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Potential for wind and snow (NW) 4th, 5th December - DISCUSSION ONLY

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Comments

  • #62
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,130 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    18Z for Sunday looks good again

    183137.png


  • #63
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    smallwonder wrote: »
    And the rollercoaster begins...


    This is a normal occurrence in rough weather. The island can usually be cut off for days.

    Indeed in 1974 they were cut off from the mainland for nearly two months.


  • #64
    ff9999
    Registered Users Posts: 218 ✭✭ff9999


    Enderman wrote: »
    18Z for Sunday looks good again

    183137.png

    mmmmmmm I like that encroaching purple :D


  • #65
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    http://news.sky.com/home/video/weather/video/15009839

    Sky weather showing Snow for higher ground on Thursday. West Donegal and Scotland.
    Above 200 metres.


  • #66
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Probably the pick of the 0Z run. Gut feeling tells me i jumped on the Roller Coaster too soon. :)

    183142.png


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  • #67
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Still a real lack of certainty on the models as to where the low will develop, some runs have it deepening as it crosses us, other don't have it develop until its well out in the north sea

    Holland and Belgium will be at real danger from a North Sea storm surge on this mornings GFS again


  • #68
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,508 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Harps wrote: »
    Still a real lack of certainty on the models as to where the low will develop, some runs have it deepening as it crosses us, other don't have it develop until its well out in the north sea

    Holland and Belgium will be at real danger from a North Sea storm surge on this mornings GFS again

    I bet it will do what most interesting looking lows do. Travel further north.


  • #69
    Mint Sauce
    Registered Users Posts: 29,294 ✭✭✭✭Mint Sauce


    irish1967 wrote: »
    Donegal's busiest road was flooded last night at an area called 'The Dry Arch'. :)

    Although todayfm described it as the Dry Arch Roundabout between Stranorlar and Derry. For those who dont know its in Letterkenny.

    :D


  • #70
    HeidiHeidi
    Registered Users Posts: 28,776 ✭✭✭✭HeidiHeidi


    irish-stew wrote: »
    Although todayfm described it as the Dry Arch Roundabout between Stranorlar and Derry. For those who dont know its in Letterkenny.

    :D

    But there IS a Dry Arch Roundabout, isn't there? Unless I've been seeing things on my way north.... But maybe that's not where the flooding was.

    On a slight aside, maybe you weather boffins can enlighten me - when did the new weather stations appear on the Sea Area Forecast? Sherkin Island Auto? Mace Point? Never heard of 'em. I'm normally an obsessive listener to the SAF, but haven't heard it in a while. Have they done away with some other weather stations?


  • #71
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    No word of snow on met eireanns forecast for the weekend.


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  • #72
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Pangea wrote: »
    No word of snow on met eireanns forecast for the weekend.

    The snow risk is mainly for Sunday-monday... u really think theyd mention it now?... on THURSDAY!?

    ha

    ;):rolleyes:


  • #73
    cml387
    Registered Users Posts: 8,360 ✭✭✭cml387


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    The snow risk is mainly for Sunday-monday... u really think theyd mention it now?... on THURSDAY!?

    ha

    ;):rolleyes:

    Met Eireann's outlook goes on to Monday. No snow.Cold though.


  • #74
    only one
    Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    cml387 wrote: »
    Iancar29 wrote: »
    The snow risk is mainly for Sunday-monday... u really think theyd mention it now?... on THURSDAY!?

    ha

    ;):rolleyes:

    Met Eireann's outlook goes on to Monday. No snow.Cold though.
    What ever happens the south east won't get none if it


  • #75
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    The snow risk is mainly for Sunday-monday... u really think theyd mention it now?... on THURSDAY!?

    ha

    ;):rolleyes:

    Today is Wednesday!


  • #76
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Seen no snow ether on the weather for the weekend!


  • #77
    faktisperminute
    Registered Users Posts: 139 ✭✭faktisperminute


    Things are actually looking much better from todays run , The colder air will stick to us for longer and there will be snow next week if the charts turn out to be true.


