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27-07-2020, 09:36   #5701
M.T. Cranium
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Monday, 27 July, 2020 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 27 July to 2 August

-- Temperatures will be near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be normal to 25 per cent above in some parts.
-- Sunshine will be around 75 per cent of normal.

FORECASTS

TODAY will see any remaining heavy rain moving east soon, watch for isolated road and stream flooding after 30-40 mm fell overnight in a few parts of the southeast. Variable cloud and further showers are likely with intervals of strong northwest winds moving from Atlantic coasts at present to central counties later this morning and Leinster by late morning to mid-day. Some gusts to 70 km/hr have occurred recently on the west coast and this may continue for a while before the fronts move through. Highs today around
17 or 18 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast at times with isolated light showers, still rather breezy from the northwest and cool, lows near 9 C.

TUESDAY will have a lot of cloud for the morning then some improvements after mid-day as a ridge builds in from the west, with winds dropping off finally, and highs 17 to 19 C.

WEDNESDAY will start out warm and dry, but some rather sporadic rain will move into western counties after mid-afternoon, possibly not reaching eastern counties until well into the overnight hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

THURSDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy, humid, and rather warm with occasional light rain with moderate south to southwest winds, highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY will also be rather warm and humid with highs near 22 C.

The WEEKEND currently looks rather unsettled with pulses of heavy rain moving in from the southwest. Temperatures will be around normal, 18 to 21 C. The following week is looking similar to that.

My local weather on Sunday was sunny and hot with a high of 30 C, clear skies at present too.
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28-07-2020, 07:40   #5702
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Tuesday, 28 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 28 July to 3 August 2020

-- Temperatures will average 1 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average 25% above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be bright and breezy in most places with isolated showers but quite a few locations should remain dry, trace to 2 mm rainfalls at a few others. Winds northwest 30 to 50 km/hr will ease to light and variable by later afternoon. Highs around 19 or 20 C.

TONIGHT will see increasing cloud with lows 8 to 11 C.

WEDNESDAY will become overcast with rain gradually spreading into the south and west, perhaps not reaching some parts of the east until late afternoon. Moderate southeast winds will feel rather cool without much sunshine, and highs only reaching 17 C or thereabouts. Overnight the rain will tend to push further north with isolated thundery showers possible, rather muggy with lows only falling to about 14 C. About 5-10 mm rain in general, 10-15 mm in some parts of west Munster and Connemara, west Ulster.

THURSDAY will become quite warm and humid with a few sunny breaks, lows of 14 C and highs of 22 to 24 C. There may be occasional light rain in some parts of the west and north, and moderate to strong southerly breezes.

FRIDAY will see variable cloud and isolated showers, possibly a thunderstorm in one or two spots (north central is favoured), with lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will be rather average for time of year with passing showers and some brighter intervals, temperatures near 18 or 19 C. Rain will develop later Sunday and extend into the holiday Monday with 10-20 mm falls possible. Another disturbance will be along by Tuesday to cause further rainfalls then.

My local weather was sunny and intensely hot, reaching 35 degrees locally and almost 40 in some of the nearby valley locations. Luckily the nights cool off reasonably fast at our elevation (which is over 1,000 metres) so we can already feel a cool breeze coming in.
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29-07-2020, 08:13   #5703
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Wednesday, 29 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 29 July to 4 August are expected to be near normal values for temperatures, somewhat above normal for rainfall and only 50 to 75 per cent of normal for sunshine.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be overcast with rain spreading from the south and west to other parts of the country by late morning or mid-day. Eventually some heavier showers will develop over western counties. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT the rain will continue to push further north, with 10-20 mm total falls in most locations by morning. Mild and humid with lows near 14 C.

THURSDAY will become partly cloudy, warm and humid with isolated outbreaks of rain in western counties. Moderate southerly winds and highs 19 to 23 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, most likely to be found in north central counties. Lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C.

SATURDAY will become partly cloudy with showers and somewhat fresher, lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with scattered outbreaks of light rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

MONDAY will start out dry with variable amounts of cloud. Rain is likely to push into western counties by mid-day and into other regions during the afternoon and evening. Some heavier rainfalls may develop in western counties late in the day. Highs near 18 C.

The further outlook is for rather unsettled but warm conditions during the following week, highs into the low 20s at times.

