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15-07-2019, 07:11   #16
Gaoth Laidir
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Official storm total rainfall and wind gusts (mph) from Barry. No hurricane-force gusts and max rainfall has been less than half of the 20-25 inches feared. Could have been a lot worse

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/storm_...tormsum_6.html
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16-07-2019, 12:39   #17
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In the end the total rainfall in Louisiana from Friday morning to Monday night did finally top the 20-inch mark, as summarised in Summary #10. The highest was 23.43 inches at Ragley.


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/storm_..._archive.shtml

..LOUISIANA...
RAGLEY 4 S 23.43
OBERLIN 1 SSW 15.70
GILLIS 3 WNW 14.36
MARKSVILLE 4 SSW 13.86
MOSS BLUFF 5 WNW 13.48
DE QUINCY ENE 12.82
BUHLER 2 E 12.72
BORDELONVILLE 1 NE 12.40
GRAND PRARIE 3 NW 10.22
DENHAM SPRINGS 6.8 N 9.56
CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR KINDER 4 WNW 9.40
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT SIMMESPORT 8.43
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW 7.96
ABBEVILLE 7.5 SSW 7.00
ERATH 6.22
LAFAYETTE 5.16
BATON ROUGE 4.29
SLIDELL 3.81
NEW ORLEANS NAVAL AIR STATION 2.42

Last edited by Gaoth Laidir; 16-07-2019 at 13:02.
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28-08-2019, 22:42   #18
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Dorian could be a significant threat to Florida late weekend, possibly a Cat 3, though a high degree of uncertainty still at the his stage.
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28-08-2019, 22:46   #19
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Trump might nuke it.
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28-08-2019, 22:49   #20
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From latest Discussion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 18.8N 65.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 20.1N 66.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 22.0N 68.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 23.8N 69.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 25.2N 71.1W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 31/1800Z 26.8N 75.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H
01/1800Z 27.7N 79.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 02/1800Z 28.2N 81.5W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND

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29-08-2019, 00:17   #21
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29-08-2019, 05:07   #22
pistolpetes11
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Originally Posted by Gaoth Laidir View Post
Dorian could be a significant threat to Florida late weekend, possibly a Cat 3, though a high degree of uncertainty still at the his stage.
Just happens I am in Miami on Business , I may get to witness this one first hand !
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29-08-2019, 13:00   #23
aisling86
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Just happens I am in Miami on Business , I may get to witness this one first hand !
Oh wow keep us updated! I'm glued to mike's weather page!
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29-08-2019, 13:33   #24
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Dorian could be a significant threat to Florida late weekend, possibly a Cat 3, though a high degree of uncertainty still at the his stage.
Usually the talk is of downgrading the forecast - what has caused its upgrading...it was scheduled to be no stronger than a cat 1 a few days ago
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29-08-2019, 15:53   #25
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Usually the talk is of downgrading the forecast - what has caused its upgrading...it was scheduled to be no stronger than a cat 1 a few days ago
It’s taken a track away from the mountain areas I think of Dominican Republic and hati , which would would of broken it up a good bit and not allowed it to develop , it’s now in very warm open water with even warmer water up along the coast of Florida ranging from 84c to 91c .

People are taking it very serious here now , I’ve a few lads working here with me and we have gotten the supplies in for the worst case .

Our apartment complex were staying in said this morning we may be under evacuation notice come tomorrow .
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29-08-2019, 16:26   #26
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Talk of Cat4 here now on the news
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29-08-2019, 16:43   #27
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That is a terrifying cone for anyone living in E Florida. This could be a biggie!

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29-08-2019, 16:48   #28
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Mike's weather page talking about 20inches of water too falling as rain! 😳
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29-08-2019, 17:25   #29
Gaoth Laidir
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The LGEM was pretty on the ball with first seeing the potential for strengthening to Cat 3, with the NHC dragging their heels a bit until today. But they were always clear on the uncertainty in the track forecast, and even now I would not be surprised to see the final track end up offshore if the Atlantic ridge doesn't build as strong as it looked like yesterday.

Latest official forecast going for max 115 kts before landfall along mid-Florida around midday Monday Irish time. This is likely to change, as the timing has also been pushed back in recent updates.

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29-08-2019, 17:52   #30
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It’s taken a track away from the mountain areas I think of Dominican Republic and hati , which would would of broken it up a good bit and not allowed it to develop , it’s now in very warm open water with even warmer water up along the coast of Florida ranging from 84c to 91c .
No wonder it's gaining strength so quickly with SSTs not far off boiling point!!!
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