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05-04-2019, 08:00   #5191
M.T. Cranium
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Friday, 5 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (5 to 11 April)

Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal, and the average high will be about 12 C. There will be an upward trend through the weekend then slightly cooler again by about Tuesday.

Rainfall or melted wintry precip will average about 5 to 15 mm but some places will get less than that, southern and northern counties appear likely to see higher amounts than central counties.

Sunshine will average 4 hours a day, which is close to normal values for early April. This may range from 3 hours near the south coast and in parts of Ulster to 5 or 6 hours in some central counties.

Winds will generally be light to moderate and mainly from an easterly direction.

_____________________________________________

FORECASTS

_____________________


TODAY ... Isolated outbreaks of rain, sleet, hail or wet snow mostly confined to Munster and south Leinster with partly cloudy skies developing further north, except for some patchy rain or sleet in east Ulster. All areas of precipitation moving west during the day. Winds increasing to southeast 40 to 70 km/hr near exposed coasts. Highs 8 to 11 C depending on sunshine amounts. A few places could see about 10 mm rain or sleety mixed precipitation with some accumulations of a few centimeters of snow on hills. Despite the isolated wintry showers many places will have a more pleasant day than recently.

TONIGHT ... Some further rain or sleet redeveloping across parts of the south, heading west and pushing back out to sea tomorrow morning. Clear intervals further north, some scattered frosts. Lows -2 to +3 C.

SATURDAY ... Isolated showers but longer sunny intervals developing, moderate easterly breezes. Highs 11 to 14 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers possible. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs 10 to 13 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, highs 11 to 14 C.

TUESDAY ... Scattered showers, more cloud than previous days and a bit colder again, highs 9 to 12 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Partly to mostly cloudy mid-week, a few showers. Eventually turning a bit milder but there does seem to be a high potential for another very chilly episode around mid-month. Eventually there could be heavy falls of rain, sleet or even snow depending on details of how this evolves, and those might be elevation dependent or more of a regional contrast.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with spots of rain but no more than trace amounts in total. We are going to stay rather cloudy here for several days with some heavier rain expected on the weekend.

Meanwhile, charts are showing a fairly powerful winter storm developing for the lower Great Lakes region by mid-week, so they are bracing for a return to wintry weather in places like Chicago, Detroit and Toronto to Montreal. It has been quite cold in that region for the past week.
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06-04-2019, 07:35   #5192
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Saturday, 6 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK of 6 to 12 April ...

Temperatures will average near normal, around 12 to 14 C on average in the daytime hours.

Rainfall will average about 5 to 10 mm which is about half the normal amount.

Sunshine will average about 5 hours a day which is near or slightly above normal.

Winds will generally be rather light easterly, sometimes moderate.

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FORECASTS

TODAY ... The overnight rain will continue to drift further west and out to sea this morning, with a slow and gradual clearing trend allowing for some decent sunny breaks by late morning east and early afternoon west. Highs 11 to 14 C in light to moderate easterly breezes. Some isolated showers may follow but these will be widely separated and brief.

TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals, slight frosts developing, lows -2 to +3 C. Misty or foggy by morning.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers possible, highs 11 to 14 C.

MONDAY ... Increasing cloud, some outbreaks of light rain in the south mainly, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers then clearing gradually, lows near 6 C and highs near 10 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will see a return to longer sunny intervals and somewhat milder highs near 13 C. Slight frosts are likely.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rain may set in around Friday night and become heavier by next weekend. Although current guidance favours milder weather holding out for a while, very cool air masses will never be that far away to the north and northeast, probably affecting northern Britain and possibly having some influence on Ulster and north Leinster if not larger portions of the country.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with light rain, about 2 mm fell and somewhat heavier amounts are likely here this weekend. We could use some rain as the spring blooming is very slow to advance despite milder temperatures this past week. Trees are almost out into full leaf at the coast but no sign of leaf development here at all yet. We are normally a week or two behind but it seems more like a month in this case.
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07-04-2019, 07:42   #5193
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Sunday, 7 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK of 7 to 13 April ...

