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Tuesday, 25 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 25 June to 1 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 4 degrees above normal. Highs will sometimes reach the mid to high 20s. It will begin to turn cooler by this coming weekend.

-- Rainfall will generally be close to normal but for most, the rain will be mainly on Friday into Saturday.

-- Sunshine will average near or slightly above normal, except near south coast where it may be overcast from sea fog.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be partly cloudy and warm with isolated showers or thunderstorms, most likely in west Munster, north Leinster and east Ulster. Some places will remain dry, others could have as much as 10-15 mm rain. Highs will be in the range of 18 to 23 C. The cooler readings will be near the east coast as winds pick up from an easterly direction today, 30 to 50 km/hr at times.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with fog and mist patches developing, rather muggy and warm with lows 10 to 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and warm, although cooled near east coast and south coast by locally moderate sea breezes with sea fog or low cloud making some progress inland. Isolated thunderstorms may develop in the southwest. Highs will be in the range of 20 to 26 C although possibly a bit lower near east coast due to local sea breezes.

THURSDAY will be sunny and very warm (hot in some central and western counties) with isolated thunderstorms possible. Lows near 14 C and highs near 27 C inland, possibly a bit higher in west central counties where an isolated 30 degree reading is possible, 18 to 24 C closer to the coasts. Although there may be patchy sea fog and cooling sea breezes, the air mass will be warm enough that most coastal areas and beaches might be comfortably warm although cooler than inland (perhaps 18 to 21 C). Any thunderstorms would most likely occur near the west coast but a few miles inland where weak sea breezes converge with the heated air over land.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid with showers and thunderstorms developing, lows near 16 C and highs near 24 C. Some of these storms could become heavy in parts of the west, midlands and north. The showers and thunderstorms will make rather slow progress east overnight into Saturday morning.

SATURDAY will continue unsettled in the east with further heavy downpours possible, some rainfall totals of 20 to 40 mm may occur leading to spot flooding. The west will be fresher and clearing during the morning, with a few residual showers developing later in westerly breezes. Lows 12 to 16 C and highs 18 to 21 C, moderate westerly winds.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and cooler with highs near 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... The first week of July looks fairly pleasant with some sunshine each day, showers mainly brief and isolated and temperatures near normal, highs 18 to 21 C. A more unsettled period will set in towards the following weekend (6-7 July).

My local weather on Monday was cloudy and quite cool with a few showers, some brief sunny breaks, and highs around 16 C.

Thursday, 27 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 27 June to 3 July 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 degrees above normal, even higher at first then closer to normal values later.

-- Rainfall will be between 50% and 80% of normal for most, although some heavy showers are possible in a few places.

-- Sunshine will be at least normal and could exceed that by 25% in some cases, the trend being towards more sunshine next week.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be oppressively warm and humid in parts of Munster, Connacht, south and inland west Ulster, and adjacent parts of Leinster. Highs will reach 27 to 30 C with some sunshine getting through rather extensive cloud cover at times. There is a risk of localized heavy showers or thunderstorms in isolated areas of Kerry, southwest Cork, and also from north Mayo to Donegal. Further east, although it will likely be warmer than yesterday, the marine influence will still be felt to some extent and highs will vary from 18 C along the east coast to about 23 C well inland in Leinster and east Ulster. The compensation may be that sunshine will become frequent by mid-day and afternoon after a somewhat cloudy start in some places. Moderate east-southeast breezes will continue to blow in from the Irish Sea, turning more to a southeast wind further inland.

TONIGHT will remain very warm and muggy, outside of a few areas cooled by sea breezes, and lows may be slow to fall to predicted values of about 15 to 18 C eventually, so the late evening could still be as warm as 20 degrees.

FRIDAY will start out sunny in some parts of the east and with winds now more southerly, the marine influence will be ended and replaced by the very warm temperatures further west today. Those areas will have another warm day but with mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers developing, with risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs in most places will be 24 to 28 C, somewhat lower near the south coast and in the northwest where 20 C will be typical.

SATURDAY will see another round of showers and thunderstorms developing as the first front washes out over the Irish Sea to be replaced by a somewhat stronger one bringing the warm spell to a more definite conclusion. Highs will be around 24 C after another quite warm night with lows 14 to 17 C.