My local weather remained sunny and very hot with highs again near 35 C locally and 40 C at lower elevations. This is predicted to last until the end of the week here.
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30-07-2020, 08:48   #5704
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Thursday, 30 July, 2020 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the coming week will be somewhat warmer than both recent days and normal values, by 1-2 degrees. Rainfall may reach average amounts eventually (now that we're past the rather wet period of the past day). Sunshine will be challenged to meet even two thirds of normal early August values but there will be some brighter days in the mix.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... The remnants of the rainfall (which was rather heavy in the southwest overnight) will continue to push north and it will turn more partly cloudy than overcast later with quite a warm feel as temperatures push up into the 20-23 C range and humidity stays high. Moderate southerly winds will provide some relief.

TONIGHT will be very mild and humid with a slight chance of rain in the west, otherwise likely to stay mostly dry with lows only falling to 14-16 C.

FRIDAY will have intervals of cloud and sun, as slightly cooler air tries to push in but it won't feel much different from today with highs 19 to 22 C, scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm developing.

SATURDAY will definitely feel cooler with a moderate westerly breeze and cloudy skies with a few breaks, passing showers, lows of 12 C and highs of 18 C.

SUNDAY will also be rather cool with variable amounts of cloud, isolated showers, and lows near 10 C, highs near 17 C.

After some rain Sunday night, MONDAY is now looking improved with a dry slot developing between that overnight rainfall and the approaching disturbance timed for Tuesday. So by Monday afternoon it may be sunny and breezy with highs near 18 C.

TUESDAY looks rather wet again with highs near 18 C.

The longer term outlook is starting to look rather warm, will say that August is likely to average 1 to 2 deg above normal which will be 2 to 3 above July's sub-normal outcome. Rainfall in the month will likely be at least average if not slightly above.

My local weather has stayed broiling hot with another day of sunshine and 35 degrees. We expect slight relief by Sunday here but it's only falling back to the high 20s then drifting back up towards low 30s later next week, so while no new fires yet, the wildfire hazard is increasing, fortunately no dry lightning reported in this heat wave so far.
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31-07-2020, 08:04   #5705
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Friday, 31 July, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for week of 31 July to 6 August 2020

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 75 per cent of normal (near normal in some parts of north central Ireland).
-- Sunshine will average near normal amounts (currently about 4 to 5 hours a day).


FORECASTS

TODAY will be warm and humid with outbreaks of rain, possibly thundery in some places, already underway in most west-central counties in a zone running from about Cork to central Ulster. This band of sometimes heavy rain will make slow eastward progress reaching the east coast before mid-day, although most of the heavier cells will likely track into north central Leinster and east Ulster. The air mass following in from the west is only slightly cooler and somewhat unstable too, which may lead to further outbreaks of thundery showers in western counties after some limited sunshine. Highs about 21 or 22 C (could go to 24 C in any longer sunny intervals). Rainfalls of 10 to 20 mm will be fairly widespread, potential for localized 20 to 30 mm downpours most likely in central Munster, west-central Leinster to inland east Ulster.

TONIGHT will see partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, and you might catch a view of the nearly full moon closing in on very bright Jupiter, Saturn off to their left. (Saturday night the moon will be closer to Saturn moving by the two planets). Lows around 12 C.

SATURDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud and outbreaks of rain, slight chance of isolated thunder again, and highs near 18 C with sometimes moderate westerly breezes.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C. Some outbreaks of light rain are likely by the overnight hours in Munster and south Leinster.

MONDAY will become partly cloudy again after any morning showers depart, then overcast by afternoon, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY will bring some intervals of heavier rain, 10 to 20 mm potential in central counties, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.

The OUTLOOK for later next week is for a more settled and quite warm interval with highs possibly into the mid 20s.

My local weather on Thursday remained sunny and very hot with highs near 35 C. It was still around 24 C outside around midnight local time but somewhat less oppressive than it sounds due to very low humidity values.

Hurricane Isaias is moving into the central Bahamas, while no match for Dorian it is following a rather similar track and will run up the eastern coast of the U.S. by Monday and could make landfalls in North Carolina and again on Long Island after crossing parts of eastern Virginia and the Delmarva peninsula; however, guidance is not totally united on this scenario and some models show a weaker storm trying to cross Florida into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There are no intensity forecasts going past about the category 2 limit so far, but even that would be a significant event for Long Island and New England.
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01-08-2020, 08:23   #5706
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Saturday, 1 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 Aug 2020 will be slightly warmer than average, near normal for rainfall and sunshine.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out reasonably dry in most places with showers becoming longer intervals of light to moderate rain in some cases by afternoon and evening. Highs near 18 C, rainfalls 5-10 mm.

