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A taste of Spring/Summer next week?

  • 18-02-2012 5:21pm
    #1
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭


    It will turn increasingly mild next week and some charts appearing look very tasty for some Spring weather.

    Temperatures could reach 16c in a few spots if all things combine.

    Latest GFS paints a very mild day for next Thursday.

    Problem will be whether we can get rid of the drizzle and murkiness around the north of the High Pressure system.

    Rtavn1261.png

    Rtavn12617.png


«1

Comments

  • #2
    delw
    Registered Users Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    Thanks Weathercheck but if we don't get a good spell of sunshine it may as well be the same as what we've been having(with today's cold being the exception) just warmer which a this stage is mind numbingly boring,so here's hoping the clouds part & we get some nice sunshine :)


  • #3
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    It'll be classic Foehn territory so watch for spots to the lee of high ground as they could gain a degree or so extra through this effect.


  • #4
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    I would not say it's the end of winter by any means but it's the end of the core of winter if you like. The next 7 - 10 days are looking exceptionally mild and mostly dreary.


  • #5
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    I'm not that interested In spring or summer treads,it's winter that does it for most on here and it just didn't happy,I only really log on here from about nov-feb to look at winter treads and Id say I'm not alone on that ether,I'm sure that winter is the busiest time on boards weather but maybe I'm wrong.
    I waited out for a really cold/snowy winter but next year I'll be definatly going on a ski holiday to get proper weather for winter!
    We need to just get on with it now and by the end of this month I'll be getting back to normality with a more than likely dull wet next 8-9 months :)


  • #6
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    darkman2 wrote: »
    I would not say it's the end of winter by any means

    Tomorrow essentially marks the end of climatological winter. We may get an incursion of cold in Spring.

    But I hope the Spring is as pleasant as the winter was.


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  • #7
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I'm not that interested In spring or summer treads,it's winter that does it for most on here and it just didn't happy,I only really log on here from about nov-feb to look at winter treads and Id say I'm not alone on that ether,I'm sure that winter is the busiest time on boards weather but maybe I'm wrong.

    I don't think you are. But there is more to weather than cold and snow. In spring and summer, we have the prospect of big mamma showers and thunderstorms. In autumn, the increased chance of big wind and rain storms to look forward too. They don't always happen but as weather events, they are every bit as exciting to watch out for and experience than snow.

    Roll on a hot, dark and thundery summer 2012.


  • #8
    Birdnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 9,631 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    .

    Roll on a hot, dark and thundery summer 2012.

    We can but hope - its been too long since we've had a "proper" summer with all those classic elements thrown in. Stuff like Spanish Plumes appear to have gone extinct in this country:rolleyes:


  • #9
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    We can but hope - its been too long since we've had a "proper" summer with all those classic elements thrown in. Stuff like Spanish Plumes appear to have gone extinct in this country:rolleyes:

    With you on that Birdnuts. After a run of rotten summers, we can only hope for something a bit more dramatic this time around. Notwithstanding the lack of any proper heat, I have never experienced the almost total lack of thunderstorms during the summer period than I have in the last 2 or 3. Anything we did get was just weak mP sourced crap. Even in a normal summer you would would expect a good few decent storms. Almost forget what a Spanish Plume looks and feels like. But there is nothing like the thick purplegray haze that blots out any view of an approaching summer storm. Very eerie but always electrifying.

    Something to get us in the mood for Summer 2012. A good storm, but I have seen better here:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P29K9L5fLNo


  • #10
    dexter647
    Registered Users Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭dexter647


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    We can but hope - its been too long since we've had a "proper" summer with all those classic elements thrown in. Stuff like Spanish Plumes appear to have gone extinct in this country:rolleyes:


    How right you are birdnuts:mad:...It was a summer event like that back in july 85 that kindled my love for the weather extreme and if i'm honest i'd take a good old fire works display over snow any day:eek:...So roll on the prospect of a growling cumulonimbus on a hot summers day:)...Great vid Deep


  • #11
    delw
    Registered Users Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    With you on that Birdnuts. After a run of rotten summers, we can only hope for something a bit more dramatic this time around. Notwithstanding the lack of any proper heat, I have never experienced the almost total lack of thunderstorms during the summer period than I have in the last 2 or 3. Anything we did get was just weak mP sourced crap. Even in a normal summer you would would expect a good few decent storms. Almost forget what a Spanish Plume looks and feels like. But there is nothing like the thick purplegray haze that blots out any view of an approaching summer storm. Very eerie but always electrifying.

    Something to get us in the mood for Summer 2012. A good storm, but I have seen better here:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P29K9L5fLNo
    yes please,il order one of those now & a couple of stronger ones later,thank you :D


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  • #12
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,876 ✭✭✭pauldry


    unless we get continuous weeks of rain the warm weeks will turn cold.

    we need southwesterlies and high to stay over europe and whilst that looks like happening if it moves in any shape or form we will get temperatures of 11 or 12c and not 15 or 16c

    also if the high moves west it could be colder still and if it moves east the west will be the only place with mild weather.

    btw it is going to be the mildest winter since 1989 in most spots


  • #13
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users Posts: 6,034 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    pauldry wrote: »



    btw it is going to be the mildest winter since 1989 in most spots
    not really surprised to be honest. I was expecting it.
    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=76020663


  • #14
    MiNdGaM3
    Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    I wonder if we could see a few records fall?
    Looking through the stations maximum temperature records here, it seems to me like a few could be beaten.
    Cork Airport's February max is just 14.0C, Claremorris is just 13.8C, Mullingar is at 15.4C and Casement is at 15.9C.

