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01-01-2019, 19:26   #1
Meteorite58
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Charts ( up to T120 ) Winter / Spring / Summer 2019 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**


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This thread is for posting / discussing /analyzing charts up to T120 ( in the more reliable time frame).

If your post does not specifically relate to the charts then it doesn't belong here off topic posts will be moved- please use the Seasonal Discussion thread for general chat.

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01-01-2019, 20:26   #2
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High Barometer readings to start off the New Year and HP set to continue over the coming days.



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03-01-2019, 14:39   #3
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Monday a LP passing well off the NW /N of Ireland will see a front crossing the country in the Morning/ afternoon and later introducing colder air for a time into Tues going by present ECM 0Z. Breezy and windy / gusty for a time on W, NW and N coasts. Showers following later. As the LP travels more in E /SE direction it should pull down cold airs Tues. Just bordering 120 hrs so some uncertainty with this but the signs seem to be there for an increased chance of some cold weather for the start of next week.









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03-01-2019, 20:31   #4
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Bit of a shake up from the prolonged stagnant Hp .WRF showing the Low Monday as it ploughs into the colder air mass over Europe bringing snow to Scotland and mainland Europe and introducing , from a long fetch , colder Northerly Polar air over us. The last few runs have been showing the Low produce possible stronger winds, more so on the American models with strong NW / N winds running down the Irish sea Mon / Tues.











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03-01-2019, 20:50   #5
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Strong Jet from the NW early next week also, need to keep an eye on how the Low develops over the coming days.

The models show the Low on Mon fill from 986 hPa to 990hPa off Scotland and then deepen again to 988 hPa on Tues as it moves into Europe bringing some blizzard like conditions there would imagine.











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04-01-2019, 19:19   #6
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Winds decreased a bit for Monday as the Low tracks a bit further to the N . Bit windy in the North Channel and the Irish sea for a time.





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04-01-2019, 19:34   #7
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ECM 12Z back on board showing some quite cold conditions from Mon . Cooler week coming up. After the front goes through on Monday not much rain showing up until Weds and again amounts going by today's runs look small then.





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05-01-2019, 19:36   #8
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Can't keep up with the ECM at this stage, not nearly as cold as was showing in earlier runs . Hp very stubborn with the Jet going around it bringing the coldest air grazing the UK and into Europe .













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11-01-2019, 19:37   #9
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Just in range, ICON picking up a 975mb storm crossing us on Wednesday. Worth a watch.
-4 uppers with it, would likely be snowy on high ground.

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11-01-2019, 20:22   #10
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Quote:
Just in range, ICON picking up a 975mb storm crossing us on Wednesday. Worth a watch.
-4 uppers with it, would likely be snowy on high ground.
Not as deep with the other models but deeper on the ECM than previous runs. The ECM shows it filling as it moves down over Ireland. That will shake out the cobwebs, considerable windchill. Can feel the cold on the back of my nose as I take a breath in from looking at these charts

















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11-01-2019, 20:48   #11
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Windy over the weekend and blustery on the coasts, will feel it after all the calm weather we have been having. Cloudy for the most part with rain moving down the country on Sunday , rainfall amounts not looking too much at this stage.








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12-01-2019, 18:23   #12
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The UKMO showing the 528 dam line over the Northern half of Ireland next Weds with a LP between Scotland and Norway and its occluded fronts moving down over Ireland . Probably heaviest rain in Northern counties in a fresh wind. Could have wintry showers on high ground.





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12-01-2019, 18:34   #13
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There you go, ECM 12Z more in line with the UKMO, looking more wintry now in Northern counties next Weds going by the present charts.



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12-01-2019, 18:40   #14
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EVMWF +120 and +144 are a pure tease with real cold just missing us and hitting the UK!
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12-01-2019, 18:44   #15
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Originally Posted by Villain View Post
EVMWF +120 and +144 are a pure tease with real cold just missing us and hitting the UK!
Aye, but a cold NW to follow. Could be good for some

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