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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Winter 2020 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**
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Crucial thing for Dublin area is to nab that onshore wind in time. We may just make it.
This is evolving and the projected upper temperature profile is lowering with each run as well as the positioning of that chink in the frontal zone. Getting easily cold enough for a few hours of snow...
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Why thank you.
Just caught the latest GFS for this period and also ICON which is moving the same direction but not quite there yet. I'll do a thread for flooding and potentially heavy snowfall later this morning.
Snow most likely over east/southeast Leinster and Munster. Could be disruptive amounts for some.
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nacho libre wrote: »Could be wintry enough at times this weekend according to the latest GFS
yep looks fairly wintry over all parts of the country from Friday and into the weekend, most of it marginal with a mixture of cold rain, sleet and wet snow. Hopefully a few places will get a dusting out of it.
If this verifies it could be more snow falling than what we've seen over the past 2 winters combined but no guarantee there will be lying snow away from high ground.
The GFS para is a bit more generous with snow cover across the country but not much more than a dusting to illustrate that any potential lying snow will melt away during daylight hours.
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The models are looking very good for low level snow in Ulster from Friday, possibly Thursday.
Freezing levels <500 metres from Friday early hours.
Dew Points are negative on Friday also.
Snow showers hugging the north and north west coasts.
Similar, if not heavier snow showers on Saturday.
So looking good for some low level snow in Ulster (Northern and Western) on Friday and Saturday, this time it is not looking marginal.0 -
Possibly better chances of some snow in the coming days more so from showers straying in off the coasts but could have a few more organised bands from troughs as it becomes increasingly colder, ECM showing Sat evening into Sun as good potential from what looks like an occluded front or trough activity or both., currently showing the Northern half of the country but that is only a rough guide at present would think, good cold 850 hPa's showing up especially over the weekend. Watching out for Ninja snow could be a bit of crack.
Cold frosty nights in store for many in off the coasts.
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Donegal Ken wrote: »Possibly some snow for higher parts of Ulster tonight and for a time Tuesday morning with the freezing level around 500 to 600 metres for a time in places. Most places will be a mix of sleet, wet snow and rain.
Looks very wintry in Northern counties all right, some places especially high ground could get a good dump of snow.
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Wet week in store. Not as windy on Thurs as previous runs, some models showing possibly getting windy in the SW or W early Fri morning, in general nothing too strong at the moment, maybe a bit strong on coasts for a time.
After a couple of milder days getting colder again during the weekend more so in the Northern half of the country. Models showing a deep area of LP moving into the cold air around Sunday as other posters have pointed out, showing this for a few runs now. ECM showing a big dump of snow in Northern counties, all the main models showing wintry precipitation but far too early to know if it will happen. Showing it to be windy on Sunday and stronger winds again on Monday but that is straying past +120 hrs but all connected to the area of LP. Looks like heavy precipitation over the weekend.
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nacho libre wrote: »It's just a pity that low can't stall and slowly head south east as it crosses over us.
Would have a tendency to drift further North I suppose but you would never know
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the ICON brings more of the west in play this time, with the onshore breeze being more problematic for the east, penetrating further inland than what was being shown earlier. the rain for the rest looks heavy, particularly in the south. we don't exactly need more rain!
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Lp's close by and their associated fronts making inroads across the country over the weekend . Models differ quiet a bit at the moment, even more so than yesterday, ECM still showing fronts coming up against cold air and wintry precipitation along with heavier rainfalls possible. Marginal as ever and would not like to call it. ECM showing the N half of the country getting the most wintry weather atm but would really have to see how this evolves over the next couple of days.
Windy at times over the weekend but not as strong as earlier runs.
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This discussion has been closed.
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