SUNDAY will be considerably cooler and fresher with westerly breezes of 40 to 60 km/hr, partly cloudy skies and scattered although generally brief showers. Lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will also be relatively cool and somewhat unsettled with the greatest risk of showers in Ulster. Lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

NEXT WEEK is looking quite pleasant with high pressure in control after Monday, a generally dry spell with lots of sunshine and low humidity, temperatures warm enough in the daytime but not oppressively warm, 19 to 23 C. Nights will be a little cooler than in this current spell with the average low being about 8 to 10 C. That trend may only fade out gradually if at all by the looks of latest guidance which is beginning to suggest a rather warm and dry July may be in the works, perhaps with one or two brief interruptions of cooler northerly incursions.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with afternoon cloudy intervals, dry all day for a change, and a bit warmer too, around 22 C.

Saturday, 29 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for week of 29 June to 5 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 2-3 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will vary from below average in many western counties to above normal in the southeast (much of that today).

-- Sunshine will average near normal to somewhat above normal.


FORECASTS AND ALERT

ALERT issued for locally severe thunderstorms in south and central Leinster and Waterford this morning, locally heavy rainfalls may cause flash flooding, intense lightning could produce power disruptions, and small to moderate sized hail is likely in stronger cells. Severe wind gusts are considered less likely although moderate wind gusts are probable on western to trailing southern edges of these cells as they move north this morning.

TODAY will continue warm and humid with outbreaks of heavy thunderstorms in the southeast. Some sunshine at first in south central counties, rather cloudy further north and west. Later on, the eastern storms will die out but a new round of showers and thunderstorms is likely to develop around Connacht and west Ulster, and these will spread further east. Highs 22 to 25 C for most, somewhat cooler near west and north coasts.

TONIGHT will see a few more showers and thunderstorms then a gradual clearance towards morning, somewhat fresher with lows 12 to 14 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers in moderate westerly winds. A few showers could become heavy with hail and thunder in northern counties by afternoon. More chance of a dry day near south coast and possibly parts of Leinster. Fresher with highs 16 to 19 C.

MONDAY will continue partly cloudy and cooler with occasional showers, mostly in the north, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be very fine days with plenty of sunshine, light winds, and low humidity. Highs near 22 C and possibly a bit higher inland. Isolated showers cannot be ruled out but will only affect a few locations in west Munster.

THURSDAY will see considerable cloud and gusty northwest winds developing, passing showers Connacht and Leinster, to intervals of rain in Ulster, but possibly remaining mostly dry in Munster. Highs near 19 C south, 15 C north.

OUTLOOK calls for another dry and settled interval to follow including the weekend of 6-7 July, then a cooler and unsettled week from about the 8th to 12th of July. Temperatures in that spell will be close to July averages.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy, not much local shower activity but heavy rain was falling a few miles to our southeast by evening. That moved up the Columbia River valley to our east and missed us by a few miles. Highs for the day were about 18 C. In contrast to last summer, we have a very low fire hazard locally, ranging to moderate on the west coast which has been somewhat drier.

Monday, 1 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July, 2019

-- temperatures will average near normal to 1.5 deg above normal (midlands and inland south more likely to be above normal).

-- rainfall will average only 10 to 30 per cent of normal, after today it could be a prolonged dry spell for some southern and western counties.

-- sunshine will average near normal to 25% above normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, becoming more frequently sunny by afternoon and evening. A few passing showers at first may bring 3-5 mm rainfalls in the north and trace to 2 mm in the south. Moderate northwest winds will start to die out by mid-afternoon. Highs will reach 17 to 20 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear with lows 5 to 8 C in rural areas, 10 C in some urban areas and near west, north coasts where some cloud may linger.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be similar days, mostly sunny but with a few areas of cloud more likely near north coast and in parts of west Munster. Dry with low humidity. Highs each day 19 to 23 C, lows 4 to 8 C inland and 7 to 11 C near coasts and larger cities.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and a bit warmer with highs near 24 C inland, 20 C near some coasts, with light and variable winds allowing sea breezes on most coasts.

FRIDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, highs 19 to 24 C.

OUTLOOK calls for the dry spell to continue in many areas, with slight interruptions in east Ulster and north Leinster which will at times get into outer edges of cloud and showers in northerly flows over Britain, but most of Ireland will be closer to core of Atlantic high pressure and may remain dry and often clear. Temperatures will remain fairly close to normal.

