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09-06-2019, 08:20   #5266
M.T. Cranium
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Sunday, 9 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 9 to 15 June, 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average near normal values but will be fairly persistent at times giving the appearance of wetter than average conditions.
-- Sunshine will average about two thirds of normal values, more like 4 hours a day than the average of six.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with more widespread breaks in the overcast this morning, and moderate west backing to southwest breezes; eventually some rather heavy showers are likely with a few isolated thundershowers possible in west Munster. Highs about 15 C. Rainfalls generally 2 to 5 mm but locally 5 to 15 mm inland west Munster to south Leinster by late afternoon.

TONIGHT will bring gradual clearing skies but chilly with lows 2 to 6 C.

MONDAY will see a mixture of cloud and sunshine with showers spreading gradually inland from west coast, some heavier isolated showers or thunderstorms, but also some longer dry intervals possible in parts of central to northern counties. Highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY to THURSDAY will likely be rather cloudy with some outbreaks of light rain more likely in Ulster and parts of north Leinster, midlands and east Connacht. Winds will set up from the northeast and will sometimes be rather gusty near the east coast. Highs will range from about 14 C in the east to 17 C in the west, and overnight lows will be around 8 C.

FRIDAY to SUNDAY will continue unsettled but with a more westerly flow and showers then more likely to be persistent or heavy in western counties to midlands. Highs about 15 or 16 C.

The longer term trends are not overly encouraging on today's guidance which suggests that the cool and showery pattern will continue well into June.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast, with persistent light rain and a few brief intervals of soft hail mixed in, and very cool (my elevation here is over 1,000 metres so when it's cool and unsettled, we run several degrees colder than surrounding valleys which were reporting 17-19 C, more like 10-12 C here). Skies are expected to clear gradually on Sunday leading to a warmer spell.
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10-06-2019, 07:53   #5267
M.T. Cranium
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Monday, 10 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 June, 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average about 1 to 2 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average near normal (in contrast to Britain where 2 to 4 times normal amounts are expected)
-- Sunshine will average a little below average but will tend to be quite variable from place to place.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out with a few sunny intervals and isolated showers. Some heavier and more persistent showers and an isolated thunderstorm will develop in Leinster most likely some distance inland this afternoon bringing localized rainfalls of 10 to 15 mm. Many other parts of the country could remain relatively dry (1 to 3 mm). Highs will range from 14 to 17 C depending on how much sunshine breaks through.

TONIGHT will see some clearing again with rather cool overnight lows 3 to 7 C.

TUESDAY will continue relatively settled in many parts of Ireland while heavy rain moves into Britain from the east. Some outer fringes of this rainfall may sweep across the southeast by late afternoon or evening, but other places will remain dry, in a strengthening northeast wind. Highs near 14 C east to 18 C west. If rain does hit the southeast, it could amount to 10-15 mm in Wexford and 5-10 mm further north and west, and this could persist overnight.

WEDNESDAY will see isolated showers and a mixture of cloud and sunshine, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY will feature some sunny intervals, very isolated showers, lows near 5 C and highs near 17 C.

Another heavy rainfall event will move into Britain around Thursday, and this one may not track as far south as it heads west, meaning that it could overspread most of Ireland by Friday. The forecast scenario for Friday and the weekend is quite uncertain but there is a risk of some intervals of moderate if not heavy rainfall in the 20-30 mm range. Temperatures would be held down to around 15 C if this rain reaches its full potential.

Beyond that, the current slack or blocking pattern will break down to a more mobile westerly flow from the Atlantic but that will have the effect of returning all this cloud and moisture once it gets out to the west of Ireland, in several more waves of unsettled weather. The limited drying opportunities this week may be better than anything on offer beyond Friday, for some time to come, although with the change to westerly flow will come a gradual warming trend back towards more normal June temperatures.

