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30-04-2021, 23:23   #31
Meteorite58
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Monday now looking quite windy on the coasts and blustery overland, might get some bit of a clearance in the afternoon with showers following the front. Some heavy rain showing up on the models especially Northern areas.

Cool enough for most of the country especially in Northern areas, mildest along Southern counties.











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01-05-2021, 00:15   #32
Artane2002
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the GFS 18z has heavy rain for the entire country as Meteorite mentioned, also turns wintry for a time in the far north. the rain on the ECM is less heavy and there is also less wintry precip.



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01-05-2021, 00:30   #33
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Xcweather which is gfs shows 11cm of snow falling in two hours Monday morning and rain either side of it for my location. Obviously can't be taken seriously at this stage but mad to be even showing that for May. Also has snow for Wednesday and Thursday.
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06-05-2021, 16:54   #34
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After the frontal rain later Friday night into Saturday morning clears ,might be a half decent day and a lot milder then of late with the winds switched around to the the S / SW. Good drop of rain overnight for Southern counties and looks like some showers during the day in places but dry for a lot of the country until rain increasing from the SW/ W later that night. Breezy during the frontal passage Fri night into Sat morning and windy along Atlantic coastal counties but calmer during Sat day until wind approaches the SW later that night.












Last edited by Meteorite58; 06-05-2021 at 18:01.
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07-05-2021, 23:52   #35
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Quite a deep depression out there off the W and lucky that it is filling on approach .

Sunday looking fairly blustery overland from early morning to later that evening. Showers could be widespread and looks like the W and NW getting the brunt of it, possibly thundery too.


https://twitter.com/NWSOPC/status/13...281389568?s=20










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10-05-2021, 09:44   #36
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https://twitter.com/ECMWF/status/139...903950338?s=20
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15-05-2021, 20:31   #37
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Big uncertainty on the track and strength of the LP around Thurs/ Fri. Big change from the ECM since the last run, GFS lower keeping the strongest winds offshore.

Would expect to see changes in this for a time to come but worth keeping an eye on it.

Both showing some very wet conditions but will depend on track.






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17-05-2021, 00:39   #38
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ECM the previous run brought the Depression to the S of Ireland but taking a more direct track now on the 12Z as is the GFS but timing different, UKMO like the ECM but not as strong, ICON staying well to the S with the wind.

Looks like it could be quite wet and another LP system is possible the weekend.

ECM the strongest at the moment but as Met Eireann said in their forecast' THURSDAY: Higher uncertainty than usual regarding the forecast for Thursday, with wet and windy conditions likely in most areas during the day'










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17-05-2021, 12:30   #39
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Rainfall warnings could be in place Thursday onwards.

Could be 25 to 50mm of rain in places for this period
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17-05-2021, 16:49   #40
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The next few days are looking very unsettled. The Atlantic is being unleashed with an onslaught of wind, rain and some very cool conditions for the time of year.

A dartboard low will cross Ireland on Thursday with driving rain and gale force winds.



Temperatures on Thursday may get no higher than 7 or 8C in places with the wind and rain keeping it unseasonably cool.




Very windy at times, particularly across western and southern coastal areas with winds up to 80km/h at times.




The weekend will be chilly with heavy possibly thundery showers crossing the country in stiff north-west winds.



Remaining very chilly into Saturday with temperatures struggling in the single digits across a large part of the country.




Remaining unsettled up to about Tuesday with rain or showers never far away and temperatures on the cool side.

There is a chance of higher pressure setting up next week but it looks like we will remain on the cool side of the ridge with winds possibly switching into the north.

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17-05-2021, 21:09   #41
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Models showing it to be very wet all right for Thurs and Fri with various wind strengths being shown by the models atm with different tracks. Windy/ blustery at times at least and maybe stronger winds in the SW and along S coasts for a time as is often the case, no models showing it stronger than yellow wind warning level atm, and quite possible for rain warnings as Pauldry pointed out.

Relatively slow moving depression.





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Yesterday, 22:41   #42
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Wet and windy Thurs and still quite fresh on the coasts on Fri with some big showers . Strongest winds in the SW , S and clipping the SE for a time, highest winds along coasts and high ground in those coastal counties , might need a yellow warning for parts. Rainfall totals high on Thurs , Met Eireann said to stay tuned for possible warnings.












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