My local weather on Sunday was mostly sunny and it was warmer than most days this past month with a high of 26 C. There are a few isolated thunderstorms over hills in the region overnight and we may see one of those during the daytime on Monday.

Wednesday, 3 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.

-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, to slightly above in some central counties.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, although it may be more overcast at first in parts of west Munster. Highs 18 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will have clear intervals and cool temperatures of 5 to 9 C.

THURSDAY will become partly cloudy with isolated showers in the north, and highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY will see mostly cloudy skies in the north with patchy light rain in parts of Ulster and north Connacht, extending at times into north Leinster. Further south it will remain partly cloudy and highs will reach about 20 C.

SATURDAY will start off rather cloudy with clearing skies during the day, and highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 19 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week looks a bit warmer in general with highs 21 to 24 C, with a slow increase in cloud leading to unsettled conditions at times late in the week (around the 12th).

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast and rather cool with a little rain at times, highs near 18 C.

Friday, 5 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be slight at first but will eventually total about half to three-quarters the normal amount for seven days.
-- Sunshine will be somewhat below normal, 50 to 75 per cent of normal will be typical.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out sunny in some central and southern counties, with increasing cloud by mid-day, but further north the trend will be opposite, cloudy to start with patchy light rain, followed by partial clearing later. Highs for most around 19 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle and lows around 10 C.

SATURDAY will be rather cloudy but there could be some brighter intervals in the west and also the northeast, with more cloud and patchy light rain from northwest counties to south central and south east associated with a weak front drifting south. Highs 17 to 19 C.

SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with only a few isolated and brief showers, and highs near 20 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy and a bit warmer with highs near 22 C.

The outlook is little changed in general, dry on Tuesday with fairly warm temperatures, then more chance of light rain mid-week.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with outbreaks of light rain and one heavier thundershower embedded. The high was about 19 C.

Sunday, 7 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal. Milder nights will account for most of this surplus.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal; some places may be almost dry in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values, more like 3-4 hours a day than the normal 4-6. This will be rather variable with parts of the south doing a bit better perhaps.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy in the south and west, with breaks to partly cloudy skies by afternoon and evening. There will be a few remnant light showers at first but not much if any accumulation. The day will start out brighter in parts of Connacht and Leinster and will then become partly cloudy by afternoon. Rather warm and humid with highs 19 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast and mild, with lows near 12 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the south, quite humid with outbreaks of light rain in north Connacht and Ulster. Highs will reach 18 to 22 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with haze or mist at times, lows near 12 C and highs near 23 C away from somewhat cooler Atlantic coasts.

WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 2 to 5 mm possible in west and north. Highs will reach 21 C.

THURSDAY will continue rather warm and humid with isolated showers, highs near 22 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat warmer weather will develop by about next weekend with highs possibly reaching the mid 20s in places. This warmer spell could last a while, as guidance showing a gradually unsettled trend may get postponed in stages.

My local weather on Saturday was pleasant, some sunshine with towering cumulus clouds here and there, and an active thunderstorm off to our east during the evening, but that moved north and missed our location by a few miles. The high was about 23 C. In contrast to last summer, this region has almost no fire hazard at present, and no smoke spoiling the air quality as we endured for many weeks last year.

Monday, 8 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg above normal. Milder nights will account for most of this surplus.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal; some places may be almost dry in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values in north and west, to about normal values in east and south.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the south, quite humid with outbreaks of light rain in north Connacht and Ulster. Highs will reach 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few lingering showers in parts of the north, lows about 12 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with haze or mist at times, lows near 12 C and highs near 23 C away from somewhat cooler Atlantic coasts.

WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 2 to 5 mm possible in west and north. Highs will reach 21 C.

THURSDAY will continue rather warm and humid with isolated showers, highs near 22 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat warmer weather will develop by about next weekend with highs possibly reaching the mid 20s in places. This warmer spell seems likely to persist for most of the second half of July, with the occasional unsettled day but generally not much rainfall in total, especially in the south.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with scattered showers around the area although it stayed dry at my location, radar was showing some heavier rain over local higher terrain. The high was about 18 C.