Temperatures will average near normal, around 12 to 14 C on average in the daytime hours. The regional trend will be somewhat warmer than average in the west to slightly cooler in the east.

Rainfall will average about 10 to 20 mm which is almost equal to the normal amount. This will include 5 to 15 mm towards the end of the weekly interval.

Sunshine will average about 4 hours a day which is near or slightly below normal.

Winds will generally be rather light easterly, sometimes moderate.

------------------------

FORECASTS

TODAY ... After a cold start, mist or fog should dissipate, then warming up gradually under sunny to partly cloudy, isolated showers possible by late in the day in the southeast, with highs 11 to 14 C, warmer away from the east coast.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast, lows 3 to 7 C. Some light rain by morning in parts of central Leinster.

MONDAY ... Increasing cloud, some outbreaks of light rain in central counties from east to west, and highs near 11 C with the light rainfall, to 13 C in parts of the south and west.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers or light rain, trending further south during the day, then clearing gradually with some sunshine at times inland north and midlands, lows near 6 C and highs 10 to 12 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will see a return to longer sunny intervals and somewhat milder highs near 13 C. Slight frosts are likely.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rain may set in around Friday night and become heavier by next weekend. Temperatures from Saturday to about Monday 15th will be near 15 C with persistent rain that could become heavy in some places. Beyond that it may become slightly cooler with the risk of a significantly colder interval around Easter.

My local weather on Saturday was milder with patchy light rain in the area, and a high near 14 C.
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08-04-2019, 07:25   #5194
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Monday, 8 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK of 8 to 14 April ...

Temperatures will average near normal, around 12 to 14 C on average in the daytime hours. The regional trend will be somewhat warmer than average in the west to slightly cooler in the east.

Rainfall will average about 10 to 15 mm which is almost equal to the normal amount. The heavier rainfall earlier expected to arrive next weekend has been downgraded in amount for the time being to about 5 to 10 mm of this total.

Sunshine will average about 4 hours a day which is near or slightly below normal.

Winds will generally be rather light easterly, sometimes moderate.

------------------------

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, some outbreaks of light rain in central counties from east to west, and highs near 11 C with the light rainfall, to 13 C in parts of the south and west. Rainfalls 2 to 5 mm where they occur.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, some patchy light rain or drizzle, mist or fog developing. Lows 5 to 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers or light rain, trending further south during the day, then clearing gradually with some sunshine at times inland north and midlands, lows near 6 C and highs 10 to 12 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will bring partly cloudy skies, some better sunshine in western counties, and highs ranging from about 11 C in the east to 14 C in the west. Nights will be mostly frost-free except for isolated pockets with clear skies.

FRIDAY to SUNDAY was looking wet in yesterday's outlook but now it appears that high pressure over Scandinavia will have more influence and may keep most of the moisture near the west coast or even offshore. However, there will be some light patchy rain at times in a strengthening southeast wind flow 40 to 60 km/hr, and temperatures will stay in a similar range (11 to 14 C).

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... There now seems to be some chance that the high will become more dominant and send a pulse of colder air west to reach Ireland around Monday 15th (after slowly crossing Britain during the weekend of 13th-14th) so that temperatures may fall back to rather low values 7 to 11 C around the start of the following week. No particular warmth appears on maps beyond that either with hints of further cold outbreaks, so the month's best interval may be later this week.

My local weather on Sunday was mostly cloudy with patchy light rain in the area, not much accumulation, and highs near 12 C.
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09-04-2019, 07:19   #5195
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Tuesday, 9 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (9 to 15 April)

Temperatures will average near normal but that will include some above normal readings around Thursday and Friday and some below normal values this weekend into Monday.

Rainfall will average 10 to 20 mm, a little below average except for isolated 20 to 30 mm totals in Munster and south Leinster.

Sunshine will average 2 to 3 hours a day, below normal for mid-April.

Winds will continue easterly trending more southeasterly by the weekend. They will generally be rather moderate (30 to 50 km/hr).

