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28-06-2020, 07:41   #5671
M.T. Cranium
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Sunday, 28 June, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 28 June to 4 July 2020

-- Temperatures will average 2 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent above normal values in the west and north, closer to normal south and east.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be very windy in northern and west-central counties, and quite breezy elsewhere, winds from the west will average 50 to 80 km/hr with some higher gusts (30 to 50 km/hr in sheltered inland areas). It will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks from time to time across the south mainly. Bands of rain or drizzle will continue to bring some heavier bursts of 10-15 mm rainfall to the north, but some parts of the south could be largely dry. Very cool for late June, highs only 12 or 13 C in the north, to 16 or 17 C in the south.

TONIGHT will see further rain and moderate westerly winds slowly abating, lows near 10 C.

MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud, and more isolated showers, mainly in two areas, the far north, and the southwest coast by afternoon. Some areas in between could be dry but there will be isolated showers in all regions. Highs about 14 to 17 C.

TUESDAY will bring similar weather conditions except for a more organized band of light rain moving into the south later in the day. Otherwise partly cloudy and cool with isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY will continue unsettled with occasional rain and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY could turn somewhat warmer with a few sunny breaks in the south, still a threat of rain in the north, and highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY will see strong southwest winds returning with early morning rainfall becoming more showery with isolated thunderstorms possible, highs near 17 C.

The OUTLOOK is for improving conditions through the weekend of the 4th-5th and into the following week, with highs possibly back up into the low 20s at times, and more sunshine than we'll see this week.

My local weather stayed dry until late afternoon then a few showers moved through. The front seemed to be much stronger earlier in the day further north, then "petered out" which works for us, highs around 20 C. We are now into a cooler air mass and Sunday here will be around 17 C. If you watch golf and have any coverage of the Utah golf event on the secondary tour over here, there could be some dramatic skies and weather events there on Sunday afternoon. I may be the only person watching this for the weather rather than the golf later on. The front that went through here will be down that way by Sunday afternoon.

Not a very nice outlook there for the coming week but at least it does not appear to be locking in for weeks.
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29-06-2020, 07:55   #5672
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Monday, 29 June, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 29 June to 5 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average about 2 deg below normal (which is near 20 C by day, and 10 C at night).
-- Rainfall will average slightly above normal but will be quite frequent making it seem perhaps wetter than average.
-- Sunshine will be quite infrequent compared to the normal 5 to 6 hours a day; possibly about half of that.

FORECASTS

TODAY will see a bit of improvement as the winds die down gradually, and showers become increasingly confined to narrower bands and lighter falls of 3 to 6 mm. It won't get much warmer however with limited amounts of sunshine except possibly in parts of the inland south. Highs will be around 16 or 17 C.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and lows near 8 C.

TUESDAY will see some rather persistent light rain in the south, and scattered showers elsewhere, staying rather cool with highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY will begin with a slight increase in the winds again, to moderate westerly, and fairly widespread light rain, then it will gradually begin to clear up later in the day, with lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY could be slightly warmer in a narrow gap between weather systems, and there could be some sunny breaks as a result, before increasing cloud returns by afternoon and evening. Lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY will be windy and wet with potential for 10-20 mm of rain, moderate southwest to west winds, and highs around 17 C.

The unsettled trend will slowly fade out from next weekend on, with better conditions likely to materialize around the first half of the following week, when highs could creep up towards the low 20s. This won't turn into any prolonged dry spell or heat wave but at least the weather should be somewhat closer to average July conditions by about the 10th to 15th of July.

My local weather included a bit of everything including some passing showers and a thunderstorm, and brief sunny breaks, with highs only reaching about 16 C. It is now slowly clearing as the disturbance has moved well south of the border into Idaho, Oregon, Utah and Wyoming where some heavy rain and thunderstorms are occurring. This storm will move out into the plains states bringing a high risk of severe storms later in the week.
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30-06-2020, 07:48   #5673
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Tuesday, 30 June, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 30 June to 6 July 2020

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average near normal in the northwest and inland south, a bit below normal in the midlands.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather cloudy in most areas, with brief sunny intervals and passing showers of light rain although there may be rumbles of thunder at times. Rainfalls generally 3-5 mm at most, except nearer 10 mm in Donegal. Highs around 15 C north to 17 C south.

TONIGHT will see misty and mostly cloudy conditions with drizzle at times, lows near 8 C.

WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with showers, becoming heavier inland south by afternoon with chance of a thunderstorm there. Highs around 18 C.

THURSDAY will see some sunny breaks despite a considerable amount of remnant cloud, but longer dry intervals and somewhat warmer at 19 C.

FRIDAY will be windy and wet for the first half of the day, rain tapering to showers then clearing overnight. Highs around 17 C.

SATURDAY is now looking quite warm as a low forms to the northwest of Ireland and pulls in some subtropical air, it may remain rather cloudy especially in central and northern counties which could hold temperatures to the low 20s but if any sun breaks through highs in the south could reach 24 C.

SUNDAY will be back to blustery and showery conditions again with falling temperatures, highs near 17 C.

The OUTLOOK for the following week is reasonably good with the weather not likely to be worse than average and possibly a bit better for some areas, highs in the vicinity of 20 C much of the time and only small amounts of rain expected.

My local weather on Monday was sunny with cloudy intervals and rather warm again with highs back to 24 C after a one-day cool spell.
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01-07-2020, 07:27   #5674
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Wednesday, 1st of July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July 2020

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be slightly above normal in many parts, except for the southeast.
-- Sunshine will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal. The cloudy trend will improve slowly though.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showers, one or two possibly rather heavy with thunder, that being most likely in the midlands and inland south. Rainfalls will be quite variable, between 5 and 15 mm for most places but possibly outside that range in a few. Rather cool again with highs 15 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will be misty or foggy at times, with some partial clearing towards morning, lows near 9 C.

THURSDAY will see a few brighter intervals developing and rain will become isolated to a few parts of the north mainly, with temperatures improving to around 19 C.

FRIDAY will be quite wet to start, as 10-15 mm rain is expected in the late overnight and morning hours. This will slowly fragment to showers and a few brighter intervals will follow. Highs 15 to 17 C. Rather breezy to windy especially near Atlantic coasts, winds southwest to west 40 to 60 km/hr.

SATURDAY will turn warmer especially south of a Galway to Dublin line, where any mid-day sunshine could boost temperatures to 20-23 C. Further north it's likely to stay overcast with occasional rain in the far north, and drizzle over higher terrain, with humid highs near 18 C. Showers and thunderstorms will break out by evening as a cold front arrives. Some strong winds are likely to develop ahead of this front near south and west coasts.

SUNDAY will be blustery, rather cool and showery with highs near 17 C, westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. It will begin to clear by evening.

MONDAY and TUESDAY are looking a bit better with sunny intervals and highs near average for July, around 20 C.

This improved spell may slowly back off to something similar to the current pattern but that guidance is not entirely carved in stone and the trend may end up going in a better direction eventually. I'm expecting at least one fairly extended warm spell later this summer, the chances are probably best in late July and the first half of August.

My local weather on Tuesday brought another round of thunderstorms and some of these were quite noisy although not much rain fell (about 5-10 mm perhaps). It was partly the optics of the clouds off to our north but around 1030 local time the sky was unusually black ahead of the first of these storms. Nothing would surprise us in 2020 I suppose.
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02-07-2020, 07:33   #5675
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Thursday, 2 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will have some hazy sunshine at times, with patchy low cloud near coasts and over some hills, also generally over northern counties most of the day. Cloud will tend to increase dimming any sunshine during the afternoon. It will be a bit warmer than recent days with highs of 19 or 20 C possible.

TONIGHT will see rain developing, 10-15 mm likely by morning, in a steady downpour around and after midnight. Lows will fall to the 12-14 C range.

FRIDAY will be humid with the rain slowly tapering to showers, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C.

SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening.

SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

The OUTLOOK for later next week is more unsettled with rain due in around Wednesday and again around Friday in the current model guidance. Temperatures will stay fairly warm, in the 19-23 C range from north to south.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with occasional rain and highs near 17 C. There is almost no forest fire potential in most of the region, the one good thing we can say about recent weather trends here. The Fraser River has not retreated from its spring flood levels (achieved at the usual time, early June) as heavy rain replaces the snow melt, and the river remains high if not totally in flood all the way from central B.C. to the lower Fraser valley near the coast. However, there are no severe floods in progress, just unusually high water making it difficult for the salmon to get upstream to spawning grounds. The ones that make it will be muscular anyway.
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03-07-2020, 07:58   #5676
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Friday, 3 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July 2020

-- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be humid with patchy light rain becoming more showery, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C. Some afternoon and evening sunny breaks possible in parts of the southwest.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy and muggy with lows falling to about 12 C. Some drizzle or mist will develop across parts of the northwest, spreading across Ulster in the early morning hours.

SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening. The timing for this front is approximately 5 p.m. for Connacht to 8 p.m. Dublin. It may become squally with its passage.

SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

WEDNESDAY will turn partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 20 C.

There is a mixed set of guidance maps beyond mid-week, it may turn just a couple of degrees cooler for the end of the week before warming back up over the weekend of 11th-12th. That warm spell could last for a while, but in any case it should produce at least a few days in the 23-26 C range.

My local weather was mostly cloudy with passing sprinkles of light rain, not much accumulation, but the cloud kept temperatures in the mid-teens. We are also looking at a warming trend here for mid-July (and could use one).
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04-07-2020, 07:00   #5677
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Saturday, 4 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS will return in a day or two, the main item on the agenda is a developing strong cold frontal passage timed for about 5 p.m. in Connacht to 8 p.m. in Leinster, with a significant interval of very strong winds expected to set in with the frontal passage, and continue for about twelve hours into mid-day Sunday.

TODAY will start out rather cloudy but the sun may manage to break through for longer intervals by late morning and early afternoon. This will push temperatures up into the low 20s in parts of the inland south and east, with high humidity and humidex readings (it may feel closer to 25 C). Winds will begin to pick up in advance of the cold front and could reach 40 to 70 km/hr by afternoon across much of the country. The north will remain cloudy and somewhat cooler (around 18 C) with occasional drizzle or light rain.

THIS EVENING and OVERNIGHT strong westerly winds will develop, and there may be a few isolated thunderstorms although the actual cold front may be dry in many parts. A secondary cold front will develop timed for about midnight to 0300h and this may be more active. Expect temperatures to remain fairly high between the fronts, then drop sharply with the passage of the secondary. This may be accompanied by wind gusts of 90 to 120 km/hr and lead to some damage to trees and unsecured loose objects. These winds will be strongest in a path from about Westport to Mullingar to Dublin and some distance on either side, and may not be as strong near the south coast or in some parts of north Ulster although strong winds will arrive there later. Temperatures will drop to about 12 C by morning. Some gusty thunderstorms could produce hail and severe wind gusts.

SUNDAY will continue very windy (especially for July) with westerlies 70 to 110 km/hr and possible locally higher and damaging gusts. There may be some active bands of showers and thunderstorms with sunny breaks in between those. Temperatures will remain steady in the 14 to 16 C range but it will feel quite chilly due to the strong winds. Higher altitude hiking or marine excursions could be unusually hazardous for a summer weekend and caution is advised.

MONDAY will be a much more settled day with the strong winds dying down during the early morning hours and relative calm prevailing with sunny intervals and isolated showers, highs near 20 C.

The outlook beyond Monday calls for rather bland weather conditions in general, some rain may hit parts of the north by Tuesday afternoon but it could avoid the south, and highs again near 20 C. By mid-week it will become more settled again for a time, and weather variations for the rest of the outlook period look fairly tame compared to what's on the way in this evening. I will probably post an update around 5-6 p.m. on developments, also I would turn to the forum threads for further discussions.

My local weather was hazy and partly cloudy with a warmish high around 24 C and southwest winds that became rather gusty especially over hilly areas. It has turned quite hot in eastern regions of North America, Toronto for example has hit 36 C.
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04-07-2020, 17:44   #5678
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UPDATE _ Sat 4 July 2020 __ 5:45 p.m.
____________________________________

No significant change to my thinking about this, I still think it requires an alert and will produce some scattered reports of strong wind gusts and thunderstorms over the period 8 p.m. this evening to 4 p.m. Sunday, with Connacht, Ulster and central Leinster more at risk but only by a slight differential compared to the inland south. The cold front is presently approaching the west coast and shows some signs of generating a few thunderstorm cells. However the main potential for squally conditions will come in the unstable westerly flow that sets in overnight and lasts through much of Sunday. Will give the same advice as earlier, including keeping an eye on discussion in the forum threads, partly because I am heading off on a day trip here (at 0945 local time) and won't be in touch again until well after midnight.
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05-07-2020, 08:24   #5679
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Sunday, 5 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent of normal, trending to 75 per cent in the north.
-- Sunshine will average close to normal which is an improvement over the past three weeks.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be a blustery and changeable day with some sunny intervals (quite frequent in the south), and passing showers, some of which may become thundery with hail and strong wind gusts. Away from the strongest gusts of these storm cells, quite windy in general with westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. Local storms and more exposed terrain could see gusts to 110 km/hr. Hail up to 2 cm in diameter is possible especially around mid-day in parts of Connacht, Ulster and north/west Leinster. One or two cells could show up in Munster also. Less likely locations for storms would include the south coast, southeast and east coasts. Highs around 16 or 17 C, feeling quite chilly in the wind, but balanced to some extent by strong sunshine at times.

