Sunday, 13 October, 2019
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 October, 2019
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 25% above normal in many areas, possibly 50% or more above in west Munster.
-- Sunshine will average 80 to 110 per cent of normal.
TODAY will start with some outbreaks of rain in Leinster and partly cloudy skies in most other areas. A few scattered outbreaks of light rain will develop in those initially dry locations while the early rain will drift further north while weakening. Highs 11 to 14 C. Rainfalls 3 to 7 mm.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with isolated showers in most areas, but moderate to heavy rain may develop near the southwest coasts. This will move gradually north and also will spread further east by morning. Lows 4 to 7 C.
MONDAY will likely be quite wet in parts of Munster and possibly south Leinster, although the situation remains a little uncertain; a rather small-scale low is expected to loop around near Kerry and some of its heavier rain may remain off the coast. There is potential for 15-30 mm rainfalls whether on land or not, and some local flooding if this hits higher terrain in west Munster. Many other areas could have a largely dry day with outbreaks of scattered showers giving smaller amounts further north. Highs 10 to 13 C.
TUESDAY will start out dry in many areas but rain will spread in from the Atlantic and it will become rather windy, southerly gales near the west coast and 50-80 km/hr further east. About 15-25 mm rain can be expected with this front, and temperatures will be steady 12-14 C.
WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy, blustery with southwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr, showers with some hail possible. Highs near 12 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with passing showers and cool west to northwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr, lows around 6 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
There is little change in the unsettled pattern beyond the end of the week, although one or two dry days may come along in the mix as the distance between systems looks to be increasing further ahead. Some very cold air is lurking over Scandinavia at times during the second week of the forecast period and could be making a run towards Britain if not Ireland later in the month.
My local weather was partly cloudy to overcast but dry, and cool with highs of about 7 C. There are some clear intervals tonight here and glimpses of the full moon, which is more precisely timed for Sunday at 2209h IST (2109 UTC). You may get a view of it in some places this evening.