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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Winter 2020 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,762 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 06Z bringing the strong winds in over the Atlantic coasts on Sunday ( been edging that way over the last few runs ) , GFS just keeping the strongest winds off the coast ( a bit weaker on this run but very consistent over the last few runs ), ICON and ARPEGE been showing various scenarios, latest is keeping the winds well off . UKMO the strongest well in over the Western coasts and strong winds overland. Sneaky fella this, could be an Orange warning yet along coastal counties and a good yellow for the rest of the country.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,762 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Models fairly well aligned now . Strong winds up along Atlantic Counties, strongest in the West, very blustery overland. Winds going through quickly.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,564 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Is there any chance of it being named?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,979 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Status ORANGE WIND WARNING MAYO Galway DONEGAL


  • Registered Users Posts: 12 A_mc_b


    Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway and Mayo
    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    South to southwest winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with severe gusts in excess of 110km/h in the west. Where winds are onshore, there is a risk of coastal flooding.

    Valid: 12:00 Sunday 14/02/2021 to 16:00 Sunday 14/02/2021

    Issued: 11:00 Saturday 13/02/2021


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  • Registered Users Posts: 994 ✭✭✭hamburgham


    The cold air hanging on in the east right through Friday. Major snow event alright.

    Whoops.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,460 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    A_mc_b wrote: »
    Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway and Mayo
    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    South to southwest winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with severe gusts in excess of 110km/h in the west. Where winds are onshore, there is a risk of coastal flooding.

    Valid: 12:00 Sunday 14/02/2021 to 16:00 Sunday 14/02/2021

    Issued: 11:00 Saturday 13/02/2021

    Storm Evert?


  • Registered Users Posts: 12 A_mc_b


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Storm Evert?

    Its not been named as a storm from met eireann.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12 A_mc_b


    The Orange Wind Warning has been updated and the times changed.

    Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway and Mayo
    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Update: South to southwest winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with severe gusts in excess of 110km/h in the west. Where winds are onshore, there is a risk of coastal flooding.

    Valid: 11:00 Sunday 14/02/2021 to 15:00 Sunday 14/02/2021

    Issued: 11:00 Saturday 13/02/2021

    Updated: 17:30 Saturday 13/02/2021


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,460 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    A_mc_b wrote: »
    Its not been named as a storm from met eireann.

    That's odd, is it just because it's not an organised system or what?


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,762 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The Atlantic very mobile this week coming sending areas of LP moving quickly up along the coasts. Breezy and windy at times, spells of rain, heavy at times especially towards the end of the week, more so along Atlantic coastal counties.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,834 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Is it ever going to be not windy again?

    Coast must be eroding some at this rate.

    Is this storm tomorrow or tonight?

    Early next week looks very windy too at over 100kph for sure around Mayo and Donegal. This was signalled a couple of weeks ago when I looked so managed to hold well in fairness to the GFS.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,164 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    pauldry wrote: »
    Is it ever going to be not windy again?

    Coast must be eroding some at this rate.

    Is this storm tomorrow or tonight?

    Early next week looks very windy too at over 100kph for sure around Mayo and Donegal. This was signalled a couple of weeks ago when I looked so managed to hold well in fairness to the GFS.

    Forecasting wet and windy in Ireland is like shooting fish in a barrel :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    If you forecasted wet & windy everyday for the whole year..you would be right about 300 days of the year


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,339 ✭✭✭esposito


    Hooter23 wrote: »
    If you forecasted wet & windy everyday for the whole year..you would be right about 300 days of the year

    Sad but true


  • Registered Users Posts: 12 A_mc_b


    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway and Mayo
    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Southwesterly winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h and gusts of 90 to 110km/h. Where winds are onshore there is a risk of coastal flooding around high tide.