Wednesday, 10 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 1.5 to 3.0 deg above normal, with the inland south and southeast most likely to have the higher departures.
-- Rainfall will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal with a few parts of east Ulster perhaps near to slightly above normal.
-- Sunshine will average about normal but could go higher than that in some eastern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy, with the best chance of any brighter intervals in the southeast. There will be sporadic outbreaks of light rain this morning, then a somewhat heavier outbreak moving west to east mid-day to afternoon. This may become quite heavy in east Ulster and north Leinster by late afternoon but elsewhere it may only amount to 5-10 mm in total. Warm and humid with highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with partial clearing in the west and south towards morning, a few residual showers in the north, and quite mild with lows around 14 C.

THURSDAY will see a rather cloudy start leading to partly cloudy mid-day conditions and sunny skies for many places later in the afternoon and evening. There could be a few light showers in the earlier part of the day. Highs will be 19 to 23 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with lows near 12 C and highs 20 to 24 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with longer sunny intervals possible in the midlands, inland south and most of Leinster. The cloudier west and north could see a bit of coastal drizzle but also some brighter spells. It could become quite warm in any prolonged sunshine, highs will be at least 20 C and could reach 24 or 25 in sunshine.

SUNDAY will be another warm, settled day with a better chance of sunshine in more of the country, highs once again potentially could reach the mid 20s. (overnight lows both days on the weekend around 10 to 15 C but these readings only briefly around sunrise, the nights will be quite warm until well after midnight).

MONDAY there is some chance of cloud and scattered showers although I won't be too surprised if this frontal system is weak enough for the dry spell over the weekend to continue in some areas. Highs will likely be in the 19 to 23 C range.

OUTLOOK beyond that is not greatly different, temperatures continuing in the rather warm lower to mid 20s, occasional weak frontal systems bringing small amounts of rain at times, but some sunshine likely each day also.

My local weather on Tuesday was a welcome sunny day with nothing showing on the radar between the coast and the Rockies, probably the first day like that this summer across southern B.C., and it was quite warm, about 25 C "up here" and 30 C in the nearby Columbia valley where we were most of the day. (the elevation difference is 500 metres). It has clouded over since sunset and looks set to rain at times later.

The National Hurricane Center (US) is tracking a tropical system in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, moving west. This could soon become Tropical Depression number 2 (we had Andrea back in May, nothing formed in June) and possibly Tropical Storm Barry if it were to get that strong (one model shows it doing that by the weekend south of Louisiana but prolonged heavy rainfall seems to be the main risk with this system whatever status it attains).

Friday, 12 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 1.5 to 3.0 deg above normal, with the inland south and southeast most likely to have the higher departures.
-- Rainfall will be 60 to 90 per cent of normal (almost all of this from Tuesday onwards, so rather dry for 3-4 days now).
-- Sunshine will average about normal to 25% above normal in some eastern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with highs 20 to 24 C. Higher readings will be found in the inland southeast. The cloudier north could see a few brief showers but amounts will be slight.

TONIGHT will become generally clear with widespread mist and low level fog in valleys forming after midnight and clearing away an hour or two after sunrise. Lows will range from 8 to 12 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with longer sunny intervals possible in the midlands, inland south and most of Leinster. The cloudier west and north could see a bit of coastal drizzle but also some brighter spells. It could become quite warm in any prolonged sunshine, highs will be at least 20 C and could reach 24 or 25 in sunshine.

SUNDAY will be another warm, settled day with a better chance of sunshine in more of the country, highs once again could reach the mid 20s to about 26 C after overnight lows around 10 to 15 C.

MONDAY will see early sunshine and increasing afternoon cloud leading to some outbreaks of light rain by evening, lows near 12 C and highs 21 to 25 C.

TUESDAY will bring more widespread showers with lows near 14 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY also look rather unsettled with further showers likely, highs around 20 to 22 C.

OUTLOOK for FRIDAY 19th and WEEKEND of 20th-21st is generally fair and quite warm again, highs 20 to 25 C.

My local weather on Friday was rather cloudy but with brief sunny intervals, and it stayed dry reaching about 23 C.

Tropical Storm Barry has formed as expected south of Mobile Bay and is headed slowly towards a landfall south or southwest of Lafayette LA on Sunday most likely, at the moment the system's rainfall bands have weakened but they are expected to intensify again late today and on Saturday.

Sunday, 14 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal, cooling gradually after Monday.

-- Rainfall will average 60 to 90 per cent of normal values, most of this will occur from Tuesday onwards.