  • #78
    only one
    Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    faktisperminute wrote: »
    Things are actually looking much better from todays run , The colder air will stick to us for longer and there will be snow next week if the charts turn out to be true.
    No snow for the south east though I bet


  • #79
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Looking at the latest models I would say that later Sunday and through Monday we will see snow down to around 100 m in the northeast to around 350 m in the southwest.

    It's looking like a northwest -southeast gradient throughout the country, leading to strong west to northwesterlies at all levels. 500-1000 thickness ranges from around 524 dam in the northeast to 532 dam in the southwest, with partial thicknesses (850-1000) in the 1290-1300 range. I would be looking for 522 dam and 1280 dam, respectively, for snow to all levels.

    850 hPa theta-w of around 2 °C in all but the south, and 850 theta-e of around 13-14 °C, along with good boundary layer mixing, would suggest that any showers that feed in from the northwest will be mostly snow above around 100 m for northern Connaught, Ulster and north Leinster, rising to around 350 m further southwest, but there could be some lowering of these levels in the squalliest of the showers.


  • #80
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    The snow risk is mainly for Sunday-monday... u really think theyd mention it now?... on THURSDAY!?

    ha

    ;):rolleyes:

    No I never thought they would mention it, I'm just telling yas what its in the forecast ;)


  • #81
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Today is Wednesday!

    Hahahaha.... WOOPS? :rolleyes:


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  • #82
    Wertz
    Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    North east? F*ck. Last thing I need next week is snow... I know it's impossible to tell but is this a temporary event or something that could get prolonged?


  • #83
    bb1234567
    Registered Users Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    will dublin get snow and if so how much?


  • #84
    Mr Benevolent
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    Su Campu wrote: »
    850 hPa theta-w of around 2 °C in all but the south, and 850 theta-e of around 13-14 °C, along with good boundary layer mixing

    Gobbledygook translation? If I told you an airliner crashed because of an ELAC 1+2 fault combined with ADIRU misalignment, and dropping out of Normal law and a sustained alpha above 30 degrees would you know what I meant?


  • #85
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Confab wrote: »
    Gobbledygook translation? If I told you an airliner crashed because of an ELAC 1+2 fault combined with ADIRU misalignment, and dropping out of Normal law and a sustained alpha above 30 degrees would you know what I meant?

    hahaa... he'd probably know EXACTLY what u mean.... hes a pilot! haha


  • #86
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭[Deleted User]


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    hahaa... he'd probably know EXACTLY what u mean.... hes a pilot! haha

    this could be good LOL


  • #87
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    (Grabs Popcorn)


  • #88
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Confab wrote: »
    Gobbledygook translation? If I told you an airliner crashed because of an ELAC 1+2 fault combined with ADIRU misalignment, and dropping out of Normal law and a sustained alpha above 30 degrees would you know what I meant?

    Yes I would, but I would hope that you would first summarise it in plain English for those unfamiliar with the terminology, like I did! ;) The details were added for those interested in why I thought what I thought in the first paragraph - for all others, skip through to the next chapter please!


  • #89
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Confab wrote: »
    Gobbledygook translation? If I told you an airliner crashed because of an ELAC 1+2 fault combined with ADIRU misalignment, and dropping out of Normal law and a sustained alpha above 30 degrees would you know what I meant?

    no, but i would have said you were in the wrong section of boards.ie.


  • #90
    Jason Zealous Scorpion
    Closed Accounts Posts: 24,878 ✭✭✭✭ Jason Zealous Scorpion


    Confab wrote: »
    Gobbledygook translation? If I told you an airliner crashed because of an ELAC 1+2 fault combined with ADIRU misalignment, and dropping out of Normal law and a sustained alpha above 30 degrees would you know what I meant?
    Iancar29 wrote: »
    hahaa... he'd probably know EXACTLY what u mean.... hes a pilot! haha

    Absolute comedy gold!... If centipede's had hands there wouldn't be enough for THAT faceplant :D


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  • #91
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Whatever about snow, potential for some of the showers to be thundery under such a set up, especially in more coastal regions.

    Recm1202.gif

    Hopefully we will see some nice troughing develop within the flow closer the time.


This discussion has been closed.
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