[M.T. Cranium]

Some days next week are looking a bit colder, if I had a reset I would be saying 5.5 looking at the available guidance.

[appledrop]

New min max Knock Airport 6.9 19th Nov.

[M.T. Cranium]

After three weeks ...

IMT on 9.0 after a very mild third week which averaged 9.5, 2.4 above normal.

PRC at 129% with the third week similar to the average, 124%.

SUN has slipped a bit further, now at 88% with the third week at 83% (499/600).

Low max 6.9 at Knock.

[appledrop]

This Friday is looking like the coldest day of Nov with forecast max temperatures of only 4 or 5 so that should give us our coldest daily max I would guess.

[pauldry]

New min this week too -3 or 4 possible.

[M.T. Cranium]

Assuming the last seven days average 4 C, run largely dry after today, and provide a bit more sunshine than average, the end of month values (beside those suggested above, which I feel are likely correct too), would be something like

IMT 7.8-8.0, MAX 16.3, MIN ?? (-3 to -5), PRC 105, SUN 95-100 and low max ?? (2 to 4).

This will help most scores I think. Could be seeing a few really high ones if people get lucky on their bonus and MIN guesses (the other estimates are probably less subject to variation).

[DOCARCH]

Tomorrow could be a good day to watch out for low max. with possible persistent fog to some areas of the midlands/east.

[pauldry]

IMT may finish a bit higher now as temperatures not forecast below 5 at weekend

[M.T. Cranium]

It appears that no place stayed all that cold yesterday (Knock 6.7, Oak Park 6.9) but today could factor in again, still think IMT will be close to 8 by end of month even if cold is less severe because when I made that projection it wasn't with the more severe cold estimates in mind a few days ago. Let's say 8.1 is perhaps the most likely finishing spot.

[M.T. Cranium]

Oak Park had some missing data during the afternoon, looks like a max around 6 perhaps or in the 5's. May be a delay in getting a number with that missing data issue, will see. Knock also maxed out around 6. Didn't spot any other places lower. Still some slight chance of a lower value by Monday although the next round of high pressure is supposed to be rather mild and overcast. Some place between the grid of stations may always have been colder, in this calm scenario. ... will post a December thread tonight, the usual 25 Dec bonus question anyway. (spoiler alert, no usually wins).

[pauldry]

Oak Park 5.5c and Knock 5.7c min max provisional estimates ogimet

[appledrop]

In the end new min max is 6.0 at Knock airport.

Surprised it got that high as so cold yesterday.

[appledrop]

Looks like it might have got down to -3 around 5am at Mt Dillion for our new minimum value but we will have to wait till tomorrow for confirmation.

[appledrop]

-2.8 at Mt Dillion on 28th is new confirmed min.

[Tae laidir]

Mt Dillon -2.8 yesterday.