=========

FORECASTS


TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the north, appearing later in central counties. Widespread fog and mist this morning could be a travel hazard for a while before easing before mid-day. Rain will move slowly west across south Leinster into Munster and some places could see 20 mm but amounts further north in isolated showery outbreaks will be only 1 or 2 mm. Highs near 14 C in western coastal regions, to 10 C near east coast and in the wetter south. Moderate east winds at times 40 to 60 km/hr.

TONIGHT will continue rather hazy to foggy as the last of the rain moves out to the Atlantic, and lows will be 5 to 8 C. Some dense fog patches may redevelop.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals in some western counties. It will be a bit warmer in general, highs 12 to 16 C.

THURSDAY will also be partly cloudy and warm (cooled somewhat near east coast), lows near 4 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY will bring intervals of cloud and sunshine and more of a southeast breeze, still about the same temperatures, lows near 4 C and highs near 15 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Partly to mostly cloudy, brisk southeast winds, somewhat colder especially in south Leinster and east Munster, and risk of some outbreaks of light rain mainly in the east and south. Highs will be in the range of 8 to 12 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Occasional rain, temperatures rising gradually back to mid-teens at some point next week, then risk of another colder spell developing around Easter.

My local weather on Monday was sunny at first, then overcast later, but dry and rather cool with highs near 9 C.
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10-04-2019, 07:03   #5196
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Wednesday, 10 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (10 to 16 April)

Temperatures will average near normal but that will include some above normal readings around Thursday and Friday and some below normal values this weekend into Monday.

Rainfall will average 10 to 20 mm, a little below average except for isolated 20 to 30 mm totals in west Munster and Connacht.

Sunshine will average 2 to 4 hours a day, below normal for mid-April although closer to normal in parts of the north.

Winds will continue easterly trending more southeasterly by the weekend. They will generally be rather moderate (30 to 50 km/hr) but will increase to blustery southeast to south especially near coasts at times this weekend (50 to 70 km/hr).

=========

FORECASTS


TODAY will be partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals in some western counties. It will be a bit warmer in general, highs 12 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will stay partly cloudy with clear intervals leading to some fog and mist by dawn. Lows -1 to +5 C mildest in south coast districts and colder inland north and midlands.

THURSDAY will also be partly cloudy and warm (cooled somewhat near east coast), with highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY will bring intervals of cloud and sunshine and more of a southeast breeze, still about the same temperatures, lows near 4 C and highs near 15 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Partly to mostly cloudy, brisk southeast winds, somewhat colder especially in south Leinster and east Munster, and risk of some outbreaks of light rain mainly in the south at first, then near west coast by late Saturday into Sunday. Some of this rain could become heavy near outer coastal districts but may not make much progress east as weather systems grind to a halt. Highs will be in the range of 8 to 12 C. Winds southeast 50 to 70 km/hr. The western cloud and rain will make one brief push eastward by Monday then the frontal band should weaken quickly into Tuesday, the result will be sporadic outbreaks of light rain then slow clearing.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Occasional rain, temperatures rising gradually back to mid-teens at some point next week, then risk of another colder spell developing around Easter. Highs could reach 15 or 16 C around mid-week (17th) then may fall back somewhat into the Easter weekend.

The flow will remain easterly much of the time.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast and rather chilly all day with highs near 8 C. A major snowstorm is developing overnight near Denver Colorado and will spread very strong winds and snow into the north central plains states. Nebraska and South Dakota will see blizzard conditions and Kansas, eastern Colorado and eventually Oklahoma and parts of Texas will have very strong northerly winds. This storm will begin to weaken when it reaches Minnesota on Friday. But by then there could be a fairly severe outbreak of thunderstorms in the Midwest on Thursday. Effects on the east coast will be indirect, mainly to promote a warmer interval of southerly winds later this week.
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11-04-2019, 07:33   #5197
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Thursday, 11 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland




TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (11 to 17 April)

Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal with a cooling trend setting in around Saturday. Temperatures will recover back towards normal values towards the end of the period.