My local weather improved considerably on Sunday with a sunny morning and a cloudy but dry afternoon. The high was about 21 C. Not sure if this can be called weather, but we had a continual shower of cottonwood seeds from trees in the area, and this sometimes looked like a light snowfall with drifts of the cottonwood forming on the ground. This is something that often happens in early June in this region and might last a few more days. It looks as though we are going back up to near 30 C by mid-week, quite a roller coaster ride for our weather since the end of May (in case any readers are new, my local weather refers to southern British Columbia close to where eastern Washington state meets northern Idaho, but about 10 kms north of the Canadian border).
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11-06-2019, 06:04   #5268
M.T. Cranium
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Tuesday, 11 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for week of 11 to 17 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal (nights will be generally near or a little above normal, it's the cool daytime readings producing this average).

-- Rainfall will be fairly persistent although not heavy in most cases, the net result will be near normal amounts but with some variation, the southeast is likely to be wet at first, then the southwest later.

-- Sunshine may average just a little below average with the sun getting through fairly often between weak disturbances, possibly reaching the average quota of about 5.5 to 6 hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will remain dry in many areas despite a lot of cloud and some patchy drizzle in moderate northeast winds. It will be rather cool with highs 13 or 14 C in the east, to 17 C in parts of the southwest. Rain could overspread the southeast by evening.

TONIGHT will see light rain over most of Leinster, spreading gradually further southwest but fragmenting to drizzly showers. Amounts of about 5 to 10 mm are possible. Less rain expected in west and north where mostly cloudy skies will prevail. Lows 9 to 11 C.

WEDNESDAY will have further outbreaks of light rain in northeast breezes, similar temperatures to today (14 to 17 C).

THURSDAY will have a mixture of cloud and sun with more isolated showers, one or two of which could become heavy. Lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers heavier this time in western counties, longer dry intervals with some sunshine in east. Lows near 7 and highs near 16 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK calls for frequent rain and brief dry spells with limited sunshine expected, highs near 16 C.

The further outlook is encouraging, a more settled pattern may follow next week with highs closer to normal values of 18 to 20 C.

My local weather on Monday continued rather cloudy but warm, highs near 24 C. We still have the cottonwood showers and small drifts of the cottonwood gathering against kerbs and walls.
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12-06-2019, 07:42   #5269
M.T. Cranium
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Wednesday, 12 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal. Daytime readings will be closer to 3 deg below, overnight lows close to average.

-- Rainfall may exceed the average amounts in parts of the south and east, while falling a bit short in parts of west and north, but with frequent light rain the effects may be wetter than the totals might suggest.

-- Sunshine will continue to fall somewhat below average values at best and in some parts of the south and east will be as low as 50% of the normal six hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be mostly cloudy in all areas, but rain will be more frequent and persistent in Leinster and then later in Munster as moderate rain now over the Irish Sea moves in from the northeast and gradually moves through, with 10 to 15 mm falls likely. Amounts will be progressively lower to west and north where a few breaks in the overcast are likely. Moderate north to northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr and cool temperatures 13 to 15 C will make this feel quite a raw day where rain does develop.

TONIGHT will see a few more intervals of light rain and low cloud, fog or mist, lows near 8 C.

THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks and scattered outbreaks of light rain, moderate northeast winds abating somewhat, and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, showers that may become heavy in a few places, but winds slackening to about 20 km/hr and variable in direction, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

SATURDAY will have some rain during the morning then variable cloud and isolated showers, some sunny breaks developing, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

The OUTLOOK for next week calls for somewhat warmer temperatures but still rather unsettled with highs closer to 18 C. The pattern does not appear likely to change substantially going into the last week of June from the longer term guidance but this is in keeping with the summer forecast of gradual improvement towards late July and August.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with a few cloudy intervals and quite warm with highs near 28 C. We are not done with our rather unsettling showers of cottonwood seeds which occasionally resemble heavy snow flurries despite the summery feel to the weather. Will post a picture of a drift of this material in the photography forum later today.
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12-06-2019, 07:42   #5270
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Wednesday, 12 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal. Daytime readings will be closer to 3 deg below, overnight lows close to average.

