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18-08-2020, 19:10   #61
M.T. Cranium
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You have to admit, I chose a good bonus question this month.
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18-08-2020, 19:26   #62
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You have to admit, I chose a good bonus question this month.

Brilliant, I was watching Moore Park all yesterday thinking it would get into top three but fell at last hurdle not enough rain in evening time.
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18-08-2020, 22:31   #63
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With the models going into max chaos mode, any location stands a chance and the highest forecasts now looking good. Let's set this up from high to low forecast for further tracking:

BLIZZARD7 ____________ 58.0 (Dunsany 18th)

Rikand ________________50.0 (Mountdillon 24th)

Eon1208 ______________ 46.0 (Valentia 29th)

Joe Public _____________ 43.0 (Valentia 4th)

waterways ____________ 43.0 (Athenry 15th)

dacogawa _____________42.0 (Roches' Point 14th)

johnmac ______________ 42.0 (Newport 28th)

appledrop _____________ 41.0 (Newport 27th)

Pauldry _______________ 40.0 (Newport 31st)

NormaL _______________40.0 (climatology, date random)


__ actual to date _______ 37.0 (Malin Head 5th)


MrSkinner ____________ 37.0 (Valentia 4th)

Gonzo _______________ 37.0 (Dunsany 26th)

mickger844posts ______ 36.0 (Johnstown Castle 26th)

(main interest below this would be location and date) ...

Artane2002 ___________35.0 (Newport 21st)

M.T. Cranium _________ 35.0 (Dunsany 28th)

MrStonewall __________ 33.0 (Shannon 4th)

JPmarn ______________ 32.5 (Valentia 16th)

sryanbruen ___________32.0 (Newport 25th)

sunflower3 ___________ 31.0 (Newport 8th)

Kindred Spirit _________30.0 (Valentia 17th)

Adam240610 _________ 29.0 (Valentia 27th)

dasa29 ______________ 25.0 (Malin Head 18th)

DOCARCH ____________23.6 (Valentia 15th)

Tae laidir _____________23.0 (Mace Head 5th)

Bsal _________________22.0 (Gurteen 13th)

Western Storm ________22.0 (Malin Head 22nd)

200motels ___________ 20.0 (Dublin 22nd)
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18-08-2020, 22:32   #64
pauldry
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Yes even the top 3 mightnt be in the top 3 by Saturday
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19-08-2020, 18:13   #65
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Storm Ellen will have her say but rainfalls will be divided between 19th and 20th in many cases. The 24h totals might reach 50 mm (for example Moorepark, Athenry, Gurteen) but could see them about equally split between the days.
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20-08-2020, 08:45   #66
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Change to rainfall max:


1. Malin Head 37mm 4th Aug
2. Sherkin 35.6mm 13th Aug
3. Valentina 32.6mm 15th Aug

So after last night's rain slight change. Valentina remains 3rd but its at value of 34.4mm on 19th August.


Some amount of rainfall in Cork overall but as MT says spilt between the days.
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22-08-2020, 15:36   #67
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After three weeks ...

IMT on 16.4 with the third week average 16.9, 1.8 above normal.

MAX and MIN remain 25.2 and some value we won't need to remember by the looks of charts.

PRC now up to 142% with the third week very wet (262% of normal).

SUN has slumped to 91% with the fourth week 71.5% of normal (429/600).

The max rain bonus tracking can be seen in the previous post in terms of the top three amounts so far.
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24-08-2020, 23:55   #68
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Valentia doing her best to win the 24th for me
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25-08-2020, 04:51   #69
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Valentia doing her best to win the 24th for me
Unbelievable amount of rain falling in Valentina since early yesterday evening. 12mm at 11pm + 15mm in another.



Unfortunately for you though a bit like last storm looks like high overall total is spilt between 2 days.
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25-08-2020, 07:44   #70
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Newport may surprise as a lot of rain seems to be concentrated around the northwest portions of the low's central structure. But locations further east will at least get all of their Francis rainfall on one day (today), whether it manages to push into the top three remains to be seen.
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25-08-2020, 08:37   #71
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Well what a day all change now at top!


1. Valentia 52mm 24th

2.Roches Point 41.5mm 24th
3. Malin Head 37mm 4th



Cork Airport also nearly made it into top 3.


Well done Rikand you got the date + pretty much the amount as well spot on!
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25-08-2020, 08:51   #72
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Looks like they included midnight to 0100h in the total, so their "day" must be 00z to 00z. (with the summer time GMT or UTC or z runs an hour behind civil time). Otherwise no way do the hourlies add up to those amounts.

Glad it wasn't split up as badly as it might have been. Would still keep an eye on Mayo as there may be persistent rain there.
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25-08-2020, 11:14   #73
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21mm so far in Newport and down for the day
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25-08-2020, 13:57   #74
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MT, do ye have the same or similar expression 'down for the day'?
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25-08-2020, 14:12   #75
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Looks like they included midnight to 0100h in the total, so their "day" must be 00z to 00z. (with the summer time GMT or UTC or z runs an hour behind civil time). Otherwise no way do the hourlies add up to those amounts.

Glad it wasn't split up as badly as it might have been. Would still keep an eye on Mayo as there may be persistent rain there.
Thats definitely what they did as I was watching Valentina + only in mid 30mm by 11pm so obviously they counted 15mm at 00+ in 24th.
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