FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2019 / 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

Just found news on Netherlands - https://nltimes.nl/2020/02/27/wettest-february-ever-nearly-warmest-record

https://nltimes.nl/2020/02/27/wettest-february-ever-nearly-warmest-record

Charts seem to be calling for a short cold snap towards the end of next week, 10/11th, carrying on past Paddy's Day.

Seems to be general agreement that temps will drop, but the extent of the drop and the length of it is up in the air.

It’d be just perfect if the weather turned settled and calm just as some real lockdown got announced

Gonzo wrote: »

long range going for colder than average, particularly into April with easterly winds, northern blocking and possible hints of retrogression of high pressures to Greenland. What a waste as anything unsettled would mostly be cold rain at this stage. On the plus side we may well end up dryer than it has been over the past half year.

I had a feeling it might go this way after the monster polar vortex eventually weakened. I just hope this pattern change does not prove to be as stubborn as the one we just had, or else there could be a lot of vexed people as we head towards summer

nacho libre wrote: »

I had a feeling it might go this way after the monster polar vortex eventually weakened. I just hope this pattern change does not prove to be as stubborn as the one we just had, or else there could be a lot of vexed people as we head towards summer

Buddy, have you watched the news? There’s going to be a lot of vexed people as we head towards the summer no matter the weather.

Dickie10 wrote: »

would northerly blocking mean dry weather?

Depends on where the blocking sits exactly. If it's over top of Greenland and there is a corresponding area of low pressure underneath, which there usually is, it will tend to cross Ireland resulting in cold and wet conditions. This is how our worst summers like 2012 come afoot and even as recent as months like June 2019.

Sometimes though the blocking is not too far north and resides either over Scotland or Scandinavia ushering in an easterly wind. In this scenario, it tends to be dry for extensive periods unless a severe cold airmass comes in from the east and results in lake-effect type snow, particularly in eastern counties. Of course, that's a highly unlikely scenario at this time of year. At times though, fronts from the south or southwest could attack the south and west which happened today and brought cloud to south. Spring is a transitional season and airmasses coming from the east depend on how the continent is faring at the time as well as the exact wind direction like a northeasterly will normally be colder than a direct easterly for example. Easterlies in May will be warmer than easterlies in March.

Northern blocking in winter will tend to mean dry conditions due to it allowing colder airmasses to reach Ireland and cold air holding less moisture. However, northern blocking in summer is usually not a good sign if you want warm and dry conditions. Other seasons like spring and autumn tend to have mixed signals. For the moment, this particular high latitude anticyclone that is being modeled looks of the dry variety.

MJohnston wrote: »

Buddy, have you watched the news? There’s going to be a lot of vexed people as we head towards the summer no matter the weather.

Buddy?

I meant on top of everything else it will add to the sense of frustation people will feel if we have a washout summer.

Irish Steve wrote: »

brutal honesty, right now, a few days of seriously cold wet weather might be just what's needed to get a lot of (ignorant) people home and indoors doing what they are supposed to be doing instead of ignoring the serious advice they're being given regarding social separation.

Yup, I'm of the same thought.

Grim stuff - looks like re-run of 2018 but a month later!!