UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

30-01-2015 9:01pm

callaway92 wrote: »

I like the prices on both Rafael Natal (nice break after his Aussie Open exit) and Diego Brandao.

Doing chunky singles on both and a double.

Thiago Alves by T/KO also piques my interest. . .

I'd beware on the Alves TKO, Mein is an animal at the moment! I reckon Diego is a nice bet to walk through Hettes though.

Meisha is 10-1 to win by KO on Boyle sports. I just have a vision of her rocking mcmann with knees to the head on the way in for takedowns and finishing her after a couple of those!

callaway92 · 30-01-2015 9:03pm

Javion Faint Ufo wrote: »

I'd beware on the Alves TKO, Mein is an animal at the moment! I reckon Diego is a nice bet to walk through Hettes though.

Ya, I'm obv wary too, hence why it's a 6/1 shot. I won't be putting a large amount on that KO bet but I do like it at 6/1.

Mellor · 31-01-2015 5:45am

califano wrote: »

I dont have a strong opinion about it but if you want to be pure about stating bets made before the event why not put in the stake you placed?. Otherwise if you scoop and only have 20c on an accum you just need to bump your post for the credit. And the time where you had a €50 treble you could then choose to scan the docket which is thinly veiled after timing in itself!.

The bet size isn't relevant really. We all play to our own limits. A small bet for you
Might be a big bet for me, or vis-versa.
I doubt there's many people out there playing with 20c's one minute and $50's the next.

So I don't see the need for people to post amounts. If they want to go ahead of course

Easy Rod · 31-01-2015 8:50am

My bets. Might throw some money on Tate by ko as someone posted earlier to cover my accumulator.

31-01-2015 9:25am

Kelvin the Gastronomist Gastelum apparently missed weight by 10 pounds I just heard!
People are saying he funked and will lose.

I know better though, last time he missed weight i put all my bets against him assuming he was screwed. He won the fight no bother.

They say he couldnt afford Dolce for this fight because he purse is too ****ty. Could be a case of nothing to see here and he walks into the fight with a huge advantage over Tyron.

mailburner · 31-01-2015 2:36pm

best bet for me on the card is mc call pts at 5/4

I don't see lineker ever beating the likes of mc call, benav or mouse
no doubt he'll spend three rounds trying to take creepys head off to no avail

silva decision 11/4 (365)
diaz might be outclassed but he's a tough lad to ko, could see silva toying with diaz for five rounds and cruising to a pts win
cant resist that price

lauzon @ 2.83 (matchbook)
see this as a 50/50 fight and was tempted by the sub
he shouldnt be that big so not turning down value like that

hettes sub 7/1 (boyles)
think if he weathers the early brandao storm he has a chance, ten wins by
sub and again I think the price offers value when most are 7/2 and the next best out there is 9/2

accum at 93/1
hettes sub
mc call
lauzon
silva dec
boyles

swore I wouldnt go near woodley after condit and shields so am sticking to that

tempted by alves also, like those odds and natal at 4/5 esp when I seen 8/15 a couple of day ago
brunson too short but it looks a formality along with leites

best of luck all

EuskalHerria · 31-01-2015 2:42pm

€5 on a Lauzon and Hettes sub, 18/1.

€7.24 on Lauzon and Hettes winning by either tko, KO or sub, 13/1.

Might place an accumolater later.

31-01-2015 4:18pm

mailburner wrote: »

best bet for me on the card is mc call pts at 5/4

I don't see lineker ever beating the likes of mc call, benav or mouse
no doubt he'll spend three rounds trying to take creepys head off to no avail

silva decision 11/4 (365)
diaz might be outclassed but he's a tough lad to ko, could see silva toying with diaz for five rounds and cruising to a pts win
cant resist that price

lauzon @ 2.83 (matchbook)
see this as a 50/50 fight and was tempted by the sub
he shouldnt be that big so not turning down value like that

hettes sub 7/1 (boyles)
think if he weathers the early brandao storm he has a chance, ten wins by
sub and again I think the price offers value when most are 7/2 and the next best out there is 9/2

accum at 93/1
hettes sub
mc call
lauzon
silva dec
boyles

swore I wouldnt go near woodley after condit and shields so am sticking to that

tempted by alves also, like those odds and natal at 4/5 esp when I seen 8/15 a couple of day ago
brunson too short but it looks a formality along with leites

best of luck all

do you not reckon Mcall will go for the finish? My moneys on a sub!

wardiaz · 31-01-2015 4:19pm

McCall will do what hes been doing lately and jab and move win via points handily cant see a finish in the fight.

mailburner · 31-01-2015 4:23pm

Javion Faint Ufo wrote: »

do you not reckon Mcall will go for the finish? My moneys on a sub!

think mccall will play it safe and keep it standing, dont see him taking much punishment from lineker who'll be doing a lot of swinging and missing
lineker went five with benav and mouse, fancy he'll go the distance here

El Guapo! · 31-01-2015 9:03pm

PP are giving 2/1 on Silva if anyone's interested.

mailburner · 31-01-2015 9:04pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

PP are giving 2/1 on Silva if anyone's interested.

yes please

tell me more or where or how

edit, nope

I thought i was going to see paddys first mma enhancement but not that case

31-01-2015 9:07pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

PP are giving 2/1 on Silva if anyone's interested.