    Valid: 21:00 Monday 15/02/2021 to 09:00 Tuesday 16/02/2021

    Issued: 16:00 Sunday 14/02/2021


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Some of the models are showing another easterly around the 28th of February.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,550 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Nqp15hhu wrote: »
    Some of the models are showing another easterly around the 28th of February.

    The ECM at day 10? The CFS is showing the first week of March to be cold. It would be a bit of a shock to the system to go from the high teens to low single figures.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    The ECM at day 10? The CFS is showing the first week of March to be cold. It would be a bit of a shock to the system to go from the high teens to low single figures.

    Yes it’s not great to have excited by these warm temps in winter.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,676 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    another cold spell is predicted around the first week of March, however there is no suggestion that it is going to happen or that it will affect Ireland. We are now locked into a prolonged mild spell for at least 10 to 14 days. We are banking on that high pressure to go to either Scandinavia or Greenland, and while that may happen it doesn't mean Ireland is going to lock into a BTFE style situation. We barely scraped proper cold with the last cold spell, the beast itself didn't make it any further west than the SE of England and Scotland with central and eastern Europe getting the direct hit.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    You notice the milder air alot more this time because it came so soon after the freeze


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    I don’t think we are “locked” into a mild spell. I have a few cool days (6c highs) in my forecast this upcoming week. As always I am expecting snow in the next two or three weeks.

    If you don’t think that -12/-13c 850hPa is cold, what do you want? We had two or three days of that here in NI last week. Just because there was minimal snow doesn’t mean the cold didn’t arrive.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,550 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    I never suggested we were going to get a beast from.the east, just that some models were predicting a cool down. A beast from the east is rare. A diluted version of that would still deliver,if we got a direct hit. So far this winter it has not happened.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    I’m a bit confused.. if the easterly did not hit us why was last week significantly colder than normal?


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,811 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    We got the far end of it... but not the right conditions for snow across most of the country.

    If we get some snow and clear weather thats fine, but the winds were too strong. Single figures and a strong easterly is terrible. The last 10 days were some of the worst I've had to experience for a long time in Cork. Not one single minute of sunshine for nine days.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,762 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Fast moving Lp moving up off the Western coasts tomorrow night into Tuesday, windy again up along the coasts, band of rain passing over the country Monday night into early Tues morning, showers following on Tuesday.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭Tyrone212


    ^Maybe an orange wind warning for the same three as today.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,676 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Nqp15hhu wrote: »
    I don’t think we are “locked” into a mild spell. I have a few cool days (6c highs) in my forecast this upcoming week. As always I am expecting snow in the next two or three weeks.

    If you don’t think that -12/-13c 850hPa is cold, what do you want? We had two or three days of that here in NI last week. Just because there was minimal snow doesn’t mean the cold didn’t arrive.

    We are getting Off topic here yet again. The mild is already here and it doesn't look like we're going to see any real cold for at least a week at the very minimum.

    My point earlier is a general point about the recent cold spell and the prospects of another for the republic of Ireland. Much of the country barely scraped -10 uppers and was mostly in the -6 to -9 range. The cold never really got as far as the south-west either so it wasn't through the country properly. We were on the very edge of the cold spell. Daytime and nighttime temperatures were generally just above freezing through most of the country by day and night, freezing conditions was restricted mainly to high ground and decent snow was limited to the Atlantic breakdown over Mayo and the mix of precipitation the other night before the mild took over. The streamers were very poor and nothing like 2010, 2009 and 2018. The cold uppers are only part of what makes a proper cold and snowy spell or 'beast'. Most of the other ingredients failed and we were left with this generally very uninspiring spell which will most likely get forgotten about for many in eastern, southern, south-western and midland areas. It's time to move on from this cold spell, the mild weather is here, now let's get back to the models.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,762 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Very windy overnight in the W, NW


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  • Registered Users Posts: 614 ✭✭✭franklyon


    Very windy overnight]

    Understatement of the year. Wind ripping around the house near Castlebar. Strongest its been in a year or two.


This discussion has been closed.
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