[Luap]

Bet365:

Ferguson 8/11
Cerrone 11/10


All over that price for Tony here.

[geeby]

Have gone for Ansaroff here. I think she's got a much better shot that the odds suggest. Got 7.50 on Tuesday but down to 6.00 at present

[tinpib]

I think there is value in that Ansaroff/Suarez fight. Suarez is best price 1.14 right now, but you can get her to win by decision at 2.75, with the huge percentage of women's fights that go to decision it is a no-brainer with that big price difference.


The other value bet that stood out to me was Jimmie Rivera best price 3.75 I wasn't terribly impressed by Petr Yan last time. Lot of hype around him, was expecting him to take his opponents head clean off his shoulders last time so found him a bit underwhelming. So could be yet another UFC hype train getting derailed, Rivera is very experienced and has fought some of the best.


Not saying he will definitely win but I think the odds should be a lot closer so again he is a good value bet.


Brilliant card tonight, was going through previous PPV and the last good one was March with Jones/Smith, before that was probably this time last year also in Chicago.

[justincasey]

Have cowboy tko/ko in this 10/3 ferguson has had alot going on outside the ring and his last fight was extremely tough.

[mailburner]

Originally Posted by tinpib

I think there is value in that Ansaroff/Suarez fight. Suarez is best price 1.14 right now, but you can get her to win by decision at 2.75, with the huge percentage of women's fights that go to decision it is a no-brainer with that big price difference.


The other value bet that stood out to me was Jimmie Rivera best price 3.75 I wasn't terribly impressed by Petr Yan last time. Lot of hype around him, was expecting him to take his opponents head clean off his shoulders last time so found him a bit underwhelming. So could be yet another UFC hype train getting derailed, Rivera is very experienced and has fought some of the best.


Not saying he will definitely win but I think the odds should be a lot closer so again he is a good value bet.

Both could be over priced but the 9/4 on suarez pts looks big to me, was expecting so see around 5/4 on that one.

so much hype around her though but ansaroff looked good against esparza last time out, pts look very likely to me.
not sure about yan, backed dodson to beat him, I thought the beating he gave dodson was a worse beating than any fighter gave dodson previously though so I'd be a believer but not at those odds either against a top guy tonight.

[ASOT]

Lads Yan is the banker of the card imo. Haven't had a good look at bets myself gonna get one done when I'm home from work

[mailburner]

shevchenko to win by ko or sub 20/21


can anyone see eye going the distance, tough and all as she is?

I can't myself, she's too easy to hit and I could possibly see the doctor stopping it at some stage possibly.



betfred have fight of the night priced up also, obv fav is cerrone ferguson at 6/4 and you'd have to believe that once it goes past a round it's a near certainly with how these two fight. https://www.betfred.com/sports/event/14114523.2

I think lamas kattar at 20s is pretty big odds, both have good chins and I expect both of these to be swinging for the rafters at some stage.

I fancy moraes to get it done early to that would be ruling out the 4/1 on that one

tuivasa ivanov is next at 6s, if Ivanov picks up a fotn win I'll give up betting

rivera yan is possible but while I think it'll be a good fight I don't see it being the best fight

shevchenko will be a one sided beating so thats out

munhoz sterling...don't believe sterling will ever be involved in a fotn

the girls are 16s suarez lol grasso karolina don't see it

too big to me so I'll have a go at that.

[mailburner]

continuing my love affair with moraes....

I think these prices are huge
to win by ko round one 11/1 (6/1 pp skyb 7/1 don't see any others pricing rnd and method)
to win by ko round two 11/1
both bet365

you can back him to win in round one at a best priced 13/2 or two at 8/1 but let's face it he can only finish cedudo by ko if it does happen surely.

most bookies don't do method and round combo either.


Lastly (but don't bet on it) the bet that's gonna set me up for life that probably won't set me up for life



doubles/trebles/fourfold betfred working out best overall on these although due to trading restrictions they won't take the fourfold on it....Joke, took paddys inferior prices for that one (would only let me stake 2.80 on the fotn bet also)

moraes round one 7/1
moraes round two 10/1
ferguson round two 10/1
ferguson round three 14/1
shevchenko round three 16/1
shevchenk round four 20/1
kattar round one 7/1
kattar round two 10/1

unsure about kattar but not gonna remove it from the betslip as it's fate

[kwestfan08]

5 timer for me tonight...

Wineland
Lamas
Suarez
Karolina
Tony

Pays 10/1

Lamas v Katter looks value at 20's for fotn. I think it'll be a belter.

[mailburner]

Originally Posted by mailburner

poor jimmi, that was horrible


having my max bet on Moraes next week at 5/6, think he'll get cejudo outa there at some stage.
He's been finishing top guys in the division recently, can't see cejudo being able to deal with his power.
The ko at 12/5 looks good to me also.

And to rub it in...thanks Marlon

[themandan6611]

Originally Posted by mailburner

And to rub it in...thanks Marlon

i hope you laid some of that off

[mailburner]

Originally Posted by themandan6611

i hope you laid some of that off

First big event I didn't stay up for in a long time and had an early start at work for a change
FML

[tinpib]

Hard luck mailburner, that's a sickener. I thought Marlon winning was a foregone conclusion myself.

[mailburner]

Originally Posted by tinpib

Hard luck mailburner, that's a sickener. I thought Marlon winning was a foregone conclusion myself.

Would definitely have stuck 300 on Henry had I been up.

The only consolation for me is that I watched the main card before the prelims and only realized how close I came after the Suarez fight

Seriously considered staying up and to be dying today..was so proud of myself for going to bed round midnight 🀔😥

[mailburner]

think martin could avoid a td and gets a pts win tonight 11/4

dont rate albini at all, greene was much shorter a week ago

doubled the two at 4/1 13/8+10/11 bet365

single on martin pts 11/4

single on jds pts 13/2 if he can avoid an early ko he has every
chance of doing what stipe did to francis
would really have fancied jds for this had it been 5+ yrs ago