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Could the Germans stop the dday invasion and what if they did?

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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    D Day was nearly a year after Kursk.

    Would Kursk have been cancelled if the Germans were more worried about a D-Day in '43 ?

    Or would it have happened with less reinforcements leading to a greater Soviet victory ?




    Tirpitz acted as a fleet in being. The British and later Americans had to deploy battleships to protect convoys on the off chance she'd intercept. A complete waste of resources that could have been more use in the Pacific. That's why they were so determined to sink her.

    Norway had 300,000 German troops stationed there during the war, oddly enough the same number as France. One way of looking at is that Swedish iron ore was that vital to the war effort. Churchill even had a hare-brained Galliopili style plan to send three old battleships into the Baltic ! But it shows that Germay wasn't that worried about a second front in France.


    Yes the invasion of Sicily took some pressure off the Russians at Kursk. But had Germany been more worried about an invasion of France in 43 then the effect could have been greater. It could have helped divert Germans to France before the Italian camapign. Another Churchill special that soft underbelly. It's like trying to defeat China by invading South Korea. Zero chance of a breakout due to the number of defensive positions.

    In theory it worked by causing Italy to surrender but since the allies didn't capitalise on it by stepping in , an impossibilty given the lack of resources, it it was like having to then go on to fight North Korea from scratch and still not getting to Pyongyang by April 1945. Most of Italy's industrial heartland was still not in Allied hands by then, Bologna , Milan , Turin , the Po valley, La Spezia were all on the German side of the front line.

    Much like the American campaign in the Philipines the Italian campaign was pretty much a complete waste of resources and lives. The Philipines could have been bypassed like Rabul, and Italy could have been threatened from Sicily enough to keep hundreds of thousands of German toops tied up without having to actually invade, plus you save a lot of ammunition and wear and tear on the tanks and planes.

    By comparison US carriers took out most of the Japanese aircraft on Taiwan, leaving it to "wither on the vine", like other Japanese bases. Italy could have been the same , the Allied conquest of Sicily being like Tirpitz requiring the opposition to maintain defences just in case. And France should have been the same, the threat of invasion should have required more than 300,000 troops stationed there, at least until late 1943, because after that the threat of Soviet invasion was real.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Victor wrote: »
    I think you mean the Soviet Union. :)

    I know exactly what I mean.
    Victor wrote: »
    While the Eastern Front saw the bulk of the fighting, it was the cumulative effect of being attacked on all sides that won the war. Remove the British or Americans and the war would have been very different.

    Of course the war would have been different. But there is still no German victory, even if the western allies were absent.

    Hitler's plans for Russia were simply too ambitious. The best they can hope for was a stalemate of some description, but even then there is an uneasy cold war that would threaten to be come hot in a serious way over the slightest provocation.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,297 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Victor wrote: »
    ......

    The 'bigging up' of the Battle of the Atlantic was as much about managing expectations ("no, you can't have fancy tea every day") on the home front as winning the battle. A lot of the strategic bombing was wasted - not much use in sinking ships of iron ore off Norway if that ore can be replaced by ore from France or Poland. The latter policy of targeting fuel, railways and ball bearing manufacture was much more effect - hundreds of nearly fully-complete tanks 200km behind the front with no ball bearings and no fuel is a much greater waste of German resources than making people homeless.

    You kind of overlook the fact that the German resources tied up by the Western Allies through prosecuting the air and naval campaigns were pretty significant.

    Take the Brenner Pass - by late 1943 it was the mostly heavily defended air space in the world - the Germans had over 2,000 AAA pieces along its length including over 800 88's or heavier, at a time when there were barely 200 88s along the entire Eastern Front - and every shell going up, was one that wasn't going out.

    Likewise, the resources poured into the air defence of the Reich, to building and - to a degree, manning - the Atlantic Wall were also resources that couldn't be deployed in the east.
    .......


    Yes the invasion of Sicily took some pressure off the Russians at Kursk. But had Germany been more worried about an invasion of France in 43 then the effect could have been greater. It could have helped divert Germans to France before the Italian camapign. Another Churchill special that soft underbelly. It's like trying to defeat China by invading South Korea. Zero chance of a breakout due to the number of defensive positions.

