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30-09-2019, 08:07   #46
M.T. Cranium
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Seems that the overnight low was no colder than 4 C on hourlies at least, so the 2.0 is probably set now.
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30-09-2019, 18:57   #47
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Provisional scoring for September 2019


FORECASTER ____________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN___gust (kts) ____ TOTAL

Estimated values _________ 13.3_22.1_+2.0_120_110____50


Artane2002 _____________ 25 _ 13 _ 18*_ 09*_ 07 ____ 08 _______ 80

Jpmarn _________________23 _ 03 _ 19*_ 13*_ 10 ____ 07 _______ 75

Kindred Spirit ____________24 _ 15 _ 10*_ 02*_ 10 ____ 09 _______ 70

john mac ___ (-2) ________ 24 _ 00 _ 20*_ 10*_ 08 ____ 10 __ 72-2=70

Sunflower3 ______________ 25 _ 16 _ 03*_ 08*_ 07 ____ 10 _______ 69

mickger844posts _________ 22 _ 12 _ 11*_ 06*_ 09 ____ 08 _______ 68

sryanbruen ______________ 22 _ 10 _ 14*_ 06*_ 09 ____ 06 _______ 67

Adam240610 __ (-2) _______23 _ 20 _ 03*_ 03*_ 10 ____ 10 __ 69-2=67

Blizzard7 ________________ 20 _ 19 _ 02*_ 15*_ 08 ____ 03 _______ 67

Bsal ____________________ 18 _ 10 _ 08*_ 13*_ 07 ____ 10 _______ 66


____ Con Sensus __________24 _ 08 _ 09*_ 08*_ 08 ____ 08 _______ 65


MrSkinner _______________ 19 _ 05 _ 14*_ 14*_ 05 ____ 07 _______ 64

Dasa29 __________________22 _ 06 _ 06*_ 13*_ 09 ____ 07 _______ 63

Tae laidir ________________ 23 _ 17 _ 02*_ 04*_ 10 ____ 07 _______ 63

Rameire _________________22 _ 09 _ 07*_ 12*_ 06 ____ 04 _______ 60

200motels _______________ 22 _ 01 _ 16*_ 06*_ 06 ____ 09 _______ 60

DOCARCH _______________ 24 _ 00 _ 08*_ 07*_ 10 ____ 10 _______ 59

Pauldry __________________23 _ 01 _ 16*_ 06*_ 08 ____ 05 _______ 59

JCX BXC ____ (-2) ________ 18 _ 00 _ 14*_ 11*_ 07 ____ 10 __ 60-2= 58

Joe public ________________25 _ 00 _ 18*_ 05*_ 08 ____ 02 _______ 58


____ NormaL _____________24 _ 00 _ 06*_ 09*_ 08 ____ 06 _______ 53


Rikand __________________ 23 _ 01 _ 10*_ 06*_ 08 ____ 01 _______ 49

waterways __ (-1) _________22 _ 00 _ 01*_ 09*_ 08 ____ 05 __ 45-1= 44

M.T. Cranium _____________17 _ 00 _ 06*_ 03*_ 10 ____ 03 _______ 39

___________________________________________________________

* Minimum progression used for MIN scoring as half the field had zero on raw scores. No reductions as highest raw score was 16/20.
__ MAX scores left raw as only one-third were zero and the top end was fully achieved.

*With the adjustment of PRC, scores there require a boost also, highest forecast 130%, actual 141% so there was no reduction in the boost available, and scoring therefore has not changed much from before except for BLIZZARD7 who got a larger increase as a result.

These scores will be adjusted on the 1st and 2nd as end of month data are confirmed.


=============================================

(Forecasts)

FORECASTER ____________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (knots)

M.T. Cranium ____________ 14.0 _ 25.7 _ -1.0 _ 080 _ 110 ____ 63

JCX BXC ____ (-2) ________13.9 _ 24.9 _ +0.6 _ 105 _ 095 ____ 48

waterways __ (-1) ________ 13.5 _ 25.9 _ -2.0 _ 098 _ 099 ____ 59

Dasa29 _________________13.5 _ 23.5 _ -1.0 _ 115 _ 105 ____ 45

mickger844posts _________ 13.5 _ 22.9 _ +0.2 _ 091 _ 105 ____ 46

Rameire ________________ 13.5 _ 21.0 _ -0.9 _ 112 _ 092 ____ 62

Tae laidir _______________ 13.4 _ 21.8 _ -1.5 _ 085 _ 108 ____ 44

DOCARCH _______________13.3 _ 24.3 _ -0.4 _ 094 _ 112 ____ 48

john mac ___ (-2) ________ 13.3 _ 24.1 _ +1.6 _ 102 _ 099 ____ 51

Kindred Spirit ____________13.3 _ 22.6 __ 0.0 _ 080 _ 110 ____ 53


____ Con Sensus _________13.3 _ 23.3 _ -0.1 _ 095 _ 100 ____ 54


Joe public _______________13.2 _ 24.5 _ +1.1 _ 088 _ 120 ____ 68

Artane2002 _____________ 13.2 _ 22.8 _ +1.1 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 54

