Boards.ie uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Click here to find out more x
Post Reply  
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
30-06-2020, 18:12   #31
alentejo
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 394
Last Sunday was certainly autumnal. Lots of rain and very windy. Surprised there wasn't a wind warning in east.

Looks like a repeat performance this Sunday. Pay back for all the lovely April and May
alentejo is offline  
Thanks from:
Advertisement
30-06-2020, 19:07   #32
Gonzo
Moderator
 
Gonzo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 12,019
Send a message via MSN to Gonzo
Saturday is still looking fairly warm in comparison to what we've had over the past week with temperatures possibly reaching the high teens or 20C in some eastern and southern places. Saturday might be a good day to get some gardening done or the lawns cut.



latest updates cancel the strong winds for Sunday but we still get the cool temperatures and some rain early on Sunday.

Gonzo is offline  
30-06-2020, 19:17   #33
Cork Boy 53
Banned
 
Cork Boy 53's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 3,796
Quote:
Originally Posted by nacho libre View Post
I hope I am wrong, but It looks to me like we won't get any protracted settled weather now in July, rather we'll get the azores high ridging in over parts of the country settlings things down for a while, but the north west could remain wet much of the time as fronts and low pressure systems are close by.
Ah well even if the rest of the summer turns out to be a write off there is always the chance of a settled spell in September similar to what happened last year. Something to get our hopes up for anyway.
Cork Boy 53 is offline  
30-06-2020, 19:22   #34
Gonzo
Moderator
 
Gonzo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 12,019
Send a message via MSN to Gonzo
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cork Boy 53 View Post
Ah well even if the rest of the summer turns out to be a write off there is always the chance of a settled spell in September similar to what happened last year. Something to get our hopes up for anyway.
I think we will see some settled spells well before September. With alot of luck we may even have a very brief settled spell as early as next week and at this stage i'll take any dry days that are coming with open arms.
Gonzo is offline  
(4) thanks from:
30-06-2020, 19:26   #35
nacho libre
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 12,972
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cork Boy 53 View Post
Ah well even if the rest of the summer turns out to be a write off there is always the chance of a settled spell in September similar to what happened last year. Something to get our hopes up for anyway.
Well, the thing is the east, south, and south east could get settled weather from the azores ridging in from time to time, while the north west is plagued by weather fronts. So some places could well get several days of fine and warm weather, but i'm doubtful we'll have three to four weeks of settled weather anywhere.
nacho libre is offline  
Advertisement
30-06-2020, 20:01   #36
Gaoth Laidir
Registered User
 
Gaoth Laidir's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 4,947
There seems to be a hint of a so-called atmospheric river scenario setting up, with low pressure to our northwest and and extension of the Azores high over Europe, lining the polar front over us and feeding in a constant stream of systems developing along it. This has been a feature of a lot of our poorer Augusts of recent years and is probably in part due to the stark temperature gradient in sea waters east of New Foundland. I would prefer this to happen now and save the better set up for a month from now, when harvesting will be at its peak.
Gaoth Laidir is offline  
01-07-2020, 07:28   #37
pauldry
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 4,240
July looks to be slowly patterning into a complete unsettled month with some dry days but rain most days especially in the North and West.

Will it beat my June total of 163.8mm?
pauldry is offline  
01-07-2020, 08:27   #38
eon1208
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 244
MT's forecast is not positive in the near term. He is pushing any extended settled spell back now to late July or early August. Its payback for all the cool dry weather in april and may. Only positive is early next week could extend for a couple of days. How likely is this ?. Can anyone say.
eon1208 is offline  
01-07-2020, 11:48   #39
nacho libre
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 12,972
Quote:
Originally Posted by eon1208 View Post
MT's forecast is not positive in the near term. He is pushing any extended settled spell back now to late July or early August. Its payback for all the cool dry weather in april and may. Only positive is early next week could extend for a couple of days. How likely is this ?. Can anyone say.
There will be some dry days next week and beyond, but it's beginning to look like some places will have a very wet July. Gonzo's wish for a prolonged settled spell looks very unlikely at this stage.
nacho libre is offline  
Advertisement
01-07-2020, 11:57   #40
Gonzo
Moderator
 
Gonzo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 12,019
Send a message via MSN to Gonzo
Quote:
Originally Posted by nacho libre View Post
There will be some dry days next week and beyond, but it's beginning to look like some places will have a very wet July. Gonzo's wish for a prolonged settled spell looks very unlikely at this stage.

The first half of July looks like we are so close to something great, but yet too far. The Azores wants to get here but these lows from the north Atlantic look set to continue to spoil any attempt from the Azores to build properly over the next week or two at least. We may get the odd dry day here and there particularly across the south and east where it stands the best chance of tapping into a minor influence from a ridge.

I'm expecting the first half of July to be similar to June but generally cooler and more regularity with the rainfall as it will be coming from the Atlantic. My hopes of a warm and settled second half of July are certainly far from guaranteed at this stage as the current pattern could easily last into August.
Gonzo is offline  
(2) thanks from:
01-07-2020, 12:29   #41
nacho libre
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 12,972
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gonzo View Post
The first half of July looks like we are so close to something great, but yet too far. The Azores wants to get here but these lows from the north Atlantic look set to continue to spoil any attempt from the Azores to build properly over the next week or two at least. We may get the odd dry day here and there particularly across the south and east where it stands the best chance of tapping into a minor influence from a ridge.

.
Yes. It looks like it will be similar to a lot of summers past, where by the continent and the south east of England could often be warm and sunny. As you say some parts of Ireland may tap into the fine weather at times, but some other places may see rainfall amounts that are close to their June totals.
nacho libre is offline  
02-07-2020, 20:35   #42
Meteorite58
Registered User
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 8,363
Blustery at times especially Sunday. Another wet weekend, feeling cool from Sunday for a couple of days before temperatures recovering again midweek ( bit up and down after that ), might be a bit thundery in Northern counties Sunday.






Last edited by Meteorite58; 02-07-2020 at 20:39.
Meteorite58 is offline  
03-07-2020, 20:35   #43
Meteorite58
Registered User
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 8,363
Models have upped the wind speeds Saturday night into Sunday and very blustery Sunday also. Very windy along NW and N coasts in the early hours of Sunday morning, more like a winters gale. Will feel very windy for the time of year inland in the early hours of Sunday morning also.

Fairly tight isobars off the NW.

Might see more widespread yellow warnings for a time. Could increase further perhaps ?






Meteorite58 is offline  
03-07-2020, 20:52   #44
Meteorite58
Registered User
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 8,363
Lp deepens as it tracks off the NW Sat night / Sunday morning heading towards Scotland.




Meteorite58 is offline  
(3) thanks from:
03-07-2020, 21:05   #45
Gaoth Laidir
Registered User
 
Gaoth Laidir's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 4,947
THe ECM Extreme Weather Index for wind gusts is up to 0.9 for much of the country in the 24 hours up to Monday 1 am. This index varies from 0 to 1 and is a measure of how unusual the gusts will be for the time of year. It's not a direct measure of how strong they will be, only how unusual for the time of year. The same gusts in January would barely register on this index.

Attached Images
File Type: png xx_model-en-318-4_modez_2020070300_72_949_520.png (165.5 KB, 772 views)
Gaoth Laidir is offline  
Post Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Remove Text Formatting
Bold
Italic
Underline

Insert Image
Wrap [QUOTE] tags around selected text
 
Decrease Size
Increase Size
Please sign up or log in to join the discussion

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Share Tweet