    In theory it worked by causing Italy to surrender but since the allies didn't capitalise on it by stepping in , an impossibilty given the lack of resources, it it was like having to then go on to fight North Korea from scratch and still not getting to Pyongyang by April 1945. Most of Italy's industrial heartland was still not in Allied hands by then, Bologna , Milan , Turin , the Po valley, La Spezia were all on the German side of the front line.

    Much like the American campaign in the Philipines the Italian campaign was pretty much a complete waste of resources and lives. The Philipines could have been bypassed like Rabul, and Italy could have been threatened from Sicily enough to keep hundreds of thousands of German toops tied up without having to actually invade, plus you save a lot of ammunition and wear and tear on the tanks and planes.

    By comparison US carriers took out most of the Japanese aircraft on Taiwan, leaving it to "wither on the vine", like other Japanese bases. Italy could have been the same , the Allied conquest of Sicily being like Tirpitz requiring the opposition to maintain defences just in case. And France should have been the same, the threat of invasion should have required more than 300,000 troops stationed there, at least until late 1943, because after that the threat of Soviet invasion was real.

    The Italian Campaign made a contribution by tying up German divisions - the Allies could afford to have the 14 or so Divisions there, the Germans really couldn't. Plus, HUSKY (which was a larger amphibious operation than the NEPTUNE element of OVERLORD) was an important learning experience for the Allies. As the saying goes, OVERLORD couldn't have been done without SHINGLE; SHINGLE couldn't have been done without AVALANCHE; and AVALANCHE couldn't have been done without HUSKY.

    Even if you compare the loading tables for HUSKY with OVERLORD it's clear how radically Allied logistical planning changed in the 9 months between them. Plus, those pre-cursor operations proved it was possible to supply a large force across the beach and the importance of naval gun fire.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Jawgap wrote: »
    You kind of overlook the fact that the German resources tied up by the Western Allies through prosecuting the air and naval campaigns were pretty significant.

    Take the Brenner Pass - by late 1943 it was the mostly heavily defended air space in the world - the Germans had over 2,000 AAA pieces along its length including over 800 88's or heavier, at a time when there were barely 200 88s along the entire Eastern Front - and every shell going up, was one that wasn't going out.

    Likewise, the resources poured into the air defence of the Reich, to building and - to a degree, manning - the Atlantic Wall were also resources that couldn't be deployed in the east.

    None of which would have made any difference and we've had this conversation before. :D

    German needs a decisive victory in Russia in 1941. Without it, Hitler's plans are doomed. 1941 is THE year that Germany needs the knockout blow to occur.

    1943 is simply too late and by then every German offensive had failed in its goals. There may be a chance of holding Russia to a draw of some description after that, but that's it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,297 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Tony EH wrote: »
    None of which would have made any difference and we've had this conversation before. :D

    German needs a decisive victory in Russia in 1941. Without it, Hitler's plans are doomed. 1941 is THE year that Germany needs the knockout blow to occur.

    1943 is simply too late and by then every German offensive had failed in its goals. There may be a chance of holding Russia to a draw of some description after that, but that's it.

    No, I'm not arguing. I think even if the Western Allies had not fought or been forced from the war, then Germany still couldn't have defeated the USSR.

    They might have occupied a large chunk of European Russia, Ukraine etc and they might even have precipitated a heave against Stalin, but that wouldn't have amounted to a Soviet defeat at the USSR would have persisted and no doubt rallied a few years subsequent to any such occupation and recovered most if not all of any lost territory.

    One point worth noting though is that the US and the Brits did a lot of the R&D heavy lifting - between penicillin, radar, high efficiency fuel refining, radio comms gear & radio navigation aids, computers and computational analysis, cryptography and crypto-analysis, proximity fuses, napalm etc Even the slinky was invented during WW2 as an accidental part of a US Navy research project.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,804 ✭✭✭Wurzelbert


    Tony EH wrote: »
    The Russians won the war in Europe. Over 80% of the Whermacht was destroyed by Russia.

    Everything else is a bit part in comparison.

    For Hitler, Russia was the war.

    true, though the red army drove to berlin in american-made trucks and tanks made from american steel, running on american fuel, soldiers wearing american boots and eating american food…and they fought an enemy substantially weakened by the british blockade and anglo-american bombing that destroyed much of germany’s infrastructure and industry…


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Not in 1941, or 42 or 43.

