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08-02-2019, 19:23   #31
pauldry
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Nearly sure 13c was recorded at a number of stations a couple of days ago.
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08-02-2019, 20:13   #32
M.T. Cranium
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Okay, I checked that and found 12.9 on 5th at Shannon and Finner. Have edited the previous post.
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13-02-2019, 17:06   #33
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New MAX is 14.0 from 12th at Finner.

Top seven forecast temps for Shannon tomorrow look to be in good shape for bonus points:

12.3 __ 200motels

12.0 __ john mac and Rameire

11.1 __ MTC

11.0 __ Pauldry

10.8 __ dacogawa

10.5 __ Tazio

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 13-02-2019 at 17:12.
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14-02-2019, 09:40   #34
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Shannon 11.9 yesterday for taster.
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15-02-2019, 08:31   #35
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The high at Shannon is being reported as 11.9 C for our bonus question. No new MAX (holding at 14.0 C).

Scoring for the bonus will be in the range of 3 to 10, I decided that as nobody went all that low, perhaps the full range would be unfair, so it will be groups of three, as follows:

10 __ John mac, Rameire (each +0.1) and 200motels (+0.4)

09 __ MTC (-0.8), Pauldry (-0.9), dacogawa (-1.1)

08 __ Tazio (-1.4), Kindred Spirit and Dasa29 (each -1.9).

07 __ MrSkinner (-2.0), sunflower3 and tae laidir (each -2.1) also Con and NormaL

06 __ JPmarn (-2.4), Adam240610 and Bsal (each -2.9)

05 __ Joe Public (-3.2), mickger844posts (-3.6), Artane2002 and Rikand (each -3.9)

04 __ waterways (-4.7), JCXBXC (-5.7), sryanbruen (-5.8)

03 __ sdanseo (-6.0), DOCARCH (-7.1)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A report on week two will appear later during my late morning return to these haunts.

Well done to the three who were very close on the mild high temperature.
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15-02-2019, 15:14   #36
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Supposedly 16.5c at Phoenix Park today. Information courtesy of Met Eireann.

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/statu...23103444541441
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15-02-2019, 19:06   #37
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Here's a report on week two of February ...

IMT now on 5.8 (probably 6.1 after today). The second week was mild, average 7.4 was 2.1 above normal.

PRC is at 99% of normal after a somewhat dry week (most of the rainfall was on the 8th). The week came in at 77%.

SUN is now at 144% of normal. Dublin and Casement kept up the pace from week one, other locations dropped back to near or below normal, the blend of that was 111% for the week (666/600).

MAX has apparently gone on a rampage at Phoenix Park today so has changed to 16.5, MIN remains --5.1. This will mean scoring from minimum progression as our highest forecast (Rameire) was only 15.1. Your score will be 19/20 minus the number of forecasts higher than yours, and if that works out to 3/20 or lower, it could be a point or two higher again. Lowest forecast will receive 1/20.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 15-02-2019 at 19:11.
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22-02-2019, 23:59   #38
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I almost forgot to update for three weeks of Junuary ... note spelling on that, it's not me who got the wrong month, it's Ma Nature ...

As the monthly data have not been updated since 19th, I calculated the IMT from this week's average of 9.1 which is 3.5 above normal ... that makes the IMT 6.9 to date. It is going to end up at some ridiculous number far in excess of our forecast range, maybe another 8 to match Maycember.

MAX remains 16.5 and any further rises will be (on your tax bill) subject to hoots of derision. MIN will very likely stay on -5.1.

PRC for the third week was 103% of normal, and that leaves the month almost exactly normal (so something is normal anyway).

SUN is now 127% of normal with this past week slightly below at 93% (560/600) despite best efforts of Casement and Dublin.

These precip and sun values won't change that much, PRC likely to drop a bit to around 90% for a finish, and SUN could hold or even gain a bit back.

Will be posting a March contest thread soon, I always have to hustle in this very short little month of Junuary.
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26-02-2019, 09:53   #39
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New max for Apruary - Mt Dillon 17.3.
(Hoot of derision)!
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26-02-2019, 15:22   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tae laidir View Post
New max for Apruary - Mt Dillon 17.3.
(Hoot of derision)!
I hope next month wouldn’t be Marchuary.
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27-02-2019, 00:30   #41
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27-02-2019, 01:46   #42
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You must be getting some spring blooming activity with these temperatures? We sure aren't. It was -15 C at my house this morning and may be -20 tomorrow morning. This is not a part of Canada where those temperatures are common like most parts either. We can have entire winters here without going below -5.
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28-02-2019, 11:40   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
You must be getting some spring blooming activity with these temperatures? We sure aren't. It was -15 C at my house this morning and may be -20 tomorrow morning. This is not a part of Canada where those temperatures are common like most parts either. We can have entire winters here without going below -5.
Some photos from Dec/Jan

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/envi...nter-1.3757291


Definitely Baltic at Vancover
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01-03-2019, 18:26   #44
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Report on week four and the final values for February, subject to confirmation on 4th from Monthly Summary.

IMT finished on 7.5, the fourth week was 9.4 (+3.4 relative to normal).

MAX was 17.3 and MIN --5.1

PRC finished the month at 83% with the final week only 15% of normal. West coast had slightly above normal rainfall for the month, percentages dropped further east, Casement was below half.

SUN finished around 125% with the final week managing 113% (676/600).

Will post some provisional scoring as much of that will be off the mercy rule anyway.

Good work if you guessed any of the above.
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01-03-2019, 19:16   #45
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Provisional scoring for February 2019

* IMT, MAX and MIN boosted with minimum progression rule. The highest raw score for the month (no boost) would have been 44.


