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Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

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Comments

  • #602
    esposito
    Registered Users Posts: 1,343 ✭✭✭esposito


    Beechwoodspark wrote: »
    Front of the UK daily star today predicts worse snow fall for 70 years over Christmas.

    Well it makes a change that it’s not the Daily Express I guess:rolleyes:


  • #603
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    Beechwoodspark wrote: »
    Front of the UK daily star today predicts worse snow fall for 70 years over Christmas.

    People in the UK had better stock up on their snow shovels then. After all if a red top tabloid newspaper predicts this it must be true. Right?


  • #604
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,099 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Today is just consistent drizzle and fog, no let up whatsoever. Windless however. It never actually got bright today.

    West Clare.

    (Oops posted this originally in the autumn thread, keep forgetting today is the first of December!)


  • #605
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Jesus I wish it was summer.


  • #606
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users Posts: 11,880 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Horrible grey dark misty day


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  • #607
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Rock Lesnar wrote: »
    Horrible grey dark misty day

    At least it’s not lashing rain or bitter cold.


  • #608
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    This must be one of the worst depressing days weather wise this year


  • #609
    Franz Von Peppercorn
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,070 ✭✭✭Franz Von Peppercorn


    Clonmel1000 wrote: »
    At least it’s not lashing rain or bitter cold.

    I'd prefer cold and bright myself. Im neither a snow lover, nor a hater, but brightness trumps this kind of greyness.


  • #610
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users Posts: 11,880 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Clonmel1000 wrote: »
    At least it’s not lashing rain or bitter cold.

    Ah i dont mind the cold, i'd take bitter cold and sunny over this muck


  • #611
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    as dark and cloudy as today was, at least it wasn't pouring rain all day.


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  • #612
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,635 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Gonzo wrote: »
    as dark and cloudy as today was, at least it wasn't pouring rain all day.

    No consolation. Give me crisp and dry weather over this dank muck any day.


  • #613
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    nacho libre wrote: »
    No consolation. Give me crisp and dry weather over this dank muck any day.

    I got some consolation... take a look at the GFS 12z. FI but it's better to look at than staring at this mist and drizzle.


  • #614
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,635 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    I got some consolation... take a look at the GFS 12z. FI but it's better to look at than staring at this mist and drizzle.

    Indeed. I Was just about to post a chart in the fi thread:) Let's hope tonights ECM shows something similar.


  • #615
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Indeed. I Was just about to post a chart in the fi thread:) Let's hope tonights ECM shows something similar.

    Cold north easterlies with snow for the east :)


  • #616
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Snowbiee21 wrote: »
    Cold north easterlies with snow for the east :)

    Just double checked the charts now and now I'm not sure if there would be snow. Pressure looks too high but the SSTs are high too so maybe some light snow showers or snizzle. The precip chart itself does show snow though. If the high was farther north then we'd be in business.


  • #617
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    The Weather Outlook's winter forecast:

    https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/uk-seasonal-weather-forecast


  • #618
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Also MT said this on Netweather:
    I feel also that everything is slowly falling into place for blocking and cold outbreaks, a key period will be 19 to 23 Dec with a high energy peak that may occur as blocking starts to develop. That could produce diving low pressure (NW-SE track) followed by much colder temperatures in Britain and Ireland.

    The North American cold regime that was quite robust around mid-November has weakened somewhat in response to the onset of a classic west coast El Nino pattern (this sometimes brings mild Pacific air across the whole continent) but unlike say 1982-83 this El Nino is weaker and trying to lift a lot of weight with that earlier established eastern arctic blocking cold attached to Baffin Island - Greenland high pressure. So the December outlook in North America is for some resumed cold outbreaks into central and eastern regions, and the usual El Nino warmth in the west. I don't think it will overwhelm the jet stream and force a constant southwesterly, the recent spell has been that temporary response to the first major cold spells in NA. But it won't get worse, just oscillate between weaker versions of same and blocking.

    If blocking became very robust before that energy peak then we could see an undercut like Jan 1 1979, probably something like that will happen at a later peak such as 3-6 Jan or 17-21 Jan. Would be surprised and seek out a safe place if there isn't at least one good wintry episode this winter and earlier than last year's injury time miracle.

    Good to see that things are going as expected so far.


  • #619
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Of course bright dry weather would be better but it could be easily bitter cold and dull today which would have made a bad day worse. It’s lashing rain here now anyway.


  • #620
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    nacho libre wrote: »
    No consolation. Give me crisp and dry weather over this dank muck any day.

    I agree but I’m just making the point that it could be worse it could have been lashing rain all day. The economy shops etc need a few benign weekends in the lead up to Xmas.


  • #621
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,099 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    MÉ app mentions rain turning to sleet or wet snow for a time on Tuesday in North Connaught and Ulster, but the website does not.

    Interesting to say the least.


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  • #622
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,441 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    It's possible mainly over high ground above around 200 meters, most likely in the north east but it would be temporary. Milder air soon coming through on Wednesday.

    tempresult_ush1.gif


  • #623
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Blissfully quiet. west mayo offshore


  • #624
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,058 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    A dark morning here in Castlebar with rain turning persistent now. A day for the fire


  • #625
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    A dark morning here in Castlebar with rain turning persistent now. A day for the fire

    Just lit mine as the rain is sheeting down out here. Shivers..west mayo; offshore, planning an outing to Castlebar tomorrow..


  • #626
    derekon
    Registered Users Posts: 836 ✭✭✭derekon


    Meteorite58 wrote: »
    ECM has been showing stormy weather over the last few runs for next Friday . Track has been changing not surprisingly this far out but showing very strong winds along Atlantic coastal counties especially the W and NW , and Northern counties. Chance of being a named storm but could drift further North also. A bit of a way to go to know for sure.

    Just what we need , more wind & rain. Please God we will get a dry cold spell soon, irrespective of any snow.

    D


  • #627
    Andrew00
    Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Andrew00


    You can GFS all you want, it’ll still be dirty rain and wind from the Atlantic


  • #628
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Andrew00 wrote: »
    You can GFS all you want, it’ll still be dirty rain and wind from the Atlantic

    We can also ECM, GEM, UKMO and FV3 all we want then :P . All of them show us at the very least under high pressure next week, so if we don't get deep cold at least it will be nice and frosty, sunny depending on how much cloud is trapped under the high. Of course that can change but it is what the models are showing. We will still have to go through some bouts of wind and rain this week though.


  • #629
    hatrickpatrick
    Registered Users Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    I just want to register that the use of model names as a verb to describe these conversations is the funniest thing I've seen in a while :D

    I'mma FV3 like I'm wild and free, and GFS 'till the end of the sesh :D


  • #630
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    I GFS at predicting the weather. The experts ECM it most of the time.


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  • #631
    bazlers
    Registered Users Posts: 692 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Hi All,
    Has MTC updated his initial findings from his research on this coming winter?
    He would have posted those index findings back in October.


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