TONIGHT will see a gradual reduction in the strong winds as they shift to a northwest direction 30 to 50 km/hr. Showers will become widely separated and infrequent with some clearing towards morning. Anyone with clear skies around midnight will find the full moon very close in the sky to Jupiter (Saturn off to their left). Lows around 8 C.

MONDAY will be a much more settled day with a mixture of cloud and sun, isolated showers, and considerably less windy conditions. Highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY a weak disturbance will track across the north bringing 5-10 mm of rain to Ulster and some parts of north Connacht and north Leinster. It may remain dry on the south coast with smaller amounts in between. Skies will be mostly cloudy in the north and partly cloudy in the south with westerly breezes 30 to 50 km/hr veering northwest by late in the day. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C north, 19 C south.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with another interval of rain likely in the north by evening, moderate southwest winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

The weather looks to be into an improving trend after that with showers around for a while on Friday, clearing later, then prospects for a sunny weekend with highs in the low 20s, and perhaps even a touch warmer into the following week.

My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy with a high near 24 C. I have clear skies at the moment and can see the full moon off to the right of Jupiter, by tonight it should have moved much closer in the sky (if in reality, then we would not see our moon at all as it's smaller than three moons of Jupiter). The moon was timed at full around 0545h IST (today's date). But it will look full again tonight.
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06-07-2020, 07:52   #5680
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Monday, 6 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average about 1 to 1.5 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal with the higher values in Ulster and Connacht.
-- Sunshine will struggle up to near normal finally.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Although considerable cloud remains in lower levels across central, eastern and northern counties, a gradual clearing trend will develop and some sunny intervals are likely in most places, perhaps leading to about an equal measure of cloud and sun in most places. Pleasantly mild and not nearly as windy, highs near 20 C.

TONIGHT ... Overcast with rain spreading into most of the north and some central counties, probably remaining mostly dry in Munster (except Clare) and south Leinster. Lows near 12 C.

TUESDAY ... Most areas will be overcast with light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds. The south coast may see brighter intervals and some occasional sunshine with the track of the precipitation more towards Wales and southern Britain than Ireland's south coast. Highs therefore close to 20 C again in the south but 16 to 18 C further north. About 5-10 mm rain could fall in some places but only briefly heavy showers embedded in a generally light rainfall system.

WEDNESDAY ... After a short break between systems, a second weak disturbance will follow the Tuesday low and produce a similar outcome for later Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Once again, lows near 12 C and highs in the 16 to 20 C range.

THURSDAY ... Breezy and showery, feeling rather cool in a moderate west to northwest wind. Lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, rather cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

The weekend outlook is promising with sunshine and highs into the lower to mid 20s.

That warm spell could hang on for a while as winds turn more easterly for a time, but some moisture will be trying to move in from France when that sets up, a similar situation in June saw much of the rain missing all but Kerry's outer peninsulas. This one may catch a bit more of the south next week but even so the weather should remain fairly warm and settled most of the time.

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and pleasant with highs around 22 C. We seem to be getting a bit of smoke from distant fires in the southwestern U.S. adding a bit of haze. It remains very warm in eastern regions of North America.
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07-07-2020, 07:42   #5681
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Tuesday, 7 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be near normal in some central counties, a bit below normal in parts of the north, to only 25% of normal near the south coast. Most of this rain will come today and tomorrow, so a dry trend in general for all regions after that.
-- Sunshine will be 25% above normal values thanks to lots of sunshine by Friday, this weekend and following Monday.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring persistent rain across the central counties with a few heavier bursts likely, 15 to 25 mm amounts in a zone from Galway to Dublin. It will not rain as hard in the north but will also be persistent there, 5 to 10 mm. Some parts of the south coast will have only a few intervals of drizzle with some brighter intervals possible. Highs will reach 18 C in the south, 14 to 16 C elsewhere.

TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle ending for a while, lows near 11 C.