TONIGHT will see an end to the rain with partial clearing later, just a few isolated showers by morning, lows near 10 or 11 C.

SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with passing showers although not every location will see them, amounts trace to about 5 mm in some parts of west and north. Moderate southwest winds at times, highs 16 to 18 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with rain arriving later or overnight, highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY will see frequent showers, 10-20 mm rain and highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY could also see a few showers with highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY is likely to be a dry day between systems with some sunshine and highs close to 20 C.

FRIDAY will become rather warm and humid with showers and a few isolated thunderstorms, highs near 22 C.

Although next weekend will somewhat resemble this weekend, there won't be as much cloud or rain involved then a stronger high will develop by around Monday 10th, lasting for a few days, so there could be a decent summery interval then with highs reaching low 20s. This is expected to transition to cloudy and eventually wet weather as the high builds to the northeast and allows east winds to take over.

My local weather has remained sunny and hot again with the high near 36 C on Friday. Some brutal heat developed to our south and places in WA, OR and ID reached the low 40s or near 110 F. With a south wind bringing that air in here tonight, it is not cooling down very much (27 C at midnight here). We are going to get some minor relief with scattered thunderstorms developing and a cooler although still quite warm air mass building in from the northwest by Sunday, highs should be back to a more normal (for here) 25-30 C range. Hurricane Isaias is causing havoc in the weather models as its likely track is close to the coast but possibly inland at times, always a difficult forecasting scenario when tropical systems have one foot on land and one on sea. It is still expected to reach various parts of the U.S. east coast by Monday-Tuesday, currently near Andros Island in the Bahamas (category one).
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02-08-2020, 08:05   #5707
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Sunday, 2 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 August 2020

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal.


FORECASTS

TODAY will start out with some brighter intervals and isolated showers developing gradually along weak troughs in central counties, then more substantial showers or intervals of light rain will begin to work in from the west and make some progress before fragmenting to isolated showers further east. Somewhat cooler than recent days with highs 16 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will become partly cloudy to clear at times with lows 7 to 10 C, some isolated showers possible in coastal areas of north and also south.

MONDAY will see increasing cloud with rain developing late afternoon or evening, highs 18 to 20 C.

TUESDAY will bring a few intervals of moderate rainfall, 10 to 15 mm potential, then partial clearing, lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy to overcast with isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs 19 or 20 C.

THURSDAY will have some sunny breaks and warmer southerly breezes, highs 20 to 23 C.

FRIDAY will bring isolated showers and thunderstorms, highs 19 to 22 C.

The weekend of 8th-9th will have a few cloudy intervals and isolated showers but also some decent dry spells, with temperatures perhaps falling back slightly on Saturday to 18 C then back around 20 C by Sunday.

Next week could turn a bit warmer again for several days with southeasterly to easterly breezes and highs 21 to 24, but this will trend towards overcast and unsettled as disturbances push up against the remnants of high pressure and the easterly flow turns more rainy.

My local weather stayed hot although mostly cloudy on Saturday with remnants of past night's thunderstorms over distant mountain ranges drifting over our region and trying to redevelop, nothing much came of that except for a one-minute shower. Highs still reached 30 C despite little sunshine, and now it's overcast and about 22 C at midnight.
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03-08-2020, 07:43   #5708
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Monday, 3 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 August will be warmer than average by 1-2 deg, somewhat less rain than normal although parts of the north may reach normal, and sunshine not too far from seasonal averages, improving during the week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few isolated showers but staying mostly dry until late in the day when rain is expected. Highs 17 to 20 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional rain, 5 to 10 mm possibly in west, central and northern counties. Lows will be mild, 13 to 15 C.

TUESDAY will be breezy, sometimes quite windy on Atlantic coasts, with rain largely confined to west and north, a few showers elsewhere. Highs 18 to 20 C.

WEDNESDAY will see further showers, some becoming heavy and thundery by mid-day in the south and east. Warm and humid with highs near 20 C.

THURSDAY will be more settled with some sunny intervals and highs 21 to 24 C.

FRIDAY will be overcast at times with passing showers and risk of a thunderstorm, highs 20 to 23 C.

The weekend will be largely settled with near normal temperatures. It may warm up again by about Monday and Tuesday of the following week, then seems likely to become more unsettled towards mid-month.

My local weather on Sunday was sunny but hazy with high cloud dimming the sunshine, still quite hot with highs reaching 32 C. It has cleared up since sunset and feels refreshingly cooler although I don't think the heat will be much less intense in coming days, 27 to 30 C still quite warm for here.

