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IRENE (Nine)

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  • 07-08-2005 4:03pm
    #1
    billy the squid
    Registered Users Posts: 12,811 ✭✭✭✭


    All tropical depressions this year look like they are going to become named storms. TD 9 is now Irene
    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 071444
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    11 AM AST SUN AUG 07 2005

    ...NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE CENTRAL
    ATLANTIC...EARLIEST NINTH STORM ON RECORD...

    AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST OR ABOUT
    1160 MILES...1865 KM... EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

    IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
    ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
    24 HOURS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. IRENE REMAINS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND LITTLE
    CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
    ... 75 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

    REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...20.5 N... 45.5 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
    WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

    FORECASTER FRANKLIN

    map
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0905W5+gif/145036W_sm.gif

    It did look earlier as though it would head towards bermuda, making it the third storm to do so, but now it looks like it will be a fish instead.


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  • Options
    #2
    billy the squid
    Registered Users Posts: 12,811 ✭✭✭✭billy the squid


    Now upgraded to hurricane status and set to become extratropical.

    NHC forcast
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0905W5+gif/084624W_sm.gif

    All computer Models
    http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_09.gif


  • Options
    #3
    billy the squid
    Registered Users Posts: 12,811 ✭✭✭✭billy the squid


    For the past few days Irene has been forcast to weaken and turn to the northeast. what does she go and do? strengthens to a category two hurricane and keeps going east.

    It may not hit any land, but it would be fun to see how wrong the forcasts are
    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 162027
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 49
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    5 PM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

    ...IRENE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...THREAT TO SHIPPING...

    AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST OR ABOUT 830
    MILES...1335 KM... SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

    IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A
    GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.

    SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
    INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE
    IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
    FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

    REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...36.5 N... 61.6 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...EAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    11 PM AST.

    FORECASTER PASCH

    $$



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