WEDNESDAY will see a resumption of the light rain, this time more south-central for the track, and not as heavy in general, so that some parts of the north may remain dry although mostly cloudy. Highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY will bring a rather cool northwest breeze and gradual clearing with just a few isolated showers left over, with lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY will also be cool and dry, with at least equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers for parts of the north, and lows 5 to 8 C, highs 16 to 18 C.

The WEEKEND is looking quite good with settled conditions under high pressure, quite a bit of sunshine is likely with banks of higher cloud perhaps dimming that sunshine in the west and north at times. Lows 6 to 9 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

The OUTLOOK for the following week is rather warm compared to recent days, highs may reach 22 to 25 C at times, and staying mainly dry despite more cloud and isolated showers. Eventually this rather warm interval will give way to more persistent cloud and rain perhaps by the end of the week (around the 17th to 19th by then).

My local weather was sunny with a few clouds, and pleasantly warm at around 25 C.
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08-07-2020, 07:00   #5682
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Wednesday, 8 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 50 to 75% of normal now that we've had yesterday's amounts. Most of this is expected today plus a little more around Monday.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be another rather wet day in the south-central counties about as far north as Mayo to Louth, but Ulster will be drier although with some light showers at times. Amounts will be 15-25 mm across south central counties, heaviest from about Clare to Carlow and Wexford this time around. Rather cool with the rain falling, highs only about 15 or 16 C. It could be slightly warmer anywhere to the north where the sun does manage to break through. This is not a very windy frontal system but some moderate northwest winds will develop by evening on Atlantic coasts.

TONIGHT will see the rain moving gradually away to the east with a partial clearing trend, moderate northwest winds and lows 7 to 9 C.

THURSDAY will be a bright and rather breezy day with passing showers, one or two could develop some hail or thunder, but amounts mainly in the 3 to 7 mm range. Highs 14 to 17 C from north to south.

FRIDAY will be a more settled day, still with some chance of isolated showers, but equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine are likely, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY should be mostly sunny with lows 6 to 9 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

SUNDAY will be cloudy in parts of the west and north where some light rain is possible, along with moderate south to southwest breezes. The east and south should hold dry for most of the day with some sunny intervals, lows near 9 and highs near 20 C.

MONDAY will bring a few showers and highs around 18 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY are looking fairly dry with some chance of rain in the far north mainly, and breezy with highs around 19 or 20 C.

Later next week it could warm up further for a few days, before turning quite unsettled towards the weekend of the 18th-19th and beyond.

My local weather was overcast with showers and thunderstorms passing by, highs around 19 C.
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09-07-2020, 07:49   #5683
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Thursday, 9 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS all remain close to average values, rainfall may be a bit below normal in the south.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy after a few brighter intervals this morning. A few showers will develop and some will become heavy this afternoon in Leinster. Moderate northwest winds and feeling rather cool, highs 14 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will have a few residual showers but a slow clearing trend and it will be quite chilly for this time of year with lows 6 to 9 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers developing more over the north and west of the country, leaving some parts of the south and east dry. Highs will be around 16 C.

SATURDAY is looking dry and at least partly sunny, although high cloud layers could dim the sun at times in the west and north. Morning lows quite chilly at 4 to 7 C, afternoon highs pleasant, 18 to 21 C.

SUNDAY will become overcast with occasional rain in the west and north. This looks likely to hold off all day for most of the south and east, arriving finally overnight. Lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will be rather wet in some places as a weak front stalls and develops a wave over the south, leading to some downpours in central and east Munster moving towards inland central Leinster. About 15 mm of rain is possible with this feature. Other parts of the country will only get small amounts of rain. Lows near 12 C and highs around 17 C.

From Tuesday to about Friday of next week, relatively dry and pleasant weather expected with temperatures up slightly from this week, into the 19 to 23 C range. That will end with a more unsettled pattern by weekend of the 18th and 19th, when showers and temperatures near 18 C can be expected according to current indications. Beyond that it begins to look as though unsettled weather may yield to much warmer weather near the end of the month.

My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and the high was around 24 C.
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10-07-2020, 07:29   #5684
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Friday, 10 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 July, 2020

-- Temperatures will average slightly below normal (about 0.5 to 1.5 deg).
-- Rainfall will average 40 to 70 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average near normal or in some areas about 25 per cent below normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy across the south and central counties, mostly overcast in the north with frequent light showers there. Only isolated showers are likely further south. Cool with moderate northwest breezes, highs about 15 in the north to 17 C in the south.