    And they were the years in which Germany was decisively beaten by Russia every time, with Russian blood and Russian equipment.

    Lend lease only really made its presence felt in 1944 (in a truly significant way), by which time there was only one outcome on the eastern front.

    Lend lease quickened the demise of Germany, but it wasn't the key to it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 29,930 ✭✭✭✭TerrorFirmer


    Jawgap wrote: »

    Take the Brenner Pass - by late 1943 it was the mostly heavily defended air space in the world - the Germans had over 2,000 AAA pieces along its length including over 800 88's or heavier, at a time when there were barely 200 88s along the entire Eastern Front - and every shell going up, was one that wasn't going out.

    An interesting point as Manstein wanted to plaster the eastern front with 88's and let the Russians break themselves in '43.
    Hitler's plans for Russia were simply too ambitious. The best they can hope for was a stalemate of some description, but even then there is an uneasy cold war that would threaten to be come hot in a serious way over the slightest provocation.

    Personally I believe that without western involvement the Eastern Front would most likely have ended this way.

    Also the history of the book Fatherland. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,804 ✭✭✭Wurzelbert


    Tony EH wrote: »
    Not in 1941, or 42 or 43.

    And they were the years in which Germany was decisively beaten by Russia every time, with Russian blood and Russian equipment.

    Lend lease only really made its presence felt in 1944 (in a truly significant way), by which time there was only one outcome on the eastern front.

    Lend lease quickened the demise of Germany, but it wasn't the key to it.

    well, in a way they did from day one, also indirectly…without america, britain and thus all the western and mediterranean fronts would have been done with in 40, just like the allied blockade and bombing campaign would not have happened…russia would have been defeated in 41…the soviets on their own would not have gone anywhere if not for american aid and involvement, whether they got deliveries or whether it weakened their enemies…of course stalin never really acknowledged any anglo-american help with anything…


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    There isn't a single chance of Russia being defeated in 1941.

    The main reason being that the German plan for Barbarossa was just far too difficult to accomplish. Coupled with the fact that the German leadership were just too out of touch with what the Russians could actually do and how much they could take.

    Hitler simply believed that "all you had to do was kick the door in and the whole rotten edifice would come down."

    He was of course, very, very wrong in that assertion as history has shown and once his hope for a quick victory in 1941 was withered away, he knew that he was in for a long and costly war. A war of attrition that Germany couldn't win.

    The simple fact is Barbarossa failed in 1941 and failed badly, because the goals were simply out of reach.


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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Tony EH wrote: »
    There isn't a single chance of Russia being defeated in 1941.
    “The whole situation makes it increasingly plain that we have underestimated the Russian colossus...At the outset of war, we reckoned with about 200 enemy divisions. Now we have already counted 360. But there they are, and if we smash a dozen of them, the Russians simply put up another dozen.”
    From the diary of General Franz Halder, August 11, 1941

    That's only day 51 of the invasion.



    The quality of the equipment was also important. And this wasn't the same Russian army trying an invasion of Finland just after purging all the officers. The Russians had learnt from that debacle. The Russians were on home territory, look at the partisan activity. The Germans split their resources. Leningrad didn't help them. Getting Moscow didn't win the war for Napoleon. That just leaves the food of Ukraine and the oil of the Caucasus. And even then there'd still be the temptation of Stalingrad.

    In theory if they had taken the Caucasus and been able to transport stuff across the Black Sea then they might even have been able to hold out against a thrust down the Volga. Ship the oil to Bulgaria. But they'd didn't so Russia still had oil. Even if they had taken and defended the area Russia could have sourced oil from the convoys from the US. And when the Russians moved the factories past the Urals they also start utilising resources there, new mines and oil wells.

