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Snow risk Tuesday night in to Wednesday in the midlands and possibly the east

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    #32
    downwiththatsor
    Registered Users Posts: 910 ✭✭✭downwiththatsor


    snaps wrote: »
    Nothing mentioned or shown on the countryfile weather forecast on BBC just now. Showing the battle between mild and cold air. You can guess where the mild air is!
    Battleground over Wales.
    Fingers croosed for Oarrack and others that the battleground moves west


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    #33
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    snaps wrote: »
    Battleground over Wales.

    Very much over Ireland ;) Probably still working off 00z models because the latest suggest it's further west as on the ECM for example.

    130113_1200_66.png

    130113_1200_66.png

    There is a growing risk for Tuesday no doubt about it.


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    #34
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    snaps wrote: »
    Nothing mentioned or shown on the countryfile weather forecast on BBC just now. Showing the battle between mild and cold air. You can guess where the mild air is!
    Battleground over Wales.

    It showed the cold air pushing the mild air well west past Ireland on friday


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    #35
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Countryfile forecast had us on the mild side all week but it's very marginal and any forecast beyond 24hrs is going to change a lot with each set of models.


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    #36
    oterra
    Registered Users Posts: 230 ✭✭oterra


    I don't think this is a certainty, maybe a 10% chance and probably will happen over the UK.
    I was surprised to see this thread! This subject should really be in the Ramping thread!!!!


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    #37
    Saganist
    Registered Users Posts: 1,333 ✭✭✭Saganist


    Anyone got a link to Countryfile forecast ?


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    #38
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,979 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    I wouldn't take much notice of bbc forecasts, they concentrate on UK and tend to be wrong when predicting for republic of Ireland. Even in November / December 2010, they consistently had east of Ireland missing out on snow and we ended up getting more than a lot of the UK, up to 30 -35 cm of snow in parts of the east, not to mention the huge amounts in Wicklow mountains, it was like an alpine ski resort up there! In fact i think there was lying snow for nearly four weeks. Naturally BBC focus is on UK, it is best not to go by their forecasts from what I have seen before.

    Either way, the next 24 hours will tell us a lot. This potential event on Tuesday night / Wednesday is a tough one to call


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    #39
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Saganist wrote: »
    Anyone got a link to Countryfile forecast ?

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056854189


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    #40
    Busted Flat.
    Registered Users Posts: 4,003 ✭✭✭Busted Flat.


    Try accuweather.com, and put in your area. Quite accurate, for forcaster's.


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    #41
    starskey77
    Registered Users Posts: 143 ✭✭starskey77


    how long cold snap lasting i hate snow


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    #42
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    UK fax chart for Wednesday at 12 UTC. 528 dam line over Wales. Not looking good!

    PPVK89.png


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    #43
    tomcosgrave
    Registered Users Posts: 320 ✭✭tomcosgrave


    I have to say I don't see the snow myself. Maybe dusting at best.


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    #44
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    starskey77 wrote: »
    how long cold snap lasting i hate snow

    6-8 weeks. Possibly could moderate around 3 weeks time for 4 or 5 days.


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    #45
    Busted Flat.
    Registered Users Posts: 4,003 ✭✭✭Busted Flat.


    BEASTERLY wrote: »
    6-8 weeks. Possibly could moderate around 3 weeks time for 4 or 5 days.

    1947, started last week in January and lasted two months approx.


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    #46
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Looking at the models and forecasts i can't see this happening unless things change in the next 24 hrs or so. We all hope for some action this week but i won't be holding out much hope.


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    #47
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Sorry folks , i have to agree with others here , but on CURRENT charts , this event will not happen , only above 350 m...

    yours sincerely ... a fellow Snow lover.


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    #48
    FWVT
    Closed Accounts Posts: 922 ✭✭✭FWVT


    This thread's an obvious darkman thread, complete with yellow warning triangle and all. He's made it back in somehow!

    The charts posted as evidence don't back up the claims. Hard to see how it can be classed as anything more than purely a wishcast that the models will push the cold back westwards, but on the evidence shown it cannot be anything more than that.


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    #49
    whitebriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    I never gave an opinion on tuesday or wenesday,I actually thought I'd added a question mark to my last post.
    I do think somethings up though and there is potential for some areas to see potentially a lot of snow this week whilst others have rain.

    The likes of this thread is meant to be a bit of fun as much as anything.
    The antagonisers posting should really get a life or just relax,there's no need to be aiming fire at the op,making an effort at his hobby :mad:

    cue roll eye smiley's and more antagonism now I s'pose,quit it folks,no ones listening to that only yourselves,the rest of us are here to enjoy the ride :)
    Life and death isn't happening because there's a few threads in the weather forum.


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    #50
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    BEASTERLY wrote: »
    UK fax chart for Wednesday at 12 UTC. 528 dam line over Wales. Not looking good!

    Nothing wrong with that. It's fine. We don't need sub 528 DAM for snow in this situation.


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    #51
    fr wishy washy
    Registered Users Posts: 882 ✭✭✭fr wishy washy


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Sorry folks , i have to agree with others here , but on CURRENTS charts , this event will not happen , only above 350 m...

    yours sincerely ... a fellow Snow lover.