Rainfall will average 10 to 20 mm, a little below average except for isolated 20 to 30 mm totals in west Munster and Connacht.

Sunshine will average 2 to 4 hours a day, below normal for mid-April although closer to normal in parts of the north.

Winds will continue easterly trending more southeasterly by the weekend. They will generally be rather moderate (30 to 50 km/hr) but will increase to blustery southeast to south especially near coasts at times this weekend (50 to 70 km/hr).

=========

FORECASTS


TODAY will be partly cloudy and quite warm except cooled by sea breezes somewhat near east coast, with highs near 15 C in the west, 12 to 14 C midlands and south, 10 to 12 C east and north.

TONIGHT will bring a few clear intervals then increasing cloud later, lows -1 to +4 C.

FRIDAY will bring intervals of cloud and sunshine and more of a southeast breeze, temperatures similar in all regions to today's readings, with highs 10 to 15 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Partly to mostly cloudy, brisk southeast winds, somewhat colder especially in south Leinster and east Munster, and risk of some outbreaks of light rain mainly in the south at first, then near west coast by late Saturday into Sunday. Some of this rain could become heavy near outer coastal districts but may not make much progress east as weather systems grind to a halt. Highs will be in the range of 8 to 12 C. Winds southeast 50 to 70 km/hr. The western cloud and rain will make one brief push eastward by Monday then the frontal band should weaken quickly into Tuesday, the result will be sporadic outbreaks of light rain then slow clearing.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Occasional rain, temperatures rising gradually back to mid-teens at some point next week, then risk of another colder spell developing around Easter. Highs could reach 15 or 16 C around mid-week (17th) then may fall back somewhat into the Easter weekend.

The flow will remain easterly much of the time.

My local weather on Wednesday was mostly cloudy and cool with highs near 9 C. There was rain falling almost all day a few miles to our south and west but it stayed dry here anyway. Gusty winds at times from these nearby showers. The wind and snow predicted moved into the plains states and severe weather is likely in the Midwest later today. At one point it was 32 C in Oklahoma and -8 C in Denver with blowing snow.
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12-04-2019, 07:26   #5198
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Friday, 12 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (12 to 18 April)

-- Temperatures will average slightly below normal values, days mostly in the 10 to 13 C range.

-- Rainfall will vary from rather light in the east (5-10 mm) to heavy in the southwest (40-70 mm) with Sunday-Monday the wettest days.

-- Sunshine will average only 2 hours a day in the west, to a more normal 4-5 hours in Leinster.

-- Winds will become stronger than recent days, from a southeast direction mainly.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Cloudy with brighter intervals for west and south, partly cloudy to sunny at times in east and north, rather cool southeasterly winds developing, isolated light showers in west Munster and Connacht. Highs 10 to 13 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, breezy, lows 2 to 6 C.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, brisk and rather cold southeast winds 50 to 70 km/hr. Highs 8 to 11 C.

SUNDAY ... Outbreaks of rain may become rather heavy from early morning onwards in western counties with potential for 15-30 mm. This rain will not extend all the way across the country and the cut-off is likely to be in the midlands. Brisk southeast winds, highs 8 to 12 C.

MONDAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy in parts of Munster and Connacht, light and sporadic further east and in most of Ulster. Highs around 12 to 14 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Continued east to southeast winds will bring alternating pulses of mild and chilly days for the rest of the week, but at the moment it appears possible that the Easter weekend will coincide with a warmer interval around 15 C.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with showers nearby again, and once again very little rain at my location. The high was about 12 degrees C. The blizzard-like storm further east in the northern plains states brought dangerous conditions to parts of South Dakota and western Minnesota but the storm will now ease off as it tracks further east.
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13-04-2019, 08:17   #5199
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Saturday, 13 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (13 to 19 April)

-- Temperatures will average near normal values, cooler at first then a bit warmer than normal later next week, as highs work their way up from 8-11 to 15-18 C.

-- Rainfall will vary from near average in the east (15-20 mm) to heavy in the southwest (40-70 mm) with Sunday-Monday the wettest days.

