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17-06-2018, 17:06   #46
M.T. Cranium
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The slow decline of the IMT continues, now on 15.6, the 16th averaged 13.4 C.

MAX and MIN remain 26.1 and 5.4, with the range on 16th being 18.4 to 8.1 C.

No new contenders for 24h max rainfall, the heaviest on 16th was 8.8 mm at Malin Head.

PRC now at 45% with 48.5 mm falling in the contest grid, about 180% of normal for any given day.

SUN still rounding off at 100% as the 16th managed 30.2h, about 90% of normal.
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18-06-2018, 16:46   #47
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After 17 days, the IMT is on 15.5 with the 17th managing 14.3 C.

MAX and MIN remain unchanged with the range yesterday 9.1 to 20.3 C.

The heaviest 24h rainfall of 6.2 mm at Valentia changes nothing for the bonus.

Total rainfall in the grid of 16.7 mm is about 60% of a normal daily ration and brings the month up slightly to 46%.

There was only 11 hours of sunshine, mostly in the southwest, and this brings our monthly average down to 96% of normal.

Just looking at forecasts, we are still all outside the range of MAX and MIN, although MrSkinner at 26.2 just slightly so, the warmest MIN forecasts were 4.5. The lowest PRC forecast was 80% and from the look of recent model runs we would be hard pressed to get there from the current value. Our general thinking on sunshine may work out fairly well. For the bonus, the majority had been expecting a heavier fall than the current contender (30.9 mm) and here again, opportunities look few but we shall see.
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18-06-2018, 22:26   #48
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tomorrow might bring a top 3 contender to rainfall.

Malin Head 25mm or Finner 22mm? perhaps
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18-06-2018, 23:23   #49
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We didn't preform particularly great with June as a group did we
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18-06-2018, 23:26   #50
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We didn't preform particularly great with June as a group did we
I originally went for 70% precipitation but then when I saw you all going for above average, I felt alone and wanted to join in.
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19-06-2018, 15:32   #51
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After 18 days, the IMT now on 15.4, with the 18th setting a mean of 13.7 C.

MAX and MIN remain 26.1 and 5.4, the range yesterday was 21.4 and 7.9 C.

24h max rainfall contest unaltered, the wettest on 18th was only 2.0 mm at Valentia.

PRC was only 3.6 mm in the grid, about 14% of normal. That drops the month back to 44% of normal.

SUN was only 11.3 hours, about 32% of normal. That pushes the monthly average down to 92%.
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19-06-2018, 21:08   #52
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Today every hour since midday that Ive seen Newports rainfall it is around 3mm

So in simplistic terms thats 27mm at 9pm and probably 36mm or so by midnight

New contest leader?
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20-06-2018, 14:58   #53
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33.3mm of rain has fallen on Newport Co. Mayo station yesterday according to Met.ie
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20-06-2018, 15:17   #54
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33.3mm of rain has fallen on Newport Co. Mayo station yesterday according to Met.ie
That's mental. Didn't seem like there was bugger all rain about yesterday

Very localised to the north west
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20-06-2018, 15:45   #55
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IMT stays on 15.4 after 19 days, with the 19th at 15.0 C. Guidance suggests heat setting in by the weekend, the IMT could then return to the low 16 range (will likely continue a slow fall to 22nd, so from 15.2 then, average of 18 for last eight days would produce 16.3 C as final value.

MAX of 26.1 and MIN of 5.4 were not quite pushed out by a wide-ranging effort on 19th (24.6 OP and 6.6 Markree). These next two nights look like the last chance for MIN but MAX will have plenty of opportunities.

24h max rainfall contest now has a new leader with Newport at 33.2 mm. That pushes Mountdillon 30.9 into second. There is also a new third place value (previous second was Moorepark at 20.9) with Finner Camp (21.9) and Knock (21.7) both exceeding that. We can't quite declare this to be a final result as model guidance shows potential for heavy thunderstorm rainfalls on 30th, otherwise no rain expected.

PRC: The contest grid received 66.0 mm of rain, about 240% of a normal daily rate. This pushes the monthly average to 55% of normal. However, if no more rain falls, that will translate to 35% at end of month. Even a 200% day on 30th would leave the end of month at 50%.

SUN: There was only 12.7 hours total yesterday, about 38% of normal, and that leaves the month at 89% of normal. Guidance suggests a lot of sunshine to the end of the month. If we were to average 155% of normal the end of month average would then reach 115%.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 20-06-2018 at 15:50.
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20-06-2018, 16:13   #56
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There is potential for a new MIN tonight as forecasters are hinting at ground frost in places. Probably a new max sometime next week with highs around 27 or 28c.
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20-06-2018, 18:15   #57
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That's mental. Didn't seem like there was bugger all rain about yesterday

Very localised to the north west
Yes we have our own little climate up here that even Met Eireann know nothing about sometimes

Also re min...Met Eireann are going for 4c and possibly lower on their forecast so 2 or 3c is possible
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21-06-2018, 16:01   #58
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IMT at low point for month so far, 15.24 after 20 days ... the 20th average was only 12.7 C.

MAX and MIN remain unchanged, the range was 18.0 to 7.4 C.

24h rainfall bonus question unchanged by daily max of 7.0 mm at Malin Head.

The grid received a total rainfall of 19.4 mm, about 70% of a normal day's total, so that leaves PRC at 56% of normal.

Sunshine yesterday was 28.7 hours, about 86% of normal, and that leaves SUN at 89%.

Scoring interests will be keen for the next two nights with these chances for MIN to drop (at least into our forecast range to remove the need for minimum progression). Then it will be a similar interest in MAX with one or two rooting for 30 degrees.
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22-06-2018, 05:30   #59
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2 deg C at 0500h at Mountdillon.

The usual daily update will follow and I would imagine the MIN was reset by some midnight lows but that will only last until the next daily update.
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22-06-2018, 15:05   #60
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After three weeks ...

IMT on 15.1, the third week 13.3 (0.7 below average), the 21st itself averaged 11.8 C.

MAX remains 26.1, MIN changed briefly to 5.1 (Claremorris) but we know it then fell to around 2 C by this morning. (Max on 21st was 18.3).

No rainfalls except for 0.1 mm at Malin Head, this brings the monthly PRC down to 53%. The third week averaged 94% and was above normal in parts of the north (Malin Head 242%) but quite dry in the southeast (Oak Park 24%).

SUN during the third week was 80% of normal (477/600) and on the 21st totalled 78.5 hours which is about 240% for the day, so blending the weekly and daily tracking the current SUN value is 97% of normal.
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