Overall, more favoured to the unsettled side this morning for mid-week next week but the northern blocking signal has gone. Both GFS and ECM seem to bring the low that tries to undercut the ridge towards Ireland on Wednesday to Friday, classic summer scenario as highlighted by Gonzo previously whilst a southerly to southeasterly airflow occurs to east of us.
ECM in longer range shows the ridge getting stronger and pushing the low back into the North Atlantic. GFS is currently updating its 06z run but might be following a similar path.
I always feel like a broken record saying model uncertainty but yet again, it goes on and on and on.
EDIT: Looks like GFS is back to the northern blocking signal around the following weekend with a southerly tracking jet stream. Not good for warm and dry weather, in fact really bad. ECM has backtracked on this from yesterday evening so not sure whether to say a new trendsetter or outlier. The kind of charts 2007 and 2012 had.