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11-11-2019, 22:17   #46
Rougies
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Originally Posted by JanuarySnowstor View Post
Of course to the naked eye snow that is just about to melt looks far more dramatic than the fluffy snow that might come from the East...

That can often be the case alright. Snowflakes that are partially melting stick together easier and can form those amazing looking "dinner plate" flakes we often see in marginal situations.

In contrast, the first night of Storm Emma was very underwhelming visually and looking outside you could barely tell it was snowing yet the accumulation rate of pure powder snow was insane.

Last edited by Rougies; 11-11-2019 at 22:20.
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11-11-2019, 22:52   #47
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The Castlecomer plateau probably gets some snow. Which rises in parts to over 300m asl.
The Met Eireann definition of high ground is greater than 200m asl.

The weather in Europe is very split, a cold north western half of Europe, and an exceptionally warm south eastern half of Europe.
Friends in Romania and Hungary talk about how unusual the weather is there compared to normal and they are still wearing t-shirts, rather than being wrapped up from the cold they should have.

So we are stuck in the cold and it looks like it will be this way for a while yet.
325m asl at home. The plateau max is half a mile away at 336m asl. Would expect snow and a fair bit with these synoptics.
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12-11-2019, 05:43   #48
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Those pesky drummers been hard at it all night again.. Apparently, or so the story goes, they gate crashed the ferry...Punch drunk with lack of sleep. All stocked up anyways whatever the weather brings.
Stay warm, please.
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12-11-2019, 06:47   #49
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It's looking a bit more marginal again this morning. Primarily rain and moving through quite quickly apart from some Eastern areas where it pivots for a while. Any snow looks to be confined to the very highest hills and mountains imo
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12-11-2019, 07:30   #50
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Originally Posted by JanuarySnowstor View Post
It's looking a bit more marginal again this morning. Primarily rain and moving through quite quickly apart from some Eastern areas where it pivots for a while. Any snow looks to be confined to the very highest hills and mountains imo
I had a feeling this would be the case as we drew closer to the actual "event" - History tells us that further downgrades of snow potential are more likely than upgrades.
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12-11-2019, 08:05   #51
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This was never going to be much bar mountains but there are more opportunities this month
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12-11-2019, 10:41   #52
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Looking at the latest HIRLAM projections, the flood potential from tomorrow's rain bands has downgraded to near nothing. For instance, there is now only 2-5mm of rain forecast for Dublin for Wednesday into Thursday. This was more like 25-30mm being forecast earlier in the week.

I would say the tomorrow will not amount to much.
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12-11-2019, 14:29   #53
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Just looked at met/ie and the new forecasts are scattered with words like sleet...
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12-11-2019, 15:34   #54
pauldry
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Even saw white gold mentioned in Munster?
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12-11-2019, 15:59   #55
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Todays 12zz.

Possible short Lived WET Snow event for some. Higher Ground will do better.

18.00

21.00

Last edited by Captain Snow; 12-11-2019 at 16:16.
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12-11-2019, 16:52   #56
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Cork is always in that smidgen of blue . Ah well, its cold here and feels wintery today with a sort of hazy fog and clearish sky. Fells/looks nice.
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12-11-2019, 17:03   #57
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Nice to see the red snow marked charts for 13 November

Hopefully a long, cold winter I know I'm a turkey wishing for Christmas with bad roads, extra heating etc. But the child in me comes to the fore.

I remember November 1991 in boarding school being like this. Unfortunately it was a mild winter after. November 1996 also. It had a cold December and snow from NYE til 10th January. A forgotten decent cold spell, early January 1997.

I'm pretty sure November 1981 was cold. December definitely was. We all know what happened in January 1982.
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12-11-2019, 17:03   #58
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Some encouraging news(Arome 12Z) but only a temporary situation, if you want to see something white head for west Wicklow, have a pint in Blessington and enjoy maybe 3 to 5cm o wet snow
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12-11-2019, 17:31   #59
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seen these marginal situations before, usually when the front pivots and heads south we get a short period of wet snow maybe lasting 30 minutes on lower ground, an hour on higher ground and settling there, clearing over night to leave a crisp cold day
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12-11-2019, 17:43   #60
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looks mostly a rain event with marginal sleet or snow as it clears to the south later in the day. High ground mostly at risk in Wicklow, Carlow, Kilkenny and maybe parts of north Cork.

Arpege:


GFS not as over the top with the snow potential:


Hirlam has a bit more snow on it and further north.



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