    Even if the Germans had conquered the oil fields it's likely they'd have been destroyed first so Germany would still have a massive logistical problem.

    http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/aureview/1981/jul-aug/becker.htm
    At the outbreak of the war, Germany’s stockpiles of fuel consisted of a total of 15 million barrels. The campaigns in Norway, Holland, Belgium, and France added another 5 million barrels in booty, and imports from the Soviet Union accounted for 4 million barrels in 1940 and 1.6 million barrels in the first half of 1941. Yet a High Command study in May of 1941 noted that with monthly military requirements for 7.25 million barrels and imports and home production of only 5.35 million barrels, German stocks would be exhausted by August 1941. The 26 percent shortfall could only be made up with petroleum from Russia. The need to provide the lacking 1.9 million barrels per month and the urgency to gain possession of the Russian oil fields in the Caucasus mountains, together with Ukrainian grain and Donets coal, were thus prime elements in the German decision to invade the Soviet Union in June 1941.

    interesting
    http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic.php?t=78524
    It is interesting that the Soviet Union prior to Barbarossa supplied such a small part of Germany's oil consumption, and that even with the imports from the Soviet Union Germany suffered an oil deficit that would have brought its war effort to a halt in August 1941, thus causing its defeat.

    It seems that in early 1941 Hitler was faced with the choice between screwing more oil out of the Soviet Union or surrendering. No doubt Stalin would have resisted any German demand for increased oil deliveries, or at least made such an increase dependant on greatly increased German deliveries of manufactured products that Germany would have been incapable of meeting. Viewed in that light, the German invasion of the Soviet Union appears inevitable, even without the ideological aspect.


    In 1941, just before Pearl Harbor, Hitler’s armaments minister and long-time trusted confidant Fritz Todt told the Führer that “this war can no longer be won by military means,” because Germany couldn’t match the growing production of the U.S. (which was providing more and more materiel to Britain and Russia), not to mention the increasing output of the Soviet Union and Great Britain. Todt recommended that Hitler negotiate the best deal he could and end the war.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    D'oh , the Russians would of course have got their oil from Iran had Germany taken the other side of the Caspian sea. And they'd have been within easy reach of allied aircraft.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Soviet_invasion_of_Iran


    Because of the German lack of fuel and allied air supremacy there was always going to be difficulties in a race to the front unless the units were already near. Because of overwhelming naval firepower those units couldn't be too near. Because of commitments in Norway and Greece there were many divisions too far away to be of use. But they'd probably be used on the Eastern Front anyway so a moot point.


  • Registered Users Posts: 30 BeardedNomad


    In truth the German's could have stopped D-Day if someone had woke up Hitler so that the tanks would be released. The addition of German Panzer's would have crushed the lightly armed airborne units that were meant to hold back the Germans and the beachheads would have been too lightly defended in the beginning to hold back the Germans. IMO

    However, the affect this would have had on the overall war would be negligible. Likely the Allies would just try again. If not then all the troops that would eventually participate in Operation Overlord would probably have been sent to Italy, where the Allies had already practically won and they would have just had to cross the alps. More people would have died in the mountain warfare which the allies wouldn't have been equipped for and would stretch their supplies thin as would the extra deaths on D-Day.

    Even if the Italian front never went anywhere though the German's had already lost the war. Their was a story in a Stephen E. Ambrose book which I think was called the Victors about Rommel in North Africa in 1942 after Stalingrad had been lost. Where he tells a fellow soldier that the war is already over. That true. Once Russian concentrated their ENORMOUS manpower the Germans had lost.

    That's my rant over. :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,297 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    In truth the German's could have stopped D-Day if someone had woke up Hitler so that the tanks would be released. The addition of German Panzer's would have crushed the lightly armed airborne units that were meant to hold back the Germans and the beachheads would have been too lightly defended in the beginning to hold back the Germans. IMO

    However, the affect this would have had on the overall war would be negligible. Likely the Allies would just try again. If not then all the troops that would eventually participate in Operation Overlord would probably have been sent to Italy, where the Allies had already practically won and they would have just had to cross the alps. More people would have died in the mountain warfare which the allies wouldn't have been equipped for and would stretch their supplies thin as would the extra deaths on D-Day.

    Even if the Italian front never went anywhere though the German's had already lost the war. Their was a story in a Stephen E. Ambrose book which I think was called the Victors about Rommel in North Africa in 1942 after Stalingrad had been lost. Where he tells a fellow soldier that the war is already over. That true. Once Russian concentrated their ENORMOUS manpower the Germans had lost.

    That's my rant over. :D

    In all probability if OVERLORD had failed the Yanks would have just folded their tents and left for the Pacific, leaving some token support and promises to supply the Soviets who would have been effectively left to finish the job on their own.