Isaias, borderline intensity between strong tropical storm and weak cat-1 hurricane, will move rapidly into the Carolinas, bringing downpours to most of the eastern U.S. over the next day or two. The centre will be close to New York City by Tuesday morning and well off into Quebec and Labrador by Tuesday night. The main impact will probably be locally flooding rainfalls of 75 to 150 mm in parts of the Carolinas, Virginia, Maryland, NJ and e PA, metro NYC, and then less rain further along its track as it weakens and accelerates.
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04-08-2020, 08:01   #5709
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Tuesday, 4 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 August will continue as previous few days have indicated, warmer than average by about 2 deg, not overly wet although rather frequent unsettled spells, and a bit on the cloudy side until later in the period when sunshine may finally return to a more prominent role.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals, some passing light showers with drizzle in some western and northern counties, rather frequent low scudding cloud but also some intervals of better visibility too, and a muggy feel as a bit of subtropical influence is showing up in this blustery southwest flow, highs 19 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will see a few showers and mild southwest winds, lows 13 to 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will have a frontal passage that could bring isolated heavy showers or even a thunderstorm in some places, but it looks rather hit or miss with rainfalls anywhere between 2 and 15 mm likely at different locations. Southwest to west winds 50 to 70 km/hr at times, highs near 20 C.

THURSDAY will become partly cloudy with just isolated showers and rather warm, lows near 10 C and highs 21 to 23 C.

FRIDAY will bring on some showers and thunderstorms with another weak front passing, lows near 14 C and highs near 22 C.

SATURDAY will become mostly sunny with highs near 20 C.

SUNDAY may also be sunny at times with warmer temperatures developing, 22 to 25 C.

The warmer spell could last a few days before turning more overcast and unsettled.

My local weather returned to full sunshine and while quite hot, a little reduction in the blistering heat to around 30 degrees and it has cooled down nicely after sunset again. Great views of the full moon and various planets depending on time you are out, make a note that Jupiter and Saturn dominate the early to midnight period, then Mars rises and is quite prominent after about 0100h, Venus after 0300h when it appears. This is a rare occasion when all four of the brightest planets can easily be seen, and I believe Mercury is also visible in the early morning skies, haven't gotten my act together to view that yet.

Hurricane Isaias moved inland near Wilmington NC and is back to tropical storm intensity now approaching Richmond VA on its way to Chesapeake Bay and New Jersey. It will be near or just west of NYC by this evening. A band of very heavy rain is likely to set up near its track, with 200-300 mm potential and local flooding potential on "fast response" rivers. Its remnant low will weaken rapidly late today and overnight moving towards Vermont and Quebec.
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05-08-2020, 08:05   #5710
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Wednesday, 5 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS -- Once we get through today's unsettled and briefly stormy conditions, most of the coming week (to the 11th) will be very warm and dry much of the time, although scattered showers and thunderstorms may interrupt that on Friday. Temperatures may average as much as 3 deg above normal. Sunshine will improve after today, even perhaps by later today.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out cloudy and damp, with heavy showers developing and the risk of a heavy thunderstorm in some places. This cluster will form over west Munster within the next two hours and will move briskly east and northeast to reach the east coast by about 11:00 a.m. to noon. Some gusty winds, hail and locally intense downpours could occur during this time frame. The weather will improve steadily after mid-day with clearing spreading from west coast into central and then eastern counties during the afternoon. Winds may be blustery at times with the clearance, southwest to west 50 to 70 km/hr. Even higher gusts could occur during any storms or heavy showers. Highs will reach about 20 C. Rainfalls will be rather variable, 5 to 15 mm will be the range for most places but 25 mm could fall in a few locations (at a guess, Limerick to Athlone to Dundalk would be the zone most likely to see locally heavy amounts).

TONIGHT will feature partly cloudy to clear skies and lows around 10 to 12 C.

THURSDAY will start out sunny then clouds may increase, but it will be quite warm and rather humid with south to southwest breezes and highs 21 to 24 C (possibly a bit higher inland southeast).

FRIDAY will have another active frontal passage with showers and thunderstorms, possibly more widespread and intense further north this time, then skies will begin to clear during the afternoon. Lows near 15 C and highs 21 to 23 C.

SATURDAY will bring sunny intervals and highs near 21 C.

SUNDAY will be hazy, sunny and quite warm with highs near 24 C.

