Racing Uncertainties

A few for tomorrow.

12.10 Lingfield Rivas Rob Roy 11/2

Likes to front-run. Races over a mile. Has only ever won at 7fs. Could be vulnerable if trying to make all. So, a WIN bet on the topweight here.


7.30 Wolverhampton Lottie Marie 14/1

3yr old filly worth a bet on first run for new trainer Joseph Tuite. Wasn't good enough for Cheveley Park. Might figure here in a Class 5. Each way.

Also, in same race Shining Aitch @ 4/1. Small win bet. Only 7 runs, and has winning form over a mile.

A third selection here, and with C & D form is Chinese Whisperer @ 12/1 for Alan King. Only eight runs; first time cheekpieces, and a decent draw in stall 6. Each way.


1.05 Cheltenham Fingerontheswitch 12/1

Seems to be a smooth travelling conveyance. Can go close here in a race for non-professional jockeys. Each way.


2.15 Cheltenham Brelan D'as 18s

My each way dart here to continue the good runs of Paul Nicholls & JP McManus.

Happy punting

pottokblue wrote: »

Best of luck with thread Leffesem hope you get your firstwinners tomorrow with Brelandas and Lottiemarie...

Thanks pottokblue

Hope they win myself.. And them 3 wks or so to go quick so ya can get to blue, red, or green :pac:

2 selections yesterday (in two different races). Both e/w, and both out of the money. Zafaranah was drawn wide and was ridden early to no avail, as she ran wide the whole way and weakened to finish 6th.

Carp Kid 'ran like an an 18/1 shot' and finished 11th.

I might try and do a update of P & L.

To keep it simple I will say win bet is 1 pt and an each way bet is 2 pts.

The intention is to use the biggest price (price at time of post, or SP - whichever is higher) for them P & L figures.

Am not faced with that dilemma so far; unfortunately, as both lost.

Running Total, Not Including 'Open Bets' is - 4pts

3.40 Lingfield Tinto 20/1

2nd in this last year. A hold up performer that has ran over C & D twice since, with no joy. On both occasions he finished 6th from 7 runners; and I am putting that down to small fields, and no luck in running.

Hasn't done much since then, but at the price, and back to where he ran well last year makes him a hopeful (can't be too confident, as he's out of form, and in a quality race) each way selection.

Crowley is top jock at Lingfield, and resumes the partnership.

3.33 Wetherby Silver Tassie 11/2

A 12 year old, but still got ability. Price seems generous based on his last run here. He usually runs a good race at Wetherby on soft. Shouldn't be far away anyway. Win bet here.

6.30 Wol Banoffee 66/1

Can give David Evans' 2yr old filly a chance based on last run. Tom Queally on board again for the filly's sixth outing. Maybe he's found the 'key' to her from taking the ride last time. Each way here as usual.

5.00 Wol.

Sands Chorus 15/2 Small win.

Kingson 7/1 Small Each Way.

Sunday 15th Nov - My selections have been collated (most of them anyway), and I hope to put them up later..

I may include my opinion/s going ahead re the chances of these. Sometimes I will just say win or each way.

P & L is judged on level stakes, as one likes to try to see where he's at ongoing; as a judge of form, along with price.

I mentioned in post 7 on here, that regardless of how tentative or bullish my opinion is; for the sake of P & L a Win is 1pt and Each Way is 2pts.

If folk can't understand this, then I can't be bothered explaining to them further. No one has to pay any heed to this thread.

I haven't changed my methodology of picking since I started this thread - same use of form/price/logic/hunches/nice horsie names etc.. And I advise no one to pin their hopes on me making a profit.

What I try to do here is to pick shots at each way prices, and I usually back over 70 % of them Each Way.

Not looking good for P & L thus far, and I will throw those figures up later.

Sunday's Picks.

BUT FIRST.

All at 1pt for a win recommendation and 2pts for each way recommendations. Any 'exceptions' will be noted.

Any 'opinions' I give: small win, a little each way, decent e/w bet etc is just for 'filler' , and not necessarily how confident I feel. Most of my bets lose, so I'm reluctant to forward too many 'confident' selections for various reasons.

This Thread is for me to see how well I can do, and for anybody who wants a few picks to back 'blind' with a Euro win or a few Cents each way for an interest.

Now, onto the selections I have picked quite a few for tomorrow - both win and each way, and haven't the time, alas, to give reasons for the majority of them.

PUNCHESTOWN
12.05 Fairly Legal 12/1 e/w
2.10 Couer Sublime 16/1 e/w
3.25 Dare To Flare 11/1 e/w

FONTWELL
1.00 Republican 2/1 win
1.30 Neff 7/2 win
2.05 Gars Bar Dine 9/2 win
3.15 Gangster 10/1 e/w
3.50 Haveacuppa 9/4 win / Queen Among Kings 28/1 e/w


CHELTENHAM
1.15 Wolf Of Windlesham 9/1 e/w
1.50 Captain Drake 9/2 win / West Approach 7/2 win
2.25 Rouge Vif 3/1 win . Soft ground probably not to his liking, but a C & D winner lto.
#3.00 Proschema 6/1 win. This one is young and progressive, and I likey, so will for thread purposes count as 2 pts win.
3.35 Fidelio Vallis 4/1 win


SOUTHWELL
11.40 Celtic Classic 6/1 e/w / Grimsthorpe Castle 3/1 e/w / Lightning Bug 66/1 e/w (pure 'hunch' this one)
1.10 Alba Del Sole 14/1 e/w
2.20 Zylan 8/1 e/w
2.55 Nellie French 28/1 e/w
3.30 Darwina 28/1 e/w

Profit be a nice bonus :pac:

Gluck to anyone following

Deleted User wrote: »

6.30 Wol Banoffee 66/1

Can give David Evans' 2yr old filly a chance based on last run. Tom Queally on board again for the filly's sixth outing. Maybe he's found the 'key' to her from taking the ride last time. Each way here as usual.

The main one I wanted to quote was this one - It only finished 8th

I couldn't believe when I tuned in to the race a couple of minutes before the off and saw she was 8/1 . I thought - yep an Evans' plunge. Happy days :pac: Also thought "did I back it at 66/1?"

I figured I was mistaken. I knew I had it backed at a big price - maybe 25s or something, and I checked, and yes indeed I did.

But it's a sob story Horse was travelling well, and looking to get to the front on the rail, but run was checked, and plenty more trouble after Who knows what she might have 'found' at the end had she got a clear passage? Most likely would have at least placed, and maybe; well maybe

I don't know if posters or casual observers want to see that :pac:

Poor day today.

Monday

6.30 Kempton Bird For Life 10/1

This Mare can be competitive here, and with her usual style of running can be close enough at the end coming from off the pace. A solid each way chance.

If Plumpton gets the go ahead

3.20 Tzar De L'elfe 11/2 win