FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

tonights pub run is most interesting. Perhaps a notch milder over Christmas but still generally cold. We try to get in a warm sector from the Atlantic on Monday 28th of December with a band of heavy rain approaching Ireland from the west. it will still be fairly chilly in Leinster but turning much milder across the west temporarily.



On Tuesday 29th this band of rather heavy rain attempts to cross Ireland while at the same time winds are very quickly turning into the east.



The rain turns to sleet and snow over much of Leinster and Ulster as cold easterlies start to undercut this band of precipitation moving in from the west.



We finish on Wednesday 30th of December with winds in from the east and temperatures lowering.



The band of rain, sleet and snow pushes back into the west and Wintry showers of rain, sleet and snow starting moving in from the Irish sea in a stiff easterly wind.



Showers would be of rain or sleet near the coasts but should fall as snow futher inland.



A very interesting run by tonights GFS, a brief northerly over Christmas, then the mild tries to return but in a battleground type situation the cold wins and we then get an easterly, although not a bitterly cold easterly, looks a bit marginal in terms of snowfall. This is at the very extended range of the GFS so no doubt it won't play out like this but interesting to see. The cold trend continues.

last nights pub run was very good, today's doesn't look quite as good but it is clear we are still heading towards a cold spell from Christmas to possibly New Year's Day. For the most part it looks dry, not much in the way of snow potential so far but if we do manage to get any showers going they would most likely be very wintry in nature.

Christmas Eve and Christmas Day are looking genuinely very cold with temperature anomolies suggesting temperatures between 4 and 6C below average for late December.



The ECM extended range is predicting a very cold first 10 days of January and then signs of a warm up and possible return of the Atlantic into the second half of January. Much of this cold will involve high pressure so I don't think we will be seeing much in the way of precipitation once we get the cold in place. Perhaps with a bit of luck we will get something more easterly and unstable as we head into the new year.

A cold temperature anomoly is predicted by the Ecm for first half of January, this is a long way out but it is looking very promising. This is indicating a very long fetch easterly stretching from the heartland of central Russia right across to Ireland. Fingers crossed this verifies and hopefully most of us will see some flakes by this stage.

yep an absolute turd of a pub run tonight. A brief cool spell and then back to the Atlantic by New Years. No real northerly and not a sniff of an easterly.