-- Rainfall may exceed the average amounts in parts of the south and east, while falling a bit short in parts of west and north, but with frequent light rain the effects may be wetter than the totals might suggest.

-- Sunshine will continue to fall somewhat below average values at best and in some parts of the south and east will be as low as 50% of the normal six hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be mostly cloudy in all areas, but rain will be more frequent and persistent in Leinster and then later in Munster as moderate rain now over the Irish Sea moves in from the northeast and gradually moves through, with 10 to 15 mm falls likely. Amounts will be progressively lower to west and north where a few breaks in the overcast are likely. Moderate north to northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr and cool temperatures 13 to 15 C will make this feel quite a raw day where rain does develop.

TONIGHT will see a few more intervals of light rain and low cloud, fog or mist, lows near 8 C.

THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks and scattered outbreaks of light rain, moderate northeast winds abating somewhat, and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, showers that may become heavy in a few places, but winds slackening to about 20 km/hr and variable in direction, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

SATURDAY will have some rain during the morning then variable cloud and isolated showers, some sunny breaks developing, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

The OUTLOOK for next week calls for somewhat warmer temperatures but still rather unsettled with highs closer to 18 C. The pattern does not appear likely to change substantially going into the last week of June from the longer term guidance but this is in keeping with the summer forecast of gradual improvement towards late July and August.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with a few cloudy intervals and quite warm with highs near 28 C. We are not done with our rather unsettling showers of cottonwood seeds which occasionally resemble heavy snow flurries despite the summery feel to the weather. Will post a picture of a drift of this material in the photography forum later today.
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13-06-2019, 07:17   #5271
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Thursday, 13 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 June 2019 ...

-- temperatures will average about 2 deg below normal.

-- rainfall will average near normal in the east and slightly below normal in the west, with some pockets of above normal rainfall in the inland south.

-- sunshine will average only about half the normal values of 5-6 hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will continue mostly cloudy, raw and cold with north to northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr easing during the afternoon. There will be some further intervals of light rain or drizzle more frequent in east and south, with heavier outbreaks by afternoon in some parts of Ulster. Highs only 11 to 14 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with drizzle and fog patches, lows near 7 C.

FRIDAY will start out with some brighter intervals especially in central and eastern counties, then intervals of showery and heavier rain will develop this time moving from southwest to northeast but staying confined largely to Munster and south Leinster where 10-20 mm seems likely. Highs 12 to 15 C.

SATURDAY will start out unsettled with the remnants of the Friday rainfall still present in Leinster for part of the morning, before some partial clearing, with slightly warmer temperatures as a result, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

NEXT WEEK still looks rather unsettled but with the weather now moving from west to east, somewhat warmer temperatures in general with highs more towards the 15 to 18 C range. Rain will not be persistent but will fall for a short time most days from passing showers or brief outbreaks.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with considerable high cloud and hot temperatures near 30 C. Some record highs are being set throughout the western U.S. and British Columbia. It was 47 C at Thermal near Palm Springs, California, and 44 C at Phoenix. The eastern states meanwhile are relatively cool for mid-June.
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14-06-2019, 07:38   #5272
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Friday, 14 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal, but there will be a gradual improvement after today.

-- Rainfall will average near normal in east and south, somewhat below average in north and west.

-- Sunshine will begin to improve and by end of the weekly interval some places may record near normal amounts, others half to two-thirds.


FORECASTS


TODAY will start out with some breaks in the overcast but with rain slowly gathering over Munster, turning heavier by afternoon in the south and spreading to central and eastern counties. Highs 14 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will see the rain spreading gradually towards the east coast, total amounts by morning 10-15 mm, but further north it will be showery and amounts will be 2-5 mm. Lows near 10 C.

SATURDAY will have a slow clearing trend with the rain gradually ending over Leinster, scattered and isolated showers may follow from west coast inland, but there will be longer dry intervals with some sunny breaks. Highs 15 to 17 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY could be the first really decent day in a while for many, with sunny breaks and highs 18 to 20 C.

