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28-11-2020, 17:03   #1
M.T. Cranium
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December 2020 Boards weather forecast contest

1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.4 C.

2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

6. For the BONUS question, our traditional prediction of MAX and MIN on Christmas Day at Dub (A) and (for 3 point super-bonus), will it snow at any location among the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website, and this includes 24th as well as 25th of December. If you get this right on Yes or No, it's worth 2 points for yes verifying, a correct location is worth 1 more point, but no locations will bring in the "No" scores at 3.

Deadline for entries will be 0300h Tuesday 1st of December, with 1 point deductions for every 4h late to 1500h Monday 2nd, after which penalties are 1 point per hour (in addition to the 9 points accumulated to that time).

Good luck !!

I think the scoring will be very close after this current month ends, but that's just a hunch, I haven't had much time to study the situation.
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28-11-2020, 17:20   #2
eon1208
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5.9, 13.4, -5.8, 96, 94, 8.2, -2.1, Yes, Ballyhaise...
Happy Christmas MT...
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28-11-2020, 17:52   #3
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sryanbruen _____ 5.5 _ 13.9 _ -4.2 _ 080 _ 105 _ 11.1, 4.8, No
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28-11-2020, 23:59   #4
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29-11-2020, 01:56   #5
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Pauldry _____ 5.7 _ 14.4_ -4.7 _ 120_ 89_ 10, 4.1, No
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29-11-2020, 02:32   #6
Saralace
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As it's la nina this year expect snow at Christmas
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29-11-2020, 18:42   #7
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Appledrop --- 5.8__14.2___-4.0___105%___80%___11.2__2.5__No
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29-11-2020, 19:13   #8
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29-11-2020, 20:21   #9
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30-11-2020, 14:08   #10
 
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Cra

If I thought I was that smart I wouldn't be reading your posts.

Brian
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30-11-2020, 14:23   #11
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going against the grain seemed to have worked out pretty well for November so I'll try it again for December!
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30-11-2020, 16:23   #12
M.T. Cranium
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There is a disturbance in the force ...

M.T. Cranium ________ 4.9 _ 14.8 _ -6.7 _ 125 _ 110 __ 3.7 -2.5 yes (Casement)

NormaL ____________ 5.4 _ 15.5 _ -6.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 8.0 2.0 no
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30-11-2020, 16:58   #13
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30-11-2020, 18:42   #14
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30-11-2020, 18:53   #15
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DOCARCH ________ 5.3 _ 15.1 _ -4.2 _ 95 _ 106 __ 4.8 -0.5 Yes (Knock AP)
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