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M.T. Cranium · 22-03-2021, 19:44

After three weeks ...

IMT on 6.7 with the third week warm, 8.8 C (+1.7 C).

MAX 16.1 and MIN -3.5

PRC down to 76% of normal, with the week quite dry (10% of normal).

SUN edged up to 93% with the third week fairly bright at 108.5% (651/600).

Bonus scoring shown in previous post, 14.9 at Johnstown Castle with Phoenix Park our contest best location.

appledrop · 28-03-2021, 18:28

It's looking like we will have a new Max on Monday or Tuesday of 17 or 18 degrees to finish our March contest.

M.T. Cranium · 28-03-2021, 22:06

Yes looks that way. Update tomorrow but after 27 days the IMT on 6.9, each day that averages 10 will add 0.1 to that (more precisely, 9.7 today, 9.9 tomorrow, 10.0 Tuesday and 10.1 Wed would add 0.1 each day). So if it's warmer than that more would be added, don't think it will be much warmer so outcome most likely to be 7.3 C.

Nqp15hhu · 29-03-2021, 16:50

Only 36mm of rain here so far, well below average.

appledrop · 29-03-2021, 17:01

Met Eireann reporting on twitter that Phoneix Park reached 17.5 today.

We will see if that's confirmed in official stats tomorrow.

M.T. Cranium · 29-03-2021, 17:54

After four weeks ...

IMT soared to 7.1, the week averaged 8.1 (0.7 above normal). IMT could end up as high as 7.4 C.

MAX could now be higher (17.5?) but had stayed 16.1 to today's reading, and MIN remains on -3.5 C.

PRC has increased to 90% of normal with the weekly average at our eleven locations 131% (Sunday was rather wet at some locations). Since it looks rather dry away from the northwest, the current rainfalls represent a finish of about 80 per cent of normal. Projected finish is 83%. The deficit is mainly in the southeast, the stations from Shannon to Mullingar and north have reached close to their monthly normals, the five south of that are closer to half in most cases. Belmullet and Malin Head may add some over the remainder of the month.

SUN has dipped back to 87% with this last week only 68% (407/600). Better sunshine tomorrow perhaps but the 31st rather cloudy so would estimate the finish close to 85%.

appledrop · 30-03-2021, 08:47

Max 17.5 confirmed at Phoneix Park yesterday.

M.T. Cranium · 30-03-2021, 20:51

I see numerous 17 hourly reports today, any news?

appledrop · 30-03-2021, 22:27

Quote:

Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium

I see numerous 17 hourly reports today, any news?

Joanna said on 9pm weather forecast that it reached 17.8 at Mt Dillion today.

On Met Eireann twitter it reported that 17.6 was max today at Mt. Dillion.

Either way today is our new max we will just have to wait until the morning for confirmed max!

appledrop · 31-03-2021, 08:50

New Max confirmed 17.6 Mt Dillion on 30th.

John mac · 31-03-2021, 20:57

must to have gotten to 7.8° here today

(wet and misty west..)

appledrop · 31-03-2021, 21:04

Quote:

Originally Posted by John mac

must to have gotten to 7.8° here today

(wet and misty west..)

Don't worry John Mac all change tomorrow according to Met Eireann 6pm weather forecast.

East will be the colder only around 11 degrees but Munster/ West could reach 18/ 19 degrees!

Watch this space.

M.T. Cranium · 31-03-2021, 22:28

Will post some final values tomorrow mid-day but IMT will be 7.7 I think, it soared to 7.5 after yesterday, and most of the locations ran warm today as well. There are a few 17 hourly obs (Moorepark and Oak Park) so could see an incremental change in the MAX also.

M.T. Cranium · 01-04-2021, 14:51

IMT finished on 7.6 and PRC is 87% of normal (above in the north slightly, also at Shannon, considerably below in the southeast). Will figure out SUN later and post some provisional scoring as I would imagine the MS could be delayed until after the weekend.

M.T. Cranium · 02-04-2021, 08:47

Will be posting some provisional scoring in about an hour or two, just thinking that the MS unlikely to appear today and even Monday might be a further delay if that's considered a holiday, which would mean waiting to the 6th to confirm values mostly already known.

The sunshine total for the six locations over 29th to 31st was 76.2 hours, a blend of rather cloudy skies on 29th in general and near west coast throughout, and full on sunshine at times in the east. That is an average of 4.2 hours per location, probably just above the normal amount by perhaps 10%, so blending that with the 87% calculated to 28th gives us 90% as an estimate for SUN. That's the variable that I most often revise from estimates. Otherwise then a perfect scorecard reads

7.6 __ 17.6 _ -3.5 _ 087 _ 090 ___ 14.9 JCas

(that would have been worth 102 points -- let's see how we did then ...)

