Originally Posted by julyjane
Sinn Féin did well getting one seat in Tipp, even with the latest polls it's hard to see them winning 2 but they might run 2 anyway. I wonder would Seamus Healy win his seat back and at who's expense. If Alan Kelly wins labour leadership vote he might do better this time
If there is an election in the next 12 months
Sinn Fein will run two candidates. Publically in the hope of taking two seats. In reality in the hope of getting someone coherent to take the seat and get Browne off the two seats in the front row of the Dail he is currently filling everytime Mary Lou is on Camera. They will hold one seat
FF will run 2 candidates. Cahill in the North and Ambrose in Clonmel to try and fill the gap left by Healy.
FG will run whichever of Aherne or Kate O'Connell's sister gets a senate seat. If neither win a senate seat then they will run Michael Murphy.
FF/FG will hold just one seat. Probably Cahill
Healy won't run. His organisation may run Pat English but he won't have the name recognition outside Clonmel.
Lowery will run and hold his seat
Kelly will run and hold his seat
Mattie will run and hold his seat.
No one else matters.