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21-07-2019, 14:36   #1021
Oneiric 3
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Originally Posted by Donegal Storm View Post
Big flash of lightning and deep booming thunder in Letterkenny with torrential rain.

First flash of lightning I've seen in more than 2 years!

Chance this could affect The Open?
Congrats!

Very surprised though that such standard looking synopics would bring thunder? I.E, approaching warm-front and long-wave SW pattern. No thunder here but getting increasingly frequent, if very short-lived, torrential bursts of rain and feeling as humid as hell.
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21-07-2019, 15:49   #1022
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Congrats!

Very surprised though that such standard looking synopics would bring thunder? I.E, approaching warm-front and long-wave SW pattern. No thunder here but getting increasingly frequent, if very short-lived, torrential bursts of rain and feeling as humid as hell.
I recall saying to you a couple of years ago that I got bored of thunderstorms after experiencing them nearly every day in Asia but can safely say that's no longer the case

A solitary flash is all we got in the end though, radar showed two strikes nearby but only saw/heard one
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21-07-2019, 15:57   #1023
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Really worth keeping an eye I reckon on the potential for overnight thunderstorms maybe late Tues night into early Weds morning skirting up along the SE , E and NE of Ireland. Could be quite explosive running up the Irish sea, how close or if overland in Ireland will need to see over the coming days. The SW might feature also.

Big negative tilted trough, really high Theta -E readings, Jet overhead with tons of shear, coupeld with possible temps 17 to 19C at 01.00 Weds morning and DP around 16 - 17C.










Last edited by Meteorite58; 21-07-2019 at 16:06.
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21-07-2019, 16:21   #1024
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Been keeping an eye on that all week, proper plume stuff if it comes off. I remember a similar setup maybe 6 or 7 years ago where Wexford narrowly missed out on a big storm that went up the Irish Sea then all hell broke loose in the UK with supercells across the Midlands
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21-07-2019, 16:22   #1025
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Rain to continue over the W, NE, N Midlands and N for some hours to come, some heavy convective rain embedded in the system. Chance of thunderstorms diminishing but maybe a few sporadic strikes over elevated ground in the W.











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21-07-2019, 16:31   #1026
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Chance of thunderstorms diminishing but maybe a few sporadic strikes over elevated ground in the W.
Does that include the SW ? Getting paranoid up here, if theres a risk I want to shut everything down....
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21-07-2019, 18:01   #1027
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Talk of 'very big thunderstorms' moving up from Europe tuesday night and wenesday on bbc news 24 forecast just now
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21-07-2019, 18:28   #1028
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Does that include the SW ? Getting paranoid up here, if theres a risk I want to shut everything down....
Unlikely to get more lightning in Kerry tonight IMO.
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21-07-2019, 18:36   #1029
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Talk of 'very big thunderstorms' moving up from Europe tuesday night and wenesday on bbc news 24 forecast just now
Let’s hope it comes to fruition and that parts of Ireland (especially Dublin) get in on the action.
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21-07-2019, 19:10   #1030
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'Total Water Column' I.E, water content of the air, charts from the 'Rapid ECMWF' 06z run for Tues Eve/Weds Morn. Hopefully our east coast friends will finally get to see something.

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21-07-2019, 22:13   #1031
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'Total Water Column' I.E, water content of the air, charts from the 'Rapid ECMWF' 06z run for Tues Eve/Weds Morn. Hopefully our east coast friends will finally get to see something.

Thanks for the well wishes but I can't see any significant potential for us on current model output, the instability all looks too far east. Maybe we'll see a few distant flashes over the Irish Sea if anyone's bothered to look (it would be like watching flashes of the middle finger from Zeus imo). Hope I'm wrong and/or things change to bring the potential further west.
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22-07-2019, 10:08   #1032
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The prognosis has not really improved overnight for some storms in to the east. Most of the activity is either just off shore or well east in over Britain.

Still time for this to evolve though.
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22-07-2019, 10:56   #1033
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The prognosis has not really improved overnight for some storms in to the east. Most of the activity is either just off shore or well east in over Britain.

Still time for this to evolve though.
It'll stay to the east,that's its momentum
Wont even hear the thunder in the east
Might see distant cloud tops near wales
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22-07-2019, 16:09   #1034
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Yep. No movement in the models this evening and I'm resigning myself to that scenario.
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22-07-2019, 17:44   #1035
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On the latest Met Office graphics on YouTube it gives a main bunch of thunderstorms going into the sw of England Tuesday night and Wednesday morning before heading to Scotland but it also gives another smaller bunch coming into the SE of Ireland in the early hours of Wednesday morning.

https://youtu.be/jJyhoXkiegM
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