The warm spell will last for a few days then more cloud and showers can be expected later next week, timing quite uncertain this far out.

My local weather remained sunny and very warm on Tuesday, the high reaching 32 C with low humidity, pleasant clear conditions at midnight. Isaias rumbled through the eastern United States with some locally heavy rainfalls and isolated tornado outbreaks adding to the wind damage that the tropical storm produced more generally (except for the tornado streaks, maximum gusts were around 50-55 knots). The storm is now much weaker and crossing into southern Quebec.
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06-08-2020, 09:01   #5711
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Thursday, 6 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the coming week will be generally warm, fairly dry and partly cloudy with normal amounts of sunshine overall. Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal. Rainfall will average 50 per cent of normal amounts.

My apologies for a late start here today, partly my schedule but a long process logging into boards and a slow connection at the same time.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out hazy with some sunshine at times, and it will quickly become rather warm and muggy. Clouds will increase generally from the south and west. Highs 19 to 23 C, warmest in midlands, central Leinster and further north into Ulster.

TONIGHT will see outbreaks of light rain developing from the west, quite warm and muggy, lows 13 to 17 C.

FRIDAY will bring a few showers and isolated thunderstorms with a weak cold front pushing through, more active inland northern counties. Highs 19 to 23 C.

SATURDAY will be hazy, mostly sunny and quite warm again with lows near 12 C and highs near 22 C.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and isolated showers with risk of a thunderstorm, in an east to northeast flow that will be tapping into very warm air from Britain and nearby Europe. Lows near 14 C and highs near 22 C.

MONDAY will also be partly cloudy, humid with scattered showers and risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 16 C and highs near 23 C.

Most of next week will continue rather warm and sometimes slightly unsettled, although in general rainfall totals will likely be low for most locations, and significant in a few places that happen to get under a localized heavier shower cell. That pattern looks like it might last for a week to ten days before possibly breaking down to a cooler more Atlantic dominated flow after mid-month.

My local weather was sunny and hot again, the high reaching 35 C. This hot spell that has lasted about a week is about to end with an outbreak of thunderstorms here later Thursday.
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07-08-2020, 08:29   #5712
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Friday, 7 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 August 2020

-- Temperatures will average 3 deg above normal values (which would be near 20 C daytime highs, near 12 for overnight lows).
-- Rainfall is rather uncertain with guidance split on how much might affect Ireland, see forecast for discussion.
-- Sunshine is likely to average about the normal amount which is 4.5 hours a day with regional variations.


FORECASTS

TODAY will feature some lines of showers and thunderstorms pushing into the northern half of the country from the Atlantic, and with some isolated showers further south at times. One or two of these could be heavy with gusty winds, hail and briefly torrential rainfalls. Warm sunshine will occur between these fronts, so the weather will be quite changeable especially across Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster. Highs near 23 C away from somewhat cooler Atlantic coasts. A sharp wind shift may occur with the front now located in central Connacht, winds are strong south to southeast ahead of it, and moderate westerly after it passes.

TONIGHT will see any remnants of these showers dying out by midnight, with clear and calm conditions towards morning, fog patches likely and lows 8 to 12 C.

SATURDAY will bring warm, hazy sunshine and local sea breezes in an otherwise quite light wind pattern, highs 21 to 24 C.

SUNDAY will be similar with increasing higher cloud layers and the risk of isolated showers and thunderstorms over the south and east by evening, in a light east to northeast flow. Lows near 11 C and highs near 22 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY pose a forecasting challenge as some guidance shows heavy thundery showers forming and becoming rather widespread especially in the south and east. Other guidance seems to be leaning more towards that development being confined to Britain with outbreaks in Ireland rather limited. We'll split the difference for now and say partly to mostly cloudy skies both days, rather warm and humid, with a moderate chance of heavy showers and thunderstorms forming each day, locally heavy amounts 20 to 40 mm possible with those. Highs both days 20 to 24 C and rather warm, muggy nights with lows 12 to 16 C.

This warm and rather unsettled spell will likely continue with less prolific amounts of rain later in the week and similar temperatures in the mid 20s. In general, it will be quite warm for about a week to ten days then a rather unsettled and cooler interval is likely with temperatures dropping to the 16-19 C range by about the 20th of August.

