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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2018 / 2019 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • #332
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,114 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Mortelaro wrote: »
    A snowmaker of a northeasterly for east leinster if ever you saw one for next thursday,notice how it's the same day again so creeping closer not further away ,happy with that all ?

    UKMO?

    Always good to have that onboard


  • #333
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    pad199207 wrote: »
    UKMO?

    Always good to have that onboard

    Yes


  • #334
    Darwin
    Registered Users Posts: 2,656 ✭✭✭Darwin


    UKMO: Quite a westward flattening of the azores high allowing the NW/SE slider to potentially deliver the goods for Eastern parts on Wednesday. GFS doesn't flatten it as much, so will be interesting to see what the ECM puts out later.


  • #335
    hatrickpatrick
    Registered Users Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    Feckin FV3 is stuck again. This has been happening a lot recently, hopefully they get it resolved before the 18Z later so it doesn't just get overwritten before we can look at it properly


  • #336
    Reckless Abandonment
    Registered Users Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    GFSP firing some real cold into europe
    2rr2p1y.png


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  • #337
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Ok GFS 18z with the full on reversal pretty much. Imagine this continued. I still think its going to be more of the icon route however that high looks like it will be hard enough to shift.

    image.png.5d8cdfecbc26bb5396fffd41d4d32bac.png

    Snowshield? What snowshield?

    210-574UK.GIF.789db02687b669380efeb847e125c745.GIF


  • #338
    Strangegravy
    Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    That is one pretty F.I run for cold lovers, streamers galore with that one... :)

    anim_xxw9.gif


  • #339
    patneve2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    With sub -40 air at 500 hPa anything is possible. Pity the ECM is so different at the same time range


    GFSOPEU18_201_1.png


  • #340
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,130 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    6 days out... come to papa. 3/4 days of snow and sub-zero day temperatures will do me.


  • #341
    Strangegravy
    Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    Backs off again on the 0Z, but it comes in again in the next few frames after these - rollercoaster anybody? :D

    Again, these are all F.I. charts, even the best charts at this range will chop and change
    so don't worry- good news is that massive cold pool in Europe is just building away there, waiting to be tapped into...

    anim_czg6.gif


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  • #342
    highdef
    Registered Users Posts: 6,129 ✭✭✭highdef


    I actually think the latest GFS run is very good. Yes, on the face of it, is a lot worse looking than yesterday evenings run however the proper cold pool is literally right on the door step of the east for much of the second half of the run. Yes, this may move further and further away in each subsequent run, at which point I will lose optimism however the current set of charts are screaming of potential.
    Let's see what the next (just about to begin) and subsequent run or two come up before seeing any possible changes of trends. One less good run on its own is rarely to be trusted.


  • #343
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    highdef wrote: »
    I actually think the latest GFS run is very good. Yes, on the face of it, is a lot worse looking than yesterday evenings run however the proper cold pool is literally right on the door step of the east for much of the second half of the run. Yes, this may move further and further away in each subsequent run, at which point I will lose optimism however the current set of charts are screaming of potential.
    Let's see what the next (just about to begin) and subsequent run or two come up before seeing any possible changes of trends. One less good run on its own is rarely to be trusted.

    Agreed. I think this is a delay but with an even better outcome ultimately.


  • #344
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,096 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Don't look at the 06Z whatever you do!

    Poor models this morning.


  • #345
    Strangegravy
    Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Don't look at the 06Z whatever you do!

    Poor models this morning.

    I remember from previous setups like this, that there can be significant changes even as close as 96hrs... I think this F.I thread for the next few weeks will be enter at your own risk... Good or Bad charts! :D


  • #346
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,870 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Met Eireann going 5 to 9c most of next week.

    I think it will be borderline all week with hail and sleet sticking to make a wintry appearance

    Even tomorrow nights -5c is now -2c so may not see the blood moon if its too foggy.


  • #347
    Marengo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭Marengo


    pauldry wrote: »
    Met Eireann going 5 to 9c most of next week.

