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10th Annual White Christmas Thread!
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Paddy Power 4/1 for Dublin, I might have a little bet I think
Just looked at PP website. Criteria seems to just be that it snows on Christmas day (no mention of amount). Assume it would be for the Met station at Dublin airport to verify.
How many days in winter (1/12 to 28/2) would meet that criteria typically though? I reckon about 3 or 4 at best in an average winter (even allowing for that snow to stick / fall overnight and be washed away before the morning by rain, etc). Thus 4-1 seems fairly ungenerous to me accordingly! That said I'm aware of this stat that it has apparently snowed on average 1 Christmas day out of 7 at Dublin airport since records began. Hard to rationalise that isn't it?0 -
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I remember that Christmas Day snowfall in 2004(?) - It was like the perfect kind of snowfall it fell on Christmas eve, I remember looking out the window and seeing a fox walking passed the backdoor
Then a lovely covering for a Christmas morning walk and it faded into the evening. Just the right amount.
2009 we had lots of lovely soft snow here too. 2010 was snowy but it had compacted to slippy ice and that made two years in a row with no electric or running water on Christmas day. So I was getting over the noveltly value
Yep, I'd enjoy a return of 2004's snow just for the magic.0 -
In 3 days, FI Charts will take us up to Christmas day so we can get a much better idea how the big day itself will pan out.
The CFS is currently showing mild south-westerlies over Ireland for Christmas Day with a big area of low pressure moving in from the Atlantic. This will of course change as this is 3 weeks out.
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GFS FI now takes us to Christmas eve. Looking very mild with south-westerlies taken over from 21 December. Most of Europe looks very mild by the 24th with air coming up from the Canary Islands over the UK and Ireland. 13 or 14C across Ireland could easily be reached if this was to verify. If there were a few sunny breaks somewhere east of the Wicklow Mountains could get to 15C.
This is still over 2 weeks away so may be very different by the time we get to Christmas.0 -
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GFS FI now takes us to Christmas eve. Looking very mild with south-westerlies taken over from 21 December. Most of Europe looks very mild by the 24th with air coming up from the Canary Islands over the UK and Ireland. 13 or 14C across Ireland could easily be reached if this was to verify. If there were a few sunny breaks somewhere east of the Wicklow Mountains could get to 15C.
This is still over 2 weeks away so may be very different by the time we get to Christmas.
Really hope so Gonzo. Do not want a repeat of Christmas 2011 & 2015 when temperatures hit 13/14 degrees on Christmas Day. When will the weather gods give us a cold crisp Christmas??0 -
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GFS FI now takes us to Christmas eve. Looking very mild with south-westerlies taken over from 21 December. Most of Europe looks very mild by the 24th with air coming up from the Canary Islands over the UK and Ireland. 13 or 14C across Ireland could easily be reached if this was to verify. If there were a few sunny breaks somewhere east of the Wicklow Mountains could get to 15C.
This is still over 2 weeks away so may be very different by the time we get to Christmas.
Of course nothing set in stone but it is incredible how often this has happened over the last 10 years. Appears almost non random that this plume of warm air arrives from Iberia this time most years.0 -
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Christmas Day has now made it into FI so we can get a better idea what the day has in store for us.
Looks very mild or even warm, if this chart was to verify, it could bring some of the warmest conditions we've had since October. Winds are coming up from Morocco/Canary Islands and the +8C uppers over the country
An area of high pressure is closeby over the UK, which could produce a frosty night if skies were clear enough, but temperatures could shoot up into the low to mid teens in many places during the day.0 -
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It's 16 days away, the models are useless after 5 days, let alone 3x that distance away. We won't have any idea what the weather is going to be like for another 10 days at least.
right now the GFS operational which I posted above is almost on it's own in terms of mild. Many of the other runs are considerably cooler and a few are bordering on wintry.
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