    The anglophobic Admiral King would have got his way as regards supply and personnel being routed away from Europe into the Pacific, and this, crucially, would have included the Higgins' boats and various other landing craft.

    Also, the Brits were tapped out. One of the reasons Monty was so timid in his handling of his ground forces and why such reliance was placed on armour by him was because the British were scraping the bottom of the manpower barrel at this point in the war. It was a real struggle to field infantry divisions and replace casualties, and even the veteran formations were war weary - there's likely no way they could have run another major amphibious operation in Europe for several years.

    In the event of OVERLORD failing they would more likely have used what reinforcements they could field to shore up Alexander's campaign in Italy, but more likely with the Yanks switching to the Pacific, they'd have reinforced Slim's (by far their best general) campaign against the Japanese in Burma, which in mid to late '44 was achieving some notable successes.

    In mid to late 1944 and into 1945, the Italian campaign was not amenable to to receiving reinforcement beyond replacing casualties - at the point it was still mired in the mountains between Florence and Bologna - it was mountain fighting which meant despite having nearly 500,000 personnel in the country and 14 field divisions and overwhelming air power, the fighting often came down to a company or two slogging it out against a prepared German defensive position because that's all the narrowness of the valleys permitted - it was brutal, attritional fighting, and during the winters it was every bit as terrible as the Eastern Front, but on a much smaller scale.

    Beyond the mountains lay the Emilia Romagna - which because of it's flatness the tankers were dying to get loose in. When they eventually broke out they found it was an alluvial plain, criss-crossed by an infinity of irrigation and drainage ditches which made perfect anti-tank obstacles. And because it was alluvial it turned to a tread clogging mud at the first drop of rain and rose in choking clouds (which made close air support difficult) when it was dry.

    Alexander's assessment was that he'd need 28 divisions to drive the Lubjana Gap, and probably another 10/12 for a drive on Vienna. Even if OVERLORD had ended in tatters the Yanks wouldn't have provided that kind of manpower and the Brits didn't have it - the Italian campaign was never going to lead to a German defeat, its value lay in the fact that it forced the Germans to tie up divisions they could ill afford and could put to better use elsewhere, it also forced them to supply those divisions (which tied up more precious resources operating and protecting lines of communication) and it drove a certain amount of innovation in combat practice on the Allied side that proved very useful elsewhere, particularly in relation to combined arms warfare, close air support and indirect fire support.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    If Overlord failed it would have been the most bizarre and incredible military blunder in the entire history of the world.

    The Gerries couldn't even occupy every machine gun nest on Omaha. They simply hadn't the man power.

    It would have been a miracle of absolutely epic proportions if the Germans managed to defeat the allies in June '44 and if, by some utterly ridiculous scenario, they'd done it, it would have been due to a major allied screw up, or series of unbelievable screw ups.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    In truth the German's could have stopped D-Day if someone had woke up Hitler so that the tanks would be released. The addition of German Panzer's would have crushed the lightly armed airborne units that were meant to hold back the Germans and the beachheads would have been too lightly defended in the beginning to hold back the Germans. IMO
    Air supremacy would have taken out a good few but if they had sent the tanks all the way to the front line then it would have been tanks vs. navy and there's only one winner there.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    A delay to the end of the war... possibly by a year.

    The Allies were surging through Italy and the Russians had the momentum on the Eastern Front. American factories were at maximum production and their infrastructure was 100% intact.

    If D-Day had failed, the Allies might have redeployed towards the Benelux countries or South Eastern Europe

    Another interesting question for another day.... if the United States hadn't used the two atom bombs, how long could Japan avoid defeat for?


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    They were given, at best, til the end of the year by a study after the war.

    The Purple decrypt's showed full well that they were done.

    They were looking for a way out in any case, before the first bomb fell.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Jimbob1977 wrote: »
    A delay to the end of the war... possibly by a year.

    The Allies were surging through Italy and the Russians had the momentum on the Eastern Front. American factories were at maximum production and their infrastructure was 100% intact.
    Surging through Italy ?? Remember that started in 1943.

    It was April 1945 before they got to Bologna and the industrial areas of the Po Valley
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:SpringOffensiveItaly1945.jpg
    The corresponding area in Germany was the Rhur and it had already been occupied.