-- Sunshine will average between 75 and 100 per cent of normal values, or about 4 to 6 hours a day on average.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly to mostly sunny from north to south, and quite warm especially inland from the east and north coasts which will have weak sea breezes cooling shoreline areas. Highs will range from about 19 C in some coastal locations to 25 C further inland and towards the west coast. The east coast cooling will probably be restricted to first 2-5 kms inland south of Dublin but may extend further inland in Meath, but it should be a very fine day for most anyway. Cloud over parts of Ulster could take a few hours to disperse.

TONIGHT will be generally clear with occasional cloud in the southwest, lows 8 to 12 C.

MONDAY will be another rather warm day with sunshine at first, some increase in cloud by afternoon, and scattered outbreaks of light rain by evening. Lows near 12 C and highs near 24 C.

TUESDAY will feature passing showers and slight risk of thunder, with lows near 15 C and highs near 22 C.

WEDNESDAY will be more unsettled with frequent showers, possibly adding up to 10 or even 15 mm of rain in some areas, and it will become rather breezy from the south to southwest at 30 to 50 km/hr. Lows near 15 C and highs near 19 or 20 C.

THURSDAY will see a few more showers, less frequent than Wednesday's outbreak, and highs near 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for some improvements briefly around Friday-Saturday and now it looks like that could extend well into Sunday before a return to the more unsettled conditions of midweek by Sunday night and Monday. Highs will remain close to late July normal values of 19 to 22 C or possibly a few degrees higher in parts of the south and east.

My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy and warm with a high near 27 C. Barry has moved inland but rain continues to feed in from the Gulf of Mexico. The remnants will take several days to break up over the lower Mississippi valley.

Tuesday, 16 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for week of 16 to 22 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal, perhaps 1.0 above normal in some northern counties.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25% above normal in the south.
-- Sunshine will average about 70 to 90 per cent of normal values, higher in the north central counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with showers, highs near 19 C north to 22 C south, and winds southwest 30 to 50 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY will be overcast with frequent showers, some heavy, and 10-15 mm rainfall potential. Lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C. Winds rather blustery at times, south to southwest 40 to 60 km/hr.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and cooler with a few showers and moderate westerly breezes, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C. Showers may be more frequent in Ulster and north Connacht than further south.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast in the north with chance of showers, highs near 18 C, and overcast with outbreaks of rain across the south where as much as 20 mm could fall, highs near 16 C. Light east to northeast breezes in most regions.

OUTLOOK for weekend of 20th-21st is for gradually clearing skies Saturday and some sunshine at times on Sunday, relatively warm again with highs back into the low 20s for the south and east, 17-19 C in west and north. There may be a few showers skirting the north and northwest coastal counties at times. Moderate south to southwest winds could become gusty at times in Ulster and Connacht. The following week is now looking rather warm as well with highs possibly reaching mid 20s.

My local weather on Monday was overcast with a touch of mid-day drizzle but essentially dry conditions, rather humid and around 19 C.

Full moon occurs later today but in Ireland there may be too much cloud to see it very often or at all, but if you do get a break in the cloud cover, you'll see Saturn very close to the full moon and brighter Jupiter off to their right if you're looking south around 11 p.m. to midnight.

Thursday, 18 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal, heaviest in the south.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 70 per cent of normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain sometimes heavier in Ulster, where another 5 mm may fall. It will be rather cool by recent standards with fresh westerly breezes 40 to 60 km/hr at times, highs 15 C north to 18 C south.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain returning after a brief dry interval, but heavier and more persistent in Munster. Fog and mist likely to develop, lows near 10 C.

FRIDAY will see outbreaks of moderate rain spreading north into the midlands and Leinster. Further north, showery light rain or drizzle at times with a few breaks. Generally light winds turning easterly. Rather warm and humid by afternoon, highs close to 20 C away from coasts where 16 to 18 C more likely.

SATURDAY will bring partial clearing to most areas with more persistent showers lingering in Ulster for at least the morning to mid-day, winds becoming westerly 30 to 50 km/hr, lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C north to 21 C south.

SUNDAY will become quite breezy to windy in Ulster and Connacht, winds south to southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by afternoon. Some light rain will come and go in Ulster and north Connacht, otherwise a dry day with a few sunny breaks in south and east, quite warm with highs reaching about 24 C inland south and east, 21 C west and north.