WEDNESDAY will see a return to cloud and some scattered outbreaks of light rain, highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK beyond that is rather uncertain, I don't think the pattern will totally change as there could be a few intervals of heavier showers to follow, but also some days that will be dry and near normal in temperature, so I think we can at least say the worst of this June has come and gone, or that will be the case by early next week at any rate.

My local weather was sunny most of the day with a high near 28 C. A line of thunderstorms approached from the north and stalled over the hills north of the town, we had some intense thunder and lightning at about 6 p.m. local time, and strong wind gusts, but no rain fell here, it came down heavily about 1-2 kms to my north. Those storms then just dissipated as the front had reached its limit apparently, and by sunset it had cleared up again.
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15-06-2019, 06:38   #5273
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Saturday, 15 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 15 to 21 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal in east and south or slightly above in some higher areas of the southeast, but somewhat below average in north and west.

-- Sunshine will continue to improve and some places may record near normal amounts, others half to two-thirds.


FORECASTS


TODAY will have a slow clearing trend with the rain gradually ending over coastal north Leinster and eventually also in east Ulster, but after some partial clearing, a few scattered and isolated showers may follow from west coast inland, but there will be a few more dry intervals with some sunny breaks. Highs 15 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with a few clear intervals, cool, leading to low-lying patchy ground fog or mist, lows 4 to 8 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, lows 4 to 8 C and highs near 17 C. Some heavier bursts of rain are likely by afternoon in south Leinster with isolated thunderstorms in counties around Laois, Carlow and Kildare. Rainfalls of 5 to 15 mm can be expected in those areas.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with somewhat more isolated showers but also one or two thunderstorms most likely to form over inland northern counties, lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY could be the first really decent day in a while for many, with sunny breaks and highs 18 to 20 C. There could be patchy isolated showers by late afternoon and evening across parts of the inland south though.

WEDNESDAY will see a return to cloud and some scattered outbreaks of light rain, highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY will also be unsettled with showers, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for continued rather unsettled but not as chilly as recent days, but eventually one or two more bouts of heavy rain likely, moving across the south and central counties from southwest to northeast.

My local weather on Friday was sunny with afternoon cloudy intervals, still quite warm with low humidity, highs near 27 C.
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16-06-2019, 07:20   #5274
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Sunday, 16 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal for mid-June.

-- Rainfall will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal, with the lower values in parts of the west.

-- Sunshine will average near normal also, about six hours a day on average.


FORECASTS

TODAY will start out dry and there may be some sunny breaks this morning, but showers will spread across most parts of the country by this afternoon with isolated thunderstorms possible. Highs will be around 16 C.

TONIGHT the showers will gradually die out with some clearing towards morning, fog patches, and lows of 5 to 8 C.

MONDAY will have another round of showers, not quite as widespread as today, with highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY still looks like a generally dry day with isolated showers most likely in parts of the north and highs will reach 19 or 20 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers and highs near 19 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures around 16 C.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing and the weekend of 22nd-23rd currently looks settled with decent temperatures around 20 C.

The further outlook is not as good with the last week of June looking unsettled with rather cool temperatures setting in, highs 16 or 17 C and frequent outbreaks of rain.

My local weather on Saturday was dry and warm with considerable cloudiness most of the day, brief sunny intervals, and highs near 25 C.
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17-06-2019, 07:06   #5275
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Monday, 17 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near or slightly above normal. The average daytime high will edge up towards 20 C.

-- Rainfall will be generally a bit below average, 10 to 15 mm for most locations.

-- Sunshine will be close to normal values or slightly above in some parts of the south and east.


FORECASTS

TODAY will have another round of showers, but mostly confined to north Connacht and Ulster, eventually a few widely scattered elsewhere after a few sunny intervals as well, and highs will reach about 17 C.

TONIGHT will see some clearing in places and lows 4 to 8 C.

TUESDAY looks like being generally dry with isolated showers most likely in parts of the north, and highs will reach 19 or 20 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows 5 to 9 C and highs near 19 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures by afternoon with lows near 10 C and highs around 16 C.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing and highs near 17 C, with a few isolated showers.