My local weather changed considerably on Thursday with several passing showers and a very heavy thunderstorm around 7 p.m. with strong wind gusts and a quick 15 mm of rain making a daily total near 25 mm. There were a few brighter intervals between the showers but the highest temperature was only about 22 C. This has all pushed off to our east now and skies are overcast with fog over the hills.
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08-08-2020, 06:58   #5713
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Saturday, 8 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 August, 2020

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will be highly variable and could exceed normal values in some parts of Leinster.
-- Sunshine will be 75 to 100 per cent of normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with light winds and local sea breezes. Warm, highs 19 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will be hazy but essentially clear, lows 10 to 13 C.

SUNDAY will bring increasing higher cloud with a slight risk of localized showers in the southeast by late afternoon, otherwise largely dry with highs 20 to 25 C, warmest in Connacht and inland Munster.

MONDAY and TUESDAY continue to pose a challenge as to amounts of rainfall, but generally speaking the weather pattern will be partly to mostly cloudy, rather warm, with light to moderate east winds, and the threat of heavy localized showers and possibly thunderstorms both days, over parts of Leinster and east Munster. Further west and north it may be more settled but all locations will have some risk of showers. Highs both days 21 to 24 C, nights rather mild and muggy with lows 12 to 15 C.

The OUTLOOK from WEDNESDAY to about the weekend of 15th-16th is for a similar pattern to continue although possibly with fewer showers in general mid-week, returning back to more widespread thundery showers later and into the weekend. Highs will be generally around 21 to 25 C.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy and the high was around 23 C.
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Yesterday, 07:07   #5714
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Sunday, 9 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 9 to 15 August, 2020

-- Temperatures will average about 2 to 3 deg above normal, although falling closer to average near the end.
-- Rainfall will average 50 per cent of normal but locally could exceed normal in isolated heavy showers.
-- Sunshine will average near normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will feature long intervals of hazy sunshine but clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon and there could be one or two isolated showers over parts of the inland north. Warm with highs 22 to 26 C.

TONIGHT will be rather cloudy with showers or thunderstorms possible by morning. Warm and muggy with lows around 15 C.

MONDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showers or thunderstorms in parts of the southeast, east and some central counties. Warm and humid with highs 21 to 24 C.

TUESDAY will also be rather cloudy although longer intervals of sunshine possible in the west, with more outbreaks of thundery showers possible in the east. Lows near 16 C and highs near 23 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with isolated showers, lows near 14 C and highs near 24 C.

THURSDAY will see increasing cloud, isolated showers, and somewhat cooler temperatures, highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY are currently looking cooler and rather unsettled with showers moving from northwest to southeast across the country, a few may be heavy. Highs near 18 C.

My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy and pleasant but rather cool at 22 C.
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Today, 07:21   #5715
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Monday, 10 August, 2020

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for 10 to 16 Aug 2020 --

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal, probably the higher values will be further west.
-- Rainfall looks quite variable, eventually some parts of the inland south may exceed normal values by 25 or even 50 per cent, but other regions may not pass 75 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 50 to 75 per cent of normal, except for a few parts of the far northwest which may reach normal amounts.


FORECASTS

TODAY ... Rather cloudy with a few brighter intervals mainly in west and north, some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms possible, still some guidance showing nearly dry conditions in Ireland compared to widespread heavy showers in Wales and western England, so the outcome rather uncertain, if any heavier showers develop they would likely be along a sea breeze boundary in Leinster or east Munster. Highs 18 to 21 C east, to 21-23 C west and north.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, a few remnant showers dying out over south and east, muggy, lows 11 to 14 C.

TUESDAY ... Again, some uncertainty remains, but a few showers and isolated thunderstorms likely in parts of Leinster and east Munster, only a few isolated showers elsewhere, highs 20 to 23 C.

WEDNESDAY ... A rising chance of heavier showers and thunderstorms developing across parts of the inland south, remaining dry in some parts of the west and north, under variable amounts of cloud. Rather warm still with lows around 14 C and highs around 23 C although any prolonged rainfall would be accompanied by temperatures closer to 17 or 18 C.

THURSDAY ... Showers and thunderstorms across parts of the south, variable cloud further north with isolated showers, lows near 14 C and highs 21 to 23 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 22 C.

OUTLOOK for weekend of 15th-16th is for this unsettled and slightly warmer trend to continue with temperatures edging closer to normal each day, around 19 or 20 C likely but in any longer intervals of sunshine could reach 22 or 23 C.

A more unsettled and cooler regime is likely to become established in the following week.

My local weather was very good with sunshine and a few clouds, refreshing northwest breezes and highs near 24 C.
M.T. Cranium is offline  
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