    Italy wasn't the soft underbelly, it was just attrition on both sides all the way up.

    If D-Day had failed, the Allies might have redeployed towards the Benelux countries or South Eastern Europe
    Italy was to be the point to jump to the Balkans 'cept it didn't work out that way. Some say for UK post war influence in the area. The US wasn't keen on diverting resources to help them do that.

    Or go to Norway to stop the shipments of Swedish iron ore. Helps the Soviets in Finland and means bombers could fly around much of the Radar / AA defences.

    Another interesting question for another day.... if the United States hadn't used the two atom bombs, how long could Japan avoid defeat for?
    Not very long. Soviets had blitzkrieged though Manchurian and half way down Korea.

    All of a sudden Japan had no plan B , no offshore bases, a million troops captured , all the resources and area in China gone.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,297 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Jimbob1977 wrote: »
    A delay to the end of the war... possibly by a year.

    The Allies were surging through Italy and the Russians had the momentum on the Eastern Front. American factories were at maximum production and their infrastructure was 100% intact.

    If D-Day had failed, the Allies might have redeployed towards the Benelux countries or South Eastern Europe

    Another interesting question for another day.... if the United States hadn't used the two atom bombs, how long could Japan avoid defeat for?

    Sorry, but after Rome fell the Allies raced to Florence then spent six months slogging it through the Apennines - they weren't surging anywhere.

    Plus, King and Leahy would finally have got their way and all their agitating against resources being sent to Europe would have been vindicated, and crucially the landing craft would've been pulled for use in the Pacific.....plus given Roosevelt was a navy guy and was disposed to listening to his admirals, the failure of OVERLORD would have likely damaged his perception of Marshall, who championed Europe because that was the army's campaign.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3 RhodeRunner96


    If the Me-262 wasn't delayed and used in the fighter bomber role (that Hitler wanted so bad) over the beaches, they could've caused havoc. Fast enough to get in and out without fighters and AA guns targeting them, the 30mm cannons they had, would cut through landing craft easily. Probably could have delayed or ended the D-Day landings completely.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,297 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    If the Me-262 wasn't delayed and used in the fighter bomber role (that Hitler wanted so bad) over the beaches, they could've caused havoc. Fast enough to get in and out without fighters and AA guns targeting them, the 30mm cannons they had, would cut through landing craft easily. Probably could have delayed or ended the D-Day landings completely.

    .....small matter of fuel......fuel for basic training, fuel for operational conversion training and fuel for operational training.....before you even get to fuel for operations.

    Simply put the Luftwaffe lacked the fuel to run a jet fleet and build a cadre of experienced pilots which is why the reason why they were technological superior but an operational failure.

    Also, deploying jets increased logistical complexity - one of the main reasons the Allies didn't deploy their jets was because of the problems it would have created in their support, supply and maintenance systems.

    Higher technology isn't always better technology.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,910 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    If the Me-262 wasn't delayed and used in the fighter bomber role (that Hitler wanted so bad) over the beaches, they could've caused havoc. Fast enough to get in and out without fighters and AA guns targeting them, the 30mm cannons they had, would cut through landing craft easily. Probably could have delayed or ended the D-Day landings completely.

    It's a bit of a myth that it was Hitler's fault that the Me262 was delayed. While Hitler did want it to be able to carry a bomb load - which wasn't really that much of an issue - it was the development hell that the Junkers Jumo engine went through that was the major cause of delay for the aircraft reaching frontline units.

    Either way, the 262 wouldn't have been much use over the beaches in Normandy. The allies had complete control of the skies and the seas and low flying 262's, where the aircraft was at its most vulnerable, would have been hacked to pieces, despite their speed advantage. Enemy fighters would have been able to dive at any angle and shoot them up fairly easily. This is why Galland was so taken back when Hitler asked if it could fulfill a "schnellbomber" role.