WEEKEND (22nd-23rd) looks mainly settled with decent temperatures around 20 C and some sunshine both days.

Rain is expected by Sunday night into Monday 24th, then the following week seems likely to be rather unsettled but with temperatures staying close to normal (18-20 C by day).

My local weather on Sunday was sunny during the morning and overcast during the afternoon, a few showers are now moving through with a weak frontal trough but it should clear here by morning. The high was about 25 C.
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18-06-2019, 07:55   #5276
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Tuesday, 18 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near or slightly above normal. The average daytime high will edge up towards 20 C.

-- Rainfall will be generally a bit below average, 10 to 15 mm for most locations, closer to 20 mm in parts of Ulster.

-- Sunshine will be close to normal values or slightly above in some parts of the south and east.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be generally dry with generous amounts of sunshine for the south, central and eastern counties, but some isolated showers most likely in parts of the north, and highs will reach 19 to 21 C.

TONIGHT will see a gradual increase in higher cloud dimming the full moon, and lows near 7 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, and highs near 19 C. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 mm in most places.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures by afternoon with lows near 10 C and highs around 16 C. Rainfalls of about 5 mm.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing after lows near 6 C and highs will reach about 17 C, with a few isolated showers.

SATURDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, and reasonably warm, with highs near 21 C.

SUNDAY will see increasing cloud leading to light rain spreading in from the south by late afternoon, but it may stay dry further north until evening, highs of about 18 C.

MONDAY will likely see another rainfall event of about 10 to 15 mm, with some thundery heavy bursts possible, highs near 17 C.

OUTLOOK ... That rainfall should begin to dissipate on Tuesday with slow clearing followed by several dry but increasingly warm days later next week, when there is potential for the first real warm spell since Easter, with highs reaching mid 20s. Although reliability decreases towards the end of the model guidance, for what it's worth this warm spell is depicted to break down to frequent rain in early July, but that could change closer to the time.

My local weather on Monday started out sunny, then overcast by early afternoon with a fairly heavy thunderstorm from about 4 to 5 p.m. that dropped around 20 mm of rain, but not severe in any other sense. That slowly broke up and moved away to the south leaving some blue sky in the evening. The high was about 25 C.
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19-06-2019, 06:38   #5277
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Wednesday, 19 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near to 1.5 degrees above normal. The average daytime high will be 18 to 20 C.

-- Rainfall will eventually reach about average, 15 to 20 mm for most locations, but the last two days of the interval will produce much of this total.

-- Sunshine will be close to normal values or slightly above in some parts of the south and east.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, and highs near 19 C. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 mm in most places. A few heavier showers or an isolated thunderstorm may develop in central counties by late afternoon.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with a few showers, more clear intervals towards morning, and lows 8 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures by afternoon with highs around 16 C. Rainfalls of about 5 mm.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing after lows near 6 C and highs will reach about 17 C, with a few isolated showers.

SATURDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, and reasonably warm, with highs near 21 C. There could be some outbreaks of drizzle or light rain in the south later in the day, and it will become muggy in southeast winds that may cool some coastal areas in Leinster to 16 C.

SUNDAY will see increasing cloud leading to light rain spreading in from the south by late afternoon, but it may stay dry further north until evening, highs of about 18 C.

MONDAY will likely see another rainfall event of about 10 to 15 mm, with some thundery heavy bursts possible, highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY may see further showers and thunderstorms, and it will be rather warm and humid, highs near 19 C.

LATER NEXT WEEK some very warm to hot air will be spreading from France into the southern half of Britain. Ireland and Wales will be in a frontal zone and while quite warm also (near 23 C) not at this point looking like the heat further east will spread in, but the frontal contrast will set up good chances for thunderstorms some of which could be heavy. Too early to say exactly where and when these chances will materialize but current maps would point to higher risks in the inland south then midlands to west Ulster. That's not entirely ruling out other regions of Ireland. This pattern may become a more frequent feature moving into July as the hot air masses seem to be well established by then over the near continent and southeast England.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals, dry and pleasant with highs near 24 C. We are expecting some light rain to move in from the north today with falling temperatures later.
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20-06-2019, 07:15   #5278
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Thursday, 20 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal, reaching a peak of about 5 deg above normal at end of the interval.