Sunflower3 ______________13.2 _ 22.5 _ -1.2 _ 095 _ 095 ____ 48

____ NormaL ____________13.1 _ 25.5 _ -1.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 57

Pauldry ________________ 13.0 _ 24.0 _ +1.0 _ 090 _ 110 ____ 60

Rikand _________________13.0 _ 24.0 __ 0.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 70

Jpmarn ________________ 13.0 _ 23.8 _ +1.2 _ 115 _ 110 ____ 55

Adam240610 __ (-2) _____ 13.0 _ 22.1 _ -1.1 _ 080 _ 110 ____ 48

200motels ______________12.9 _ 24.0 _ +1.0 _ 089 _ 090 ____ 53

sryanbruen _____________ 12.9 _ 23.1 _ +0.6 _ 090 _ 105 ____ 58

Blizzard7 _______________ 12.7 _ 22.0 _ -1.6 _ 130 _ 100 ____ 63

MrSkinner ______________ 12.6 _ 23.6 _ +0.6 _ 116 _ 086 ____ 56

Bsal ___________________ 12.5 _ 21.1 _ -0.8 _ 115 _ 095 ____ 52


=====================

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 02-10-2019 at 11:53. Reason: adjusting IMT and PRC scoring
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01-10-2019, 18:08   #48
M.T. Cranium
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Final numbers are in for

IMT (13.2)

PRC (141)

and my SUN estimate is going to stand until I can check the MS.

Those will require some editing of the provisional scoring table, you'll see when that is finished by a note in the edit box.

Rainfall quite heavy on 30th at several locations, bumping up the averages considerably. Despite it all, Cork managed a below normal finish, the other ten were scattered with Ballyhaise the wettest relative to normal at 207%.
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02-10-2019, 11:25   #49
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All provisional scoring is now confirmed, the SUN averaged 4.5 hours a day while normal for the grid is 4.1, so that's very close to our estimate of 110%. MAX, MIN, top gust etc, all same in MS as we had in our table.

Congrats to Artane2002 for top score in a rather challenging month (well I thought so anyway). JPmarn had a solid second place finish, John mac and Kindred Spirit were tied third ahead of a number of others who managed to beat the omnipresent Con Sensus.

So it's on to the annual scoring update. That should appear fairly soon.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 02-10-2019 at 11:31.
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02-10-2019, 12:14   #50
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Updated annual scoring for 2019 (January to September)

(order is now best 7/9, last month's rank for 6/8 in brackets)
__ (rank for total score shown in brackets after total score.)


_(rank) _ best 7/9 _ FORECASTER ______ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _ Apr _ May _ Jun _ Jul _ Aug _ Sep _ 2019 TOTAL


_ 01 (01) __ 520 __ Tae laidir _________ 70 __ 67 __ 83 __ 80 __ 58 __ 64 __ 83 __ 73 __ 63 __ 641 (1)

_ 02 (05) __ 491 __ Artane2002 _______ 46 __ 60 __ 48 __ 52 __ 66 __ 73 __ 91 __ 69 __ 80 __ 585 (3)

_ 03 (02) __ 490 __ mickger844posts ___ 65 __ 47 __ 68 __ 33 __ 65 __ 69 __ 77 __ 78 __ 68 __ 570 (5)

_ 04 (03) __ 489 __ Sunflower3 ________77 __ 67 __ 67 __ 52 __ 60 __ 58 __ 79 __ 70 __ 69 __ 599 (2)

_ 05 (04) __ 475 __ waterways ________ 75 __ 19 __ 63 __ 70 __ 56 __ 84 __ 58 __ 69 __ 43 __ 537 (13)


_(06)(06) __ 468 __ Con Sensus________61 __ 57 __ 72 __ 53 __ 57 __ 67 __ 74 __ 72 __ 65 __ 578 (4)


_ 06 (06) __ 467 __ Bsal ______________47 __ 58 __ 77 __ 45 __ 56 __ 59 __ 77 __ 74 __ 66 __ 559 (7)

_ 07 (07) __ 465 __ sryanbruen ________41 __ 42 __ 56 __ 53 __ 86 __ 70 __ 82 __ 51 __ 67 __ 548 (10)

_t08 (08) __ 461 __ MrSkinner _________70 __ 52 __ 50 __ 64 __ 55 __ 64 __ 75 __ 69 __ 64 __ 563 (6)