I think your mistaken Bas!

31-01-2015 9:09pm

mailburner wrote: »

think mccall will play it safe and keep it standing, dont see him taking much punishment from lineker who'll be doing a lot of swinging and missing
lineker went five with benav and mouse, fancy he'll go the distance here

I reckon he is going for the finish because he wants a title shot next and will try and impress. Thats my hunch. But Linekar is tough and v hard to put away, the safe bet is indeed a points decision. Just a couple of rear naked choke losses on Linekars record have me envisioning Mcall going for this after rocking him a couple times.

El Guapo! · 31-01-2015 9:13pm

An ad popped up on my facebook and it said enhanced odds for new sign up. Not was offering 2/1 for Silva and 10/1 for Diaz.
Can't seem to find the ad now. Gimme a min.

mailburner · 31-01-2015 9:14pm

prob a tenner max also
they do these all the time for new customers

weemcd · 31-01-2015 9:16pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

An ad popped up on my facebook and it said enhanced odds for new sign up. Not was offering 2/1 for Silva and 10/1 for Diaz.
Can't seem to find the ad now. Gimme a min.

New customers deal! I saw it myself

El Guapo! · 31-01-2015 9:17pm

weemcd wrote: »

New customers deal! I saw it myself

Thank God! I thought I was going crazy.

31-01-2015 9:18pm

mailburner wrote: »

prob a tenner max also
they do these all the time for new customers

Clever f******!

El Guapo! · 31-01-2015 9:18pm

mailburner wrote: »

prob a tenner max also
they do these all the time for new customers

Ah I see. Tenner max is a bit crap.
But hey, it's a tenner more in your pocket!

callaway92 · 31-01-2015 9:19pm

Javion Faint Ufo wrote: »

Clever f******!

lol...

It's about the most standard thing ever for sportsbooks to do. . .

EuskalHerria · 31-01-2015 9:21pm

El Guapo! wrote: »

Thank God! I thought I was going crazy.

You're still going crazy, you just happened to see the right odds :pac:

therickster · 31-01-2015 9:22pm

Looking at a Treble of

Brandao
McCall
Gastelum

What we think folks? Any feedback?

Decent odds on B365 of 5/1.

El Guapo! · 31-01-2015 9:23pm

EuskalHerria wrote: »

You're still going crazy, you just happened to see the right odds :pac:

Crazy like a fox!

31-01-2015 9:25pm

callaway92 wrote: »

lol...

It's about the most standard thing ever for sportsbooks to do. . .

I need to get learned up about this tricks of the trade

weemcd · 31-01-2015 9:27pm

therickster wrote: »

Looking at a Treble of

Brandao
McCall
Gastelum

What we think folks? Any feedback?

Decent odds on B365 of 5/1.

I'd leave Gastelum alone, bad weight cut, talk of him having the flu etc. I also think he's gonna hit his first loss soon

other 2 are fine

EuskalHerria · 31-01-2015 9:27pm

therickster wrote: »

Looking at a Treble of

Brandao
McCall
Gastelum

What we think folks? Any feedback?

Decent odds on B365 of 5/1.

I wouldn't touch Brandao. I wouldn't listen to me either, so take that as you will

callaway92 · 31-01-2015 9:28pm

therickster wrote: »

Looking at a Treble of

Brandao
McCall
Gastelum

What we think folks? Any feedback?

Decent odds on B365 of 5/1.

I don't see it happening for Gastelum tonight. The guy is a serious prospect but the weight cut was apparently a disaster. Some would look at it as he will be far bigger, but I look at it as the guy was on the brink of destroying his body up to the brink.

Comments from Dana White included "I don't think the weight cut could possible have went any worse".

I'd avoid him.

therickster · 31-01-2015 9:30pm

weemcd wrote: »

I'd leave Gastelum alone, bad weight cut, talk of him having the flu etc. I also think he's gonna hit his first loss soon

other 2 are fine

EuskalHerria wrote: »

I wouldn't touch Brandao. I wouldn't listen to me either, so take that as you will

Haha!

Cheers folks!

Hmm... big fan of Gastelum, he wasn't great in his last outing either though tbf.

Looking at the tips on Fightpredictor.com and they seem to be going for all the underdogs.

Their tipping

Tate, Lauzon & Watson...odd!

31-01-2015 9:33pm

callaway92 wrote: »

I don't see it happening for Gastelum tonight. The guy is a serious prospect but the weight cut was apparently a disaster. Some would look at it as he will be far bigger, but I look at it as the guy was on the brink of destroying his body up to the brink.

Comments from Dana White included "I don't think the weight cut could possible have went any worse".

I'd avoid him.

The only thing is that, Gastelum missed weight before. On that same card where he missed weight two other guys missed weight as well if I recall correctly. So I decided to bet against all the guys that missed weight, and all the fu***** won. So I drew a line under the missing weight thing as an indicator. Granted it could be different this time, but the word on the street his he didn't want to pay Dolce which he has done the last few times because he's not earning enough money.
So think of it this way, you can pay Dolce and make weight, or you can give Dolce's fee to Tyron Woodley instead and just miss weight, and pretend a few things. Probably works out the same in the end, except you have a big weight advantage or energy advantage from not cutting that extra 10 pounds. Also flu like symptoms, is not actually the flu. So Im calling shenanigans on this one!

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING