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Another potential wind-storm Thursday AM 4-1-18

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245

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    #32
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Any update on the Friday morning system or perhaps that is for another thread?


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    #33
    aisling86
    Registered Users Posts: 584 ✭✭✭aisling86


    squarecircles wrote:
    Something brewing me thinks.

    I definitely think so, it's so still outside tonight in cork its weird.


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    #34
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Kind of akin to Eleanor


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    #35
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The 18Z WRF -NMM and GFS showing less strong winds, the 18Z ICON something like the other European models.

    And look at these sneaky Lows showing up on the HIRLAM . Much further S on the French Models.


    hirlamuk-2-24-0_wki9.png

    hirlamuk-2-30-0_trt7.png


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    #36
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    EURO4 beginning to roll out, a little deeper and sharper than the 12z to this point.

    Probably at its most threatening tomorrow as it clears into the Irish Sea around lunchtime...

    18010412_2_0318.gif

    18010412_2_0318.gif


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    #37
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Latest from met eireann...

    Met eireann mentioning that it will become extremely windy in Munster and south Leinster tonight,very windy, particularly in the south And west tomorrow with squalls.


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    #38
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    squarecircles wrote: »
    Latest from met eireann...

    Met eireann mentioning that it will become extremely windy in Munster and south Leinster tonight,very windy, particularly in the south And west tomorrow with squalls.

    Is that update in the last few minutes?


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    #39
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Interesting cloud feature predicted over the midlands from the EURO4 tomorrow around 9am,...wrap around occlusion from low, that's where youd likely see the strongest winds...

    18010409_2_0318.gif


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    #40
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Last post from me for the evening is to update that M6 buoy is continuing to drop rapidly.

    Now down to 988.1hPa @ 11pm.

    plot_met.php?station=62095&meas=pres&uom=M&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT


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    #41
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    Is that update in the last few minutes?

    I'm not sure when they did this update but it's different from the language they used previously during an earlier forecast.

    Joanna Donnelly also said to keep in touch with forecasts after the 9 news.


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    #42
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    It's not really borne out in the 11 pm TAFs. There are these two warnings for Shannon and Cork for tomorrow morning but nothing spectacular.

    EINN AD WRNG 01 VALID 040400/040900 SFC WIND WSW 20-25KT MAX 35-40 BECMG 0407/0409 NW 20-25 MAX 35-40 FCST =

    EICK AD WRNG 01 VALID 040200/041000 SFC WIND WSW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 0408/0410 NW 20-25 MAX 35-40 FCST =


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    #43
    Soccarboy11
    Registered Users Posts: 579 ✭✭✭Soccarboy11


    https://twitter.com/FastnetLHouse

    the wind gusts off fastnet look to be steadily increasing each update


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    #44
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    The system is deepening very rapidly, not to get carried away but M6 buoy down to 985.5hPa.

    Visible dark stripe heading into cloud head now, a sign of rapid development.

    PX2H0A5FE1PSZ


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    #45
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    The track also appears somewhat further north than HIRLAM/EC output. The system's centre is now clearly visible on the sat24 IR loop to the west of Ireland with rapid intensification underway. Could be a nasty surprise for some in the west come morning.

    h-image.ashx?region=eu&time=201801040130&ir=True


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    #46
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    The track also appears somewhat further north than HIRLAM/EC output. The system's centre is now clearly visible on the sat24 IR loop to the west of Ireland with rapid intensification underway. Could be a nasty surprise for some in the west come morning.

    h-image.ashx?region=eu&time=201801040130&ir=True


    With respect and I love your updates WC but I thought the update on the M6 bouy was your last post of the evening. ;) :P


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    #47
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Charges phone/iPad*


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    #48
    Xenji
    Registered Users Posts: 11,505 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    The track also appears somewhat further north than HIRLAM/EC output. The system's centre is now clearly visible on the sat24 IR loop to the west of Ireland with rapid intensification underway. Could be a nasty surprise for some in the west come morning.

    h-image.ashx?region=eu&time=201801040130&ir=True

    We already had one nasty surprise this week :pac:


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    #49
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Storm Fionn could be in the making off the west coast at the moment.

    I fear could be much too late to name him and to get the alert out despite yellow warnings already in place.


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    #50
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Storm Fionn could be in the making off the west coast at the moment.

    I fear could be much too late to name him and to get the alert out despite yellow warnings already in place.

    Not the best of times either,early morning,people on the move,dark etc

    I hope met eireann get a warning out if this developes into something nasty.


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    #51
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    THis was issued at 23:00

    “West to southwest gale to storm force winds developing overnight on coasts from Howth Head to Roches Point to Slyne Head and on the south Irish Sea, veering west to northwest tomorrow morning and extending to remaining eastern coasts and all of the Irish Sea.”


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    #52
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Still falling Buoy M6. 983.3hPa


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    #53
    fraxinus1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 240 ✭✭fraxinus1


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Still falling Buoy M6. 983.3hPa

    Do you think we could have a developing storm situation that will catch most of the country off guard?


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    #54
    Dank Janniels
    Registered Users Posts: 641 ✭✭✭Dank Janniels


    fraxinus1 wrote: »
    Do you think we could have a developing storm situation that will catch most of the country off guard?

    if only there was a warning system of some kind....


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    #55
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Still falling Buoy M6. 983.3hPa

    Are you getting that from marine.ie?


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    #56
    fraxinus1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 240 ✭✭fraxinus1


    Dank Janniels wrote: »
    if only there was a warning system of some kind....

    There is a warning system but with majority of people asleep at this hour, it’s not going to be very effective?


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    #57
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,145 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    fraxinus1 wrote: »
    Do you think we could have a developing storm situation that will catch most of the country off guard?

    Nope our National weather service Met Eireann will let people know via the much maligned weather warning system if they see fit ;)


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    #58
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,145 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    fraxinus1 wrote: »
    There is a warning system but with majority of people asleep at this hour, it’s not going to be very effective?

    If your asleep its not much of an issue , most other times I get a notification from RTE when a weather warning has been issued ,

    It would be on the morning news bulletins also .


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    #59
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Still falling Buoy M6. 983.3hPa

    Satellite doesnt seem impressive. Do you think it’s still instensyfing ?

    Looks a lot more to the north too...


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    #60
    vicwatson
    Registered Users Posts: 28,403 ✭✭✭✭vicwatson


    It was so still and silent until 05.10


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    #61
    Aquals
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭Aquals


    Scarily strong winds here in Kerry at the moment. Feels like the house could take off at any minute!


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