-- Rainfall will average 1.5 to 2.0 times the normal amount, here again, much of that will occur from Monday to Wednesday.

-- Sunshine will average near normal although the trend will be more sunshine in the first half and more cloud from Sunday on.


FORECASTS

TODAY will start out sunny in east and south, partly cloudy with showers in west and north. The coverage of showers will increase later, and most places will eventually have some rain, amounts near 10 mm possible in some central and northern counties. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will see gradual clearing after last of the showers die out, and cool with lows 4 to 8 C.

FRIDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and isolated showers, highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY will also be sunny with cloudy intervals, some outbreaks of light rain later in the day in west Munster, and warmer with highs reaching 21 C inland.

SUNDAY will become mostly cloudy although it may remain dry in parts of north and east. Rain will spread slowly into all parts of Munster and then south Leinster and Connacht by late afternoon. Rather warm still, and more humid, with highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will have intervals of heavy and in some places thundery rain from early morning to mid-day, some clearing thereafter, and becoming quite warm with the clearance, temperatures rising from 15 C in the rain to 20 C in partly cloudy but humid weather later on.

TUESDAY will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms, warm and humid with highs near 23 C.

Around this time heat will be spreading from France into southern Britain where temperatures could reach mid 30s.

OUTLOOK -- As the heat persists for several days across much of England, heavy thunderstorms could develop in Wales, southwest England and some eastern parts of Ireland, possibly extending as far west as Cork on the south coast too. Details on this will emerge with more clarity but it seems very likely to be quite warm and humid with at least some thunderstorm activity, intensity to be nailed down closer to the time. High temperatures will continue to be in the mid 20s and overnight lows near 17 C in Ireland, and will also continue very hot in England and most of France. A cooling trend will develop around Friday 28th with temperatures returning to more normal values by the weekend of the 29th-30th in a partly cloudy showery west to northwest air flow replacing the heat wave and driving it further east into central Europe.

My local weather on Wednesday was mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and passing showers developed with a few distant rumbles of thunder from heavier showers off to our east. It turned much cooler than recent days with mid-day temperatures around 15 C.
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21-06-2019, 07:22   #5279
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Friday, 21 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



The summer solstice occurs today at 16:56 IST (15:56 z or UTC)


TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal, reaching a peak of about 5 deg above normal at end of the interval.

-- Rainfall will average 1.0 to 2.0 times the normal amount, here again, much of that will occur from Monday to Thursday. Amounts could be quite variable from one location to another as some of this rainfall will be provided by localized thunderstorms.

-- Sunshine will average near normal although there will be considerable cloud on Sunday and (in the north) on Monday.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and isolated showers, highs near 19 C.

TONIGHT will have clear intervals and some fog patches may develop in valleys after midnight. Lows will range from 5 C in some inland valleys to 10 C in larger towns and coastal areas.

SATURDAY will also be sunny with cloudy intervals, with some outbreaks of light rain later in the day in west Munster, and warmer with highs reaching 21 C inland.

SUNDAY will become mostly cloudy although it may remain dry in parts of north and east. Rain will spread slowly into all parts of Munster and then south Leinster and Connacht by afternoon. Rather warm still, and more humid, with highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will have intervals of heavy and in some places thundery rain from early morning to mid-day, bringing total rainfalls of 10 to 20 mm to many areas, then some clearing thereafter, and becoming quite warm with the clearance, temperatures rising from 15 C in the rain to 20 C in partly cloudy but humid weather later on.

TUESDAY will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be heavy in north Leinster and east Ulster, and it will become warm and humid with highs near 23 C away from east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold readings to 17 C.