MONDAY will be warm and humid with rain later in the day or overnight into Tuesday morning, rather heavy in west Munster and Connacht. Highs will be 21 to 24 C.

OUTLOOK for the rest of next week is rather unsettled at first with the frontal band of rain making slow eastward progress Tuesday and further rain sweeping north around mid-week, possibly thundery, as it will remain warm and humid. Somewhat fresher and drier towards the end of the week.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with showers and highs near 18 C. It has been very warm and humid in central and eastern regions and a severe heat wave is being predicted for the weekend in east coast U.S. cities with highs 35 to 38 C and humidex values near 45 C.

Saturday, 20 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 July

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal. Monday and Tuesday will be warmest.
-- Rainfall will average near normal to perhaps 50% above normal in some western counties.
-- Sunshine will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal, best in the southeast.

FORECASTS

TODAY will become partly cloudy and breezy with winds northwest 40 to 60 km/hr. Showers will become isolated before ending completely for the latter part of the day and evening. Highs 17 to 21 C from north to south.

TONIGHT will see increasing cloud with some outbreaks of rain in northwestern counties, otherwise dry, and quite mild with lows 11 to 14 C.

SUNDAY will be warmer and quite humid, with outbreaks of heavy rain possible in Connacht and Ulster by late morning. Winds will be rather strong at times near Atlantic coasts (50 to 70 km/hr) and moderate southerly elsewhere (30 to 50 km/hr). Highs will reach 23 C in some parts of the inland south, midlands and Leinster, aided by some hazy sunshine at times, but 18 C in areas closer to the cloud and rain. There may be a more widespread interval of thundery rain at least reaching central counties late in the afternoon and early evening.

MONDAY will continue very warm and humid with southerly winds, a chance of heavy showers or thunderstorms mainly in western counties, although this may stay just offshore, with lows 15 to 18 C and highs 21 to 26 C.

TUESDAY will also be very warm and humid but with more widespread showers and thunderstorms developing, lows 15 to 18 C and highs 20 to 24 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY look unsettled with a gradual drop in temperatures as fronts move west to east, with further outbreaks of heavy showers at times. Highs will fall back to about 20 C. There could be some locally heavy rainfalls in the western counties and parts of the north, especially Donegal, Mayo, west Galway and Kerry.

The further outlook continues to change and now looks less likely to return to warm, humid conditions, rather staying partly cloudy to overcast and near normal in temperatures through the weekend of 27th-28th, with some showers at times.

My local weather on Friday was partly to mostly cloudy with one brief shower around mid-afternoon. The high was about 19 C. We are now expecting some warmer and sunny weather for a few days and could reach 30 C by mid-week here.

Monday, 22 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 July

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal, but the first three days will produce most of the warmth, it will be near normal after mid-week.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal, much of this will fall on Thursday.
-- Sunshine will average 60 to 80 per cent of normal values, possibly near normal in parts of the southeast, cloudier in Connacht and Ulster.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be very warm and humid with blustery south to southwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr near some coasts, 30 to 50 km/hr inland. Highs will reach 24 or 25 C away from south and west coasts which will have some persistent low cloud and perhaps drizzle, temperatures about 19 or 20 C.

TONIGHT will be muggy and partly cloudy with lows only falling to 17 C on average.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy, very warm and humid with highs 24 or 25 C, except closer to 20 C near south coast. Some showers may brush parts of the west coast and start to move further inland by evening.

WEDNESDAY will see some morning showers followed by sunny intervals, still quite warm with lows near 16 C and highs of about 22 or 23 C, winds not quite as blustery but moderate south to southwest at times. Rainfalls of about 5 mm likely.

THURSDAY will see frequent showers, some heavy with thunder possible, and 20-40 mm rainfalls, temperatures steady 17 to 19 C.

FRIDAY will bring gradual clearing with rain tapering to showers in the north during the morning, then isolated scattered showers later on in more of a westerly wind 40 to 60 km/hr, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue the trend of near normal temperatures and isolated showers.

My local weather was sunny start to finish with highs near 28 C. Severe heat and humidity (DC was 37 C, felt like 45 C, NYC and BOS about the same) continued in the eastern U.S. followed by widespread gusty thunderstorms, but a more organized area of heavy rainfall will move from current location in Missouri towards the Ohio valley and then the mid-Atlantic states in the next two days, bringing some flash flooding and ending the heat wave for the time being.