-- Sunshine will average only 2 hours a day in the west, to a more normal 4-5 hours in Leinster. The average will be improving through the second part of the week.

-- Winds will become stronger than recent days, from a southeast direction mainly.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Increasing cloud, brisk and rather cold southeast winds 50 to 70 km/hr. Highs 8 to 11 C. Rain will be edging into the west by afternoon and will become rather heavy by evening there. It should stay mostly dry east of about a Roscommon to Waterford line.

TONIGHT ... Rain will continue to edge further east, with heavy bursts leading to 10-20 mm likely in the western and later some central counties. Lows 7-9 C. Much less rain likely near east coast although some drizzle or light rain by morning even there.

SUNDAY ... Outbreaks of rain may become rather heavy from early morning onwards in western and some central counties with potential for 15-30 mm. This heavier rain will not extend all the way across the country with smaller amounts expected in coastal Leinster where 2 to 7 mm will be the most likely range. Brisk southeast winds, highs 8 to 12 C. Some fog likely in areas with heavier rainfall.

MONDAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy in parts of Munster and Connacht, light and sporadic further east and in most of Ulster. Highs around 12 to 14 C. Foggy or misty at times.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C. Longer sunny intervals by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, rather chilly nights with frosts in some places, but gradually warming in the daytime hours to highs of 16 to 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The Easter weekend at this point looks quite pleasant with the relatively warm weather expected to continue until about Easter Monday. Beyond that, rather uncertain with forecast models changing from run to run, would at least expect an increasing chance of cloud and rain and possibly a bit colder too.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy with some sunshine at times, highs around 14 C.
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14-04-2019, 07:42   #5200
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Sunday, 14 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the WEEK AHEAD (14 to 20 April)

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 degrees above normal values, even though today will be several degrees below average -- it will steadily warm up from Monday to Thursday and become quite warm on the Easter weekend.

-- Rainfall will vary from near average in the east (15-20 mm) to heavy in the southwest (40-70 mm) with Sunday-Monday the wettest days.

-- Sunshine will average about 4 hours a day and since the first two days of the interval will be mostly cloudy, that implies an average of 6 or 7 hours starting around Tuesday.

-- Winds will peak at very strong on Monday especially in western counties, then from Tuesday to the end of the interval, mostly moderate southerly.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Outbreaks of rain will ease off to drizzle by afternoon, before a second pulse of heavier rain arrives this evening. The extent of any rain into east coast counties may be hit or miss with some places remaining dry at least for most of the time. Moderate to strong southeast winds 60 to 100 km/hr in exposed locations will add some chill and highs will only reach about 8 to 10 C at best, except 10 to 13 C in parts of Kerry and Cork.

TONIGHT ... Rain becoming heavy again with the risk of thunderstorms in parts of Munster. Some heavier rain may develop for a time in the southeast and move up the east coast, but possibly easing before reaching Dublin and north Leinster. Amounts will be 30 to 50 mm in some parts of the south and west, trending steadily downward to 10 mm in parts of the northeast. Lows about 6 C with winds continuing moderate to strong southeast 60 to 100 km/hr.

MONDAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy in parts of Munster and Connacht, light and sporadic further east and in most of Ulster. Highs around 12 to 14 C. Foggy or misty at times. Winds southeast to south 70 to 110 km/hr in west Munster and later in Connacht, and some exposed parts of east Munster and south Leinster, otherwise about 50 to 80 km/hr further north and inland. Strong winds may continue most of Monday night slowly veering to southwest then easing by Tuesday morning.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C. Longer sunny intervals by afternoon. Winds moderate southwest backing to southerly 40 to 70 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, rather chilly nights with frosts in some places, but gradually warming in the daytime hours to highs of 16 to 18 C and locally 18 to 20 in midlands and western counties by Good Friday.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The Easter weekend at this point looks quite pleasant with the warmer weather expected to continue until about Easter Monday. Beyond that, rather uncertain with forecast models changing from run to run, would at least expect an increasing chance of cloud and rain and possibly a bit colder too.