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22-03-2021, 19:44	#46
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	After three weeks ... IMT on 6.7 with the third week warm, 8.8 C (+1.7 C). MAX 16.1 and MIN -3.5 PRC down to 76% of normal, with the week quite dry (10% of normal). SUN edged up to 93% with the third week fairly bright at 108.5% (651/600). Bonus scoring shown in previous post, 14.9 at Johnstown Castle with Phoenix Park our contest best location.

28-03-2021, 18:28	#47
appledrop Registered User Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,020 Adverts \| Friends	It's looking like we will have a new Max on Monday or Tuesday of 17 or 18 degrees to finish our March contest.

28-03-2021, 22:06	#48
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	Yes looks that way. Update tomorrow but after 27 days the IMT on 6.9, each day that averages 10 will add 0.1 to that (more precisely, 9.7 today, 9.9 tomorrow, 10.0 Tuesday and 10.1 Wed would add 0.1 each day). So if it's warmer than that more would be added, don't think it will be much warmer so outcome most likely to be 7.3 C.

29-03-2021, 16:50	#49
Nqp15hhu Banned Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 2,217 Adverts \| Friends	Only 36mm of rain here so far, well below average.

29-03-2021, 17:01	#50
appledrop Registered User Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,020 Adverts \| Friends	Met Eireann reporting on twitter that Phoneix Park reached 17.5 today. We will see if that's confirmed in official stats tomorrow.

29-03-2021, 17:54	#51
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	After four weeks ... IMT soared to 7.1, the week averaged 8.1 (0.7 above normal). IMT could end up as high as 7.4 C. MAX could now be higher (17.5?) but had stayed 16.1 to today's reading, and MIN remains on -3.5 C. PRC has increased to 90% of normal with the weekly average at our eleven locations 131% (Sunday was rather wet at some locations). Since it looks rather dry away from the northwest, the current rainfalls represent a finish of about 80 per cent of normal. Projected finish is 83%. The deficit is mainly in the southeast, the stations from Shannon to Mullingar and north have reached close to their monthly normals, the five south of that are closer to half in most cases. Belmullet and Malin Head may add some over the remainder of the month. SUN has dipped back to 87% with this last week only 68% (407/600). Better sunshine tomorrow perhaps but the 31st rather cloudy so would estimate the finish close to 85%.

30-03-2021, 08:47	#52
appledrop Registered User Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,020 Adverts \| Friends	Max 17.5 confirmed at Phoneix Park yesterday.

30-03-2021, 20:51	#53
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	I see numerous 17 hourly reports today, any news?

31-03-2021, 08:50	#55
appledrop Registered User Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 3,020 Adverts \| Friends	New Max confirmed 17.6 Mt Dillion on 30th.

31-03-2021, 20:57	#56
John mac Registered User Join Date: Aug 2001 Posts: 4,591 Adverts \| Friends	must to have gotten to 7.8° here today (wet and misty west..)

31-03-2021, 22:28	#58
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	Will post some final values tomorrow mid-day but IMT will be 7.7 I think, it soared to 7.5 after yesterday, and most of the locations ran warm today as well. There are a few 17 hourly obs (Moorepark and Oak Park) so could see an incremental change in the MAX also.

01-04-2021, 14:51	#59
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	IMT finished on 7.6 and PRC is 87% of normal (above in the north slightly, also at Shannon, considerably below in the southeast). Will figure out SUN later and post some provisional scoring as I would imagine the MS could be delayed until after the weekend.

02-04-2021, 08:47	#60
M.T. Cranium Registered User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 11,938 Adverts \| Friends	Will be posting some provisional scoring in about an hour or two, just thinking that the MS unlikely to appear today and even Monday might be a further delay if that's considered a holiday, which would mean waiting to the 6th to confirm values mostly already known. The sunshine total for the six locations over 29th to 31st was 76.2 hours, a blend of rather cloudy skies on 29th in general and near west coast throughout, and full on sunshine at times in the east. That is an average of 4.2 hours per location, probably just above the normal amount by perhaps 10%, so blending that with the 87% calculated to 28th gives us 90% as an estimate for SUN. That's the variable that I most often revise from estimates. Otherwise then a perfect scorecard reads 7.6 __ 17.6 _ -3.5 _ 087 _ 090 ___ 14.9 JCas (that would have been worth 102 points -- let's see how we did then ...)