TONIGHT will see a clearing trend and it could be unusually chilly for July, lows of 3 to 7 C are possible.

SATURDAY will be generally dry, with some sunny spells across the south and east, rather cloudy to the west and north. Highs 16 to 20 C in light winds.

SUNDAY will be overcast for most areas, best chance for any sunshine in the southeast, as rain slowly advances into the western, central and northern regions, 3 to 7 mm expected there. The light rain should hold off until evening and overnight hours for the east and southeast. Lows 10 to 13 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers or longer intervals of rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY will be overcast with a few intervals of light rain or drizzle, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY of next week will turn somewhat warmer, with dry intervals and generally light rainfall totals, with highs near or slightly above 20 C.

The pattern beyond that is somewhat undefined as some guidance seems to be hinting at a steady warming trend while other recent maps have gone in the other direction. Warmer late in the month has been a theme in the last few months.

My local weather was partly to mostly cloudy and dry to about 4 p.m., with a high near 24 C, then light rain moved in from a weak upper level low moving by to our north. It was good golfing weather anyway.

Apparently there's quite a bright comet visible in the pre-dawn skies, I may have seen it the other day and thought it was Venus making its first appearance as a morning star (which is going to happen soon), only heard about the comet today. But the best part is that it should appear in the evening skies later this month after it passes near the Sun on its orbit a few days from now (it will be briefly invisible from the earth at that point). If I can get some more precise info on this, in time for any clear spells of weather later in July, I will post some times and directions (probably quite close to where the Sun recently set). For tonight, it should remain an early morning object if it hasn't moved too close to the Sun yet, maybe check with the astronomy forum. I will post an update if I can get some reliable info on where to look and any possible confusion with identification of comet and Venus.
M.T. Cranium is offline  
11-07-2020, 08:05   #5685
M.T. Cranium
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Saturday, 11 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



Trends for the next week will be fairly dry although enough rain should fall in western and northern counties to reach about half of the weekly normal; some other parts of the country may remain essentially dry. Temperatures will be near normal after a cool start and warmer finish to the coming week, and sunshine should be reasonably close to the July normal values too, perhaps a bit below in the west however.

It was a cool start to the day with 4 degrees reported from Claremorris and Mountdillon earlier (more exact values will be known later), but by the time most people are out and about, it will be 10 to 12 degrees and slowly climbing towards a high of about 19 or 20 C in areas that remain or become sunny, although closer to 17 in parts of Ulster and north Connacht where cloud may be more prevalent.

Tonight and Sunday will see more cloud around in general, although there could still be some brighter intervals in Leinster and east Munster allowing highs to reach 19 or 20 C after overnight lows near 12 C. Light rain will move into some parts of the west and north overnight and on Sunday, 3 to 7 mm can be expected in a few places.

Monday will see another weak frontal system moving through and producing another rainfall of similar amounts, this time more widespread however. Highs will be around 17 or 18 C.

Tuesday should be the last of the cloudy and unsettled days as high pressure begins to build up to the west of Ireland, and the cloud on Tuesday may be broken to allow a few sunny intervals, with just a few light showers mostly in the morning. Highs will be around 19 C.

The rest of the week is looking dry and fairly warm with highs pushing up into the low 20s except for parts of the north and Atlantic coastal counties where 18 C might be more likely. Nights will not be all that cold despite some clear intervals, lows of 8 to 12 C will prevail. This settled spell might lead to even warmer temperatures at some point before the end of July.

My local weather on Friday was sunny and quite warm with highs reaching 25 C.

I was able to find better info on comet Neowise, among which is this article with a sky map showing positions each night for the rest of July.

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronom...se-and-lemmon/

You can read a discussion in the astronomy forum as well as here on the weather forum. I think in general the comet is far enough to the north (above our orbital plane) that it travels from west to east across the northern skies just as the Sun does behind the curvature of the earth (if you are really far north in Ireland the Sun is only down below the horizon for a few hours at this time of year). In about a week to ten days, the comet will be more of an evening object crossing the handle of the "Big Dipper" (Ursa Major) around the 25th. Before that it would be in a fairly wide open portion of the sky without a lot of competing bright objects but the comet itself is only about as bright as the average star (between 2nd and 3rd magnitude) that you can see, so look for one with a tail pointing north (binoculars should help you find it). If you know how to read the sky map in the link provided, that should also help a lot. I am going to give it a try in a day or two the next time clear skies are available.
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