My local weather was cool and wet with a low cloud ceiling most of the day and highs only about 7 C. For the Masters golf tournament, the tee times have been moved forward as organizers race to get the final round completed before a strong line of storms is expected to arrive by mid-afternoon local time. This front caused severe storms in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi on Saturday and threatens to do the same in Georgia and South Carolina today. Currently the storms are moving through Alabama but as it is early morning they have dropped below tornadic levels to heavy thunderstorms at this point. Even before this line of storms reaches eastern Georgia, the golf may be delayed at times by weaker passing thunderstorms. Otherwise it will be warm and humid with southerly winds and highs near 27 C there.
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15-04-2019, 07:09   #5201
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Monday, 15 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for week of 15 to 21 April

Temperatures will average about 2 degrees above normal with a gradual increase through the period, ending up near 4 degrees above normal in some parts of the west, midlands and inland south by the Easter weekend.

Rainfall will amount to a normal week's worth for most, or a little more, but almost all of that will fall today, so the trend after today is dry.

Sunshine will increase through the week and should average 6 to 8 hours a day overall, up to 50% above normal (but today will be mostly cloudy).

Winds will moderate after today and become rather light by the warmer spell expected later in the week.

-----------

FORECASTS


TODAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy and spreading north through Leinster and the midlands towards Ulster, 15 to 25 mm likely in this first wave. A second batch of moderate to heavy rain is likely to hit the south coast by mid-day and this will track up the west coast with some heavy amounts locally into western Galway and Mayo by afternoon. This rainfall will also total about 15 to 25 mm with some heavier amounts possible in hilly areas of the south and west. A few places may escape both of these waves but that will be the exception, as somewhat warmer air moves in, allowing temperatures to rise to the 12 to 15 C range later. Strong southeast winds 50 to 80 km/hr will become southerly 60 to 100 km/hr later today and eventually southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by this evening as the winds generally start to moderate.

TONIGHT ... Rain dying out over parts of the south and west, scattered showers then just drizzle before morning, fog patches and quite mild compared to recent nights, lows 8 to 11 C. Strong winds may continue for part of the night slowly veering to southwest then easing by Tuesday morning.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C. Longer sunny intervals by afternoon. Winds moderate southwest backing to southerly 40 to 70 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, rather chilly nights with frosts in some places, but gradually warming in the daytime hours to highs of 16 to 18 C and locally 18 to 20 in midlands and western counties by Good Friday. Light winds with some local sea breezes likely to develop as it warms up inland. Those may keep temperatures closer to 12 C along some coastlines.

EASTER WEEKEND ... Partly cloudy to sunny with a slight risk of rain in the north by later Sunday into Monday. Warm especially inland with light southwest winds becoming moderate by Sunday in west and north. Highs each day 18 to 21 C except for some 12 to 16 C readings near some coastlines.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The guidance is beginning to return to that earlier theme of quite cold weather after Easter, so perhaps this time it's a bit more likely to materialize. Temperatures may fall considerably by about Tuesday 23rd.


My local weather on Sunday was overcast with glimpses of sun, early morning rain that ended after sunrise, and local blustery showers late afternoon, with highs about 12 C. We are moving very slowly into our growing season locally although they are well advanced on the coast.
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15-04-2019, 07:09   #5202
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Monday, 15 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for week of 15 to 21 April

Temperatures will average about 2 degrees above normal with a gradual increase through the period, ending up near 4 degrees above normal in some parts of the west, midlands and inland south by the Easter weekend.

Rainfall will amount to a normal week's worth for most, or a little more, but almost all of that will fall today, so the trend after today is dry.

Sunshine will increase through the week and should average 6 to 8 hours a day overall, up to 50% above normal (but today will be mostly cloudy).

Winds will moderate after today and become rather light by the warmer spell expected later in the week.