Around this time heat will be spreading from France into southern Britain where temperatures could reach the low to mid 30s for several days ... this heat will be edging northwest each day and could spread into some parts of eastern Ireland although with coastal modification; however, details are going to be difficult to assess until we get closer to the time, as frontal zones are likely to set up through various parts of Ireland each day, and this could lead to several rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

OUTLOOK then for WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY calls for very warm and rather humid weather with scattered outbreaks of thundery rain possible, but also some spells of sunshine, highs 23 to 27 C and muggy nights with lows only falling to around 16 to 18 C. Some western counties may get a fresher Atlantic air mass for Friday, and this will spread into other regions by Saturday. There is some potential for heavy rain to develop near an intensifying disturbance along the frontal boundary in the Irish Sea, and that could affect some parts of east Ulster and Leinster, if not more widespread areas, by Saturday 29th. Eventually it appears that the weather will return to the recent mode of cool, unsettled westerly flow in the first part of July with the heat pushed well to the east of Britain by then.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast, damp and quite chilly most of the day, with some clearing by late afternoon. Highs were only about 14 C. The snow line has come back down in recent days to about 1400m and some passing showers have left a temporary white covering on local hills that reach as high as 2000m (my own elevation is 1060m, and the highest elevation within 50 kms of here is Old Glory Mountain which reaches about 2400m, located about 30 kms northwest of us -- there was a weather station up there for many years when it was a manned forestry lookout).
M.T. Cranium is offline  
22-06-2019, 06:50   #5280
M.T. Cranium
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Saturday, 22 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 4 deg above normal, reaching a peak of about 5 deg above normal at end of the interval.

-- Rainfall will average 1.0 to 2.0 times the normal amount, but amounts could be quite variable from one location to another as some of this rainfall will be provided by localized thunderstorms.

-- Sunshine will average near normal although there will be considerable cloud on Sunday and (in the north) on Monday. However, some coastal areas of south may have less sunshine due to rather frequent low cloud from sea fog or marine layers.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with increasing high clouds, with some outbreaks of light rain later in the day in west Munster, and warm with highs reaching 21 C inland.

TONIGHT will see rain spreading gradually north through most of Munster, south Connacht and south Leinster where amounts of about 5 mm are likely. It should stay dry further north, with drizzle by morning in some places. Lows 10 to 13 C.

SUNDAY will become mostly cloudy although it may remain dry in parts of north and east for much of the day. Rain will spread slowly into all parts of Munster and then south Leinster and Connacht by mid-day, and further north by evening. Rather warm still, and more humid, with highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will have intervals of heavy and in some places thundery rain from early morning to mid-day, bringing total rainfalls of 10 to 20 mm to many areas, then some clearing thereafter, and becoming quite warm with the clearance, temperatures rising from 15 C in the rain to 20 C or a little above well inland, in partly cloudy but humid weather later on. Sea fog or low cloud may begin to make an appearance on parts of the south coast.

TUESDAY will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be heavy in north Leinster and east Ulster, and it will become warm and humid with highs near 23 C away from east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold readings to 17 C.

Around this time heat will be spreading from France into southern Britain where temperatures could reach the low to mid 30s for several days ... this heat will be edging northwest each day and could spread into some parts of eastern Ireland although with coastal modification; however, details are going to be difficult to assess until we get closer to the time, as frontal zones are likely to set up through various parts of Ireland each day, and this could lead to several rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be very warm and humid, with occasional spells of thundery rain likely, but also some brighter intervals, with overnight lows 15 to 19 C and highs 23 to 28 C. South and east coasts could experience localized sea fog, low cloud and cooler temperatures as the winds will be generally light to moderate southeast to east.

OUTLOOK for the weekend of 29th-30th ... The warm spell will break down around Saturday with the potential for some heavy showers or thunderstorms, then fresher conditions will arrive for Sunday 30th. Highs will be about 23 C on Saturday and 19 C on Sunday.

The first part of July at this point looks cooler and unsettled.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy with a high of about 18 C.
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