mark, has run really well in his 2 runs this year over shorter trips and just cant be far away here after a light season.

    2 Points win 23 Betfair/Betdaq


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  • Registered Users Posts: 190 ✭✭IanOBo


    Jezki tomorrow?


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