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27-08-2019, 20:54   #1
Meteorite58
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Rainfall Warning : Fri 30th / Sat 31st Aug 2019

Models getting to grips with the rainfall potential for Fri /Sat with a long trailing front being drawn up over the country with a wave like feature forming an area of LP on it that could dump a lot of rain perhaps .

A bit away yet but needing a close watch. All the models showing potential for some hefty falls of rain. the models are changing a bit over the last few runs on where the heaviest rain will fall and when. the charts at this stage are to show a general guidance and will change a bit over the next couple of days. Worth keeping a watch on this one, could lead to spot flooding or some wider areas of flooding.

Windy also at times especially in coastal areas.
























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27-08-2019, 23:13   #2
vickers209
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Not ready to say goodbye to summer yet.

When is the new storm names being realised?
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27-08-2019, 23:54   #3
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Latest GFS run treating this as a rain event for the South, East & Midlands. North & West might escape.
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28-08-2019, 02:15   #4
John.Icy
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This coupled with introducing much cooler air for Sat/Sun is an absolute stinker for EP. Such a shame since we've had several decent days since Friday, came too early.
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28-08-2019, 20:39   #5
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ECM 12Z showing the heaviest rain falling now more towards the W, NW and high ground in the SW.


















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28-08-2019, 20:42   #6
thecretinhop
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Meteorite58 View Post
ECM 12Z showing the heaviest rain falling now more towards the W, NW and high ground in the SW.


im so fking sick of this summer at this stage.
fk off weather

Last edited by Meteorite58; 28-08-2019 at 20:48. Reason: removed quoted pics to tidy up /save space
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28-08-2019, 20:47   #7
Meteorite58
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What the other models are showing at this stage.

ARPEGE




ICON




GEM




GFS

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28-08-2019, 21:53   #8
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That totally changed the outlook for us down south in Cork. Really shows how the models are struggling to grip with the system
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28-08-2019, 22:05   #9
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Dear Jesus no
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28-08-2019, 22:25   #10
bazlers
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Dear Jesus no
Roughly what time will the rain hit the midlands? Say Athlone greater area.
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28-08-2019, 23:22   #11
Meteorite58
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Originally Posted by bazlers View Post
Roughly what time will the rain hit the midlands? Say Athlone greater area.
Timing is difficult to determine at this stage but for the midlands it looks like scattered showers , short spells of rain for a time from early Fri until heavier rain arrives later afternoon for a time and heavier pulse's crossing the country in the early hours of Sat morning.

This could change either way, heavier or weaker or shift track a bit but I think we are starting to see what it will more or less look like come Fri / Sat.

Not exceptional but a fair amount on top of a wet spell just gone by.

Connacht / Donegal possibly seeing 20 to 40 or 50mm in 24 hrs , more on higher ground.









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29-08-2019, 00:32   #12
Meteorite58
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IMO Latest ARPEGE 18Z showing about 50mm in 24hrs in the W up to about 07.00 Sat morning. A yellow weather alert more than likely and close enough to an Orange weather warning. High end yellow at the moment probably, Galway maybe Orange . Will see tomorrow's charts.











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29-08-2019, 00:43   #13
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UKMO





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29-08-2019, 10:43   #14
Oscar Bravo
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Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Connacht, Donegal, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Rain will turn heavy and persistent on Friday and Friday night bringing the risk of localised flooding. Rainfall totals of 30-50mm are expected during the period, higher in mountainous areas.

Valid: Friday 30 August 2019 06:00 to Saturday 31 August 2019 06:00
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29-08-2019, 11:27   #15
ronnie3585
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It's been one hell of a wet August in the west of Ireland
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