    Here's what the latest GFS shows for Thursday afternoon, widespread 15C and 16C
    ukmaxtemp.png

    Sea surface temperatures to the southwest are above average and as Su Campu mentioned, conditions are ideal for some foehn winds.
    Will be interesting to see how high temps can get on Thursday.


  • #15
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    I might root out the bbq for next week:),does not look like i be making any snowmen...


  • #16
    Tornando9
    Registered Users Posts: 203 ✭✭Tornando9


    My WXSIM forecast programme is going for temps of 16° on Thursday in Kildare.

    Thursday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Breezy and mild. High 16°C. UV index up to 2. Wind west-southwest around 15 kph, gusting to 29 kph, in the morning, becoming 20 kph, gusting to 34 kph, in the afternoon.

    It uses the GFS and my local conditions.


  • #17
    Lucreto
    Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    MiNdGaM3 wrote: »
    I wonder if we could see a few records fall?
    Looking through the stations maximum temperature records here, it seems to me like a few could be beaten.
    Cork Airport's February max is just 14.0C, Claremorris is just 13.8C, Mullingar is at 15.4C and Casement is at 15.9C.

    Here's what the latest GFS shows for Thursday afternoon, widespread 15C and 16C
    ukmaxtemp.png

    Sea surface temperatures to the southwest are above average and as Su Campu mentioned, conditions are ideal for some foehn winds.
    Will be interesting to see how high temps can get on Thursday.

    Will it be bright and sunny or the usually mild, dull with misty rain?


  • #18
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    it would be great to see a few well sheltered areas hit 17C if conditions are sunny & calm, and if it does it will put many days of last summer to shame. Would be nice to be able to sit out in a tshirt drinking a beer.


  • #19
    MiNdGaM3
    Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    Lucreto wrote: »
    Will it be bright and sunny or the usually mild, dull with misty rain?

    According to Met Eireann
    THURSDAY: Most areas will be dry with some bright or sunny spells, mainly breaking through over south Leinster and southeast Munster. However it will be rather dull in parts of the north and west, with perhaps a little drizzle.


  • #20
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    irishweatheronline is back up and runing with there web page...


  • #21
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    GEM/GLB rainfall accumulation forecast for the next 5 days or so:

    raaccfor.gif

    The set up for the coming week will be a typical one for orographic rainfall to occur on hills exposed to the southwesterly flow.


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  • #22
    Birdnuts
    Registered Users Posts: 9,631 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    If tonights ECM verifies we could be looking at something even milder then 89' - it really is astonishing at this stage and makes me wonder are we using up all the good stuff before summer proper:confused:


  • #23
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    If tonights ECM verifies we could be looking at something even milder then 89' - it really is astonishing at this stage and makes me wonder are we using up all the good stuff before summer proper:confused:

    I don't know if the later part of the ECM would necessarily be very mild. Could be frosty nights too, but could easily swing back. Amazingly poor charts for coldies.

    We could get 17c on Thursday:pac:


  • #24
    Wild Bill
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill


    Deep Easterly wrote: »

    The set up for the coming week will be a typical one for orographic rainfall to occur on hills exposed to the southwesterly flow.

    Looks like another very dry week for dessicated Sandyford! :D

    Whatever about the temps I won't complain about that - but we do need some more sunshine.


  • #25
    Wild Bill
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill


    IMG_0531-1.jpg

    A taste of Spring already!

    I know there were daffodils in Stephens Green in mid-January - but this is about the earliest I've seen them here.

    (ps - they didn't come till April last year)


  • #26
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,876 ✭✭✭pauldry


    here in sligo we had dafodils in our garden blooming on feb 18th last year. this year they have not bloomed yet due to lack of sun.

    Id say that 17c wont be reached this week. I think 14 in some places and maybe the odd 15.


  • #27
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    pauldry wrote: »

    Id say that 17c wont be reached this week. I think 14 in some places and maybe the odd 15.

    I'd say if any station reaches 17c this week it would be Mothman's in Ashford. Perfect location for the adiabatic warming effect under these warm sector conditions.


  • #28
    Wild Bill
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    I'd say if any station reaches 17c this week it would be Mothman's in Ashford. Perfect location for the adiabatic warming effect under these warm sector conditions.

    Yep. Adiabatically speaking, Ashford seems to have a one degree (plus) advantage over Sandyford - must be an elevation thingy.


  • #29
    Musicman2000
    Registered Users Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    The GFS 18z pub run puts a stop to spring:)


  • #30
    compsys
    Registered Users Posts: 1,038 ✭✭✭compsys


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Tomorrow essentially marks the end of climatological winter. We may get an incursion of cold in Spring.

    But I hope the Spring is as pleasant as the winter was.

    Don't you mean 20th March?

    The winter months are generally Dec, Jan and Feb. I've never heard of winter stopping on 20 Feb.


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  • #31
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    I don't think you are. But there is more to weather than cold and snow. In spring and summer, we have the prospect of big mamma showers and thunderstorms. In autumn, the increased chance of big wind and rain storms to look forward too. They don't always happen but as weather events, they are every bit as exciting to watch out for and experience than snow.

    Roll on a hot, dark and thundery summer 2012.

    I rest my case,look at the amount of interest in spring now :) zilch , and not a post in over too days, weather junkys on here as snow junkys only ;)


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