    I think it will be borderline all week with hail and sleet sticking to make a wintry appearance

    Even tomorrow nights -5c is now -2c so may not see the blood moon if its too foggy.

    As much as I hate to say it, being a cold/snow and heatwave man, if the issue is 50/50 with regard to cold v mild, mild wins 9/10 times.

    You need the chance of cold to be 80/20 to even the odds :)


  • #348
    Marengo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭Marengo


    gfs-0-228.png?18

    GFS 18Z

    Out in mid FI, 10 days away, hints of Atlantic blocking.


  • #349
    Marengo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭Marengo


    gfs-0-240.png?18

    More pronounced at 10 days.


    ECM1-240.GIF?19-0

    ECM remarkably similar at 10 days.. GFS better heights over Greenland.


  • #350
    Marengo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭Marengo


    Possibly both models showing signs of the negative NAO forecast at the end of the month?


  • #351
    Marengo
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭Marengo


    Posted some in the FI thread. GFS 18Z really getting going at the end of the month..

    gfs-0-288.png?18


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  • #352
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Looks like the couple of milder days at the end of the week will be brief with a colder air mass again moving down from the N / NW into the early days of next week.

    ECM, GFS and GEM all similar. Nothing too stand out but similar to the coming couple of days with a wintry mix looks most likely to me.

    mK5gLKf.png


    KhCgiyt.png

    SF3jP8B.png


  • #353
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    GFS 06z seems to be showing a NE'rly now, but its pushing into the start of Feb. Cold constantly being pushed back it seems.

    06_360_ukthickness850.png.f7c81de3ff2c1f98cae76afb1f31205a.png


  • #354
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    SleetAndSnow wrote: »
    GFS 06z seems to be showing a NE'rly now, but its pushing into the start of Feb. Cold constantly being pushed back it seems.

    06_360_ukthickness850.png.f7c81de3ff2c1f98cae76afb1f31205a.png

    Not even worth looking at ..


  • #355
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Snowbiee21 wrote: »
    Not even worth looking at ..

    Yep but hey, what else is a FI thread for if not to be heartbroken on the next run :p


  • #356
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    SleetAndSnow wrote: »
    Yep but hey, what else is a FI thread for if not to be heartbroken on the next run :p

    FI charts in a FI thread. What were you thinking?!

    Anyway met office uk outlook still looks wintry from the north/north east the week after this. Let’s hope we can get in on the action.


  • #357
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Alas, its time for more proof that the models are pretty much drunk all the time.

    Icon 0z:
    E100C170-46E4-4016-80F6-4590628024E9.png.56436d867d2bf1c670f88d3f475b537f.png

    Icon 12z:
    37FB1A09-3EE7-4AAD-8C10-189E126A0C02.png.2473f5e407ef8a5967b20499334e6538.png


  • #358
    Billcarson
    Registered Users Posts: 1,500 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    A northerly for next weekend the next hunt for cold and snow. Bet the models will firm up on this during the week.


  • #359
    Reckless Abandonment
    Registered Users Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Northerly for this day week, uppers a little dodgy Edit they improve 9zqfqa.png


  • #360
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,624 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    SleetAndSnow wrote: »
    GFS 06z seems to be showing a NE'rly now, but its pushing into the start of Feb. Cold constantly being pushed back it seems.

    It does seem that way. THE UKMO in their latest long range update yet again push back the date of the arrival of snowy cold weather. If by this time next week they are talking about the middle to end of February for it to arrive, I give up!


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  • #361
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    nacho libre wrote: »
    It does seem that way. THE UKMO in their latest long range update yet again push back the date of the arrival of snowy cold weather. If by this time next week they are talking about the middle to end of February for it to arrive, I give up!

    Remember that last year we had 2 metre snowdrifts on the first of March. I won't be losing any sleep if the weather is mild but won't be losing hope for snow until near Paddy's day.


This discussion has been closed.
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