Originally Posted by SeaBreezes
I beg to differ.
My views on the seriousness of this virus and its effect on humanity and global economies has been consistent.
And yet not 3 weeks ago (Feb 25) you said the complete opposite about the seriousness of this virus.. (quote the post below)
So... if you were wrong about how to manage the virus, could you possibly be misled with your other views too?
By the way hope your wife is doing ok. Horrible times.
Nope. It would be completely counterproductive and an overreaction once the virus has already become so widespread that it’s not possible to contain anymore. You want to also close down all businesses, schools, public facilities, restaurants, sporting and recreation facilities.....?
This is a virus that is 98% non lethal and we will probably have a vaccine for it within 18 months.
Shutting down the economy will kill many more vulnerable people than this virus would on its own
If I was dependent on medication right now, I’d be more worried about my meds being unavailable because of restrictions on travel than the risk of me getting Covid 19
My post was responding to this comment "Originally Posted by Ikozma View Post
What are the chances of a complete shutdown of air and sea travel around Europe in the coming months, would it be a possibility?"
We still haven't done this, there has not been a shutdown in all air sea transport around europe. All businesses have not closed, freight and air travel is still happening . We are trying to follow the scientific advice from the epidemiological models, but we are playing catch up.
The Evidence based recommendations from the expert bodies, are to do testing testing testing, and to target isolation at people who have been tested positive, contact tracing to find people who have been in close contact with confirmed cases
Our problem is that when the evidence of a pandemic was emerging, we should have spent much more resources on ramping up production on things like testing kits. Ireland and most other countries were too slow to react and thought they could follow the usual pace of action in the face of a crisis that was predicted with confidence but not certainty
We have the capacity to take emergency measures, but we didn't recognise the emergency quick enough to prevent it
Now we are delaying the spread and mitigating it's impact. The solution was never to shut down all travel and the entire economy, it is to take appropriate measures to reduce the spread of the disease while still keeping the ability to have enough food and medical supplies and other critical services. Earlier action would have allowed less severe measures later on. And much less severe consequences.
We are watching two worlds playing out before us. In one world, we have countries who took action early and reduced the spread of the disease, these countries will suffer a much lower cost, economically, and in human suffering compared with the countries who did nothing or pretended it wasn't happening long after the evidence was overwhelming on the need to act.
In many many ways, this crisis is very very similar to the climate change crisis, except it's happening in a much shorter timescale.