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02-04-2021, 19:00   #31
Gonzo
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Gonzo _________ 7.7 _ 23.1 _ -5.8 __ 088 __ 112 ___ 11.5 _ 2.3
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03-04-2021, 10:26   #32
Tae laidir
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Dublin Airport -1.9 yesterday.
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04-04-2021, 01:06   #33
M.T. Cranium
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Here are the bonus question forecasts re-arranged in order of Cork temperatures. The sunshine forecasts are arranged visually with the higher amounts further out to the right.

FORECASTER ____ Cork 4th max, sun


waterways _______14.7 ______ 8.5

Dasa29 _________ 14.0 _____ 7.0

Jpmarn _________ 13.8 ___ 5.5

CirrusBusiness ___ 13.7 ____ 6.5

WesternStorm ___ 13.5 ____ 6.8

Dacogawa _______13.4 ____ 6.2

200motels ______ 13.4 __ 4.1

Sunflower3 ______13.2 ___ 5.0

Artane2002 _____ 13.1 __ 4.3

sryanbruen ______13.1 __ 4.0

Pauldry _________13.0 ______ 8.3

Adam240610 ____12.9 ____ 6.0

john mac _______12.7 _ 2.5


___ Con Sensus __12.7 ___ 5.0


Eon1208 _______ 12.4 ___ 5.0

Appledrop ______ 12.3 ___ 5.0

Mr Stonewall ____ 12.3 _ 3.75

DOCARCH ______ 12.1 ____ 6.3

MrSkinner ______ 12.0 ___ 5.0

Kindred Spirit ___ 12.0 __ 4.0


___ NormaL _____12.0 _ 3.5


M.T. Cranium ____ 11.8 __ 4.8

Tae laidir _______ 11.8 __ 3.9

Gonzo __________11.5 _2.3

Joe Public _______11.4 __ 4.2

Bsal ____________ 9.0 _ 3.0

Danno __________ 8.4 ___ 5.2

____________________________________

This should make it easier to score the bonus results on Monday.

Would anyone revise if they could? I would go a bit warmer maybe 13.5.
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04-04-2021, 01:18   #34
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M.T yeah I'd also go warmer I'd agree with 13 5.

Hoping I'll do alright with 5 hours of sunshine though.
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04-04-2021, 16:43   #35
Tae laidir
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Cork 14deg at 16.00
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04-04-2021, 19:40   #36
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Cork 14.3c Max and quite a sunny day bar one or two hours and maybe an hour in morning and evening
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04-04-2021, 19:55   #37
M.T. Cranium
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The temperature portion can be scored now, if that's all true (and it looks right).

Groups of four (excluding Con Sensus and Normal) will get six, five etc points, one group (two points) will have five people since there's a tie at the last of its cohort.

Will post the actual numbers tomorrow when we can confirm that sunshine hours were as high as they appear from the hourlies, in which case the same logic will apply, four highest forecasts getting the six points. Gonzo won't be further penalized after late penalty, as his punt went a bit low to require a trim.

The four highest sunshine forecasts go to waterways (8.3), Pauldry (8.0), dasa29 (7.0) and Western Storm (6.5). Waterways would need the result to be 7.3 hours to stay in this top scoring group, Pauldry okay down to 7.2. So I'm not entirely sure the four high forecasts are the four closest, but it could be the case.

The bonus is being scored out of (6+6) to make superbonus points automatic, and if sunshine is high enough, waterways and dasa29 will total 12, Western Storm 11 and Cirrus Business either 11 or 12.
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05-04-2021, 11:06   #38
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Cork Max 14.3°C sun 11.4 hours
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05-04-2021, 11:40   #39
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So, converting the forecast table into a scoring table ...

FORECASTER ___ temp _ sun _ total points

waterways _______6 ___ 6 ____ 12

Dasa29 _________ 6 ___ 6 ____ 12

CirrusBusiness ___ 6 ___ 5 ____ 11

WesternStorm ___ 5 ___ 6 ____ 11

Jpmarn _________6 ___ 4 ____ 10

Dacogawa ______ 5 ___ 5 ____ 10

Pauldry _________4 ___ 6 ____ 10

Adam240610 ____4 ___ 5 _____ 9

Sunflower3 ______5 ___ 4 _____ 9

200motels ______ 5 ___ 3 _____ 8

Artane2002 _____ 4 ___ 3 _____ 7

Eon1208 _______ 3 ___ 4 _____ 7

Appledrop ______ 3 ___ 4 _____ 7

DOCARCH ______ 2 ___ 5 _____ 7


___ Con Sensus __3 ___ 4 _____ 7


MrSkinner ______ 2 ___ 4 _____ 6

sryanbruen ______4 ___ 2 _____ 6

Mr Stonewall ____ 3 ___ 2 _____ 5

M.T. Cranium ____ 2 ___ 3 _____ 5

Danno __________1 ___ 4 _____ 5

Tae laidir _______ 2 ___ 2 _____ 4

Joe Public _______1 ___ 3 _____ 4

john mac _______3 ___ 1 _____ 4

Kindred Spirit ___ 2 ___ 2 _____ 4


___ NormaL _____2 ___ 2 _____ 4


Gonzo __________1 ___ 1 _____ 2

Bsal ___________ 1 ___ 1 _____ 2

____________________________________

The warmest and sunniest forecasts scored best, congrats to waterways and dasa29.
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05-04-2021, 13:03   #40
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Thanks M.T not too bad, I thought I would get about 2 points!

I'm the glad the people of Cork got a much sunnier and warm Easter Sunday than was initially predicted!
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05-04-2021, 16:06   #41
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Cold front arrived later than I expected. Great bonus question.
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06-04-2021, 09:32   #42
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New min -3.6 at Casement on 5th.
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08-04-2021, 11:55   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tae laidir View Post
Cold front arrived later than I expected. Great bonus question.
I based my guess on the various forecasts that were around a few days beforehand. Generally anything from 12 to 14°c were quoted for Cork. I anticipate the early part of the day would be sunny and it would cloud up during the afternoon and early evening. With over 11hours of Sun it must be almost wall to wall sunshine. Forecasts are never 100% accurate.
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08-04-2021, 18:42   #44
M.T. Cranium
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After the first week ...

IMT was 6.1 which is 2.0 below normal.

MAX 21.2 and MIN -3.6.

PRC only 17% of normal.

SUN was 163% of normal (976/600).

Bonus scoring already settled (above).
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10-04-2021, 19:55   #45
M.T. Cranium
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A new MIN likely set with numerous reports of -4 early today. Any official numbers available yet?
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