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30-12-2020, 07:36   #1
M.T. Cranium
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Boards weather forecast contest for January 2021

1. Predict the IMT (average temperature at five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park, Shannon), 1981-2010 "normal" was 5.1 C.

2. Predict the MAX and

3. MIN (each from the roughly 25 stations normally reporting on the met.ie website).

4. Predict the PRC as a percentage of normal values (the data used come from eleven locations, the five mentioned in part one, plus these six: Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle, Cork, Valentia).

5. Predict the SUN as a percentage of normal values (the data used come from six locations, Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Cork, Shannon and Valentia).

6. Some guidance is suggesting a significant cold spell. What will be the maximum snow depth at Casement during January, and on which date? (no significant snow forecasts don't need a date) -- amount will be 7/10 of this bonus and timing will be 3/10 of the points awarded.

Because I posted this rather late and there is the usual disruption of New Years involved, late penalties will be somewhat more lenient than usual, just 2 points for anyone coming in before 1500h 1st, and a maximum of 8 by 1500 2nd. After that it's a point an hour as usual. Any data already reported by the time of late forecasts, and used for those forecasts will be subject to spot deductions too (although I don't anticipate this will be a big factor).

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 30-12-2020 at 07:42.
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30-12-2020, 11:08   #2
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200motels 5.3----- 10.5------ -5.5------- 94 ----- 89 2cm 10th
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30-12-2020, 12:18   #3
SleetAndSnow
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Not gonna lose -10 this time!

SleetAndSnow 5.4_____11____ -4.2______ 91______ 85____ 3cm 11th

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30-12-2020, 19:50   #4
WesternStorm
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WesternStorm 4.5_____10.5____ -6.0______ 86______ 107____ 0cm (no significant snow)
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30-12-2020, 19:55   #5
Danno
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Danno 2.7_____12.7____ -12.4______ 135%______ 65%____ 20cm 25th
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30-12-2020, 20:19   #6
sryanbruen
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sryanbruen _____ 3.9 _ 13.1 _ -7.1 _ 085 _ 115 _ 4cm, 21st
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30-12-2020, 22:31   #7
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Bazlers_____3.3_____9.8_____-14.6_____85%_____105%______37CM 28th.
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31-12-2020, 02:22   #8
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Bsal _____ 3.2 _ 11.0 _ -6.0 _ 090 _ 105 _ 10cm, 22nd
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31-12-2020, 08:17   #9
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Kindred Spirit ___ 4.5° ___ 12.0 ___ -6.5 ___ 110 ___ 88 ___ 6cm, 6th.

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31-12-2020, 08:21   #10
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Sunflower3 _____ 3.5_ 12.5 _ -8.0 _ 090 _ 110 _ 6cm, 28th
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31-12-2020, 10:08   #11
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4.3 _ 11.6 _ -6.6 _ 88% _ 107% _ 4cm, 14th January..
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31-12-2020, 11:12   #12
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john mac_____ 4.3 _ 12.4 _ -5.1 _ 97 _ 105 _ no significant snow
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31-12-2020, 13:55   #13
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pauldry____ 4.5 _ 12.8_ -6 _ 90_ 115 _ 3cm jan 10th
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31-12-2020, 18:01   #14
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Tae laidir _____ 4.6 _ 13.1 _ -6.2 _ 122 _ 100 _ 5cm, 9th

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31-12-2020, 18:57   #15
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Appledrop___4.5___12.9__-6.2__80%__120%__2cm_ 9th Jan
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