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29-07-2019, 21:08   #181
Meteorite58
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Some of the current predicted rainfall totals until around late Tues night. 🌧🌧🌧🌧🌩 .







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29-07-2019, 21:23   #182
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Hows the bank holiday weekend looking Meteorite ?
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29-07-2019, 23:35   #183
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Hows the bank holiday weekend looking Meteorite ?
Posted reply here.
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05-08-2019, 00:14   #184
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Watching the charts for around next Fri. Currently show very heavy rain from a big draw of warm moist air brought up from lower latitudes. This would be very conducive to thunderstorms I would think. Long way off and the LP position will possibly change track and timing a bit but the models are in fairly good agreement about the LP at this stage. GFS shows the heaviest rain arrive before the other models , of course very early days yet and will take untill midweek to be fairly sure about this and how much rain is set to fall.

Will see how this pans out.















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05-08-2019, 13:04   #185
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Met going to for widespread heavy rain from a Sub tropical source for the weekend
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05-08-2019, 16:55   #186
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Met going to for widespread heavy rain from a Sub tropical source for the weekend
ECM showing some very high totals Thurs into Fri and currently showing big potential for Thunderstorms overnight Thurs into Fri morning, could be a good light show.

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05-08-2019, 23:45   #187
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A look a how the models are showing the heavy rainfall late Thurs into Fri as the Low moves up over the country.










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06-08-2019, 00:34   #188
 
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A look a how the models are showing the heavy rainfall late Thurs into Fri as the Low moves up over the country.
Would it be very windy if that comes to fruition?

Last edited by Meteorite58; 06-08-2019 at 20:23. Reason: Edit out charts
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06-08-2019, 20:37   #189
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Would it be very windy if that comes to fruition?


IMO It looks windy from early Friday with the frontal passage sweeping up over the country but currently below warning level at this stage. During the day windier on coasts with variable wind directions as the Low will more than likely be close to being centered over us, as it moves further N could get quite windy in the SW but again just below warning level at this stage. Gales at sea. On Sat looks windier across the country and up along the E for a time but below warning level, atm looking like gusting 60 to 70 km/h. Fri could have strong convective gusts as it looks like getting a good few thunderstorms.

The models are tweaking the track and timing of this so more will be revealed over the coming days.

EDIT : updated this post in the New dedicated thread for Thurs /Fri.

Last edited by Meteorite58; 06-08-2019 at 21:10.
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07-08-2019, 14:02   #190
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Been desperately hoping for a dru Sunday afternoon in Dun Laoghaire this weekend as I'm playing an outdoor festival, and the FI over the last three days has flip flopped on every run between dry and drizzly Hoping against hope that today's Sunday charts change back as we get closer to the weekend now that we're into the reliable window
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09-08-2019, 20:22   #191
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As the LP system moves off to the NW tomorrow we get an active frontal passage over the country which could produce a lot of rain, possible warning levels.

Very little DLS but has LLS with a pronounced convergence zone especially across the center of the country, this could producing forcing along the front with thunderstorms a possibility.

Cooler fresher air mass to follow the passage of the front.















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09-08-2019, 20:28   #192
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What the other models are predicting for Rainfall accumulations. Fairly common theme with highest totals across the center of the country.









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09-08-2019, 20:34   #193
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Ah here
That last one is showing 80 mm again for athenry
That’s ridiculous
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09-08-2019, 20:41   #194
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Ah here
That last one is showing 80 mm again for athenry
That’s ridiculous
EURO 4 inclined to over do it a bit , AROME / ARPEGE showing around another 30- 40mm between now and late Sat night.

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09-08-2019, 20:46   #195
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ICON which was off a bit the last dew days also looking similar to the other models .

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