    Great I seem to be at 650m here in West Wicklow


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    #52
    kkontour
    Registered Users Posts: 351 ✭✭kkontour


    But the charts cant be trusted. We've seen the changes between runs over the past few days.
    The weather does not follow the models, the models merely attempts to predict the weather.
    Believe;)


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    #53
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    fr wishy washy wrote: »
    Great I seem to be at 650m here in West Wicklow

    LOL, highest house in Ireland?


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    #54
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    whitebriar wrote: »
    I never gave an opinion on tuesday or wenesday,I actually thought I'd added a question mark to my last post.
    I do think somethings up though and there is potential for some areas to see potentially a lot of snow this week whilst others have rain.

    The likes of this thread is meant to be a bit of fun as much as anything.
    The antagonisers posting should really get a life or just relax,there's no need to be aiming fire at the op,making an effort at his hobby :mad:

    cue roll eye smiley's and more antagonism now I s'pose,quit it folks,no ones listening to that only yourselves,the rest of us are here to enjoy the ride :)
    Life and death isn't happening because there's a few threads in the weather forum.


    I don't mind. Water off a ducks back. Wait till Tuesday night/Wednesday morning and we will see who is right and wrong;) Quite confident I have to say and the 3 main models back this up.


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    #55
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    fr wishy washy wrote: »
    Great I seem to be at 650m here in West Wicklow

    236205.png

    :rolleyes:


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    #56
    Larbre34
    Registered Users Posts: 23,796 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Distinct lack of moderation around here today, and I'm not talking about the sort carried out by mods


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    #57
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,708 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    dont see massive volumes of snow fall from this either, we will propably end up in a situation similiar to today with wet snow and sleet turning to rain with proper snow reserved for the mountains. Different story for the Uk tho they will propably get buried in over a foot of snow over the coming week. Quite a bit needs to change before we are confident of seeing proper snow here.


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    #58
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    I think posters are misreading this thread. I never said "massive" amounts of snow. :confused:


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    #59
    FWVT
    Closed Accounts Posts: 922 ✭✭✭FWVT


    Oarrack Bama wrote: »
    I think posters are misreading this thread. I never said "massive" amounts of snow. :confused:

    :cool:
    Here we are talking about significant disruptive frontal snow fall for a good portion of the country - something not seen in very many years - so it's not nailed yet but certainly potential is there.


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    #60
    omicron
    Registered Users Posts: 815 ✭✭✭omicron


    whitebriar wrote: »
    I never gave an opinion on tuesday or wenesday,I actually thought I'd added a question mark to my last post.
    I do think somethings up though and there is potential for some areas to see potentially a lot of snow this week whilst others have rain.

    The likes of this thread is meant to be a bit of fun as much as anything.
    The antagonisers posting should really get a life or just relax,there's no need to be aiming fire at the op,making an effort at his hobby :mad:

    cue roll eye smiley's and more antagonism now I s'pose,quit it folks,no ones listening to that only yourselves,the rest of us are here to enjoy the ride :)
    Life and death isn't happening because there's a few threads in the weather forum.

    I think people are right to point out that the thread title was (and is still a bit) alarmist, and that there is not a serious risk of a heavy snow event. Many people who read this forum, especially at this time of year, cannot interpret the charts, and may take the OP's post as gospel, and may warn others about an event that isn't going to happen.

    Oarrack Bama wrote: »
    Nothing wrong with that. It's fine. We don't need sub 528 DAM for snow in this situation.

    In a maritime air flow as this will be, we need 528 and lower. The 528 line will at best be somewhere over Wales, maybe even further east. ( doesn't rule out front edge snow though, but for lying, persistent snow 528 will be needed)
    Oarrack Bama wrote: »
    I think posters are misreading this thread. I never said "massive" amounts of snow. :confused:

    The title originally read ''Heavy snow Tuesday night in to Wednesday''. Heavy snow to most people implies a lot of snow. How did you intend it to be interpreted?


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    #61
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    whitebriar wrote: »
    I never gave an opinion on tuesday or wenesday,I actually thought I'd added a question mark to my last post.
    I do think somethings up though and there is potential for some areas to see potentially a lot of snow this week whilst others have rain.

    The likes of this thread is meant to be a bit of fun as much as anything.
    The antagonisers posting should really get a life or just relax,there's no need to be aiming fire at the op,making an effort at his hobby :mad:

    cue roll eye smiley's and more antagonism now I s'pose,quit it folks,no ones listening to that only yourselves,the rest of us are here to enjoy the ride :)
    Life and death isn't happening because there's a few threads in the weather forum.

    So a thread is started warning of a risk of heavy snow. He made the forecast based on an opinion, doesnt back it up with why he think it will happen, just post charts but doesnt explain how this will cause the precip to fall as snow.

    Now you're saying nobody can challenge that opinion? Even though I have posted charts and explained why I think these show that this will be a non event. But sure lets all be nice and agree, no matter what the charts say.


This discussion has been closed.
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