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Typhoon Neoguri

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  • 05-07-2014 1:55pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 12,957 ✭✭✭✭


    Western Pacific: Typhoon Neoguri quickly strengthened to Cat 4, and will soon be Cat 5. The current track has it hitting Okinawa as Cat 5, then weakening to Cat 4 before it strikes southern Japan.

    650x366_07042044_hd26-1.jpg

    wp201408.gif

    One to watch, methinks!

    From out there on the moon, international politics look so petty. You want to grab a politician by the scruff of the neck and drag him a quarter of a million miles out and say, ‘Look at that, you son of a bitch’.

    — Edgar Mitchell, Apollo 14 Astronaut



Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 20,340 ✭✭✭✭Rikand




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    It's a monster!

    Ryan Maue is talking about it on Twitter & he's saying that its one of the largest wind fields he's seen
    GFS 00z initialized Typhoon #Neogurl at 931 mb -- intensifies it to 922 mb. http://pic.twitter.com/kUERuBfADe


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,325 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    The good news is that the typhoon should pass between islands in the Okinawa prefecture roughly two-thirds of the 150 km gap between Okinawa and Miyako islands, placing Miyako on the weaker northerly wind side, and Okinawa far enough to the east that wind speeds should peak around cat-1 hurricane intensity (the storm itself will probably peak near the boundary of cat-2 and cat-3 using North Atlantic reference, or 90-100 knots gusting 130-150 knots. This will likely happen about 24 hours from now).

    It is currently early morning Tuesday 8 July in Japan and they are eight hours ahead of Irish summer time (in JST). By Tuesday evening there, winds should be peaking from the south in western Okinawa (island) which includes the large capital city of Naha. I am expecting maximum sustained winds of 60-70 knots and gusts to 100.

    Somewhat stronger winds are expected to hit the smaller offshore island of Kume-jima (population about 10,000) which is about 50 km northwest of Naha. They could see cat-2 conditions and a large storm surge, and most of the population there lives on the exposed southern side of that island.

    I haven't looked at the later evolution of this storm yet, but once it passes these islands it would be two days before it gets very close to land in either South Korea or western Japan.

    Will keep a close eye on projections but at the moment, the eye is expected to move due north in perhaps the best location relative to the two larger islands, and while there is bound to be some minor damage and possible mudslides or flooding, things could be worse.

    Radar loop shows outer bands sweeping over Okinawa island now:

    http://www.jma.go.jp/en/radnowc/


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,957 ✭✭✭✭bnt


    Neoguri had weakened to Cat 3 by the time it passed Okinawa, and will weaken further before it hits Japan. The big worry now is heavy rain which could cause flooding or landslides.

    From out there on the moon, international politics look so petty. You want to grab a politician by the scruff of the neck and drag him a quarter of a million miles out and say, ‘Look at that, you son of a bitch’.

    — Edgar Mitchell, Apollo 14 Astronaut



  • Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    Some of the pics from the ISS posted on Jeff Masters' blog are amazing http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2721

    neoguri-jul8-wrinkle2.jpg
    neoguri-jul7-wrinkle.jpg


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,325 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I just noticed on a weather map from Japan met service that a tropical storm has recently become a cat-1 typhoon while moving west near Manila. (Manila enveloped by typhoon) ... would look into this further but very very sleepy here after a hot day, perhaps somebody interested in these west Pacific systems could give some details.

    Here's a link anyway:

    http://www.jma.go.jp/en/g3/


  • Registered Users Posts: 20,340 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Rammusan, saw it yesterday aswell. Done some damage already and it aint finished yet. Looks to be heading towards Vietnam and theres another couple of storms starting to develop east of the philippines that may track that way as well in the coming days

    Ramussan Gif from this morning as it leaves the Phillipines

    ir_lalo-animated.gif

    avn_lalo-animated.gif


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