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View Poll Results: What impact will the sun's deep minima have on the future climate?
Climate getting progressively cooler through next solar cycles 273 43.54%
No impact 138 22.01%
Global warming is here to stay 113 18.02%
Calm before the solar storm of 2012-2013 103 16.43%
Voters: 627. You may not vote on this poll

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20-02-2019, 16:58   #736
BLIZZARD7
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Fast approaching 08/09 levels at the moment with 20 days in a row blank -


Current Stretch: 20 days
2019 total: 34 days (67%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)
Updated 20 Feb 2019
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20-02-2019, 20:58   #737
Mad_Lad
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blanch152 View Post
but that we will return to the global warming scenario then.
Imagine that, the Earth warming up again after a cold decade or two perhaps more ! ......................
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25-02-2019, 18:25   #738
BLIZZARD7
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25 consecutive days on the blink now - A blank February thus far. 7 more days to match the longest blank streak from the last solar minimum I believe (32 days) - Certainly a possibility at this stage...




Current Stretch: 25 days
2019 total: 39 days (70%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)
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28-02-2019, 09:58   #739
BLIZZARD7
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A whole calendar month without Sunspots now, on par with 08' levels currently!


Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 28 days
2019 total: 43 days (73%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)
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28-02-2019, 10:19   #740
Mad_Lad
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Any more news about that big flare ?
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28-02-2019, 11:17   #741
BLIZZARD7
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We have a bit to run to come close to the longest blank streak from 08-09, I think it was actually 52 consecutive blank days, not 32 as mentioned above.
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28-02-2019, 13:05   #742
PokeHerKing
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BLIZZARD7
Spotless Days Current Stretch: 28 days 2019 total: 43 days (73%) 2018 total: 221 days (61%) 2017 total: 104 days (28%) 2016 total: 32 days (9%) 2015 total: 0 days (0%) 2014 total: 1 day (

Quote:
Originally Posted by BLIZZARD7
A whole calendar month without Sunspots now, on par with 08' levels currently!
Is there an archive on spaceweather where you could pull up a similar list to the above for say the last 50+ years?
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28-02-2019, 13:43   #743
damino
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List of years with most consecutive spotless days.
Attached Images
File Type: png SC25_periods.png (443.0 KB, 44 views)
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28-02-2019, 13:55   #744
bazlers
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Quote:
Originally Posted by damino View Post
List of years with most consecutive spotless days.
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/Educational/2/3/6
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01-03-2019, 19:38   #745
sryanbruen
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https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...62691309719552
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02-03-2019, 13:15   #746
dolanbaker
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This solar minimum looks like it's going to be really deep as predicted.
Quote:
http://spaceweather.com/
A MONTH WITHOUT SUNSPOTS: There are 28 days in February. This year, all 28 of them were spotless. The sun had no sunspots for the entire month of Feb. 2019. This is how the solar disk looked every day:

The last time a full calendar month passed without a sunspot was August 2008. At the time, the sun was in the deepest Solar Minimum of the Space Age. Now a new Solar Minimum is in progress and it is shaping up to be similarly deep. So far this year, the sun has been blank 73% of the time--the same as 2008.
Edit:
just to add this

Last edited by dolanbaker; 02-03-2019 at 18:55.
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04-03-2019, 15:35   #747
BLIZZARD7
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Definitely looking like a deep one - Running at 75% blank so far for 2019, Day 32 in a row. Radio Sun: SFU @ 70



Current Stretch: 32 days
2019 total: 47 days (75%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)
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04-03-2019, 15:41   #748
BLIZZARD7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by damino View Post
List of years with most consecutive spotless days.
Well we've matched the last solar cycle's consecutive blank run going off this, only problem with this stat is there hasn't been a consistent method of recording sunspots historically and so theres some argument over these counts.

There's no doubt this is a deep minimum though and the next 6-12 months should be quite telling in just how sharp a decline we are looking at this time.

Last edited by BLIZZARD7; 05-03-2019 at 11:44.
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04-03-2019, 22:10   #749
bazlers
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I take it then Blizzard your interest in the sunspot numbers is because you believe it will effect our future weather?

Percentage wise how big an influence do you believe this to be if we are indeed heading into a deep solar minumum, and what years do you believe it will be most felt?
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05-03-2019, 19:51   #750
nacho libre
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I am hoping there is a lag effect which means the winter of 2019/20 will be a cold one.
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