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13-01-2020, 21:11   #91
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Thursday a wet a blustery day.






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14-01-2020, 07:50   #92
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Charts not as windy in the SE today, keeping the strongest winds offshore. Windy along the W and NW later.
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14-01-2020, 13:08   #93
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Charts not as windy in the SE today, keeping the strongest winds offshore. Windy along the W and NW later.
Yellow wind warning issued for Waterford and Wexford. Not a breeze down this way. Plenty of rain though.
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14-01-2020, 20:45   #94
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Yellow wind warning issued for Waterford and Wexford. Not a breeze down this way. Plenty of rain though.

I see mickger8444post station only recorded a gust of 33.3km/h , Waterford airport only got up to 20 km/h in the afternoon . The charts did a dramatic change over night keeping the small disturbance just crossing the SE hence keeping the winds over the UK . As far as I could make out this morning only one model kept the winds close to the coast and even at that it was only brushing against it.
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14-01-2020, 21:07   #95
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Pressure building Sat and HP well established by Sunday, will be welcome after all this bad weather, hope there is some clear skies and sunshine, models show it around for a number of days up to around Thurs.but those charts better in the FI thread !


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17-01-2020, 20:08   #96
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Long time since we had a HP proper build over us, could get up to Weds or so out of it.



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19-01-2020, 21:14   #97
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HP holding out up until Thurs or Fri. Very little precipitation showing up , some mist and drizzle in places at times and Northern counties catching some light rain at times but many places staying dry.




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22-01-2020, 21:17   #98
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Less than 120hrs and the models are very different over the weekend . They agree more or less that the frontal rain looks to be delayed more towards late Sat and into Sunday morning. They go on to show a cold wet and wintry Sunday, breezy /windy along the coasts. Looking increasingly wintry towards evening / night and into the following day . Big spread then in the models. ECM and UKMO not developing the fast moving low on Monday, keeping it well off the NW and passing by much earlier. This is a big departure from the ECM , had a different set up all together for Monday showing strong winds in Southern counties which makes me ask is the 12Z an outlier ? GFS shows a very windy day as it has been showing for a number of runs and days as squarecircles has been posting and ICON showing very windy weather also but from a different approach. GFS and ICON showing a very wet day Mon but ECM now showing more of a showery wintry day.

To note that ECM has done an amazing change from large areas seeing 50 mm + on Monday to now seeing 5 or 10 mm, UKMO has also backed off the heavy rainfall.

ECM very cold on Monday possibly only around 4 to 7C
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22-01-2020, 23:36   #99
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ICON 18Z showing the biggest winds now moving off the SE / E coasts and showing a dump of snow Monday in Northern counties from a front as it reaches the colder air.

ECM shows some accumulations mainly in the W and NW mainly over high ground.


A lot going on and am thinking we could be seeing big changes in the charts over the coming days, the cold looks to be there, all depends where the moisture comes from and the timing. Interesting


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22-01-2020, 23:41   #100
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[QUOTE=Meteorite58;112331085]ICON 18Z showing the biggest winds now moving off the SE / E coasts and showing a dump of snow Monday in Northern counties from a front as it reaches the colder air.

ECM shows some accumulations mainly in the W and NW mainly over high ground.


A lot going on and am thinking we could be seeing big changes in the charts over the coming days, the cold looks to be there, all depends where the moisture comes from and the timing. Interesting

One prediction : There is definitely a Kermit Snow thread coming!


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22-01-2020, 23:51   #101
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GFS 18Z been showing a storm for Monday now for a number of days, but the ECM not having it. GEM showing something similar to GFS. UKMO now beginning to show disturbances turning up more towards Monday evening into Tuesday and getting quite disturbed.















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22-01-2020, 23:57   #102
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ICON's route for Monday . All very much subject to change over the coming days but good for the learning to see how the models handle this.









The kind of snowfall that ICON is predicting for Monday in it's last run but could all change in a couple of runs.

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23-01-2020, 07:42   #103
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Gfs just can't decide what it wants to do with the Low on Monday, on the 0z run it's a bomb that heads into the SW of England with a max wind gust of 92mph just off the SW coast of England and Wales, I have never seen that severe wind gust speed on a model before
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23-01-2020, 10:11   #104
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Gfs just can't decide what it wants to do with the Low on Monday, on the 0z run it's a bomb that heads into the SW of England with a max wind gust of 92mph just off the SW coast of England and Wales, I have never seen that severe wind gust speed on a model before
It has disappeared from the 6z
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23-01-2020, 10:20   #105
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It has disappeared from the 6z
In Sligo we nearly always have a snowy morning at the end of January start of February.

Next Tuesday is the day
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