-----------

FORECASTS


TODAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy and spreading north through Leinster and the midlands towards Ulster, 15 to 25 mm likely in this first wave. A second batch of moderate to heavy rain is likely to hit the south coast by mid-day and this will track up the west coast with some heavy amounts locally into western Galway and Mayo by afternoon. This rainfall will also total about 15 to 25 mm with some heavier amounts possible in hilly areas of the south and west. A few places may escape both of these waves but that will be the exception, as somewhat warmer air moves in, allowing temperatures to rise to the 12 to 15 C range later. Strong southeast winds 50 to 80 km/hr will become southerly 60 to 100 km/hr later today and eventually southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by this evening as the winds generally start to moderate.

TONIGHT ... Rain dying out over parts of the south and west, scattered showers then just drizzle before morning, fog patches and quite mild compared to recent nights, lows 8 to 11 C. Strong winds may continue for part of the night slowly veering to southwest then easing by Tuesday morning.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C. Longer sunny intervals by afternoon. Winds moderate southwest backing to southerly 40 to 70 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, rather chilly nights with frosts in some places, but gradually warming in the daytime hours to highs of 16 to 18 C and locally 18 to 20 in midlands and western counties by Good Friday. Light winds with some local sea breezes likely to develop as it warms up inland. Those may keep temperatures closer to 12 C along some coastlines.

EASTER WEEKEND ... Partly cloudy to sunny with a slight risk of rain in the north by later Sunday into Monday. Warm especially inland with light southwest winds becoming moderate by Sunday in west and north. Highs each day 18 to 21 C except for some 12 to 16 C readings near some coastlines.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The guidance is beginning to return to that earlier theme of quite cold weather after Easter, so perhaps this time it's a bit more likely to materialize. Temperatures may fall considerably by about Tuesday 23rd.


My local weather on Sunday was overcast with glimpses of sun, early morning rain that ended after sunrise, and local blustery showers late afternoon, with highs about 12 C. We are moving very slowly into our growing season locally although they are well advanced on the coast.
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16-04-2019, 07:47   #5203
M.T. Cranium
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Tuesday, 16 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead (16 to 22 April)

-- Temperatures will be 1 to 3 deg above normal, the larger departures in the midlands, west and inland north.

-- Rainfall will be light, 2 to 5 mm except for some risk of 5 to 15 mm amounts in the north by very end of the interval (Monday 22nd).

-- Sunshine will be above normal values for most, 5 to 8 hours a day likely. Some persistent low cloud may reduce those amounts near some coasts especially in the north.

-- Winds will become rather light for much of this interval.

----------------------

FORECASTS


TODAY ... Last of the rain ending soon in east Ulster and north Leinster, with a gradual clearing trend from Munster spreading north and east, followed by patchy cloud again this afternoon and isolated drizzle or light rain in one or two locations. Moderate southerly winds 40 to 60 km/hr and highs 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly to mostly cloudy, mild, lows 5 to 8 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, some persistent low cloud in parts of south and also northwest. A little warmer, highs 13 to 16 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, low cloud or sea fog possible near south coast, warmer except for some coastal areas subject to onshore sea breezes. Highs 16 to 19 C (but 11 to 15 C in sea breezes). Low temperatures quite variable due to cloud cover mingled with clear spots, where some slight frosts could develop.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, highs 17 to 20 C except cooler near south and west coasts.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Some sunny intervals, a little cooler with highs 13 to 16 C. Early morning temperatures should be quite mild at 7 to 9 C.

MONDAY ... Cloudy, cooler, some rain at times becoming moderate at times in the north. Highs 11 to 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... The cooler and unsettled weather will then continue for a day or two longer with a slight warming trend towards the end of the week.

My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy with a few nearby showers once again largely missing my location. The high was 13 C.
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17-04-2019, 07:06   #5204
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Wednesday, 17 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead (17 to 23 April)

-- Temperatures will be 1 to 3 deg above normal, the larger departures in the midlands, west and inland north.

-- Rainfall will be light, 2 to 5 mm except for some risk of 5 to 15 mm amounts in the north by later in the interval (mostly on Monday 22nd).

-- Sunshine will be above normal values for most, 5 to 8 hours a day likely. Some persistent low cloud may reduce those amounts near some coasts especially in the north. The sunshine amounts will fall later in the interval.

