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22-04-2019, 15:17   #1
M.T. Cranium
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May 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

Due to a planned absence from the internet from now (bye) to the 30th or possibly later, I am posting the May contest early. If somebody reading this would perhaps bump it to the top of the menu around the 28th, that would be helpful.

1. Predict the IMT (Irish Mean Temperature), the average for five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park and Shannon. The 1981-2010 normal value for May is 11.1 C. (max 25 points)

2. Predict the MAX (highest temperature at any regular reporting site as confirmed in the Monthly Summary of Met-Eireann) during May. (max 20 points)

3. Predict the MIN (lowest temperature etc, see above) (max 20 points)

4. Predict the PRC in May (rainfall and liquid equivalent of any frozen precip) as a percentage of normal values. The baseline for this is a grid of eleven stations, the five mentioned in part one above, and also Belmullet, Malin Head, Valentia, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle, and Cork. (max 15 points)

5. Predict the SUN (sunshine) for May as a percentage of normal values at six locations (Casement, Dublin, Belmullet, Cork, Shannon, Valentia). (max 10 points)

6. For a BONUS question (10 points), what will be the heaviest 24 hour rainfall (mm) and on what day of the week (you have four or five chances to be right) ... amount is worth seven of ten points and day is worth three, two for being a day out and one for being two days out on that. Superbonus of 1 or 2 available.

The usual late penalties will apply after 0300h Wednesday 1st of May. Good luck!

Just in case these are default entries (may totally revise mine) ...

MTC __________ 10.8 _ 24.0 _ -1.5 _ 140 _ 090 ___ 45.0 _ Thursday

Normal ________ 11.1 _ 25.0 _ -1.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 40.0 _ weekend (j/k)

Good luck !!
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26-04-2019, 00:59   #2
Bsal
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Bsal ________ 11.5 _ 24.5 _ -0.5 _ 88 _ 120 ___ 32.0 _ Wednesday
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28-04-2019, 23:51   #3
Rikand
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Rikand ____ 12.0 ___ 25.0 ___ 0.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 25.0 Sunday (when I'll probably be on the golf course)
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29-04-2019, 12:02   #4
pauldry
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Pauldry____ 11.5 ___ 24.2 ___ 0.2___ 110___ 97 ___ 39.0 Monday

Last edited by pauldry; 29-04-2019 at 21:30.
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30-04-2019, 08:52   #5
200motels
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200motels_ 11.6_ 23_ -0.5 _ 92__110 ___ 24 Friday
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30-04-2019, 09:43   #6
rameire
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Rameire____ 11.7 ___ 23.4 ___ 0.5___ 107___ 99 ___ 23.0 Wednesday
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30-04-2019, 18:04   #7
Joe Public
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Joe Public__________ 11.3 _ 25.6 _ -2.7 _ 119 _ 96 ___ 47.2 _ Friday
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30-04-2019, 18:46   #8
sunflower3
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Suflower3 ________ 11.8 _ 24.0 _ 0.2_ 88_ 102 ___ 25 _tuesday
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30-04-2019, 19:06   #9
Artane2002
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Artane2002 __________ 11.5 _ 24.0 _ -1.3 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 23.0 _ Friday

If changing something isn't allowed, then my original minimum temperature was -0.3c

Last edited by Artane2002; 30-04-2019 at 20:33.
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30-04-2019, 19:56   #10
sryanbruen
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sryanbruen __________ 10.6 _ 22.8 _ -3.1 _ 110 _ 090 ___ 32.0 _ Friday

Hopefully reverse psychology works for the third May in a row as I predicted poor Mays in 2017 and 2018
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30-04-2019, 20:37   #11
John mac
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john mac 12.1 _ 26.3 _ -0.9_ 103 _ 110 ___ 42.0 _ saturday (newport)
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30-04-2019, 20:40   #12
kindredspirit
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Kindred Spirit ___ 11.6 ___ 25 ___ 0.5 ___ 110 ___ 115 ___ 30 ___ Wednesday.
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30-04-2019, 20:45   #13
JCX BXC
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JCXBXC__________ 11.6 _ 24.9 _ -2.2 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 22.0 _ Saturday
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30-04-2019, 21:11   #14
waterways
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waterways ________ 11.2 _ 26.0 _ -3.0 _ 130 _ 88 ___ 50.0 _ Monday. Monday! Or was it Tuesday?
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30-04-2019, 22:05   #15
DOCARCH
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DOCARCH __________ 11.6 _ 24.2 _ -1.8 _ 090 _ 110 ___ 14.2 _ Thursday
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