FORECASTER ___________ IMT_ MAX _MIN _PRC _SUN _ Bonus __ TOTAL



Rameire ________________ 17*_ 18*_ 18*_ 08 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 77

DOCARCH _______________17*_ 16*_ 13*_ 11 _ 08 ___ 03 _____ 68

200motels ______________ 20*_ 11*_ 13*_ 09 _ 05 ___ 10 _____ 68

Tae laidir _______________ 23*_ 12*_ 16*_ 06 _ 03 ___ 07 _____ 67

Sunflower3 ______________18*_ 01*_ 20*_ 14 _ 07 ___ 07 _____ 67

Adam240610 ____________ 23*_ 11*_ 13*_ 08 _ 04 ___ 06 _____ 65

Pauldry _________________21*_ 10*_ 08*_ 09 _ 05 ___ 09 _____ 62

Kindred Spirit ____________14*_ 10*_ 17*_ 06 _ 07 ___ 08 _____ 62

john mac ____ (-1) _______ 17*_ 04*_ 15*_ 11 _ 05 ___ 10 _62-1=61

Artane2002 _____________ 20*_ 15*_ 11*_ 06 _ 03 ___ 05 _____ 60


NormaL ________________ 14*_ 17*_ 08*_ 09 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 60


Rikand _________________ 10*_ 14*_ 08*_ 13 _ 09 ___ 05 _____ 59

Bsal ___________________ 13*_ 04*_ 17*_ 14 _ 04 ___ 06 _____ 58



Con Sensus _____________ 13*_ 10*_ 14*_ 08 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 57


M.T. Cranium ____________13*_ 14*_ 01*_ 08 _ 09 ___ 09 _____ 54

JCXBXC ________________ 10*_ 08*_ 19*_ 08 _ 04 ___ 04 _____ 53

MrSkinner _______________04*_ 08*_ 18*_ 10 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 52

Dacogawa _______________13*_ 12*_ 13*_ 01 _ 01 ___ 09 _____ 49

mickger844posts __(-3) ___ 10*_ 05*_ 14*_ 13 _ 03 ___ 05 _ 50-3=47

Dasa29 _________________10*_ 01*_ 18*_ 04 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 46

Tazio __________________ 03*_ 00*_ 17*_ 14 _ 02 ___ 08 _____ 44

Jpmarn _________________10*_ 08*_ 11*_ 02 _ 06 ___ 06 _____ 43

sryanbruen ______________01*_ 17*_ 09*_ 08 _ 03 ___ 04 _____ 42

sdanseo ________________ 10*_ 00*_ 00*_ 15 _ 08 ___ 03 _____ 36

Joe Public _______________01*_ 04*_ 02*_ 06 _ 06 ___ 05 _____ 24

waterways ______________ 03*_ 06*_ 01*_ 04 _ 01 ___ 04 _____ 19

_____________________________________________________________

(actual forecasts)

FORECASTER ___________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 14th Shannon


Tae laidir _______________ 6.0 _ 14.2 _ -5.8 _ 110 _ 088 ____ 9.8

Adam240610 ____________ 6.0 _ 14.1 _ -6.4 _ 105 _ 093 ____ 9.0

Pauldry _________________5.9 _ 14.0 _ -7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 11.0

Artane2002 _____________ 5.8 _ 14.7 _ -6.5 _ 110 _ 090 ____ 8.0

200motels ______________ 5.8 _ 14.1 _ -6.4 _ 101 _ 102 ___ 12.3

Sunflower3 ______________5.5 _ 13.0 _ -5.2 _ 085 _ 110 ____ 9.8

Rameire ________________ 5.4 _ 15.1 _ -5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ___ 12.0

DOCARCH _______________5.4 _ 14.8 _ -6.4 _ 095 _ 115 ____ 4.8

john mac ____ (-1) _______ 5.4 _ 13.5 _ -6.0 _ 095 _ 100 ___ 12.0

Kindred Spirit ____________5.3 _ 14.0 _ -4.5 _ 110 _ 110 ___ 10.0


NormaL ________________ 5.3 _ 15.0 _ -7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 9.8


M.T. Cranium ____________ 5.2 _ 14.5 _ -7.4 _ 105 _ 120 ___ 11.1

Dacogawa _______________5.2 _ 14.4 _ -6.4 _ 125 _ 082 ___ 10.8


Con Sensus _____________ 5.2 _ 14.0 _ -6.2 _ 103 _ 100 ____ 9.7


Bsal ___________________ 5.2 _ 13.5 _ -4.5 _ 085 _ 095 ____ 9.0

Rikand _________________ 5.0 _ 14.5 _ -7.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 8.0

JCXBXC ________________ 5.0 _ 13.9 _ -4.9 _ 105 _ 095 ____ 6.2

Jpmarn _________________5.0 _ 13.9 _ -6.5 _ 122 _ 105 ____ 9.5

mickger844posts __(-3) ___ 5.0 _ 13.7 _ -6.1 _ 090 _ 090 ____ 8.3

Dasa29 _________________5.0 _ 13.0 _ -5.5 _ 120 _ 100 ___ 10.0

sdanseo ________________ 5.0 _ 12.9 _ -8.4 _ 082 _ 114 ____ 5.9

MrSkinner ______________ 4.9 _ 13.9 _ -5.9 _ 099 _ 099 ____ 9.9

waterways ______________ 4.8 _ 13.8 _ -7.8 _ 115 _ 079 ____ 7.2

Tazio __________________ 4.8 _ 11.5 _ -5.5 _ 080 _ 085 ___ 10.5

sryanbruen ______________4.6 _ 14.9 _ -6.8 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 6.1

Joe Public _______________4.6 _ 13.5 _ -7.4 _ 110 _ 103 ____ 8.7
_____________________________________________________________
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