-- Winds will become rather light for much of this interval.

----------------------

FORECASTS


TODAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, some persistent low cloud in parts of south and also northwest. A little warmer, highs 12 to 16 C.

TONIGHT ... Some cloudy intervals with clear spells, lows rather variable depending on duration of clear skies, 2 to 7 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, low cloud or sea fog possible near south coast, warmer except for some coastal areas subject to onshore sea breezes. Highs 16 to 19 C (but 11 to 15 C in sea breezes). Low temperatures quite variable due to cloud cover mingled with clear spots, where some slight frosts could develop. On Friday, it's possible that a few parts of the inland west and midlands could reach 20 or even 21 degrees.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, highs 17 to 20 C except cooler near south and west coasts. Some rain by late in the day in north.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast at times, with a few outbreaks of showery rain in counties around Cavan and Monaghan spreading to north Leinster, but staying dry in many places with some sunny intervals, a little cooler than the earlier parts of the Easter weekend with highs 13 to 18 C. Early morning temperatures should be quite mild at 7 to 9 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, cooler, some rain at times becoming moderate at times in the north. Highs 11 to 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... The cooler and unsettled weather will then continue for a day or two longer with a slight warming trend towards the end of the week. The pattern next week is somewhat uncertain with guidance beginning to take on quite a spread of outcomes, some have the warmer spell returning and others stay cooler all week. This should be resolved in the next few days.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with increasing cloud by afternoon and highs near 13 C.
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18-04-2019, 06:36   #5205
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Thursday, 18 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead (18 to 24 April)

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 degrees above normal, highs 18 to 22 C.

-- Rainfall will be either zero or very light to Monday then uncertainty about trends, most likely a near normal outcome overall but possibly less if the Monday to Wednesday rainfall holds off to the west.

-- Sunshine will be above normal overall with 7 to 12 hours a day in the first four days of the interval and possibly rather low sunshine totals thereafter, although that will follow the same uncertainty as the rainfall and if it proves drier then also likely sunnier.

-- Winds will continue very light for most of this interval.

============

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Hazy sunshine for most, some low cloud and onshore sea fog or mist near south coast. Warmer with highs 18 to 21 C except for cooler sea breeze regimes near east and south coasts (highs 11 to 16 C in those coastal areas).

TONIGHT ... Some cloud and mist developing, but otherwise clear, lows 5 to 10 C but with the possibility of a few colder pockets inland. With clear skies the next few nights you will see the full moon (the precise timing for that is 12:19 IST on Friday). Jupiter is now rising about midnight so if you happen to see a bright golden-hued star low in the southeast, that's Jupiter, Venus rises much closer to sunrise and you could see it in the hour before dawn twilight in the southeastern sky.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and very warm with local sea breezes cooling south and east coasts. Highs for most 19 to 23 C. Near south and east coasts about 14 to 17 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunny with some afternoon cloud, more prevalent in the north. Very warm again, with sea breezes appearing on all coasts but otherwise highs 19 to 24 C.

EASTER SUNDAY ... There may be some intervals of cloud and isolated showers but no real breakdown of the warm spell in general so that with at least some sunshine highs will likely reach 18 to 20 C and possibly higher in parts of the inland south and midlands. Early morning temperatures are likely to be in the 7 to 10 C range.

MONDAY ... Guidance becomes rather divided by Monday, some indications suggest cloud and increasing risk of rain near south and west coasts, other suggestions prolong the warm and dry spell at least one additional day. We'll have to wait and see which option dominates the charts by tomorrow, but with the rain and cloud option highs would fall back to about 15 C, in the less likely dry scenario, staying closer to 19 or 20 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... That uncertainty continues to split the guidance for most of next week. One camp suggests that cloud and rain will be fairly frequent and temperatures will cool off to 12 to 14 C. Other indications keep some influence of the warmer, drier air mass especially over east and north. There are hints of a significant cooling trend in early May. (seems like each month recently has started cold and ended warm)

My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy to overcast with some rain in the morning, highs near 12 C.
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