_t08 (t09)__ 461 __ Adam240610 ______ 63 __ 65 __ 59 __ 66 __ 59 __ 52 __ 72 __ 69 __ 67 __ 572 (4)

_ 10 (11) __ 460 __ Kindred Spirit ______ 58 __ 62 __ 77 __ 44 __ 49 __ 20 __ 71 __ 73 __ 70 __ 524 (18)

_ 11 (t12)__ 456 __ john mac _________ 49 __ 61 __ 63 __ 67 __ 39 __ 83 __ 62 __ 50 __ 70 __ 544 (12)

_ 12 (t09)__ 453 __ DOCARCH _________63 __ 68 __ 63 __ 48 __ 67 __ 49 __ 76 __ 57 __ 59 __ 550 (8)

_ 13 (18) __ 452 __ Jpmarn ___________69 __ 43 __ 60 __ 62 __ 58 __ 58 __ 50 __ 70 __ 75 __ 545 (11)

_ 14 (t12)__ 445 __ pauldry ___________55 __ 62 __ 60 __ 51 __ 53 __ 56 __ 85 __ 68 __ 59 __ 549 (9)

_ 15 (17) __ 443 __ dasa29 ___________ 48 __ 46 __ 85 __ 45 __ 62 __ 53 __ 65 __ 67 __ 63 __ 534 (15)

_t16 (t15)__ 442 __ 200motels ________ 48 __ 68 __ 62 __ 60 __ 66 __ 49 __ 77 __ 42 __ 60 __ 532 (t16)

_t16 (t15)__ 442 __ Rameire __________ 56 __ 77 __ 64 __ 48 __ 61 __ 48 __ 54 __ 70 __ 60 __ 538 (13)

_ 18 (14) __ 441 __ JCX BXC __________ 65 __ 53 __ 66 __ 38 __ 66 __ 65 __ 66 __ 55 __ 58 __ 532 (t16)

_ 19 (22) __ 424 __ Joe Public _________ 62 __ 24 __ 44 __ 52 __ 60 __ 71 __ 56 __ 65 __ 58 __ 492 (21)

_ 20 (21) __ 422 __ Rikand ___________ 62 __ 59 __ 54 __ 56 __ 48 __ 64 __ 65 __ 62 __ 49 __ 519 (19)

_ 21 (19) __ 421 __ M.T. Cranium ______ 45 __ 54 __ 59 __ 45 __ 57 __ 66 __ 69 __ 71 __ 39 __ 505 (20)

_ 22 (20) __ 416 __ Dacogawa ________ 41 __ 49 __ 71 __ 60 __ 41 __ 70 __ 61 __ 64 __ ---- __ 457 (22)


_(23)(23) __414 __ NormaL ___________49 __ 60 __ 58 __ 48 __ 58 __ 57 __ 77 __ 51 __ 53 __ 511 (20)


_ 23 (23) __ 311 __ BLIZZARD7 _______ 18 __ --- __ 33 __ 55 __ 32 __ 49 __ 57 __ --- __ 67 __ 311 (23)

_ --- (---) __ 275 __ YanSno __________ 62 __ --- __ --- __ 44 __ 58 __ 38 __ 73 __ --- __ --- __ 275 (24)

_ too few ________ Gonzo _____________--- __ ---__ --- __ --- __ --- __ 64 __ 70 __ --- __ 134 (25)

_ too few ________ sdanseo ___________ 45 __ 36 __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- ___ 81

_ too few ________ bazlers ____________ --- __ ---__ 50 __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- ___ 50

_ too few ________ Tazio _____________ --- __ 44 __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- ___ 44

_ too few ________ derekon ___________ 39 __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- __ --- ___ 39
_________________________________________________________________________

While updating, I caught a slight error in the reporting last month. Tae laidir had 456 points for 6/8 not 452 as shown in the table.

Also the table header said best 5/7 above totals that were actually 6/8 (forgot to update from previous table there).

This is what was shown ... corrected data below.

Updated annual scoring for 2019 (January to August)

(order is now best 6/8, last month's rank 5/7 in brackets)
__ (rank for total score shown in brackets after total score.)


_(rank) _ best 5/7 _ FORECASTER ______ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _ Apr _ May _ Jun _ Jul _ Aug __ 2019 TOTAL

_(rank) _ best 6/8 __ (then all okay ...)


_ 01 (01) __ 452 __ Tae laidir _________ 70 __ 67 __ 83 __ 80 __ 58 __ 64 __ 83 __ 73 __ 578 (1)

_ 01 (01) __ 456 __ (then all okay ...)

===============================================================

Okay, with that book-keeping done, congrats once again to Tae laidir who maintains a fairly comfortable lead in both contests, Artane2002 converted high score for September into second place in the main contest just ahead of mickger844posts and sunflower3.
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