    The 262 was in its element high up, as a bomber killer, especially when the R4M rocket was developed for it, which according to pilots, would almost guarantee a kill. The pilot simply had to point his aircraft into the bomber stream and fire.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Just not enough ammunition to do much even if they could get to the beach.

    http://aircraft-photographs.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/aircraft-ww2-german-luftwaffe-messerschmitt-me262-jet-fighter.html
    The Messerschmitt ME-262B-1a/U1 was the first operational two seater night jet engine fighter. It had four 30 mm Rheinmetall-Borsig MK1 08 cannons in its nose, two with 100 rounds each, two with 80 rounds each. It could also carry 24 R4M 55 mm unguided rockets on underwing racks


    Also Me262 had poor acceleration and manoeuvrability at slow speeds. The USAF used much slower WWII era Skyraiders in Vietnam.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3 RhodeRunner96


    I take back what I said. Was looking at it, too much as a what if situation.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Without air superiority the situation might have been different.


    Nearly a year earlier the Ialian Battleship Roma was sunk by Fritz X guided missile

    However, it was easy to jam it's signal , once it had been figured out, or scare the controlling aircraft off a straight and level course. So by D-Day it wasn't that useful. It's a classic case of a secret weapon. Had it been kept secret until it was ready to deploy in overwhelming numbers and had the Germans total air supremacy on the day it might have made a difference.


    When you don't have air superiority
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_the_Bismarck_Sea#Aftermath
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_evacuation_of_Tallinn


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,875 ✭✭✭A Little Pony


    By Hitler deciding to not push on for Moscow and instead focus on the oil fields and eventually the Battle of Stalingrad ending in a disaster for the 6th Army, the war was lost. He should have focused on negotiating with Britain right away and aiming for a peace treaty but then I doubt Churchill would have went with it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 180 ✭✭Haithabu


    ken76 wrote: »
    Hi

    I was just wondering, in what set of circumstances could the germans of repelled the DDay invasion or did they not have necessary resources?

    If luck had gone their way could it of happened?

    Even if they had of repelled it would the out come of the war changed in anyway? Or would it just of delayed the war by an extra year or 2?

    So basically if they had moved more soldier to Normandy or tanks could they of stopped it and what would've happened if they did?

    Thanks

    D-Day went probably in favour of Germany.

    If Germany would have repelled it and inflicted massive losses on the Allies it would have stopped British and American troops, possibly delayed another attack by a year.

    Germany did not have enough resources left, neither oil nor manpower nor steel to build an army/fleet to attack Britain, Canada or the US so there would have not been a counterattack from Germany after "winning" D-Day, regardless how many attackers they had killed.

    The USA in the meantime developed a nuclear weapon. In Japan they showed that they are not afraid to use it. They did not use it on Germany because either in May 1945 it was not finished or their own troops were in Germany already and they would not drop it on them. If the Allies would not have landed successfully on D-Day it probably would have rained nuclear bombs onto Germany in the end of 1945 or in the beginning of 1946 because someone like Hitler would be stubborn enough to never give up. Additionally the Holocaust would have gone on a few months longer and would have killed many more Germans as well.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,698 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Haithabu wrote: »
    If Germany would have repelled it and inflicted massive losses on the Allies it would have stopped British and American troops, possibly delayed another attack by a year.
    The Russians would still have steamrollered them in the east. Romanian oilfields were lost in August 1944 so massive fuel shortages after that hampered everything.

    Stupid stuff like using 30 tonnes of potatoes to make alcohol for the V2 when food was scarce didn't help either. Or killing 12 million prisoners when there was a labour shortage. Or going out of their way to make enemies of the Eastern Europeans who hated the Russians.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,301 ✭✭✭Snickers Man


    gizmo555 wrote: »
    Naval Service Recruit Class "Sweeney" just passed out yesterday (Feb 25) at Haulbowline.

    Their class, Recruit Class Sweeney, is named after Ted Sweeney, the late Irish Coast Guardsman and lighthouse keeper whose weather forecast from Blacksod in Co Mayo was crucial to the success of the invasion.

    Mr Sweeney’s weather forecast from the western tip of Europe on June 3rd, 1944, persuaded Allied Supreme Commander, General Dwight D Eisenhower, to delay the D-Day invasion by 24 hours.

    This is a bit of a bump but the recent documentary on RTE on the 75th anniversary of D-Day credits the weather readings and report to a Miss Maureen Sweeney, not Ted. Perhaps they were related, although the documentary suggests she got the postmistress' job by responding to an advertisement.

    Why the discrepancy, I wonder?


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